I get a funny feeling that the US would've used this ceasefire to get troops into position for a land invasion of Iran.
seriously. that seems to have been The Move for so long now: to press for a diplomatic "pause" to redeploy resources for another major, coordinated strike with all the fancy, expensive weapons and then strike when damage potential is at a maximum.
as it turns out, this repeated use of such a perfidious tactic has now broken the lever of conflict in the "on" position and exposed an exploitable weakness of imperial power: it lacks the capacity for sustained conflict against a regional power and has lost the illusion of control over a major geographic pressure point.
Perfidious tactic? I assume you mean non-woke tactic.
several acts of perfidy later
Why won't they negotiate with me anymore?
they really think everybody is an idiot
Everyone but iran and the dprk is
Seems like Belarus, China, Russia, and Vietnam are on top of their game too.
Nah, Russia has fallen for this again and again.
They've never actually compromised any of their goals, and never allowed talks with the US to affect what they were doing on the ground. There's also value for Russia in simply talking to the US because it drives Europeans crazy which creates tensions within NATO.
Russia signed Minsk agreement, allowing Ukraine to successfully rearm and crush internal dissent, while the only thing Russia got was oligarchs selling resources to EU for 8 years longer.
At the time Russia signed Minsk, their economy or industry were still being rebuilt. It's not like they spent the time just twiddling their thumbs during those agreements. They built up gold reserves, and sufficiently insulated the economy so that when the west cut Russia out of swift and put maximum sanctions on, the didn't collapse as the west expected it would.
Russian industry didn't really improve in those 8 years. Some sectors like civil aviation production went to shit completely. It wasn't a cunning plan, but a disastrous mistake.
I think that we must face the fact that, regardless of intentionality, the empire placed Russia in such a position that it had to build economic resistance capablities up during the Minsk period. The sanctions and economic maneuvering from the West left no other option. The Russian state didnt use it aa competently as it should've (it's still a bourgeois state) but its been forced into an international-national-liberation war and was forced to act that way.
I disagree, there was a lot of economic restructuring happening during that time. The groundwork for Russian decoupling was laid after the 2008 financial crisis. That was the moment Russians realized dollar-based reserves could be vulnerable. They quietly started a pivot with the central bank going on a gold-buying spree, boosting reserves from around 450 tonnes to around 1,900 tonnes by early 2018. They also began aggressively cutting their exposure to US dollars with the dollar share of reserves dropping from over 40% to just 16% by 2021. If that wasn't done, then Russian economy would've been far more exposed to the types of sanctions the west put on in 2022.
On the domestic side, Russia kickstarted an import substitution push for defense and food security. The thinking was that if Ukraine or the west cut off critical components, they didn't want their military industries to grind to a halt. After 2014, that effort went into overdrive and expanded into agriculture, pharma, and industrial tech. And it worked better than most expected because Russia is now entirely food self sufficient and largely independent in defense production.
Russia continued stockpiling gold, cutting dollar exposure, and starting import substitution. And a real stress test came after 2014, when the first wave of western sanctions hit following Crimea.
Russia used that period to double down on systemic derisking. The central bank kept hoarding gold like there was no tomorrow with the reserves rising to over 2,300 tonnes by early 2022. At the same time, they basically nuked their dollar holdings with gold and yuan filling the gap.
On the financial infrastructure side, they also got serious about building alternatives to SWIFT and Visa/Mastercard. The SPFS messaging system and Mir payment cards were designed to keep the economy alive if Russia got cut off from global rails. And that's exactly what happened in 2022.
Import substitution went from a defensive tactic to a full-blown state doctrine as well. Agriculture became a legit success story where Russia went from importing chicken and pork to becoming one of the world's largest wheat exporters. Defense production became almost entirely sovereign. Even in tech, they started pushing local software and chip design, although manufacturing remains a weak spot right now.
Russia used that whole period to systematically rewire their economy for a worst case scenario, it was a decade of methodical preparation that allowed Russia to build a system to could absorb blows that would have crippled most economies. And as a result it didn't turn out to be the soft target the West assumed.
the US/Israel/entire West is not to be trusted.
This is what I do in civilization
I also bribe other countries to go to war with the country I want to steal resources from so their military is divided
Following the 
strategy well I see
An interesting way to phrase "Iran doesn't trust Trump administration after they fire bombed a bunch of kids and civilian infrastructure".
But I guess brevity matters more than truth. Lemme try again...
"US can't be trusted to honor ceasefire"
A bit better, maybe?
Sounds like we're getting close to the point where the U.S. force-quits so they can revert back to their last pre-war autosave.
tap tap tap why isn't the task manager coming up?!
I think we're 3 saves into that. The first couple got sunk aircraft carriers so they reverted until they found the optimal distance to stay out of range.
coincidentally that’s just enough time for the great satan to get some bombs in before the markets open on monday
Sometimes feels like the U.S. is trying to brute force the RNG by repeatedly offering ceasefire proposals until they hit that sub 1% chance that Iran accepts.
Given enough time at a typewriter, a monkey will eventually write shakespeare
Technically, yes. But the time scale is well beyond even far future physics predictions. The heat death of the universe would happen before the monkey completes the work. Given that a 5 word password (you really should be using words for passwords btw) can take years for the most advanced computers to crack, we're looking at a timescale where it becomes functionally absolute 0% chance.
...Now I get it!
Aww, did someone start a war they can't win?
Waaaah please stop hitting me so I can kill you waaah
Possibly the most pathetic, gutter trash shit in human history, clown ass fucking country, clown ass confederate populace. These are the ‘winners’ of humanity, these will be last people standing. Fitting end to the complete farce that is this life
They should accept it and continue military operations with absolutely no change
and then say it's fake news when the US starts whinging about it
I disagree. No one should be as dishonest of an actor as the US. Even to "teach the US a lesson"
Yeah you're right, Iran is an honorable military power in the trust sense
The difference is that Iran probably declared war, while Trump thinks it's just a little fun excursion. Fucker said he's playing for keeps, and Iran took him at his word.
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