this post was submitted on 13 Jan 2025
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Image is of Donald Trump Jr. in Greenland, proudly demonstrating what he's learned in his standing lessons.


The imperial core is continuing the process of self-cannibalization as the interimperial wars between Europe and the US over resource and territorial control continue. Greenland, populated with less than a hundred thousand heavily exploited people, is the newest territory to fall under Trump's gaze. The main draw is the mineral resources present there, of which it boasts nickel, copper, cobalt, and platinum, and much more than remains unexplored under the ice. But the ice is melting, and profit must be made. There is an additional element of wanting Arctic territory to counter Chinese and especially Russian interests and aims; Russia is increasingly eyeing the northern Arctic route as an alternative to more vulnerable routes through the Suez Canal or around Africa, and is investing heavily in icebreakers for that purpose.

However, even if Europe possessed the desire to resist American annexations - and they absolutely do not, at the end of the day - they do not even have the ability. Denmark may, to a lesser or greater extent, make angry sounds and talk about national honour or some such, but their military would be trampled underfoot by even the New York Police Department, let alone a concerted military effort by the US. If Trump wants Greenland, he will have it. This will naturally increase the grumbling in Europe about reconsidering the Transatlantic alliance, and that grumbling may, in the medium-term future, as the American Empire continues its decline, lead to meaningful results. But in the short term, Europe shall have to bear whatever Trump throws at them, for they obviously cannot now ally with Russia, who was the natural counterweight to American interests for decades before 2022.


Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 70 points 2 days ago (3 children)
[–] [email protected] 56 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Inshallah it holds and Gaza gets respite

[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 days ago

Given the zionist record on ceasefires it won't, but even a reduction in the intensity of attacks would be good for regular Gazans.

[–] [email protected] 47 points 2 days ago (3 children)

Bolsonaro says: “If I remain ineligible, I no longer believe in democracy”.

Former president Jair Bolsonaro insisted on Friday that he would be the candidate of the right in the 2026 election. The former chief executive also said that he will no longer believe in democracy if he remains ineligible by decision of the Superior Electoral Court (TSE).

“What would democracy be? Respecting due process, the Constitution, the laws. Why make me ineligible? Two eight-year sentences (...) If I remain ineligible, I no longer believe in democracy. Democracy is over,” Bolsonaro said in an interview.

Why? WHY? Bolsonaro literally tried to kill people and created documents detailing how he would kill them. His own vice-president had an entire plan to send him into exile in the US, literally nobody likes Bolsonaro.

Indicted by the Federal Police (PF) in November for the crimes of attempted coup d'état, attempted abolition of the democratic rule of law and criminal organization, the former president could be ineligible until 2061 if he is prosecuted and sentenced with the maximum penalty, in 2025, for the alleged crimes. Bolsonaro would be 106 years old when he could stand for political office again.

lol

[–] [email protected] 25 points 2 days ago

man whose entire political career is about bringing back the dictatorship claims democracy bad

[–] [email protected] 25 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

Knowing Bolso, he will be hospitalized a few hundred times for all sorts of diseases, but somehow still make it to 2061. At least what's left of him. bolso-pain

[–] [email protected] 71 points 2 days ago (2 children)

I talked to my sicko-zoomer nephew if they taught them about the Dot Com or Housing bubbles of 2001 and 2008.

He said no. Like the Empire is just sweeping major recent history oopsies under the carpet.

[–] [email protected] 50 points 2 days ago (1 children)

We never learned recent history in school. Always the same shit with whitewashed accounts of pilgrims and pioneers and the founding fathers and then the civil war. Then WW2 and the Holocaust. That’s it. That’s history folks.

[–] [email protected] 31 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (2 children)

At a certain point, shit that happened in 1600 is just remarkably less important to being an informed person than more recent history. I took AP US History in high school (20 years ago, yikes) and the amount of useless garbage I had to memorize from the 17th and 18th century is ridiculous. Our class of course only got to, basically, Reagan's first time, if that. The fall of the Berlin Wall! Capitalism won! Hooray!

This was extra absurd given it was in the midst of the 2008 financial crash. We of course weren't taught anything about the shock doctrine that America imposed after the dissolution of the Soviet Union, and damn it might have been helpful context to hear about the dotcom crash to make sense of what was happening around us. We didn't even get to the first Iraq war, as meatheads in my class were actively being recruited to fight in the second. But no no, barely a month was spent on anything after 1950s at all. Most the year was learning about arcane religious revival movements in colonial America and other bullshit.

