this post was submitted on 31 Mar 2025
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Image of destruction in Mandalay, Myanmar, from Al Jazeera.


As if the ongoing civil war wasn't enough, Myanmar has now been struck by a very powerful earthquake, resulting in 2000 deaths and thousands more injured as of the time of writing. Estimates are that the death toll could reach 10,000. Infrastructure like roads and bridges are damaged, and the hospitals are overwhelmed. The earthquake struck during Eid prayers, resulting in even higher casualties as several mosques collapsed. 20 million people already required humanitarian assistance in Myanmar, and now the situation there will be even worse. International rescue teams have rushed into the country, and aid is being raised, though with USAID experiencing the... changes that it is, the United States will be of even more limited help than usual. So far, China has sent $14 million, while USAID has supplied $2 million. In Thailand, the death toll seems considerably lower, though there has still been significant damage; a skyscraper under construction collapsed in Bangkok.

Myanmar is located very close to the boundary between the Eurasian and Indian tectonic plates. In particular, the country is divided in two by the north-south oriented Sagaing fault. This fault is typically strike-slip; that is, each side of the fault moves horizontally past each other. The earthquake's depth was 10 kilometers, which is pretty shallow, and its proximity to the surface amplified the felt force of the earthquake. Additionally, the soft soil in this region tends to further amplify seismic waves through a process called liquefaction. Combine all this with the lackluster building codes due to many years of impoverishment and civil wars, and this explains why the death toll, and the expense to the country in general to repair damage, will probably be extremely high.


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Israel-Palestine Conflict

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Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
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Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 51 points 9 hours ago (1 children)

While little LIBERALS like you nerds were making memes, PATRIOTS like me knew our president wouldnt forget about us

[–] [email protected] 30 points 9 hours ago

Holy shit he actually pressed the RV button

[–] [email protected] 40 points 9 hours ago (1 children)

Trump on Market Crash: Well, I mean, it is to be expected, this is a patient that was very sick. We inherited a terrible economy.

sicko-crowd yea put them down!!

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[–] [email protected] 58 points 11 hours ago* (last edited 10 hours ago) (3 children)

So I think I will preemptively say this since some people have posted about Trumps whole trade war thing working.

So the big one.....

"What if he's right and industries will move to the US?"

It is extremely unlikely because of a few things:

'You can only build a massive factory if you know those tariffs are here to stay.'

That means the USA will have to keep those tariffs for a long time. Building a large factory like one that can employ thousands of people takes several years, training those will again take years. We can look at the TSMC plants that were built in Japan took 3 years to build and get going. This means those tariffs that incentivize capitalists to move production have to do so because they know that those tariffs will be there for 10 years.

Even with a 50% tariff it will still be cheaper to import than to produce locally.

I feel like this one is self explanatory but like I'm sorry but the only way those factories come back is if the USA increases its prison population, aka its pool of slave labor, at least tenfold. Something which I doubt the USA can actually do, not because it lacks the capacity for cruelty but simply because it lacks the capacity with all the gutting of the government.

Once counter tariffs start the US' own industries will get hit hard.

The US currently imports iron to turn it into steel, Iron imports are already part of those tariffs so now the cost per iron has gone up by 50%, making it more expensive to produce which cuts into profit margins which are further cut into because other nations will just tariff US steel back, essentially this hurts any industry that needs to import to start producing much more than the people in government probably think.

I mean effectively shutting down trade means that the US economy will have less goods in the economy per worker.

That means US workers will be effectively poorer even with a job in the absolute best case scenario that is not going to happen. Which once it starts to crystallize will get the hogs out and yelling about stuff and unless Trump does do some fascist grab of power, he'll lose pathetically to some democrat called Chak Tham Greenly because Trump didn't deliver the treats. Which means those tariffs are on a 4 year timer.

So with there being a 4 year timer most companies and capitalists will see the writing on the wall if Trump continues. What I think is that a lot of capitalists are currently deep in denial but that torpor will only stick around for so long, and as much as it pains capital to leave the current hegemon it's not like capital always was centered around the USA at one point it was centered in London, capital will move and make it's new nest somewhere else.

Edit: I should also add that the TSMC plant was ONE plant and not a total reorganization of their economy and again about a thousand people, magnitudes smaller than what Trump is trying, and with construction goods readily available and not being you know also tariffed.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 9 hours ago (3 children)

Who will come out ahead in all this chaos? Is it really just the dumbest rich people following their ideology off a cliff or is there some angle people aren't seeing? Are the richest people just going to consolidate their power by buying up failed businesses? What are the odds of more stimulus checks, so he can control people's treats like the way immortan joe controls water?

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[–] [email protected] 45 points 11 hours ago* (last edited 8 hours ago)

US airstrikes continue on Yemen for the 20th night in a row, with airstrikes reported in Saada Governorate.

There has also been simultaneous Israeli airstrikes in southern Lebanon, Gaza and Idlib, Syria. A Hamas official and his family were reportedly killed in Lebanon, the strikes in Gaza are the most intense since the resumption of the genocide. Little information on Syria.

