this post was submitted on 06 Nov 2024
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chapotraphouse
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Look at the vote totals, (as of right now) Harris 66 mi vs Trump's 71, compare this to 2020, 81 Biden vs 74 Trump.There is also this Pew article which shows the breakdown of non-voters
The simple conclusion is that the singularly most important thing a politician can do is excite and move their base. For how awful/low energy his campaign was this year, trump still excites and moves a base, while kamala was confused about what base to cater to- first calling Republicans weird then copying their platform and getting the dick Cheney approval.
This all could have been avoided if the Dems actually had a primary this year, but I think the DNC is actually afraid of progressives taking the party back over
Wow.... So Harris just... lost 15 million voters? Trump didn't gain much but Harris managed to be so repulsive 15 million people just stayed home?
Yes, but no. More years for context (count in millions)
2016: 66 Hillary v 63 Trump
2012: 66 Obama v 61 Romney
2008: 69 Obama v 60 McCain
2020 was a rarity in terms of turnout, 4 years of trump motivated a lot of angry Dems, but 4 years of Nothing will fundamentally change doesn't really excite the base. Add on top of that the Dems last second changed their nominee to a person who dropped out of the 2020 primary because she did not have a base.. If I remember right, it was so bad even mayo Pete had a higher percentage of the black vote.
That's what I remember. Kamala didn't have supporters, like at all. It was Neera Tanden and a few hundred absolutely bizarre people in the Twitter KHive.
That and running just like hildogs failed run
Somebody say Khive?
I found a YouTube link in your comment. Here are links to the same video on alternative frontends that protect your privacy:
maybe those 15 million along with the rest of the nonvoters didnt see any benefit from biden kamala being in office for 4 years and so didnt care
I knew the turnout this time was going to be dogshit. Turnout is strongly correlated with a dem victory, but they only get turnout when they run someone who projects a break from the norm.
Non-voters are converted into voters when there is uncertainty, but I think that also cuts both ways, if the electorate feels that nothing will change based on the options, voters get converted into non-voters.
The Dems pissing off the most volatile part of their electorate (the youth vote) probably didn't help either