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submitted 2 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

Or perhaps the end of the beginning, if you're a little more pessimistic.


Image is from this Bloomberg article, from which I also gathered some of the information used in the preamble.


While Trump was off in the Middle East in an incompetent attempt to solve a geopolitical and humanitarian crisis, China has been doing something much more productive.

Chinese officials, including Xi Jinping, had a summit with CELAC (a community of 33 Latin American and Caribbean countries). There, he promised investment, various declarations of friendship, and visa-free entry for 30 days for citizens of Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Peru and Uruguay. Lula signed over 30 agreements with China. Colombia is joining the New Development Bank and hopes to gain the money for a 120-kilometer railway connecting the Atlantic and Pacific coasts as an alternative route to the Panama Canal. Even Argentina, ruled by arch-libertarian and arch-dipshit (but I repeat myself) Milei, was uncharacteristically polite with China as he secured a currency swap renewal to shore up their international reserves.

It wouldn't really be correct to say that Latin America is "siding with China over the US" - leaders in the region will continue to make many deals with America for the foreseeable future, and even Trump's bizarre economic strongman routine won't make them break off economic and diplomatic relations. What's significant here is that despite increasing American pressure for those leaders to break off all ties with China, few appear to be listening - and given that China is perhaps the most important economy on the planet right now, that is a very predictable outcome.

As the current American empire takes actions to try and avoid their doom, those very actions only guarantee it. As Latin America grows ever more interconnected with China and continues to develop, America will grow ever more panicked and demanding, and this feedback loop will - eventually - result in the death of the Monroe Doctrine.


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] [email protected] 45 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3088p85pero Kid Starver's houses were burnt by Ukrainians? is itcause he's 'negotiating peace' or were they just based and them being Ukrainian incidental

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[-] [email protected] 45 points 1 month ago

A Kingdom of Cages: Danish Regime Rolls Out Harsher Sentences to Avoid Becoming Too Swedish

In a carefully choreographed press conference steeped in racist dogwhistles and set against the grim theatrical backdrop of a Copenhagen prison, three senior officials from Denmark’s Social Democrat-led right-wing regime — Peter Hummelgaard, Troels Lund Poulsen, and Jakob Engel-Schmidt, the respective heads of the nation's Social Democrat-controlled Ministry of Justice,Liberal Party-controlled Ministry of Defense and Moderate Party-controlled Ministry of Culture — unveiled sweeping reforms to expand the Nordic kingdom’s prison system and sharply escalate penalties for violent crime.

Read more...

The so-called penal reform includes doubling sentences for “particularly severe” violent offenses, increasing penalties for certainremoveds by 50%, and constructing over 2,000 new prison cells. Some younger or lower-risk offenders will be diverted to forced labor in agriculture or manufacturing instead of traditional incarceration. The regime also plans a massive new high-security facility and a second women’s prison. Denmark’s colonial outposts, Greenland and the Faroe Islands, are also slated for new incarceration infrastructure.

Nearly DKK 3 billion (RMB 3.3 billion) will be poured into the carceral system over the next decade. But whether anyone will be left to staff these facilities is another question entirely. The prison service already faces a deep staffing crisis: over 700 guard positions are unfilled, and morale is cratering. Building more cells while bleeding personnel borders on delusion.

Asked whether research supports the harsher penalties, Hummelgaard replied with startling candor:

“I don’t have any research backing it. We do this because we want it politically.”

No data, no proof, just the pure Will to Power. “I’m sure it will work,” he added, brushing aside the scientific consensus that tougher sentencing has little effect on crime rates. “I reject that premise,” he said, dismissing the research as being made “from the perpetrator’s perspective, not the victim’s.” He also issued a thinly veiled warning to academics, stating, “It is not me who awards research grants,” implying that funding should favor those willing to reinforce the far-right myth of a Swedish crime apocalypse.

While Hummelgaard wages war on academic freedom, others warn of the consequences. “It’s not hard to throw people in jail,” said Signe Færch, head of the Social Workers’ Union. “The hard part is helping them out again in a good way.”