I'm expecting information on strikes in Yemen to be more sporadic now, since the latest Ansarallah advisory to Yemeni citizens not to discuss ongoing airstrikes, enacted yesterday.

Text reads: Warning...

Filming airstrikes serves the enemy.

Operational Security is very important. Do not serve the enemy in good faith.

Further messages said: We call on all our fellow citizens in Yemen to strictly prohibit photographing the airstrike locations and not to talk about them on social media. With co-operation, we protect the homeland.

Al Masirah TV twitter

Xcancel mirror

[–] [email protected] 34 points 10 hours ago (2 children)

I'm seeing some people say Vietnam just got really screwed. Is there anywhere I can read about this?

[–] [email protected] 31 points 9 hours ago

They got like 47% tariffs plus the USA is their second biggest export market

[–] [email protected] 32 points 10 hours ago (1 children)

It's to do with the tarrifs. Quite a number of companies moved production from China to Vietnam to avoid the initial Trump tarrifs back in his first term. These tarrifs continued under Biden, so companies kept moving production. Now Vietnam got hit with some of the highest tarrifs after Trump's latest announcement.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 10 hours ago (1 children)

I understand that, but I was asking for something with more detail. Like an article or something.

[–] [email protected] 24 points 10 hours ago* (last edited 10 hours ago)

Vietnam exports to the USA make up over 30% of it's GDP, and some of the biggest companies that sell their luxury goods to a predominantly US market (like Apple and Nike) moved some manufacturing to Vietnam.

Southeast Asian nations, among hardest-hit by Trump tariffs, seek talks - Reuters

[–] [email protected] 50 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

American Troops Threatens Danish Labour Laws

In Denmark the union 3F warns that an agreement between regimes of Copenhagen and Washington to establish American military bases in the Nordic hermit kingdom will lead to social dumping and underpayment by exempting the bases from Danish labour laws.

Under the deal, the U.S. military could outsource tasks like construction, cleaning, and catering without adhering to Danish wage and working conditions. 3F argues this violates International Labour Organization (ILO) conventions mandating that public contracts should align with local labor standards. They fear the agreement sets a harmful precedent, allowing foreign workers to be exploited under American anti-worker regulations, exacerbating existing issues of social dumping in Denmark.

FH, the national conference of trade unions, criticizes the deal as unfavorable to workers but deemed it too late to influence. The nation's rubber-stamp parliament is set to pass the agreement on April 11.

Source:

[–] [email protected] 6 points 8 hours ago

deemed it too late to influence

They have a whole week to have a general strike. Shutting down the economy is pretty influential.

[–] [email protected] 48 points 15 hours ago (3 children)
[–] [email protected] 31 points 14 hours ago* (last edited 14 hours ago) (2 children)

I suspect maybe Waltz and definitely his assistant Alex Wong, is gone then. Loomer has been compiling evidence and opposition research against them for a while on her public twitter.

It's not about Iran, it's about getting rid of "Biden holdovers" and vetting. An ideological purge. The Hunter Biden laptop cover-up is playing a big role here. Plenty of Trump loyalists want war with Iran, Hegseth being the main one.

[–] [email protected] 31 points 14 hours ago (2 children)

how many purges of neocons to be replaced by more neocons need to happen before trumpers realize Trump is a neocon?

[–] [email protected] 24 points 14 hours ago (1 children)

Loomer seems to be serious about her oppo research, but it's not about removing neocons, it's about ensuring absolute loyalty to Trump. She basically wants to go full scorched earth against anyone with connections to Biden, Obama, and/or other countries.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 10 hours ago (1 children)

How does she feel about South Africa?

[–] [email protected] 10 points 10 hours ago

Hunter Biden lives in a mansion in Cape Town apparently, so probably hates South Africa for that lol.

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[–] [email protected] 18 points 14 hours ago (3 children)

Maybe at a later time, but apparently Trump basically plans to keep Waltz to own the libs and not admit anything was wrong with whiskeyleaks

[–] [email protected] 7 points 11 hours ago

It looks like Alex Wong managed to survive the initial purge, with Trump saying that he listens to "some" of what Loomer is saying. I wonder how long he has given the crusade against him.

[–] [email protected] 18 points 14 hours ago

whiskeyleaks

che-laugh

[–] [email protected] 15 points 13 hours ago* (last edited 13 hours ago)

Yeah maybe Waltz will stay. But Alex Wong is almost definitely gone if Trump puts Loomer's plan into action. Loomer has publicly said that she thinks Wong is not loyal to Trump, and the United States by extension.

"Whiskey leaks" seems to be some kind of PsyOp, but I have no idea what. The full chat logs were not what Goldberg made them out to be, so I don't know exactly what went on there.

[–] [email protected] 25 points 15 hours ago (1 children)

Plenty of the guys like Hegseth seem pretty gung-ho to attack Iran.