[–] [email protected] 43 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

I heavily disagree. You cannot form a dialectical view of history without understanding its movements, and you cannot understand the modern world without understanding imperialism and the formation of capitalism alongside Liberal ideology and slavery. These things are not less important, they are the foundation upon which modern society and its contradictions is formed.

The problem with useless AP History trivia is that they are focusing on the wrong things. Pointless minutiae and checklists instead of dialectical narratives and analysis

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[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 day ago (3 children)

Were you in my APUSH class twenty years ago?

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[–] [email protected] 49 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (2 children)

mBridge, a Bank of International Settlements Project Hyped by BRICS Fans as a Way to Evade Sanctions, Shut Down by Naked Capitalism

A case study in how much the world has changed, and how promoting narratives (boy do I hate that word) trumps getting things right is mBrigde, a BIS project that just got canned.

A bit of a “told you so” tone from Yves Smith but an excellent dissection on the practical challenges faced by BRICS (if they truly want to challenge US dominance) and how overenthusiastic multipolar fans hyped up projects without understanding the fundamentals of the issue at hand.

Importantly, we have Michael Hudson in the comment section saying this:

Yves highlights the big problem with well-wishers hoping that BRICS can create a better financial and economic system than the West has.

The idea is that financial independence requires one’s own “money.” But money itself is a legal creation that requires agreement by the governments issuing it as to (1) what countries — and who in them — gets the money that is being created, and (2) what will the money be created for.

This requires political unification and that a collective BRICS government is far from being created in the foreseeable future.

What CAN be created is a settlement system for intergovernmental debts among countries running surpluses and deficits. Keynes described such a system in his proposals for a banker back in 1944. If creditor countries did not pursue policies that enabled debtor countries to pay — by accepting their exports, for instance — then when the balances reached some critical mass, the creditor claims and debtor liabilities would be wiped off the books, because creditors had not taken responsibility for enabling debtors to pay. Such debts were bad loans, Keynes argued.

The US opposed this, wanting Hard Money, because the US had 75% of the world’s gold (and increased its share to 80% by 1950).

And today’s US would not take responsibility for loans to countries that can’t afford to pay their dollar debts without stifling their economic growth by accepting IMF austerity plans.

None of this kind of reform requires a common currency. The problem is the IMBALANCES among countries. That is the key.

As Hudson pointed out, the main problem has always been how are you going to sort out balance of payments issue. Keynes had the right idea with bancor, but with China running $1 trillion trade surplus these days, there is virtually zero incentive for China to get onboard with such a trade arrangement because bancor will only heavily punish the two countries (US and China) for running their huge trade deficits (huge import) and surpluses (huge export) - the two countries that have benefited tremendously from the status quo at the expense of the rest of the world.

This again goes back to why I always said that China’s only way out is to transition into a domestic consumption economy and give up their export industries, because the very act of transitioning itself has a very nice built-in incentive for China to embrace the bancor-like mechanism that will return the world to a more balanced trade, and also contains the antidote against dollar hegemony at the same time. That means industrial capacities more equally distributed across the world, as well as simultaneously blunting the force of US monetary imperialism.

[–] [email protected] 22 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

The idea is that financial independence requires one’s own “money.” But money itself is a legal creation that requires agreement by the governments issuing it as to (1) what countries — and who in them — gets the money that is being created, and (2) what will the money be created for.

This requires political unification and that a collective BRICS government is far from being created in the foreseeable future.

This lesson should've already been learnt with the EU and the Euro, creating a currency before creating a politically unified entity (usually a state) is putting the cart before the horse, as Samir Amin liked to say. You can't create a currency before first creating a state, or maybe some non state entity with similar unification. However the structure of such an entity yet to be conceived or practically executed, was already tried with the EU and ended up where we are today. Until someone works out how to create a non state entity with similar political cohesiveness to a state, having a currency without a country is just not feasible for most. The EU makes it "work" with regards to the Euro, with a a lot of nuances and compromises that most nations would not accept, because the alternative of a "European State" is considered an even more unpalatable prospect to many European leaders and citizens.

