chapotraphouse

this is from a couple years ago. everyone is here thinking this is like minority report but it's not about individual behavior, this is just about using predictive models to self-justify racist policing patterns:

Fears of “The Thought Police” are probably running through your head right now, but Chattopadhyay is keen to stress that the focus isn’t on individuals, “We do not focus on predicting individual behavior, and do not suggest that anyone be charged with a crime that they didn’t commit, or be incarcerated for that. Our model learns from, and then predicts, event patterns in the urban space, for example, predicting that within a two block radius around the intersection of 67th Street and SW Avenue, there is a high risk of a homicide a week from now. It does not indicate who is going to be the victim or the perpetrator,” she says.

https://archive.ph/zgUjs

With 90% accuracy it will successfully identify 90 out of 100 criminals and falsely accuse 90 out of 1000 innocent people.

pub fn predict_crime(suspect: Person) -> bool {
   if suspect.race() == Race::Black {
       return true;
   } else {
       return false;
   }
}

U Chicago continuing its proud reactionary legacy https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chicago_Boys

Wow how innovative

Insider trading is probably very predictable, with enough data.

The Torment Nexus is only when you do 1984, not Minority Report.

Predicts police behaviour not crime. And who can't do that.

Can’t wait until in “freedomland” I get arrested not because I commit any crimes, but because I look like someone who might.

“Red always sus” but in real life.

Does it poop out cute little billard balls too?

We do not focus on predicting individual behavior, and do not suggest that anyone be charged with a crime that they didn’t commit, or be incarcerated for that. Our model learns from, and then predicts, event patterns in the urban space, for example, predicting that within a two block radius around the intersection of 67th Street and SW Avenue, there is a high risk of a homicide a week from now. It does not indicate who is going to be the victim or the perpetrator.

…

We found that when stressed, the law enforcement response is seemingly different in high socio-economic-status (SES) areas compared to their more disadvantaged neighboring communities. It is suggested in the paper, that when crime rates spike, the higher SES neighborhoods tend to get more attention at the cost of resources drawn away from poorer neighborhoods.

link