Not sure if it fits in the mega, but:

I think climate change is often overlooked in the geopolitical analysis I keep seeing here.

Isn't food production/industrial agriculture supposed to take a huge blow in the coming decades? And isn't industrial agriculture and its massive output one of the conditions for how modern industrial states turned out?

I don't think you can make a correct prediction or analysis without considering that many modern states could potentially be facing a severe blow to their existence in the coming decades. Will a state be able to survive without devoting a big part of their work force towards agricultural labor? Will the disposition of arable land delineate the next global war, and will the coming conflicts mostly consist of physically capturing land and work force?

I'm curious to read what the smart people here think of this, because all my baby brain has is doom and anxiety

The Fed has quietly delivered nearly HALF A TRILLION DOLLARS of no-strings-attached bank bailouts in the last few months, according to documents & data reviewed by @LeverNews

In all, the new bailouts are already 60% of the amount of the financial crisis TARP bailout.

https://x.com/davidsirota/status/2011457764237975558

https://www.levernews.com/the-federal-reserves-420-billion-wall-street-bailout/

https://www.kare11.com/article/news/local/ice-in-minnesota/reports-shooting-involving-federal-law-enforcement-in-north-minneapolis/89-f0dc3033-f01c-4870-961a-369dc16bde21 another shooting (in the leg) in twin cities. people are thowing snowballs and ice at ICE agents in hawthorne. crowd is increasing.

edit: now a statement that ICE defending himself against attackers who had a broom and a snow shovel.

edit 2: zero municipal police on site; as I've heard elsewhere the situation has been completely abandoned by local cops

"When we are united, no one can defeat us!”: Bolivian workers defeat gasolinazo and win new rights

China blocks Nvidia H200 AI chips that US government cleared for export – report

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/jan/17/china-blocks-nvidia-h200-ai-chips-that-us-government-cleared-for-export-report

RIP to the “SDF.” I hope it was worth it

“The Syrian interim government and the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) have reached an agreement to immediately halt fighting and begin integrating SDF-controlled areas into state institutions, according to state media.”

https://t.me/thecradlemedia/50033

Earlier today, genocide mouthpiece JPost released this piece.

This shouldn't be surprising for anyone familiar with cooperation between Kurdish anti-revolutionary groups and "israel"

Recently 7 Kurdish nationalist zionist groups in "Iranian Kurdistan" released a shared statement endorsing the terrorist riots.

Note that President Pezeshkian recently stated that:

The rioters have killed a number of people with guns, they have decapitated a number of people, and have even burnt some individuals alive

Here's footage of Rioters in Abadan-e Ilam attack a grocery store and destroying food. Tasnim reports that over 150 ambulances were damaged or destroyed during that riots. Marzieh Nabuvinia, a nurse in Rasht was burned to death inside a clinic after rescuing patients who were trapped by rioters trying to burn down the facility. The rioters also attacked mosques, shrines, hospitals, and used a variety of "cold weapons" (knives machetes etc) and "hot weapons" "firearms and explosives". (You can find this footage online as I dont post snuff films.)

CIA-Mossad terrorists in Iran have been systematically destroying emergency services and firefighting infrastructure specifically so that the fires could not be put out. This will make recovery worse if/when the zionist cancer returns to bombing Iran.

A list of Kurdish nationalist zionist militant groups links to their endorsement of this heinous terror:

Over on the Status Coup stream, they're going over a packet of instructions and contacts found in an ICE vehicle that was left behind after the recent shooting.

Edit: Here's some screenshots,

Instruction for accessing their loading facility (Whipple Building? Unsure)

LEO and/or judges contact info

Other stuff found included a bunch of garish challenge coins. I guess they're getting coins with skulls on them for filling certain quotas?

New China-Canada trade deal.
China is slashing tariffs on some Canadian agricultural products and Canada is allowing 50k electric BYD cars to be sold with almost no tariffs. Canadians will also be allowed visa free access to China. There are plans to increase Canadian exports to China in the long term as well (+50% by 2030).

For context, Canada sells a few million cars every year, although not that many are EVs. They let their EV rebate program end about a year ago, which cratered sales.

On US military buildup in the Middle East against Iran: it has started now, an additional 12x F-15E Strike Eagle aircraft have been forward deployed to Jordan, and logistics flights involving C-17 Globemaster III aircraft have taken place towards both the Middle East and Diego Garcia, an island in the Indian ocean known for hosting US Air Force strategic bombers. No bombers have been deployed as of now. This brings the total amount of F-15Es up to 36.

