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submitted 3 weeks ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

Image is of the damage caused by an Iranian Kheibar Shekan ballistic missile in Israel, causing dozens of injuries.


Now in our second week of the conflict, we have seen continuing damage to both Israel and Iran, as well as direct US intervention which nonetheless seems to have caused limited damage to Fordow and little damage to Iran's nuclear program. Regime change seems more elusive than ever, as even Iranians previously critical of the government now rally around it as they are attacked by two rabid imperialists at once. And Iran's government is tentatively considering a withdrawal, or at minimum a reconsideration, of their membership to the IAEA and the NPT. And, of course, the Strait of Hormuz is still a tool in their arsenal.

A day or so on from the strike on Fordow, we have so far seen basically no change in strategy from the Iranian military as they continue to strike Israel with small barrages of missiles. Military analysts argue furiously - is this a deliberate strategy of steady attrition on Israel, or indicative of immense material constraints on Iran? Are the hits by Israel on real targets, or are they decoys? Does Iran wish to develop a nuke, or are they still hesitating? Will Iran and Yemen strike at US warships and bases in response to the attack, or will they merely continue striking only Israel?

And perhaps most importantly - will this conflict end diplomatically due to a lack of appetite for an extended war (to wit: not a peace but a 20 year armistice) or with Israel forced into major concessions including an end to their genocide? Or even with a total military/societal collapse of either side?


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] [email protected] 37 points 3 weeks ago

Any news about Israeli drone strikes in southern Lebanon?

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[-] [email protected] 37 points 2 weeks ago

Cuba guest of honor at China Fair in Hungary - Prensa Latina

Article

Havana, Jun 28 (Prensa Latina) Cuba's ambassador to Budapest, Guillermo Vázquez, participated as guest of honor at the opening of the China Trade and Industry Fair in Hungary, the Cuban Foreign Ministry announced today.

According to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, during the opening of the event he exchanged with Hungarian and Chinese authorities, to whom he declared the importance for the Caribbean nation of “economic-commercial ties with the Asian region and Eastern European countries”.

He also, the text notes, “extended invitations for the Havana International Fair, FIHAV 2025”.

Vázquez made a “tour of the Fair in the company of the Hungarian delegation headed by the First Vice President of the Hungarian Parliament and founder since the nineties of the Hungary-China Chamber of Commerce”, states the note.

[-] [email protected] 37 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

Looks like the missile attack on Israel is over for now, Israelis told they can leave shelters. Was only a handful of missiles, if that. All intercepted. Maybe another symbolic attack so that Iran can have the last say or punish Israel for starting the ceasefire half an hour late? Either that or parts of the IRGC and army have gone rouge and decided to continue attacking Israel on their own. Or there's been a communication breakdown.

[-] [email protected] 37 points 3 weeks ago

Fox News reports that there is an imminent threat of an Iranian attack on Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar.

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[-] [email protected] 37 points 3 weeks ago

Moldova to terminate treaty on cultural cooperation with Russia - Prensa Latina

Article

Chisinau, Jun 24 (Prensa Latina) Moldovan Foreign Minister Mikhail Popsoi said today that his country will not extend the treaty on cultural exchange and collaboration with Russia, concluded in 1998.

"The treaty on cultural exchange and cooperation with Russia signed in 1998 does not imply unilateral cancellation. We can only not prolong the treaty. And we have already made it clear to the Russian side," Popsoi told TV8 on Tuesday.

The head of state said that the decision of the Moldovan side is final and he “would like, like all the citizens who support this decision, to make it sooner”, but Chisinau is obliged to respect the international law.

At the same time, the chancellor was vague when it came to mentioning a specific date for terminating the validity of the agreement. “Within a couple of months or six months, I don't remember precisely, but it seems to me that before a year,” he commented.

Popsoi stressed that Moldova maintains appreciation for the Russian language and culture, “the good things we had in our history.”

Earlier, the deputy of the Electoral Bloc of Communists and Socialists, Bogdan Tirdea, stated that the Moldovan authorities had initiated the process of termination of the agreement to close the Russian Center of Science and Culture in Chisinau, revealing that the ruling Party of Action and Solidarity had submitted the corresponding initiative to the parliament.

On February 13, the Moldovan Foreign Ministry announced that it had unilaterally terminated the agreement with Russia on the establishment and operation of cultural centers, which meant that the Russian Center for Science and Culture would have to cease its activities.

The decision of the Moldovan authorities to close the Russian cultural center that has been operating for 16 years provoked severe criticism from social organizations that bring together citizens of different nationalities with interest in Russian culture.

Relations between Russia and Moldova began to deteriorate after the current president Maia Sandu, who follows a pro-European policy, came to power in the republic at the end of 2020.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Moldova under the current government aspires to become a hostile country for Russia, while Moscow calls on Chisinau to respect the interests of its own citizens and not to hinder the development of human contacts and interregional ties with the Eurasian giant.

The Russian Foreign Ministry in turn called on the Moldovan authorities to put an end to anti-Russian confrontational rhetoric in the country, stressing that it intends to maintain friendly relations and is against Western attempts to use Moldova for anti-Russian purposes.

[-] [email protected] 36 points 3 weeks ago

BREAKING: Reuters reports that a senior Iranian official has confirmed Tehran’s agreement to a U.S.-proposed, Qatar-mediated ceasefire with Israel.

The official said Qatar’s Prime Minister secured Iran’s approval during a phone call with Tehran.