[–] [email protected] 28 points 14 hours ago (2 children)

wait you're telling me the adult catholic convert with crusader LARP tattoos wants to go on a crusade against muslims?

[–] [email protected] 13 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

They think Shiites are the marines of Islam

[–] [email protected] 9 points 11 hours ago

they aren't? big-cool

[–] [email protected] 15 points 14 hours ago (1 children)

Yeah I just mean even the non-neocons seem to want to do it lol

[–] [email protected] 7 points 11 hours ago

anybody who wants to attack Iran is, by definition, a neocon. It's basically the arch neo-con master plan

[–] [email protected] 23 points 15 hours ago (2 children)

My gut tells me this is more about Russia/Ukraine than Iran. As far as I can tell, pretty much everyone in power wants to bomb Iran.

[–] [email protected] 20 points 15 hours ago

shrug-outta-hecks i mean russia seems ready to return to its mo of "they lied to us shocked-pikachu" (actually exports dollars to the west like a boss big-cool ), so i don't know why. They still supply weapons to ukkkraine, no longer insist on elections, so functional difference is nill

[–] [email protected] 48 points 16 hours ago* (last edited 3 hours ago)

They took data from here: https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/c0004.html#2024

That's how you end up with Heard and McDonald Islands having 10% tariff

Heard and McDonald Islands 0.058879-0.013589=0.04529, its in millions so $58,000 in export and $13,000 in imports (but since base rate is 10%, it doesn't matter U.S. has a trade surplus). maybe someone bought some scientific equipment and brought it back?

Edit: turns out it was just misclassified

https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/apr/04/revealed-how-trump-tariffs-slugged-norfolk-island-and-uninhabited-heard-and-mcdonald-islands

Here's the sheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1AonIICZYCZJUulrhlAJQ6tt3WIqE-rQjBKhE26Buu94

[–] [email protected] 66 points 17 hours ago* (last edited 17 hours ago)

While everyone's enthralled by Trump's performance, the entity bombed another school killing dozens including children

“ Islamic Resistance Movement - Hamas Press Release:

The heinous massacre committed by the occupation army when it bombed the Dar al-Arqam School east of Gaza City, which sheltered thousands of displaced people. The attack resulted in dozens of martyrs and more than 100 wounded, the majority of whom were children and women. This constitutes a new brutal crime through which the fascist occupation government continues to target innocent civilians, as part of its genocidal campaign in the Gaza Strip.

These heinous crimes—committing brutal massacres, escalating forced evictions, imposing a policy of starvation, and closing the crossings to all necessities of life—are the elements of genocide defined under international law. They are being perpetrated by the war criminal Netanyahu and his fascist government, with criminal American political and military cover, making the US administration a direct accomplice in its perpetration.

The unjustified international failure to play the required role in stopping the genocide and holding Zionist war criminals accountable is a stark expression of the collapse of the system of values ​​and laws that the international community has long championed, in the face of the horrific crime committed in the Gaza Strip, in full view of the world.

What is required today from all international actors, and from our Arab and Islamic countries, is to break the silence and take immediate action to halt the horrific massacres against civilians and the humanitarian catastrophe being created by the fascist occupation in the Gaza Strip. They must work to hold Zionist war criminals accountable and prevent their impunity. Thursday: 05 Shawwal 1446 AH Corresponding to: 03 April 2025 AD”

[–] [email protected] 49 points 17 hours ago (6 children)

Whose idea was it to tell Trump that trade deficits somehow = tariffs? What do they get out of it?

[–] [email protected] 21 points 12 hours ago (1 children)
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[–] [email protected] 35 points 16 hours ago* (last edited 16 hours ago) (2 children)

ChatGPT

Though it looks like he ignored everything else but the first point

[–] [email protected] 32 points 14 hours ago

Shit, this might count as AI written legislation being passed for the news bingo lmao

[–] [email protected] 23 points 14 hours ago (1 children)

What the hell does "subsidize unfairly" mean?

[–] [email protected] 25 points 14 hours ago

you have defied the will of the market sutherland-point

[–] [email protected] 29 points 16 hours ago

So I think he just really likes tariffs and thinks they'll help america be competitive again and give the government a ton of money but he can't just do tariffs so he engineers excuses for why he's putting them up. He didn't say 'I'm doing a protectionism' he called them 'reciprocal tariffs' it's his justification for it. He just wants to tariff because he genuinely thinks it's a beautiful word. People here will tie themselves into a pretzel to come up with reasons when at his core Trump is just a really dumb guy that latched onto some ideas and will just punch them through.

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[–] [email protected] 67 points 18 hours ago* (last edited 18 hours ago) (4 children)

同志们,我们必须要学普通话了。

Someone should do a wellness check on Pelosi

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[–] [email protected] 43 points 17 hours ago* (last edited 17 hours ago)

I’ve been critical of the English sign heuristic before, but good god a new Syrian flag with “FREEDOM” in all caps is so on the nose. This is from the funeral for those martyred resisting israel, doing what that flag’s government won’t.

https://t.me/warcabinet/12057

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