Source, F-15E movements

Source, Logistics flights

As for the rumours on an aircraft Carrier Strike Group (CSG), the USS Abraham Lincoln CSG is now confirmed to be on its way to the Middle East/West Asia, redirected from the South China Sea. It transited the Strait of Malacca today. It is probably a week away from being operational in the region.

As for the capabilities this brings, the F-15Es are often used for the Defensive Counter Air (DCA) mission, as they can carry up to 42 APKWS laser guided rockets each, in addition to 4x AIM-120 AMRAAM and 4x AIM-9 Sidewinder series air to air missiles. This allows a single F-15E to shoot down up to 50 targets (cruise missiles andone way attack drones) without needing to reload on the ground. F-15Es can also carry up to 5 AGM-158 JASSM series stealth cruise missiles each, which have a range in excess of 500 nautical miles. They can also be used as "bomb trucks" in scenarios where air superiority has been achieved (like Syria currently), carrying large amounts of guided bombs for a tactical fighter. However, it must be noted that aircraft with external weapons stores rarely sortie with a maximum loadout, due to the drag penalty.

F-15E with 42x APKWS, 4x AIM-120 AMRAAM and 4x AIM-9X Sidewinder;

F-15E with 5x AGM-158 JASSM, one on the centerline barley visible:

The USS Abraham Lincoln's air wing does operate both F-35C 5th generation stealth aircraft and EA-18G Growler electronic warfare aircraft equipped with the latest AN/ALQ-249 Next Generation Jammer - Mid Band (NGJ-MB) pods, which are used to suppress and destroy air defence systems, enabling overflight of airspace by other aircraft. The F-35C can also carry out strikes of it's own with guided bombs, up to 2x 2000lb bombs each for stealthy bunker buster/penetrator missions that the F-117 previously performed. The F/A-18s that make up the majority of the air wing can also be escorted to carry out deep strikes, or be used to carry stand-off weapons, such as glide bombs and cruise missiles.

So I’ve been seeing reports from Western media that “thousands” of Iranians have been killed in the recent protests. What I don’t understand is how any Western outlet could possibly know this when there is still a total internet blackout in Iran which prevents almost no info coming out. Can anyone here verify the accuracy of these claims? Is it just CIA/ Mossad assets spreading misinformation to manufacture consent for a potential US/ Israel attack?

Washington Post: Israel and Iran have conveyed messages through Russia agreeing that neither side will proactively attack the other in a preemptive strike.

It looks like another deception by US/Israel.

Some good news, but I still doubt that the EU will really stick to anything long term. Or the US will just land troops in Greenland and call it a day.

The EU, European Union is reportedly going to suspend the trade deal with the US following President Trump's tariff threats, per Bloomberg

Related:

Russia says it considers Greenland to be a territory of Denmark.

Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel stated that a Cuban lieutenant colonel shot down a US imperialist helicopter during Washington's criminal aggression against Venezuela:

"Lieutenant Colonel Jorge Marquez downed a helicopter and took out who knows how many of its crew, as he continued fighting despite a wounded leg and losing a lot of blood. This clash, it's courage at its finest."

"No matter how much they try to extol their soldiers in helmets and body armor, with night vision devices, backed by planes, helicopters, and swarms of drones, amid deliberate power outages, the Delta terrorists' assault was not the ‘cakewalk’ they are trying to sell to the world."

https://tass.com/world/2072563

Reports that Netanyahu's plane has landed in Greece. This might signal Israeli strikes on Iran.

Jolani has taken oil fields back from the ~~US~~ Kurds.

If Assad would have done this 10 years ago he could have saved Syria's economy. He probably would have been nuked for it though, so I guess it doesn't matter. Still, it stings to see how easy it was, which means the US must be complete done with their proxies.

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/syrian-forces-seize-major-oil-gas-fields-eastern-syria-security-sources-say-2026-01-18/

Iran - street demonstrations in support of the government

https://t.me/enemywatch/45472

Can’t upload photos rn will try again soon

the dilbert guy died of cancer after converting to christianity

Poor Democrats spent all that effort doing a color revolution in Ukraine when they could have just bombed Kyiv and installed a patsy without all the fanfare.

Looks like Syria will be reunified* by the 99% ISIS gangsters. See? If you just wear a nice suit you can get your Wahhabist hellhole with approval from the West.

*Certain territories currently being occupied by a certain genocide-loving country do not count.

