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submitted 1 week ago* (last edited 2 days ago) by SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net to c/news@hexbear.net

A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like "in Minecraft") and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is of the Jazan refinery complex in southwestern Saudi Arabia, near the Yemeni border. The big squares depict large thermal signatures - i.e. giant fires caused by missile strikes.


My weekly preamble is in spoiler tags below.

preambleAs many predicted quite early on in this conflict, the US simply does not have the stockpiles nor production lines to maintain the firing rates we saw in March and April. There's at least five strictly military problems:

  1. Not enough interceptors to shoot down Iranian missiles, and many missiles get through regardless. This includes a dearth of interceptors in the Zionist entity proper.

  2. Not enough stand-off munitions to cause a real breakdown of Iran's military and society. There's enough left in the submarines and in whatever stockpiles they have mustered to give one last very serious barrage before they're just completely out (unless they start taking all their missiles out of the Pacific and Europe), but even if this is done, this shock and awe failed the first time around, and the missile cities have proven impregnable to Western military technology.

  3. Not enough penetration of Iranian airspace to allow a transition from stand-off bombs to their near-endless supply of glide/gravity bombs. On the edges of Iranian territory it can be possible, but doing so any further inside causes exponential risk to the bombers. Notably, Reaper drones can carry JDAMs, hence why they continue to be used so much despite how often they're getting shot down.

  4. Not enough naval power to reopen Hormuz. Otherwise, the US could hypothetically wait out Iran and exert economic and covert pressure to encourage political collapse; with Hormuz in Iran's hands, the US's delaying tactics favor Iran instead.

  5. Not enough functioning and safe bases from which to launch counterattacks. Due to debasification (a word that has now spread far and wide after Amerikanet's coining, lol), the US has been pushed back away from the Gulf. This dangerously overpopulates rear bases with planes and makes it so sortie rates are reduced due to how much distance you have to travel and how many refuelers you need per bomber.

No angry proclamations, media offensives, or tacky AI image posts can change this reality, and boy is Trump putting out a lot of that last one. This is why, after the two weeks of attacks we just saw, we see the US very reticent to try and escalate further, and Trump's threat over last weekend to really start bombing Iran did not occur. This is being reflected in the US media, with several worried articles talking about how there just aren't enough missiles to keep the conflict going much longer. One of the only options left is to use ground/special forces to do... something, though pretty much no matter what target he selects, it's hard to imagine it breaking Iran, or doing much to end the conflict, or even being a successful operation past the point where you've landed troops somewhere. We saw the "pilot rescue" (uranium heist) operation fail and aborted before the forces could even step foot off the runway they landed on.

It is into this environment that Ansarallah has suddenly declared a blockade of Saudi Arabia - an architect of the blockade of Yemen and one of the major causes of the country's internal divisions between Ansarallah and comprador groups - and is turning their ships around at the entrance to the Red Sea, thereby cutting off a good chunk of the Saudi's remaining oil exports. Ansarallah has proven they were not interested in some cautious, gradual climb up the escalation ladder; when the Saudis hit a couple Yemeni port facilities, they went ahead and hit Jazan and Yanbu so hard that the fires were still raging a day or two after the initial strikes. The US is apparently asking for the MoU back, and this time with Ansarallah also placated, but it appears Iran is much less interested in the MoU now after it was thoroughly violated by the US the first time - and if it does return to it, it might have much more hardline demands.


Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] CyborgMarx@hexbear.net 73 points 2 days ago

Do the libs and soft left hate Claudia Sheinbaum? I just got blindsided by an avalanche of Claudia hate on TikTok while browsing a bunch of "left" communities

Like straight up MAGA talking points; "She's a cartel asset", "She's corrupt", "she's authoritarian" and very little pushback

WTF happened?

[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 27 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Do the libs and soft left hate Claudia Sheinbaum? I just got blindsided by an avalanche of Claudia hate on TikTok while browsing a bunch of "left" communities Like straight up MAGA talking points; "She's a cartel asset", "She's corrupt", "she's authoritarian" and very little pushback

Latinos can be Libs in the US and Far-Right Chuds in their country, the Democrats literally have the Somozas (Nicaraguan Dictator Family) as their main Latino Voter Organizer. Also, Claudia is a woman and jewish, so you can imagine how much these chuds hate her.

WTF happened?

Claudia handled pretty poorly a workers' strike recently but a lot of the protests feel fake, or diracted at PAN/PRI rather than Claudia.