Perhaps most surreal was Hummelgaard’s repeated invocation of Sweden—a stable Nordic welfare state—as a cautionary tale of multicultural ruin and migrant-fueled crime.

“We don’t want Denmark to become Sweden in any way,” he declared.

Once the stuff of fringe far-right message boards, the fantasy of migrant-fueled Swedish crime chaos has become an official talking point. According to Hummelgaard, Denamrk must not end up as Sweden whose welfare state has been “undermined” by lenient sentencing and “lax immigration policies.”

As expected, no evidence was provided for these lofty claims. But in the echo chamber of Danish crime politics, vibes matter more than facts—and Swedish vibes, it seems, have been ruined because of woke.

Some gestures — like a limited debt relief scheme for younger former inmates and vague promises of better rehabilitation — earned cautious praise from NGOs. But these are dwarfed by the scale of the punitive turn. The regime’s aim is not safer communities or social repair, but appeasing a reactionary public mood — what ministers call the “sense of justice,” a conveniently nebulous concept unmoored from tangible outcomes, yet endlessly hungry for ever-harsher punishments.

In an era of late capitalist regimes no longer able or willing promise hope, cruelty becomes the currency of power. Borders harden. Prisons grow. The message is clear: we are not going to make your life better, but we will punish the people you hate. The spectacle is the solution and the cruelty is the point.

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[-] [email protected] 45 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Moody’s downgrade just caused 30-year treasury yield to spike? Already over. Didn’t even last 24 hours lol.

Once again the market panics over something so inconsequential.

Here’s the MMT lesson for the day:

[-] [email protected] 45 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Extremely funny news from Australia. In the wake of a historical loss the coalition that makes up the current conservative opposition has (temporarily) dissolved^[https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/may/20/nationals-leaving-split-coalition-liberal-party-australian-election]. This has happened in the wake of the right wing liberal party being unwilling to commit to policies that fucked them, which play well with reactionary elements in the regions.

They will likely rejoin together once it is politically advantageous, having largely been together for the better part of a century, but currently this means the center right welfare state labor party has basically no resistance except the leftish greens party to passing its bills. Severely diminishing the electoral power of the far right for the forseeable future.

Whether the liberals will embrace the trumpism that cost them the election, hemorrhaging the rest of their moderates, or try and tac towards the bourgeois policies of the so called "teal" (blue + green, environmental policies) independents that have been eating their lunch in the wealthy liberal heartland remains to be seen. My money is on the former because the moderate faction lost most of their seats and they've but a numerology^[https://www.crikey.com.au/2025/05/08/sussan-ley-liberal-leadership-numerology-angus-taylor/] donothing clown in charge as a seat warmer while the factions rally.^[footnotes are the opium of the leftist]

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[-] [email protected] 44 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

On an update to Russia's large scale air attacks on Ukraine, yesterday's attack was the largest of the entire war so far, 367 munitions used according to Ukraine, including 9 Iskander-M/Iskander-1000/KN-23 ballistic missiles, 55 Kh-101 and Kalibr subsonic cruise missiles (Kh-101 from Tu-95 and Tu-160 strategic bombers, Kalibr from ships in the Black Sea), 1 Kh-32/22 supersonic cruise missile from a Tu-22M3 bomber, 4 Kh-69 stealth cruise missiles from Su-57 stealth aircraft, and 298 Shahed/German type one way attack drones. The ballistic missile number appears to be an undercount in my view, there were at least 16 launches reported by Ukrainian air raid channels.

Russia is continuing the attack for the third night in a row, there were over 100 Geran/Shahed one way attack drones simultaneously in Ukrainian airspace tonight at one point (currently 70), and 6 Tu-95M strategic bombers have carried out launch maneuvers for Kh-101 subsonic cruise missiles (unkown if simulated or real launches at this time). A lot of the Geran drones are heading towards the air base in Starokostyantyniv, which was suspected to be hit by an Iskander-1000 ballistic missile last night.

The Kh-101 launches were real, multiple groups of them detected in Ukrainian airspace.