Arya - Iran captures delivery of StarLink devices.

https://xcancel.com/AryJeay/status/2011070767321039183#m

An on the ground video report shows that daily life continues normally in Tehran, without riots or shortages:

https://odysee.com/@RT:fd/Tehran-reality-check-daily-life-continues:b

The liberal media in australia, a totally not zionist rag, The Age is today publishing this trash

Four options open to Trump as he looks to punish Iran
Roland Oliphant - cheif foreign analyist from The Telegraph UK

Symbolic strikes
One option for the US is a minimal strike – or series of strikes – designed only to send a message and redeem Trump’s promise to hit Iran in the event the regime started killing protesters.

A sustained bombing campaign
To force a real change in direction, stop the security forces killing protesters, or actually undermine the regime, a more sustained and more widespread bombardment would be required.

[etc]

https://archive.md/zea2v

last week they were pretending to be concerned about InTeRnAtIoNaL lAw lol

CANADA WILL DECLARE WAR ON USA FOR GREENLAND — CARNEY

https://www.x.com/RT_com/status/2012328209015013387

Diplomats from European countries, who declined to be identified because the subject is sensitive, said discussions are ongoing in capitals about how to push back against Trump. Easier options include delaying tactics, lobbying efforts among Republicans in Washington, sending allied troops to visit Greenland, and even a publicity campaign in America.

But the possibility of cutting off support for American military deployments has come up, including radical suggestions to take back control of U.S. bases, one of the diplomats said. “Discussions are ongoing on how could we put pressure and say ‘Hey, you need us, and if you do this we are going to retaliate in some way,’” the diplomat said. “But at the same time, nobody wants to speak out about this.” At the moment, Europeans are not mentally ready for the kind of escalation that such retaliation would unleash. “We have to be prepared,” the official added.

Within NATO — where any discussion of punishing the Americans remains largely out of bounds — some emphasize that doing so would be a double-edged sword. “Using bases as bargaining chips for leverage — and it can be done — would result in mutual damage,” said one NATO diplomat. “Europe would further lose security guarantees … and the U.S. would lose its most valuable forward operating platform.”

Seems attitudes in the EU are shifting regarding the Americans. Likely to be diplomatic bluster at the moment, but real conversations are happening. And such measures would be popular with European electorates, who are broadly opposed to the United States at this moment. Per https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-europe-greenland-threat-military-defense-allies/

I'm really starting to think that the strategy Petro and Delcy Rodriguez are following is to buy time.

Basically coddle up to the US to have them fuck off from interfering in the countries while the region consolidates the elections especially in Colombia and Brazil.

If we see Lula and the spanish government in talks with Trump or the CIA or whatever, I think this is what they decided on doing on those several calls they have been having.

A second, bolder, possibility, is that the left wing governemnts are quite literally bending over to the US to defang the right wing in the region. If a government is giving the US what it wants, what does it matter if it is left or right wing? That would not be in contradiction with the National Security Strategy. I don't like this possibility, but it is one.

Oh, so the empire doing all these military operations is, in fact, straining resources and personnel? Attrition is real?! I didn't know that, you're telling me now for the first time! https://archive.ph/Sdbp2

Navy’s Top Admiral Concerned About Strain On Ford Carrier Strike Group

The USS Gerald R. Ford has been on cruise since June and the Navy's top officer does not want to send it to the Middle East on extended deployment.

I think understanding this tweet thread is essential in understanding racial dynamics across the Straits and foreign policy wrt to China.

China’s minority policy actually looks closer to Singapore’s model than people in the West like to admit.

In both systems:

1. minority groups have explicit protections baked into state policy,

2. quotas exist (education, housing, representation) that disproportionately benefit minorities,

3. and the state actively monitors citizens for extremism or chauvinism, not just separatism.

What’s often missed is who Singapore identified early on as its biggest long-term risk: Chinese chauvinism from the majority population. That insight is underrated.

Singapore understood that in a multiethnic society where one group is numerically and economically dominant, the main destabilising force isn’t minorities asserting identity, it’s actually the majority turning dominance into entitlement. So the system was designed to restrain the majority as much as protect minorities.

...

The uncomfortable takeaway is this: states that actually govern multiethnic societies seriously tend to fear the majority’s excesses more than minority identity… because historically, that’s what breaks countries.

