this post was submitted on 23 Sep 2024
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Image is of a Hezbollah missile attack on a military camp west of Jenin.


The situation between Hezbollah and Israel is rapidly escalating, with massive bombing campaigns on southern Lebanon by Israel predominantly on civilians (as the tunnels in South Lebanon are mostly unreachable to the Zionists, just like in Gaza), while Hezbollah and its allies respond with missile attacks predominantly on Israeli military facilities. Israel is spreading an evacuation order to the residents of southern Lebanese villages while also bombing their routes of escape and civilian infrastructure, similar to a terror tactic used widely in Gaza.

Northern Israel is currently under military censorship to hide their losses, so we get very little information other than what the Resistance provides and what videos and images get through the censors.

I don't know if Israel will dare a ground incursion soon, but it seems fairly likely in the coming days or weeks.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 86 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

1000 deaths upon any US soldier setting foot in Israel to take part in the massacre. A bullet from a ghoul to your dome is too merciful for you, but I'll settle for it.

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[–] [email protected] 85 points 2 weeks ago (29 children)

Are we at a point where we can start to blame Iran for their slow ass reaction times? I understand the strategic planning and patience and all that. But it just gets frustrating seeing the cities of Iran's "allies" get flattened every few years while the Iranians are chilling in the driving seat of the resistance while not even fucking touching the steering wheel. Hezbollah, Hamas, Ansarallah and Syria keep taking the devastating hits while Iran is egging everyone on. This doesn't feel like an equal relationship anymore like in the days of the Syrian Civil War when Iranians were on the frontlines of Aleppo and Mosul. Israel doesn't stop because Iran isn't protecting their allies anymore, they're using them as a sponge to suck up the hits while Iran is protected and trading with the likes of the UAE. I'm just rambling here, but it gets frustrating seeing Beirut getting pulverised and we can't even get a little drone strike from Iran despite failing to protect Haniyeh in fucking Tehran. Resistance leaders were safer in fucking Qatar than the supposed HQ of the resistance

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[–] [email protected] 85 points 2 weeks ago (4 children)

Wow! Another “unprecedented” weather event soypoint-2

So glad this is just temporary and not a consequence of something

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[–] [email protected] 85 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (7 children)

It's hard not to feel stabbed in the back by Iran. All that Resistance Axis talk, but we're slowly realising that we're just their Ukraine, they want the fight to be to the last Lebanese, Gazan and Syrian, but not to the first Iranian. This is just brutal, we lost our finest men in Haniyeh, Nasrallah and countless others, while they're doing fucking deals under the table. This is not an equal relationship anymore, we're just the bumper for their safety. May God have mercy on Soleimani and Abu Mahdi Al Muhandis, they would weep if they saw the state of the Axis today. I don't want to be full on doomer, but the concept of the Axis itself is eroding under this Iranian inaction and lack of will.

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[–] [email protected] 84 points 3 weeks ago (18 children)
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[–] [email protected] 84 points 2 weeks ago (8 children)

The Lebanon massacres and bombings are very popular in Israel

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[–] [email protected] 84 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)
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[–] [email protected] 84 points 2 weeks ago (14 children)
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[–] [email protected] 84 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

“In dark times, should the stars also go out?” steban

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[–] [email protected] 83 points 3 weeks ago (10 children)

Remember when Kamala talked abt how america was finally not at war anymore at the debates (which in itself was bullshit too but all of its direct combat involvement left was low profile for people to care about)

that’s on track to last long isn’t it

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[–] [email protected] 83 points 3 weeks ago (5 children)

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/c5y32qew9z2t

Israeli air strikes kill 274, Lebanon says, as thousands flee south of country

15:45 BST

Lebanese authorities have just updated the death toll from today's Israeli air strikes.

At least 274 people have now been killed, 21 of whom were children, according to Lebanon's health minister.

A further 1,024 people have been wounded in the strikes, the minister adds.

Goddamn. They're actually escalating toward a full-on war. Bye Israel.

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[–] [email protected] 83 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (1 children)

Nasrallah wouldn’t want you to be a doomer.

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[–] [email protected] 82 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (32 children)

Israel launches strikes on Houthi targets in Yemen

"Our message is clear - for us, no place is too far," - Defence Minister Yoav Gallant

They are 1000000% trying to start an all-out regional war and get the US involved. Iran will be next unless there is retaliation

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[–] [email protected] 82 points 3 weeks ago (3 children)

Just had my a talk with somebody who seemed distraught about what was going in Lebanon asking me about what was hezbollah doing and if all thoses loses that the zionits are claiming are true. She is a really smart woman but it made me realise that most people aren't like the people here on this site who are well versed in how the empire function and the situation on the ground. It Shows the effectiveness of the total information blackout of the entity as well. I just showed her video of hezbollah tunnels and talked quickly about the logistical network of the resistance.