The Kh-101s all targeted Starokostyantyniv air base, along with the majority of Geran drones. Now we'll see if any ballistic missiles are used to attack the same target. 5 impacts/explosions from the Kh-101s were reported. There were a total of 6 launched at the airbase, only one was shot down on it's way there.

Ukrainian air raid monitoring telegram channel

AMK mapping telegram channel, provides English translation of Ukrainian and Russian sources

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[-] [email protected] 44 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Free Life of Kurdistan (PJAK), an Iran-based armed group widely believed to be an offshoot of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK), on Monday said it will continue its armed struggle against Tehran despite PKK’s decision to dissolve itself and end its decades-long armed struggle against Ankara.

“We, as PJAK, will neither lay down arms nor dissolve ourselves,” Amir Karimi, PJAK co-chair, told Aryen TV, a Sweden-based channel affiliated with Iran-based Kurdish political parties.

(Source)

[-] [email protected] 44 points 1 month ago

Almost like Kurdish separatist movements are functioning as US proxies. Almost.

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[-] [email protected] 44 points 1 month ago

I find a bit funny this idea right-wingers have that if you boycott an election enough, that will mean the election will be invalid or something. But most South American Countries' Constitutions say that as long as someone voted, the election will be valid

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[-] [email protected] 44 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

https://rumble.com/v6t17f1-presstv-live.html

Leader of the Yemeni Revolution Sayed Abdul-Malik al-Houthi is speaking live now. Dubbed into English live at the above link.

(Edit: recording link here)

[-] [email protected] 44 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)
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[-] [email protected] 44 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

(lmao intraday)

hi japan, i'm watching you

(1 year)

might as well add this here:

and crypto started growing kitty-birthday-sad

[-] [email protected] 44 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

With Trump's meeting with South African President Cyril Ramaphosa and his delegation set to start in less than 10 minutes, (15:30 UTC) let's see what US strategic think tanks are saying:

CSIS, May 19 2025 - Can South Africa’s President Fix His Bilateral Relationship with Washington?

That's not good..

Meeting hasn't started yet, running late as usual.

One of the flag bearers fainted, that's all that has happened so far.

Ramaphosa has arrived, and shook hands with Trump.

Meeting now started in the oval office. Trump is praising South African golfers.

Ramaphosa is sucking up to Trump hard. Very much offering tribute to the king vibes.

Trump is playing EFF Julius Malema clips... This is going to go to shit.

Ramaphosa basically disowned Malema

Steenhuisen made a statement, denouncing Malema, and saying that the DA joined the ANC to keep the EFF and Malema out of power.

Trump has asked why South Africa don't arrest Malema and ban the EFF.

Goosen the golfer is now speaking, he says South Africa needs the United States as an ally for help, mentioning how the US helped the apartheid government in the war in Angola.

Johan Rupert, the South African billionaire, is now speaking. Clearly wants a deal for starlink, technological assistance, and shutting down the South African border with Zimbabwe, and complaining that Malema targets him. Fucking hell this is bad. He wants South Africa to do the same thing that the US did with its immigrants and gangs.

Trade union boss is saying Rupert is right, and saying that there is no expropriation without compensation. Capitalist realism.

Live video link on YouTube from South African state media (SABC)

AP News live YouTube link

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[-] [email protected] 44 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

monkey-typewriter Portugal's post election update.

With the votes from abroad not yet counted and with the likelyhood of the far-right CH obtaining 2 MPs more than the center-left PS and becoming the largest opposition party looming, the effects of the left's historic defeat and the far-right's rise last sunday are still being felt. Here's what all the main actors are up to.

The communists didn't rest on their laurels and immediately held a bunch of rallies right after the elections, its affiliated organizations are also still active, they've also already stated they'll propose a vote against the government's budget right away once parliament starts (which will clarify how he PS and CH will handle the center-right's minority government), the idea seems to be to give despairing leftists hope that there are people still fighting the right and inspire them to join. Hey, it worked with me, I did join after a moment like this but it was in 2022 when the PS got a historic absolute majority, I thought that was bad enough, and now they're basically in third place, funny how life works.

