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submitted 6 days ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

Image is of the damage caused by an Iranian Kheibar Shekan ballistic missile in Israel, causing dozens of injuries.


Now in our second week of the conflict, we have seen continuing damage to both Israel and Iran, as well as direct US intervention which nonetheless seems to have caused limited damage to Fordow and little damage to Iran's nuclear program. Regime change seems more elusive than ever, as even Iranians previously critical of the government now rally around it as they are attacked by two rabid imperialists at once. And Iran's government is tentatively considering a withdrawal, or at minimum a reconsideration, of their membership to the IAEA and the NPT. And, of course, the Strait of Hormuz is still a tool in their arsenal.

A day or so on from the strike on Fordow, we have so far seen basically no change in strategy from the Iranian military as they continue to strike Israel with small barrages of missiles. Military analysts argue furiously - is this a deliberate strategy of steady attrition on Israel, or indicative of immense material constraints on Iran? Are the hits by Israel on real targets, or are they decoys? Does Iran wish to develop a nuke, or are they still hesitating? Will Iran and Yemen strike at US warships and bases in response to the attack, or will they merely continue striking only Israel?

And perhaps most importantly - will this conflict end diplomatically due to a lack of appetite for an extended war (to wit: not a peace but a 20 year armistice) or with Israel forced into major concessions including an end to their genocide? Or even with a total military/societal collapse of either side?


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] [email protected] 145 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

the newsmega can have a little 'is zohran mao or obama' struggle session as a treat (such as in this subthread) but this is the world newsmega, not the electoralism-mega and so please limit zohran posting to a dull roar. things like zohran struggle sessions are literally exactly what c/electoralism was made for, not the news mega.

along the same lines, zionists and fascists are having a shitfit about zohran and yes it is funny, but let's try to keep the newsmega to only the dankest of memes and the saltiest of zionist tears. we don't need to hear about every DC think tankie pondering the orb with bill ackman.

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[-] [email protected] 11 points 1 hour ago* (last edited 1 hour ago)

no new thread?

no posts for the past 24 hours? what is this

[-] [email protected] 13 points 1 hour ago* (last edited 1 hour ago)

Think people are tired and really don't know what to make of current events, especially with regards to Iran, Palestine, Yemen, there's a lot of uncertainty about what will happen next. While I expected the US and Israel to attack for a while now, I didn't think it would take them only 9-10 days to be able to bomb the underground nuclear facilities (with not a single manned aircraft shot down, I expected at least some lucky shots), followed by a symbolic Iranian attack on the US military base in Qatar, and then ceasefire and everyone just stops fighting, but ready to resume at a moment's notice. Very much uncharted territory now. There's not much to say because so much is not known. My best guess is Israel does a mass bombing campaign in Yemen, they need to continue the war somehow, and pivoting back to Yemen makes sense for Israel and Iran, Iran might see Yemen as a safer area to rebuild than their own country, given the internal security issues in Iran.

[-] [email protected] 10 points 1 hour ago

There are posts? Maybe you aren't sorting by "new"

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[-] [email protected] 16 points 2 hours ago* (last edited 2 hours ago)

A big reason why the Dems are focusing more on the NY mayoral race than on Trump's Big B Bill - both versions of the BBB (House & Senate) include a big SALT deduction increase, something that Dems always want, since it benefits mostly rich Dem donors in blue states.

[-] [email protected] 28 points 3 hours ago

Confirmed victory of the left in Chile's primary elections - Prensa Latina

Article

Santiago de Chile, Jun 29 (Prensa Latina) With almost all the votes counted, the victory of the left wing in the primary elections of the bloc of government parties, grouped in the Unity for Chile coalition, was confirmed today.

The last report of the Electoral Service (Servel), corresponding to 99.37 percent of the polling stations, ratifies the victory of the candidate for the Communist Party of Chile, Jeannette Jara, with 60.20 percentage points.

The candidate of the Party for Democracy, Carolina Tohá, who had the support of the Socialists, Liberals, Radicals and Christian Democrats, finished in second place with 28.03 percent.

Thus, the predictions that the event would be defined between two women, Jara, former Minister of Labor, and Tohá, former Minister of the Interior, were confirmed.