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[-] [email protected] 36 points 3 weeks ago

Important Statement

🇮🇷 Issued by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)

spoiler

In the Name of Allah, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful

There is no power and no strength except through Allah, the Most High, the Most Great

To the brave and heroic Iranian people, and to the honored families of the martyrs:

Your sons and servants in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, following the aggression launched by the Zionist army on our skies and its initiation of an imposed war on Islamic Iran—and in response to the call of the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces, and with the support of the Iranian people—designed and executed a series of operations under the title "Truthful Promise 3", conducted in 22 intense, continuous, and multi-layered waves. These operations targeted a diverse and expansive bank of military objectives belonging to the enemy in the occupied lands of Al-Quds, once again proving that the brave soldiers of this nation never leave any aggression unanswered. With their reliance on Allah, their high determination, and their powerful blows, they shattered and mocked the foolish illusion that Iran could ever surrender.

We honor the martyrs of this imposed war and salute their pure souls. In the epic of sacred defense that lasted 12 days, martyr commanders such as Lieutenant General Mohammad Bagheri, Lieutenant General Gholam Ali Rashid, Lieutenant General Hossein Salami, Lieutenant General Ali Shadmani, Brigadier General Amir Ali Hajizadeh, along with other martyred commanders, martyred scholars, and our civilian martyrs—women and children—became shining suns and beacons of guidance on this battlefield. They proved that martyrdom in defense of the homeland and the Islamic Revolution is the path and ultimate end of every true servant of Allah.

We express our sincere appreciation and respect to the Iranian people—especially the esteemed families of the martyrs—to the Leader of the Islamic Revolution and Commander-in-Chief, His Eminence Grand Ayatollah Imam Khamenei (may his shadow endure), to the Grand Religious Authorities, scholars, the heads of the three branches of power—especially the president and members of the esteemed government—academic elites, the diplomatic corps, national media, virtual space activists, political parties, and medical and relief teams. All these groups stood alongside the Armed Forces and etched their presence in the pages of bright history.

The Iranian people, continuing the values of the eight-year Sacred Defense, offered in this victorious historical confrontation a radiant image of national dignity, the spirit of resistance, and internal cohesion to the world. The result of this unity and effort was a living embodiment of a powerful Iran and a decisive rejection of the calculations of global arrogance against the Iranian people and the sacred Islamic Republic.

The calm, wisdom, and steadfastness shown by the Leader of the Islamic Revolution from the very first day of this imposed war in mobilizing a nationwide stance against the aggressors represented a growing asset that emphasized the unique role of Imamate in unifying the Islamic system and reminded us all of its value. With such a great nation and under the leadership of such a noble guide, the sons of the Armed Forces gain the courage to embark on a civilization-making historic battle.

The IRGC finds itself unable to fully describe and do justice to the sincere, unique, and historic sacrifices of the Armed Forces—especially the valiant fighters of the Aerospace Force, the missile units, the brave Basij, the anonymous heroes in intelligence, and the defenders in the air defense units. For these sacrifices and these fighters, martyrdom remains the only true recompense.

Among the most prominent achievements in this phase of punishing the aggressors, and clear indicators of the misery of the Zionist terrorist killers and their bloodthirsty backers, are the following:

  • Reinforcement of national unity
  • Increase in social capital
  • Deepening trust in the Armed Forces
  • Strengthening the spirit of self-reliance
  • Exposure and dismantling of internal sabotage networks
  • Elevation of Iran’s status in the hearts of the Islamic Ummah
  • Gaining international support for the justice of the Islamic Republic's cause and condemnation of the Zionist army's aggression
  • Collapse of the illusion of regime change in Iran
  • Preservation of the pillars of power in the nuclear program
  • Protection of defensive and missile infrastructure
  • Destruction of the enemy’s multi-layered and costly air defense myth
  • Deepening the crisis of the entity’s survival in occupied lands
  • Discrediting the myth of the “invincible Zionist army”
  • Reviving hope in oppressed peoples to continue resisting global arrogance

The entry of the already-defeated, criminal American army into the battlefield to rescue the pitiful soldiers of the Zionist army failed to shift the battlefield dynamics or undermine Iran’s upper hand. The retaliatory missile strike on the American Al-Udeid base in Qatar, as part of Operation “Glad Tidings of Victory”, delivered a fresh message of Iran’s strength—and the enemies understood that message clearly.

It is worth emphasizing that the initiator of the imposed war was the Zionist terrorist army. Yet its end was penned by the valiant sons of the people in the Armed Forces—particularly the IRGC Aerospace Force—in the 22nd wave of Operation "Truthful Promise 3", whose final strike was so devastating that the “cries for a ceasefire” erupted from the throats of the savage Zionist regime and the delusional president of America.

Once again, relying on Allah Almighty, we pledge to the heroic Iranian people and the noble families of the martyrs that we shall never tire nor falter in pursuing the two fixed and strategic goals of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps:

1. The expulsion of occupying America from the region 2. The destruction of the Zionist child-killing entity

True peace and stability in the region depend on the fulfillment of these two blessed objectives. We will not loosen our grip on the enemy’s neck—and we will continue to punish it without pause.

"And victory is only from Allah, the Almighty, the Wise." — Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps June 26, 2025

https://t.me/mmirlb/31898

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[-] [email protected] 36 points 3 weeks ago

The NewsWire thing is saying that Iran hasn't received any ceasefire proposals, but everything right now will be very unreliable, especially from the news aggregator accounts.

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[-] [email protected] 36 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

it wasn't terribly unlikely that Trump would do a big bombing, of irrelevant actual effectiveness, and try to walk off with a win. but an outstanding question was, how would the Americans respond to continued fighting? wouldn't the neocons find a way to force Trump back into the conflict?

isn't this result likely a recognition that, even if Iran could win the attritional war with (just) israel, the probability was prohibitively high that tiny Marco wouldn't sit on his baby hands and let missiles keep crashing into telaviv?

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this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2025
178 points (98.4% liked)

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