The post-trot demsoc BE, once having elected 19 MPs in 2019, is still reeling from having only electing its party leader, she basically blamed the "global right-wing shift" (which portugal has definetily joined) for the party's poor result. I maintain that their situation is very fucked, with a disloyal soft left of the party easily going to the europhile pro-war greens and a loyal hard left of the party too historically resentful of the "Stalinist" (according to them) communists to support their coalition, a shame because they still got 100k votes and a lot of activists that could be very useful.

The PS general secretary, who was from the left-wing of the party even though he ran a very centrist campaign, resigned and since only 1 guy ran for his job, he got it. A man named Carneiro will be leading the socialists, however in portuguese "Carneiro" means "sheep" and is also slang for "cuckold" or "someone who sheepishly follows orders", so following nominative determinism (WHICH IS REAL trump-anguish ) this man will never become prime minister. A Starmer-like figure (minus the transphobia hopefully) he's made it clear that the party wants to form an informal "central block" with the center-right AD minority government for stability and to allow with to govern without having to depend on the far-right for parliamentary votes.

About that though...the AD which for years maintained a "no means no" stance regarding collaborating with the far-right now has revised that to mean "no only means no...regarding the far-right joining government", they've opened the door to working with them in parliament, and even worse on possibly constitutional revisions. The right now has a 2/3 majority which means for the first time they don't need the PS to revise the constitution and the far-right could possibly have a say. The liberals are already building a proposal to remove the "ideological charge" of the constitution, which was written in the aftermath of the revolution in 75 and has already been revised a few times (like to remove the un-reversability of nationalizations and stuff)

Oh and the public prosecutor, which has publicly announced they were investigating several politicians in the past few years, even during campaign season, but so far haven't charged anyone, only NOW has said that they're asking for further documents from the PM's private business dealings and that ONLY NOW AFTER YEARS OF THIS SHIT they're FINALLY investigating the far-right's leader for "incitement of hatred" over 1 video he recently posted complaining about roma people, I doubt anything will come of it though.

It kinda feels like germany's situation a few years ago.

A dominant center-right in power.

A far-right being toe to toe with an increasingly centrist center-left, gaining ground on historically far-left regions on basically just anti-migrant discourse, shut out of government so it can always be in the opposition and with a lot of low education voters. With the key difference that unlike in germany the far-right here is a 1 man show and very personalistic.

A market-fundamentalist liberal party that pollutes discourse with easy solutions and can basically always be in the opposition (they've since lost their seats in germany but that won't happen here since there's no electoral treshold) and is very popular among well-to-do young people.

A socially liberal pro-war green party working as a stop-gap between the center-left and the far-left.

On the far-left is where I think there are the most differences, since Die Linke has definitely become a "normal"-ish party, pro-nato if a bit reluctantly, pro arms-shipments to ukraine and not very anti-israel.

Well portuguese people are always talking about how we suck and should be more like germany so there you go. attack-orca

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[-] [email protected] 44 points 1 month ago

translation from unsere zeit, the communist party newspaper in germany:

Palestinian workers are being replaced

article text


Israeli companies have relied on cheap and compliant Palestinian labor for decades. In the shadow of Israel's genocidal war on Gaza and the continued strangulation of Palestinian lives under occupation, another, quieter form of violence against Palestinian workers is taking shape: In recent months, Israel has embarked on an aggressive campaign to replace hundreds of thousands of Palestinian workers with migrant labor from Asia and Africa. Israeli capital is to continue to have a compliant labor force at its disposal, and what is left of the Palestinian economy is to be stifled even further.

This exchange of labor is not taking place in a vacuum, but reflects a larger historical pattern in Israel's treatment of its labor force over the decades. Since the occupation of the West Bank and Gaza in 1967, Palestinian workers have played a crucial role in the Israeli economy, particularly in construction, agriculture and low-paid service jobs.

Israel cited security concerns to revoke the work permits of hundreds of thousands of Palestinians virtually overnight, crippling the Palestinian economy and rendering entire villages and towns jobless. Many of those affected had worked in Israeli companies for years without legal protection or the possibility of unionization.