Gonzalo Winter, proposed by the Frente Amplio, the party to which President Gabriel Boric belongs, was third with 9.02, and the last place went to Jaime Mulet, of the Federación Regionalista Verde Social, who reached 2.75 percent.

The Servel informed that one million 413 thousand 285 citizens participated in the elections, who cast one million 365 thousand 731 valid votes, 33 thousand 659 invalid votes and 13 thousand 804 blank votes.

The total number is below the thresholds considered adequate for a vote of this nature, which ranged between 1.5 and two million. A total of 15.4 million citizens were eligible to participate.

Among the reasons for the low turnout were the harsh weather this Sunday, which in several central and southern regions of the country was below zero degrees, and the voluntary nature of the vote.

The president of the Servel, Pamela Figueroa, told Prensa Latina that as the day progressed, the number of people going to the polls increased after a morning with a low turnout.

The official assured that the day passed with total normality in the country.

Everything is now ready for the November 16 presidential elections and an eventual second round, scheduled for December 14, where Jeannette Jara, at the head of the Unity for Chile alliance, will face right-wing and extreme right-wing parties.

[-] [email protected] 4 points 1 hour ago

How come Boric's party did so poorly? What has been going on for the past few years? I remember that there was some enthusiasm for Boric here when he got elected.

And what happens if this Partido Comunista actually wins?

[-] [email protected] 1 points 1 minute ago* (last edited 29 seconds ago)

How come Boric's party did so poorly? What has been going on for the past few years? I remember that there was some enthusiasm for Boric here when he got elected.

Boric was elected on a Democratic Socialist Plataform. Instead he decided to be a Center-Right Neoliberal Goverment with Social-Democratic tendencies, he began to bootlick the USA and EU. He broke relations with Venezuela, said shit about Lula da Silva, Luis Arce, Pedro Castillo and Gustavo Petro. Was somewhat close with the Neoliberal Goverment of Uruguay (that was a huge failure). And instead of supporting Pedro Castillo during the Peruvian Crisis, he said Castillo was too authoritarian and other stupid shit. He fucked up the chance the Left and Liberals had to change the Pinochet constitution, instead giving the power to the Far-Right to make an even more reactionary version, and then Boric had to beg people to reject the new constitution. Basically destroying all the progress the Left had made in regards to this topic.

And what happens if this Partido Comunista actually wins?

Far-Right and Right-Wingers get mad, Libs will probably negociate positions inside the goverment as usual, SocDems will probably do the same but be less reactionary and neoliberal, the Left wins, The Latin American Left/Pink Tide 2 gets a boost in support for more left-wing goverments instead of Center-Left Liberals and Right-Wing Social Democrats.

[-] [email protected] 13 points 2 hours ago

You're one of the best posters in the site. Thank you so much for keeping us updated with the most important news about the left in Latin America, you're an OG

[-] [email protected] 9 points 2 hours ago

Former USAID employees sitting at home like "if I were there, it wouldn't have gone down like that."

[-] [email protected] 17 points 3 hours ago

Peru refuses to receive prisoners sent by the United States - Prensa Latina

Article

Lima, Jun 29 (Prensa Latina) Statements made by the Minister of Justice, Enrique Alcántara, published today, ruled out the possibility of Peru accepting an eventual request from the United States to receive detainees in that country.

Alcántara said that it would be counterproductive “to receive extradited or criminals of any other nationality in our country” and added that “this possibility does not exist because it does not comply with the current regulations” in Peru.

He also explained that Peru cannot receive inmates from other countries because its prisons are overcrowded, which is why five new prisons are being built.

He also reminded that there is only an agreement with the United States on the exchange of prisoners, only for cases in which nationals of one country who commit crimes in the other serve their sentences in their country of origin, if they so request.

The head of state thus clarified versions to the contrary citing previous statements of his that were misinterpreted, he said, and pointed out that he only affirmed that Peru does not rule out any measure that contributes to the fight against citizen insecurity.

“We were referring exclusively to the possibility of sending inmates to other countries, not to receive them,” he said about the possibility, under analysis, of sending very dangerous criminals from here to a maximum security prison in El Salvador.