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[–] [email protected] 55 points 2 days ago (3 children)

There's gonna be a lot of CEOs and other really awful people all in one place on monday... Just making an observation

[–] [email protected] 5 points 2 days ago

It would be an extremely funny place for an F35 to crash

[–] [email protected] 30 points 2 days ago

The real reason they moved it inside, too scared the liberal driller might actually spin the block

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[–] [email protected] 44 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

Xi: Readiness to secure greater progress in China-U.S. relations from a new starting point

TL;DR: Congratulations, better relations, Ukraine, Palestine.

spoilerOn the evening of January 17, President Xi Jinping took a phone call from U.S. President-Elect Donald J. Trump.

President Xi congratulated Trump on his reelection as President of the United States. President Xi noted that they both attach great importance to their interactions, and both hope for a good start of the China-U.S. relationship during the new U.S. presidency. President Xi expressed his readiness to secure greater progress in China-U.S. relations from a new starting point.

President Xi stressed that the two great nations of China and the United States are pursuing their respective dreams, and are both committed to delivering a better life to their people. Given the extensive common interests and broad space of cooperation between the two countries, China and the United States can become partners and friends, contribute to each other’s success, and advance shared prosperity for the good of the two countries and the whole world.

President Xi pointed out that it is natural for two big countries with different national conditions to have some disagreements. The important thing is to respect each other’s core interests and major concerns, and find a proper solution. The Taiwan question concerns China’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. The U.S. side needs to approach it with prudence. The bilateral economic ties are essentially mutually beneficial and win-win. Confrontation and conflict should not be an option for the two countries. The two sides should follow the principles of mutual respect, peaceful coexistence and win-win cooperation, work more closely together, do more big, practical and good things that benefit the two countries and the world, and keep the two giant ships of China and the United States sailing forward along the route of steady, sound and sustainable development.

President-Elect Trump thanked President Xi for the congratulations, and said he values his great relations with President Xi. He hoped they would keep talking to each other, and looked forward to meeting with President Xi soon. As the most important countries in the world, the United States and China should get along well for years and beyond and work together for world peace.

The two leaders also exchanged views on the Ukraine crisis, the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and other major international and regional issues of mutual interest.

The two leaders agreed to set up a channel of strategic communication to keep in regular touch on major issues of shared interest.

https://www.fmprc.gov.cn/eng/xw/zyxw/202501/t20250117_11538172.html

[–] [email protected] 27 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Didn't he say something similar about the DPRK before threatening them later? The man isn't very consistent and a huge liar so I wouldn't take his word too much to heart.

[–] [email protected] 22 points 2 days ago (1 children)

One should place zero stock in diplomatic niceties and press releases. We’ll wait and see. Of course everybody knows Trump is a pathological liar much like every other president, but how Xi handles it isn’t going to be divined from generic public statements.

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[–] [email protected] 33 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Today’s news from the Donbass.

Russian forces liberated the Donetsk People’s Republic settlement of Vremyevka, just west of Velikaya Novosyolka. Kiev regime occupation forces inside Velikaya Novosyolka are now mostly encircled (map included): https://news-pravda.com/world/2025/01/17/983791.html

The details continue emerging of how Kiev regime troops (including Western mercenaries) massacred civilians in the DPR’s Selidovo before fleeing in late October: https://southfront.press/black-tuesday-how-the-afu-strewn-the-town-with-corpses/

A surrendered Ukrainian soldier stated that the Kiev regime is burning its dead troops’ bodies to avoid paying their families. They also burn Western mercenaries’ bodies to hide their presence: https://sputnikglobe.com/20250117/ukrainian-forces-burn-soldiers-bodies-to-avoid-paying-families---pow-1121442354.html

A combat summary for today (plus videos): https://southfront.press/overview-of-military-situation-in-ukraine-january-17-2025/

[–] [email protected] 23 points 2 days ago

A surrendered Ukrainian soldier stated that the Kiev regime is burning its dead troops’ bodies to avoid paying their families. They also burn Western mercenaries’ bodies to hide their presence

If this is true then what they said about Russian troops doing this to Koreans is yet another of the millions of examples of projection coming from the West

[–] [email protected] 61 points 3 days ago (1 children)

NEW: We reconstructed @samhusseini's viral confrontation with Antony Blinken by combining footage from multiple sources, including @amrhsayed & @ryangrim. A must-see.

This was the culmination of months of State Dept stonewalling.