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[–] [email protected] 82 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

🔴 Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine:

"It is not important if one of us dies. What's important is that you continue."

The Master of the Resistance, the martyr leader Hassan Nasrallah.

[–] [email protected] 82 points 2 weeks ago
[–] [email protected] 82 points 2 weeks ago (16 children)

If there was any doubt which countries are Israeli allies by now

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[–] [email protected] 81 points 2 weeks ago (3 children)

Yes Israel has a genocide case against them at the ICJ, but what if they could have two genocide cases against them?

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[–] [email protected] 81 points 2 weeks ago (20 children)

VIDEOS are coming out of NC, TN, GA, ect. Appalachia and Smokey mountain regions got wrecked hard. Like permanently changed landscape hard. Mostly the absofuck ton of rain flooding these valley towns like Asheville and Chimney Rock. Roadways bridges HULK SMASH. Jamed with logs ripped off from landslides and busted riverbanks.

Layers of mud and sediment blanket entire towns.

This is not going to be a quick or easy cleanup. The toll on lives is increasing as well. 64 was the latest number from what I've seen.

Ashville, NC

NYP stating 1000 people unaccounted for in NC

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[–] [email protected] 81 points 3 weeks ago (8 children)
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[–] [email protected] 80 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)
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[–] [email protected] 80 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

A brief recap of events today on the Lebanon front.

The fascist Tel Aviv regime carried out another major act of aggression. Hundreds of Zionist genocidal airstrikes on Lebanon killed 492 civilians (and wounded 1,645 others). One Zionist attack tried, but failed, at assassinating Hezbollah resistance commander Ali Karaki. Other Zionist attacks assassinated three Shia clergymen in southern Lebanon.

Hezbollah resistance forces struck back, firing 180 rockets at the Zionists’ Ramat David Airbase (southeast of Haifa) and the Rafael Advanced Defense Systems military industrial plant (in the Zevulun area north of Haifa). Other rockets struck the Zionist cities of Haifa, Tiberias, and Safad; the Yoav barracks; the Ein Zeitim military base; and several illegal settlements in the Zionist-occupied West Bank (Bruchin, Karnei Shomron, and Maale Shomron). A resistance ATGM also destroyed a “Merkava” tank near El Marj.

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[–] [email protected] 79 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (6 children)

Yemen has struck Tel Aviv with missile(s) again. Millions of settlers forced into shelters in the middle of the night.

edit: conflicted information about whether it was intercepted or not (you can imagine which side is saying it was intercepted) but it definitely at least reached the skies over Tel Aviv and was not detected/shot down before that point. I'm leaning on the side of "not intercepted" based on what I've seen but it's not clear yet. Apparently Ansarallah will make a statement in the coming hours.

edit2: looks like no hit, though maybe some injuries caused by accidents getting into shelters? it was unclear to me what actually caused the injuries (if real) so I was confused about whether it was a hit or not. anyway, still unclear what has happened and what the target(s) were, still waiting on the Ansarallah statement

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[–] [email protected] 79 points 3 weeks ago

welp, looks like i gotta pretend i'm normal today and not f5ing this thread constantly

[–] [email protected] 79 points 2 weeks ago (6 children)
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[–] [email protected] 79 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)
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[–] [email protected] 79 points 2 weeks ago (9 children)

Progressives Sound Alarm as Harris Courts Crypto Industry

Trump’s running mate, Sen. JD Vance (R-Ohio), is friendly with the crypto industry and personally owns hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of bitcoin.

Harris, for her part, gave a nod to the cryptocurrency industry during a major economic policy speech in Pittsburgh on Wednesday, saying she wants the U.S. to “remain dominant” in “emerging technologies” such as the blockchain.

Harris’ economic policy platform states that, if elected in November, she would “encourage innovative technologies like AI and digital assets while protecting our consumers and investors.”

antelope-popcorn

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[–] [email protected] 79 points 2 weeks ago

A recap of events from the Palestine/Lebanon front that occurred during the past 24 hours.

Lebanese Hezbollah resistance forces conducted Fadi-3 rocket strikes on the Zionists’ Ramat David airbase and a missile strike on a target near Zionist-occupied Jerusalem (al-Quds).

Islamic Resistance in Iraq forces conducted drone and missile strikes on the southern Zionist port city of Eilat; the northern Kiryat Shmona settlement; two military sites in the Zionist-occupied Golan Heights; and the illegal US occupation base in the Conoco gas field in Syria's northeastern Deir ez-Zor province. The Iraqi resistance movements also stated their readiness for open war with the Zionists and US imperialists in response to yesterday’s assassination of Lebanese resistance leader Hassan Nasrallah.