He added that the Government has not made any decision on this issue and is analyzing the conditions under which prisoners could be sent to El Salvador for a certain period of time, if the Peruvian Constitution and laws allow it.

Jurists and former prison authorities consider this possibility unfeasible due to the high cost that Peru would have to pay to the Central American country, besides the existence of legal obstacles.

[-] [email protected] 5 points 2 hours ago

Erdogan uncucked for once in a while

[-] [email protected] 17 points 3 hours ago* (last edited 3 hours ago)

Bolsonaro's act for amnesty for coup perpetrators failed in Brazil - Prensa Latina

Article

Brasilia, Jun 29 (Prensa Latina) Brazilian ex-president Jair Bolsonaro returned today to the emblematic Paulista Avenue in Sao Paulo, where he called for amnesty for those convicted of coup episodes, but it turned out to be a deflated act, without people and without epic.

According to local media, what should have been a demonstration of force against the Supreme Federal Court (STF), ended up looking more like a family reunion and not exactly numerous.

One of the arguments most repeated by supporters to explain the lack of attendance at the demonstration was that, at the same time, the popular Flamengo was playing (lost 2-4) against the German Bayern Munich, in the round of 16 of the Club World Cup being held in the United States.

"That affected the presence, of course it affected. Brazilians love soccer," justified federal deputy Sóstenes Cavalcante, of the Liberal Party (in which Bolsonaro is a militant).

To compound the hangover, the Public Policy Group for Access to Information at the University of São Paulo released attendance estimates based on drone and camera image analysis.

The result? Some 12,400 people, a very modest figure even for a neighborhood fair, far below the number of participants at the previous event in February.

Such a contrast did not go unnoticed. The social networks exploded in memes and even so, the former president did not lose heart.

In his speech, he again called for amnesty for those involved in the assault on the Three Powers on January 8, 2023, described the trial against him as “fumaça de coup (coup smoke)” and said that “it was all staged by the left”.

He also blamed President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for “not being in Brasilia”, when his extremist supporters invaded and ransacked on that date the headquarters of the National Congress, the STF and the Presidential Palace to hinder the rise to power of the former labor leader.

The organizers tried to make up for the low attendance by talking about a “more symbolic” act.

In his attempt to keep the epic alive, Bolsonaro promised that, if in the 2026 elections the right wing achieves 50 percent of the Congress, “we will change the destiny of Brazil”, although for now it seems difficult to fill even half of the square.

The final scene of the event was led by a man wearing a Brazilian national team jersey, who, when asked why there were not more people, answered without hesitation: "Flamengo is Flamengo, isn't it?

Meanwhile, the trial for attempted coup d'état continues at the STF, in which the former Army captain is involved.

And so, among other people's goals, windless flags and recycled harangues, Bolsonaro's mobilization this Sunday ended up losing by a landslide.

[-] [email protected] 18 points 3 hours ago

Cuba guest of honor at China Fair in Hungary - Prensa Latina

Article

Havana, Jun 28 (Prensa Latina) Cuba's ambassador to Budapest, Guillermo Vázquez, participated as guest of honor at the opening of the China Trade and Industry Fair in Hungary, the Cuban Foreign Ministry announced today.

According to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, during the opening of the event he exchanged with Hungarian and Chinese authorities, to whom he declared the importance for the Caribbean nation of “economic-commercial ties with the Asian region and Eastern European countries”.

He also, the text notes, “extended invitations for the Havana International Fair, FIHAV 2025”.

Vázquez made a “tour of the Fair in the company of the Hungarian delegation headed by the First Vice President of the Hungarian Parliament and founder since the nineties of the Hungary-China Chamber of Commerce”, states the note.

[-] [email protected] 39 points 4 hours ago* (last edited 4 hours ago)

It looks like someone in Idaho started a wildfire to ambush and shoot at firefighters as a sniper.

Thread on that here

NBC News link

Why would anyone want to snipe firefighters responsible for putting out wildfires? Very disturbing.