Trump and the US have been trying to coup Mexico and return with PAN or PRI because MORENA have been critical of the US, Israel and Europe. In a month or so you can expect them to do the same with Lula da Silva and the Brazilian Supreme Court, and also attacks against Cuba, Nicaragua and Uruguay (which already begun). It's a full-out assault against the LatAm Left because the US is desperate to have some victory and not lose the region to "China/Russia".

[-] CredibleBattery@hexbear.net 12 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

the Democrats literally have the Somozas (Nicaraguan Dictator Family) as their main Latino Voter Organizer

cereal2 cereal2 cereal2 cereal2 WTF ITS REAL

Rolling out my uhhh..... Humans Rights expert, Eva Hitler Jr., to win over the german diaspora vote

dennis-stare

should tell you more than enough about this demographic cause it actually works

[-] TechnoAnomie@hexbear.net 31 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

A quick googling suggests it's the most non-shocking of reasons (warning: gusano brain damage):

In 2022, Mexico opposed expelling Russia from the United Nations Human Rights Council after the invasion of Ukraine. “Mexico will abstain from supporting the draft resolution suspending Russia from its rights as a member of the Human Rights Council” said Ambassador Juan Ramon de la Fuente, who now is Mexico’s foreign minister. Vladimir Putin was also invited to Sheinbaum’s presidential inauguration. (He declined to attend.)

lol at:

Sheinbaum has also snubbed President Biden. He announced plans for a meeting with her, but she surprisingly said no. “I don’t have plans to meet with him soon,” said Sheinbaum. She also noted that Mexico wants to be “very respectful” of the U.S. electoral process.

[-] Lemmygradwontallowme@hexbear.net 64 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

libs and soft left

wtyp

such scum like that, I swear, these people will support western imperial foreign policy, even if Trump, against Latin America, against West Asia, against China

It's always those types from National 'Democratic' Institute (NDI), American Center for International Labor Solidarity (aka Solidarity Center), of the National Endowment for 'Democracy', USAID, and all those State Department state and NGO cutouts,

like AOC taking up new relations with the former Bolivia coup gov't of Jeanine Anez and even Mamdani condemning Venezuela and Cuba, like he's preparing his ass for such a similar arc

And tis only the iceberg

[-] CyborgMarx@hexbear.net 43 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

But you see that's what tripped me up, these communities are all in for Iran; comments like "Iran has the right to defend itself" are a dime a dozen and they like Melachion.....But Trump is somehow correct on Mexico?! It's incoherent and I don't know what to make of this bizarre tangle of mutually exclusive takes these people have

2.5k likes for a comment tearing into Hasan for declaring Claudia as his second favorite politician, as if he said Putin or some shit

I feel like I woke up in a silo, cause some real goofy ass psyops are gaining traction out there

[-] hotcouchguy@hexbear.net 39 points 1 day ago

Yeah I know people like this. They're soft left, or new, either way they still default to the mainstream "common sense" position in many cases without realizing they're doing it. Especially on foreign countries/leaders/conflicts.

In a case where they're confronted with it directly, like Israel, they'll reach the right conclusion. But in cases where it's just kind of a background issue (DPRK) or where they'd have to know some history (Ukraine) they just go with the "obvious" position without really questioning it.

Also, for whatever reason, opinion on foreign topics is policed more than domestic. Like "Elon Musk is a fascist who should be thrown in a volcano" is more-or-less ok, but "we should leave Cuba alone" will get you put on the actual enemies list.

[-] jack@hexbear.net 46 points 1 day ago

Also, for whatever reason, opinion on foreign topics is policed more than domestic. Like "Elon Musk is a fascist who should be thrown in a volcano" is more-or-less ok, but "we should leave Cuba alone" will get you put on the actual enemies list.

could it be that the primary contradiction is imperialism???

[-] Boise_Idaho@hexbear.net 36 points 2 days ago

Maybe it's a psyop where they accumulate leftist cred by offering tepid support for Iran only to cash in by shitting on Sheinbaum.

[-] Lemmygradwontallowme@hexbear.net 30 points 2 days ago

Yeah, something like that.

Putin's in my top 10

[-] IranOuttaOil@hexbear.net 32 points 2 days ago
[-] userse31@hexbear.net 26 points 1 day ago

That's all Tiktok here in the US became after that weird ban thing.

[-] kristina@hexbear.net 31 points 2 days ago

i get doing critical support but it does seem like theres a lot of pushback rn for some reason

this post was submitted on 27 Jul 2026
129 points (100.0% liked)

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