“Why aren't you in The Hague??”

video at https://xcancel.com/decensorednews/status/1880230957070029141

[–] [email protected] 36 points 2 days ago

regarding both blinken and miller. illegal-to-say

[–] [email protected] 41 points 2 days ago

Had a beautiful fantasy today imagining right after Trump takes office, a massive mobilization of people coming together to march on wherever Biden is with the campaign of a Citizen’s Arrest of Biden. And/or Blinken, Miller, etc. Like a Jan 6th of trying to physically get Biden and try him in a People’s Court. This would never work out obviously lol but because Trump is Trump I don’t think he would put up too much of a fight against it with federal forces. Maybe it’d just be secret service aiming guns at protestors. But just thinking about a million people coming together to march on that one aim…beautiful

[–] [email protected] 44 points 2 days ago (3 children)
[–] [email protected] 35 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Blessed Timeline: Both Trump and Biden get sick during Inauguration, like William Henry Harrison, and both die.

[–] [email protected] 17 points 2 days ago

not the Year of Four Presidents I wanted, but...

[–] [email protected] 21 points 2 days ago

President Vance will be a spectacle.

[–] [email protected] 17 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

Good excuse to hold it indoors so he can't be shot at.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 day ago

Super duper spreader. The best spreader!

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[–] [email protected] 33 points 2 days ago

Apparently the surprise musical guest at the inauguration is going to be Nelly?

[–] [email protected] 56 points 3 days ago (15 children)

Under Brazil's presidency, BRICS announces the entry of Cuba, Bolivia and six other countries as partners. The countries join the bloc as partners, with a lower status than full members, but with the possibility of participating in summits and thematic meetings. According to Friday's announcement, the following countries have joined the BRICS as partners:

  • Belarus
  • Bolivia
  • Kazakhstan
  • Cuba
  • Malaysia
  • Thailand
  • Uganda
  • Uzbekistan
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[–] [email protected] 56 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (3 children)

seems fairly brazen from iran (if true/not old stuff), i would assume they would have suspended this part of the operations. kinda darkly funny how open hts is about its preferences

[–] [email protected] 39 points 3 days ago (1 children)

Only the Khmer Rouge immediately turning on Vietnam after the war can approach this level of cuckoldry

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[–] [email protected] 37 points 2 days ago (1 children)
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[–] [email protected] 69 points 3 days ago (5 children)

SC has upheld the ban on Tiktok lmao

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/17/supreme-court-rules-to-uphold-tiktok-ban.html

Now its up to the executive to enforce it. Biden has decided to leave it up to trump, and trump has signaled he won't enforce it either

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 day ago

And thus establishing precedence to unilaterally nuke anything not in line with Wall Street and US Gov propaganda. They couldn't compete on fair grounds so they change the rules andnwe have no say in it.

They alsways say if you don't like it leave. So people stopped consuming ZNN and Faux and BSNBC and they baned the alternatives to restrict even the ability to leave or consume not State Dept propaganda and hateful drivel and pharma ads.

Thing is worst thing you can do to an American is tell them "no" or "you can't do that". (That show needs to make a comeback.)

[–] [email protected] 53 points 3 days ago (10 children)

The USA screeching about the great firewall for decades in light of this is so funny.

One day Americans will find principles beyond might is right, but not today.

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[–] [email protected] 49 points 3 days ago (1 children)

Trump, China's Xi hold call on TikTok, trade, Taiwan

WASHINGTON, Jan 17 (Reuters) - U.S. President-elect Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping discussed issues including TikTok, trade and Taiwan in a phone call on Friday, just days before Trump takes office again promising tariffs that could ratchet up tensions between the world's two biggest economies.

Both leaders were upbeat about the call, with Trump calling it "a very good one" and Xi saying he and Trump both hoped for a positive start to U.S.-China relations, according to Chinese state broadcaster CCTV.

It was the first known phone call between the pair after Trump's election in November.

The U.S. and China are embroiled in an array of diplomatic and economic disagreements, including an accelerating technological and military rivalry and bitter trade disputes. Marco Rubio, Trump's nominee to be his secretary of state, has defined China as the gravest threat facing the U.S. and warned about the risks of possible military conflict between the two countries.

The call came shortly before U.S. Supreme Court on Friday announced a ruling upholding a law that mandates TikTok owner ByteDance divest TikTok's U.S. assets by Sunday to a non-Chinese buyer, or be banned on national security concerns.