[-] [email protected] 1 points 7 minutes ago

What the fuck did firefighters do ffs

[-] [email protected] 20 points 3 hours ago

US civil society is thoroughly fucked

[-] [email protected] 32 points 3 hours ago* (last edited 3 hours ago)

Its northern Idaho, that part of the country is a huuuge hotbed for fash, unfortunately.

[-] [email protected] 4 points 1 hour ago

But fash usually love firefighters? It's so odd.

[-] [email protected] 15 points 3 hours ago

Idaho type beat

[-] [email protected] 29 points 4 hours ago

seems like an echo of the white nationalist attacks on the grid a couple years back

[-] [email protected] 20 points 4 hours ago* (last edited 2 hours ago)

#1 tracked flight in the world right now on flightradar24, ~~Spokane Sheriff helicopter circling the area, kind of interesting to see the search pattern.~~ flight is no longer live

[-] [email protected] 25 points 4 hours ago

death cult country

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[-] [email protected] 30 points 5 hours ago* (last edited 4 hours ago)

NEWS — Senate R’s refusing Dem request for a bipartisan meeting with the parliamentarian on using current policy baseline to pay for tax cuts.

As far as I understand this, Republicans don't even want to have a vote to disregard the Senate Parliamentarian (as the Senate rules allow), but want to just pretend the Senate Parliamentarian doesn't exist. If this doesn't work, they will go with the vote thing anyway, or just fire the Parliamentarian. But in any case, pretending the Parliamentarian doesn't exist is the only correct thing to do. Maybe some day, a politician will do the same thing but in order to pass good legislation.

[-] [email protected] 14 points 4 hours ago

GOP legislators are like “I don’t know what a parliamentarian is and I swear to God I will run you over with my car if you even attempt to explain it to me. This isn’t The West Wing, you fucking nerds.”

[-] [email protected] 13 points 4 hours ago

sorry we're not allowed to have good things.

[-] [email protected] 51 points 7 hours ago* (last edited 6 hours ago)

The left in chile is having their primary election to choose who would be the coalitions candidate for presidency, it looks like the candidate of the communist party is in the lead but still the vote are still being counted

article in spanish

Looks like she won

[-] [email protected] 7 points 3 hours ago

Do you think she has a chance to win against Kast? Or has Boric fucked any chance the Left has against right-wing candidates?

[-] [email protected] 6 points 3 hours ago

Im i bit more hopefull than most but i think it will be really close, boric did fuck up a lot

[-] [email protected] 12 points 5 hours ago

Go communists! Do you like their partys stances relative to the other left parties?

[-] [email protected] 11 points 5 hours ago

Ehh, they are ok, better than most left parties in chile at least

[-] [email protected] 19 points 6 hours ago

Lol the vote stops an hour ago and she already won, servel is the most efficient institution in the world

[-] [email protected] 14 points 6 hours ago* (last edited 6 hours ago)

Well i hope it goes well for the PCC, especially since the right will probably pick kast

[-] [email protected] 17 points 6 hours ago

She will probably lose but I think she has the old lady magic that reminds chileans of their moms (see Bachelet aka la mami de Chile)

[-] [email protected] 43 points 7 hours ago

Damn Jara might actually win the primary this is massive for chilean communists

[-] [email protected] 32 points 7 hours ago

https://apnews.com/article/guatemala-arevalo-noem-us-asylum-b1e8336eef14116d2cd2f77f4ee3047e

Our President has denied accepting a deal with the Trump administration that would allow them to dump migrants here. We did accept allowing US border patrol to train our border patrol with how to “screen for suspected terrorists.” This just means brutalizing more teenagers at the border.

[-] [email protected] 47 points 7 hours ago* (last edited 7 hours ago)

The DPRK undergoes testing for their new AEW&C aircraft, based on a modified Il-76 model. It appears that it will be online shortly. It has been under development for around 2 years.

[-] [email protected] 4 points 3 hours ago* (last edited 2 hours ago)

What is that round thing on top of it? I can't make sense of it.

[-] [email protected] 6 points 2 hours ago

The thing that makes it an AEW&C, It's a Radar

[-] [email protected] 4 points 2 hours ago

Ooh, I didn't know that, I thought based on its shape it was a cargo plane or something, but that makes sense! Thanks for letting me know!

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this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2025
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