https://x.com/AMK_Mapping_/status/2096102173129998509
The Ukrainian Air Force released their claimed figures for how many glide-bomb strikes they carried out on Russian positions during August. According to them, approximately 300 sorties were carried out by the Ukrainian Air Force - an average of 9.7 per day (unchanged from their July claims). Because this is an official report, this is the maximum number possible. The true number will likely actually be lower as they have an incentive to lie. In comparison, Russia launched over 8,673 glide-bombs in August (up from 8,300 in July), with an average of ~280 per day (up from 268 in July) (as per the Ukrainian General Staff). The true number is likely slightly higher as this is also an official claim with an incentive to lie. If we were to make a rough estimate of 2 glide-bombs per Ukrainian sortie, then it would give us an airstrike ratio of around 14.4:1 in favour of Russia (up from 14:1 in July). This has a large margin of error due to Ukraine's incentive to lie, and because Ukraine's numbers include sorties while Russia's include individual munitions.
https://x.com/ripplebrain/status/2096276902507839666 (privated account)
This discrepancy remains one of the most consequential for the strategic balance of the war, and casuals are totally unaware of it. Russian and Ukrainian FPV and long range drone strikes are relatively close in scale, but the Russian Air Force is dropping 5-10 million more pounds of bombs than the Ukrainian Air Force every month. To give a sense of the scale, if we average it out by assuming all of those bombs are FAB-500s (the VKS uses both lighter and heavier glide bombs) we get around 5000 gross short tons of bombs a month. The USAF achieved a rate of around 40,000 tons a month during Desert Storm, but just 8% (7,400 tons) of this was precision guided munitions and they only had to sustain this rate for 43 days.