"The call was a very good one for both China and the U.S.A. It is my expectation that we will solve many problems together, and starting immediately. We discussed balancing Trade, Fentanyl, TikTok, and many other subjects," Trump wrote on his social media platform.

"President Xi and I will do everything possible to make the World more peaceful and safe!"

Xi raised China's concerns about Taiwan, which Beijing maintains is part of its territory, and said he hoped the U.S. would treat the matter with great care.

"The Taiwan issue concerns China's national sovereignty and territorial integrity, and he hopes the U.S. side will handle it with caution," he said according to Chinese state television.

Xi said the United States and China can have their differences but must respect each other's core interests, and that trade relations can be mutually beneficial without confrontation and conflict, comments similar to those he made during Trump's first term.

The Chinese readout of the call said the two leaders agreed to set up a "channel of strategic communication to keep in regular touch on major issues of shared interest."

Trump offered strong support to Taiwan, including regularizing arms sales, in his first term. But during the campaign last year, he said Taiwan should pay the U.S. to be defended.

The Republican president-elect, who upended trade relations in his first term, is about to embark on an even more aggressive effort in his second term. He has pledged to impose an additional 10% tariff on Chinese goods unless Beijing does more to stop trafficking of the highly addictive narcotic fentanyl, and he threatened tariffs in excess of 60% on Chinese goods while on the campaign trail.

Trump said on Jan. 6 that he and Xi have been communicating through representatives, expressing optimism about their relationship.

Zack Cooper, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute think tank, said whether Trump in coming days would permit TikTok to operate without a qualified divestment and whether he applied tariffs on China quickly or first began negotiations with Beijing would be early indicators of how confrontational his stance toward China would be.

Trump posted online later that his decision on TikTok would be coming soon, and that "everyone must respect" the Supreme Court ruling.

Breaking with tradition, Trump had invited Xi and other foreign leaders to his Jan. 20 inauguration, but China is sending Vice President Han Zheng, a move signaling Beijing's desire to step up communication with the incoming administration.

Still, any "grand bargain" between the two sides over trade, Taiwan and other strategic issues would be difficult to reach, said Scott Kennedy, a China expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies think tank in Washington.

"There's an immense amount of distance between what one can imagine and actually achieving such an outcome. The interests between the U.S. and China on many of these issues are different and the views of key advisors to both are quite hawkish," Kennedy said.

Folks, we’re gonna do so many great things, folks. lmao this guy.

But as I’ve said, there is a good chance of easing US-China tension with Biden gone.

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[–] [email protected] 28 points 2 days ago

Marco Rubio To Unsuccessfully Seek a New Interventionist Adventure in Venezuela - Telesur English

Article

The U.S. politician proposes reconsidering Chevron’s License in this South American country. On Wednesday, Republican Senator Marco Rubio presented his confirmation hearing as the next U.S. Secretary of State, a position he is expected to assume after Donald Trump’s inauguration on January 20.

Known as one of the most hostile U.S. politicians toward independent governments, he suggested that Washington should reconsider the oil licenses granted to energy companies to operate in Venezuela. The next chief of U.S. diplomacy criticized President Joe Biden for negotiating with President Nicolas Maduro, whom Rubio baselessly accused of ‘fostering migratory flows’ toward the U.S.

Although the Biden administration reversed sanctions relief against Venezuela in April 2024, the transnational company Chevron continues to operate in this South American country thanks to an individual license. During his presentation, Rubio also accused Russia of having a strong presence in Venezuela, even going so far as to suggest that “the Iranians are already starting to build drone factories.” This claim, too, was unsupported by any evidence.

Despite the barrage of threats and false information, “Rubio’s aggressive statement against Venezuela does not signal a shift in foreign policy toward Caracas under Trump 2.0,” said political analyst William Serafino. “The next U.S. Secretary of State is not an organic politician within the MAGA universe. While this ideological current is more radicalized compared to Trump’s first term, it views Venezuela as a second- or third-tier issue,” he explained, and argued that Rubio is “a hawk by design” who generates mistrust even within the political bloc led by the future U.S. president.

“For Trump, revisiting the ‘Venezuelan swamp’ that the Guaido project represented and exposing himself to a new punitive interventionist adventure against Venezuela, as Rubio wants, would mean betraying everything he said during the campaign about the U.S. relationship with the world,” Serafino believes.

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