To replace the Palestinians, Israel has sought bilateral agreements with countries such as India, Thailand, Malawi and Sri Lanka to send workers. Through these agreements, Israel gains tens of thousands of new workers for Israeli agriculture, construction and the care sector. Officially, these programs are presented as mutually beneficial, providing workers with jobs and training, but labor rights organizations say these agreements expose workers to abuses.

Many migrants pay high fees to recruitment agencies in their home countries and are already in debt when they enter Israel. Some reported that their passports were taken from them, that they were housed in poor accommodation and that they were paid wages below the legal minimum wage in Israel.

One of the most problematic aspects of this labor import system is the lack of control. Although the Israeli Ministry of Labor is theoretically responsible for regulating working conditions, the implementation of regulations often leaves much to be desired, especially on remote farms and construction sites. Non-governmental organizations such as Kav la-Oved have documented numerous cases of labor law violations, including unpaid wages and physical abuse. Under the agricultural internship program alone, at least 17 foreign "interns" have been recognized as victims of human trafficking, and there have been several deaths since the program began.

For the Palestinian workers who are being replaced, it is about far more than economic losses. For many of them, Israeli wages were their livelihood, as the occupied territories struggle with chronic underdevelopment, high unemployment and restrictions on movement that stifle the development of the local economy.

For them, the withdrawal of work permits not only means the loss of income, but also reinforces the fragmentation of Palestinian society. The financial burden increases and dependence on aid from abroad is strengthened.

At the same time, the Israeli economy, especially sectors such as construction and agriculture, is being burdened by the lack of Palestinian labor. Israeli business media have reported project delays and labor shortages, prompting companies to push for faster recruitment of workers from abroad. This has led Israeli companies to see foreign workers not just as a stopgap, but as a strategic alternative - a way to keep the economy going without political "risk".

This dynamic highlights a deeper structural problem: the transformation of labor into a commodity under apartheid conditions. Israel replaces Palestinian workers, whose presence is politically explosive, with migrant workers from abroad, who are easier to control and deport and who have no claim to political rights. Labor is thus reduced to a commodity that can be imported and removed at will, regardless of the human cost.

Criticism is now being voiced internationally. In 2024, the International Labor Organization (ILO) received a formal complaint on behalf of Palestinian workers who had been denied wages and labour rights since the start of the war on Gaza. Israel is accused of violating international agreements on the right to work and collective bargaining. However, the complaint has few real consequences for Israel, as major donor countries and trading partners continue to prioritize political alliances over the enforcement of labor laws.

These developments show that Israel's labor policies, shaped by the occupation, security doctrine and neoliberal economics, have a profound impact on both Palestinians and the growing number of migrant workers from other countries. The replacement of one large number of precarious workers with another illustrates the cruelty of Israeli apartheid, which simply restructures the labor market according to the interests of the state and corporations while concealing the continuity of exploitation.

Israel's labor policies will increasingly rely on imported labor in the future, as the regime seeks to shield its economy from the political costs of occupation and intensify its apartheid and genocide policies. Palestinian workers are left out for now, and the migrant workers who fill the gap adopt the same system of weak protections, legal gray areas and systematic disregard for their human dignity.

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[-] [email protected] 43 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

It seems like Eduardo del Castillo, Bolivia’s interior minister, is going to be Arce's candidate for the presidential election. Menawhile Evo Morales and Andronico Rodriguez are banned from running. I guess Rodriguez basically became his own third left-wing force within the Arce-Evo struggle, since both Evo and Arce rejected him. I guess the current VP faction inside MAS could support him but idk if David Choquehuanca will have his own candidate in this election.

@[email protected]

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[-] [email protected] 43 points 1 month ago
[-] [email protected] 42 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

LOKOMOTIV BEATS TRAKTOR 2-1 IN OVERTIME AND WINS THE GAGARIN CUP!!! MY BOYS THE RAILWAYMEN LED THE LEAGUE ALL SEASON AND THEIR HARD WORK PAID OFF LETS GOOOOOOO

train-shining УРА ЛОКОМОТИВ train-shining

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this post was submitted on 19 May 2025
143 points (99.3% liked)

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