One thing I try to do with my posts is explain the political and economic dynamics in SEA through the experience of the peoples and movements in the region. Obviously cultural translation can never be fully accurate, and so by very nature I tend to over emphasize certain aspects (that are also my own biases) so that foreign readers can better understand the context and practice of the Political Economy in SEA. But to refer to history, the Straits of Melaka have always historically been the cosmopolitan crossroads of various civilizations throughout millenia. This makes it a bit easier in one regard, as obviously through colonialism, we have been exposed to 'Western civilisation', but also complicates the picture as pre-existing forms of production and civilisation were remolded and reconfigured in the slow march toward global Capitalism.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jan/15/anger-iceland-incoming-us-ambassador-52nd-state-joke Anger in Iceland over incoming US ambassador’s ‘52nd state’ joke

Eric Adams rugged some rubes to the tune of a few million bucks.

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/01/13/former-bitcoin-mayor-eric-adams-faces-usd3-million-rugpull-allegation-after-issuing-nyc-coin

Analytics showed that a wallet linked to the token’s deployer removed roughly $2.5 million in USDC liquidity near the market’s peak.

Adams said the token would fund efforts to combat antisemitism and “anti-Americanism” through an unnamed nonprofit. He did not disclose the identities of co-founders or provide details on how funds would be managed.

Incredible stuff here folks. This isn't really newsworthy but we must take what joy we can in these dark times

May this put an end to the notion of “leftist” support for the project

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/kurdish-commander-calls-us-intervene-forcefully-syria-clashes-2026-01-18/

Aggression against Iran looks imminent. 6 US Stratotankers took off from Qatar and the Zionist entity is opening their bomb shelters.

Forgive me if this is Off-Topic, but do any news-heads have some Ukraine-Russia updates? It seems like things have been quiet, but it'll start heating up once winter passes, correct?

Factory explosion in China’s Inner Mongolia region kills 2 and hospitalizes 66

BEIJING (AP) — An explosion at a factory in China’s Inner Mongolia region killed two people and left 66 others hospitalized on Sunday.

China’s official news agency Xinhua said the blast, which sent heavy plumes of smoke into the sky, occurred at a plant of Baogang United Steel in the city of Baotou at around 3 p.m local time and caused tremors in the surrounding areas. The report also said three of those hospitalized suffered serious injuries, and five people remained missing.

Rescue crews rushed to the scene and authorities are still investigating the cause of the blast, the agency said.

Ansarallah Commander Sayyed Abdulmalik Badr El-Din Al-Houthi in his speech today, January 15th, 2026:

—

The enemies failed in their goal of killing the Martyr of the Quran [Hussein Al-Houthi] by thinking they could end his project; instead, he won by having his martyrdom linked to this sacred project, which is now stronger than ever.

The primary cause of the weakness, dispersion, despair, and defeat of the Islamic Ummah today is the crisis of trust in Allah Almighty and His promises.

The enemies' culture and directions are based on permitting violations against us—permitting our killing, extermination, and permitting the violation of our honor, homelands, and wealth.

The zionist enemy, planted by enemies in the heart of our Arab and Islamic region, is a forward front meant to penetrate our arena in its depth and impose total control.

With the announcement of the second phase of the Gaza agreement, look at what the zionist enemy is doing in the first phase: the enemy does not fulfill most of what the agreement included, maintaining a state of continued siege, daily killing, aggression, and destruction.

The zionist project moves with an American partnership and Western support, seeking to change the "Middle East" and dominate it completely.

Normalization comes in the context of empowering the zionist entity in the region further and placing it in a position of leadership and control over the Ummah.

The American failed in Iran due to the vigilance and consciousness of the Iranian people, who came out in majestic million-man marches expressing that they will not submit to America.

The American direction globally is based on tyranny, exposed as happened in the aggression on Venezuela and the kidnapping of Maduro and his wife, with the open declaration of the goal to plunder wealth.

The American openly declares his goal to control Greenland for the rare minerals and massive wealth within it; the bullying and tyranny of the US constitutes a danger to all peoples of the world.

We are moving in this phase within the framework of "Preparation for the Coming Round," because conflict is inevitable with the zionist enemy and with the American.

I praise all existing activities within the framework of "Preparation for the Coming Round"—the general mobilization activities, military courses, and the tribal stands across all free governorates.

We are steadfast in the framework of the Quranic Project, continuing and confident, moving in a liberational direction containing faithful pride and human dignity.

The zionist entity seeks a presence in Somalia to threaten the Red Sea and Bab-el-Mandeb; we will not hesitate to target any zionist presence we can reach.

What the zionist entity has done in Gaza—the deliberate killing and collective genocide of thousands of children and women—has shocked the human conscience globally.

https://t.me/Palresistmirror/83827