The Yemeni Armed Forces conducted a Palestine-2 ballistic missile strike on Tel Aviv’s “Ben Gurion Airport” during Zionist dictator Benjamin Netanyahu’s plane landing.

The Russian Foreign Ministry condemned yesterday’s Zionist assassination of Hassan Nasrallah and stated that Israel is responsible for the subsequent escalation. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian stated, “The world must not forget that the order was given from the United States. The Americans will never be able to absolve themselves of responsibility.” Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani stated that the assassination was, “a crime that shows the Zionist entity has crossed all red lines.”

[–] [email protected] 78 points 2 weeks ago (18 children)

Not sure what the original source is for this, but accounts I trust are posting it:

https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/10284

NEW: The United States reportedly offered Iran significant sanctions relief and a guaranteed permanent ceasefire in Gaza based on Hamas' proposed terms (and Hamas was informed of this), in exchange for the Islamic Republic delaying its retaliation against Israel for Ismael Haniyeh; not a single sanction was lifted, nor was a ceasefire reached in Gaza

Embarrassing if true. If history teaches us anything, it's to never accept a deal like this from the US.

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[–] [email protected] 78 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (12 children)

I saw a TikTok video the other day with Shir Hever, a political economist born in the illegal zionist entity. In his view the zionist project is effectively over as "any regime that commits genocide also commits suicide".

He claims that every sector of the entity's economy is collapsing due to the genocide: tourism has disappeared, academic exchange with the rest of the world is ending and investment in the high tech sector is drying up fast. The settlers themselves are moving their money out of the entity as well with zionist pension funds increasingly preferring investments abroad over domestic.

Settlers are also leaving the entity like never before. Up to half a million settlers has left since the Al-Aqsa Flood and it is especially the highly educated with resources and prospects abroad who are leaving. It has become very hard to get a doctor's appointment due to the number of doctors leaving. Even the regime itself has no clear idea of how many are leaving, as the people at the central bureau of statistics who were supposed to do the calculations has also left.

According to Hever the zionist project has come to an end and the current system of injustice is coming apart. To him, emulating South Africa's transition away from apartheid is the only way forward of "Israelis" are to have a future in Palestine.

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[–] [email protected] 78 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (11 children)

SF Chronicle: Police are deliberately ramming suspects’ cars. Dozens have died — including bystanders

Since 2017, at least 87 people across the country have been killed after police officers rammed vehicles they were pursuing, often at extremely high speeds, a Chronicle investigation found.

Nearly half of those who died — 37 people, including seven children — were not the fleeing drivers. Instead, they were passengers or bystanders. In Tifton, Ga., a grandmother was killed when a fleeing car deliberately struck by police careened into her front yard.

Astounding cruelty

The wreck that killed Lakita Davis started with 5-hour Energy drinks and paper towels.

A clerk at a Dollar Store in Jonesboro, Ark., told police she saw Davis leave without paying one evening in October 2020. Davis, 35, drove away with her daughter, her daughter’s boyfriend and her stepson in a silver Honda Civic.

...

Moments later, Middlecoff sped toward Davis at more than 120 mph and deliberately rammed her car. The Civic veered off the road and flipped, landing on its hood.

“Crawl out, or you’re gonna get dog bit!” ordered Chris Shull, an officer with the Jonesboro Police Department, a K9 by his side, according to dash-camera and body-camera footage and documents from Jonesboro and Arkansas State Police.

“Driver, can you crawl out?” another officer asked. Davis didn’t answer.

Standing nearby, Shull said, “I gotta say, that was my first pursuit that was legit and justified, like, fit policy. That was awesome.”

Minutes later, Shull announced Davis was dead — and blamed her family.

“Congratulations, y’all just committed homicide, y’all just committed murder,” he told the passengers: Davis’ 18-year-old daughter, Octavia Jackson, who lay on a stretcher with bone fractures; her stepson, Octavius Moore, 15; and her daughter’s boyfriend, Taccorion Golden, 20, who broke his leg.

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[–] [email protected] 78 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (11 children)

https://xcancel.com/maphumanintent/status/1720933055307600231

Fun theoretical exercise I'm currently working on for the @fortisanalysis side of things:

US refineries (total) only store about 40 million gallons of military-grade jet fuel at any given time, or about 36,400 flight hours for an F/A-18E/F Super Hornet launched from an aircraft carrier. For 40 x -18's per carrier, this is about 910 flight hours. A carrier holds roughly 3 million gallons of fuel for its wing, about 68 flight hours per bird. Now consider that a notional mixed complement of 20 x F-35's and 20 X F-15EX's operating out of Kadena AFB would consume about 62,400 gallons per hour combined. Thus, just a single carrier wing and a single AFB wing's complement of fighters (80 combined) theoretically all operating at once would drink 106,400 gal/hr.

So...

The net stores of military jet fuel immediately available from US refiners above the global contingency supplies managed by the Defense Logistics Agency at any time represents about 375 net flight hours for one carrier and one air wing...less than 16 days of high intensity air operations by far fewer assets than the US would throw into an all-out theater conflict in the Pacific Rim. DLA Energy ended FY2022 with 1.68 billion gallons of on hand inventory of jet fuel to serve the entire DOD combined inventory of 14,000+ aviation assets - cargo, fighter, rotary wing, bombers, drones, tankers, and recon. Which begs the question: How fast would two theaters of conflict burn through all contingency supplies of fuel? And what does DOD do when the well runs dry?

Reminder that for the Gulf War's air campaign, the US had nearly 6 months to prepare, move assets into place, build up whole new infrastructure, etc., right next to Iraq without the Iraqis being able to do much to respond. Westerners love to call back on that campaign to justify their belief that the US/NATO could totally destroy any opponent in just a few weeks with their superior air forces, but completely ignore the logistical realities of actually doing so. And today, with the proliferation of long-range precision munitions, actually managing to build up the concentrations of forces and supplies necessary for large campaigns like this is substantially more difficult - we see this already in Ukraine, with Russian deep strikes doing significant damage, taking out ammunition depots and arms shipments, and wiping out various gatherings of Ukrainian troops and mercenaries.

If Iraq had the ballistic missiles that Yemen wields today, things could have gone very differently back then.

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[–] [email protected] 77 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

Fuck I bet Nasrallah knew about the deal for a ceasefire if Iran didn't counterattack and that made him think he was safe meeting an IRGC leader in Beirut, particularly in a densely populated highly civilian area.

So not only did they lie to Iran but they used the lie to Iran as a means of luring out and killing both Nasrallah and an IRGC leader (Deputy Commander Abbas Nilforoushan)

[–] [email protected] 77 points 3 weeks ago (3 children)

Missouri's governor and Supreme Court have both ruled - they really want to murder an innocent man tomorrow.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/marcellus-williams-execution-missouri-supreme-court-governor-mike-parson/

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[–] [email protected] 77 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

It's been seven hours, if Nasrallah was dead it'd be out by now, this is a media blitz designed to distract from the civilian deaths caused by the bombings, bombings that took place while the UN was in session and the perpetrator was participating

Hezbollah reports are straight up being ignored in favor of Reuter based "Hezbollah sources" because this media operation is nothing but an attempt to suffocate the story before it becomes an international scandal, there is evidence of active collusion or parallel coordination by all major western news orgs and even Al Jazeera, they're all pushing the Nasrallah angle over the civilians deaths

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[–] [email protected] 77 points 3 weeks ago (3 children)

Nasrallah, May your next missile blow up on netenyahu

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[–] [email protected] 76 points 2 weeks ago (13 children)

Allegedly Pezeshkian has put out a statement saying that they were promised a ceasefire if they did not retaliate for Haniyeh's death and they were lied to. (Obviously)

Goes to show how strong the demand is for a ceasefire. Every single time ive heard somebody reporting from Gaza it seems like every day the people are desperate to know when a ceasefire will arrive, making the demand on the side of the negotiators so high up as a priority but obviously the Zionists and US are just using it as a form of political warfare as thousands die.

Also seeing reports of a thwarted terrorist attack in Iran today. If this new status quo becomes consolidated, it looks like the regional war started yesterday.

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[–] [email protected] 76 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (10 children)

I'm doing ONE effortpost this week to explain some Lebanese/Arab intricacies while scrolling the news. What do the good people of the news mega want to read about?

  1. A breakdown of the Lebanese Civil War and how it permanently fucked the country.

  2. An explanation of how the modern Shia identity emerged post-1979 and how a small marginalized community basically became the face of anti-Israel jihad.

  3. How Arab and Muslim attitudes towards Hezbollah changed between 2006 and 2024 due to their intervention in Syria.

Vote! But I'll probably just ignore the results and do the one I want

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[–] [email protected] 76 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

In 2018, scientists confirmed the Gulf of Oman contains one of the world's largest marine dead zones, where the ocean contains little or no oxygen and marine wildlife cannot exist. The dead zone encompasses nearly the entire 165,000-square-kilometre (63,700 sq mi) Gulf of Oman and equivalent to the size of Florida, United States of America. The cause is a combination of increased ocean warming and increased runoff of nitrogen and phosphorus from fertilizers.

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[–] [email protected] 76 points 2 weeks ago (6 children)

Surprised nobody here has posted about this yet. Walkout at UN for Netanyahoo

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