[–] 11 points 6 days ago (2 children)

They're actually fucked when a western insurgency happens too because that shit will also not be uncontrollable when it starts happening domestically in western countries by various extremist/radical forces. If the old post-ww2 left had drones in the 60s-80s I don't think Europe would be liberal anymore.

Yes, but they can also do Jakarta method supported with 10000x the surveillance data and with LLM-supported analysts. Sure they'll kill uninvolved randos like 1/3 of the time, but that's already assumed as part of the strategy.

Not saying it will 100% work for them of course, but the tech advances cut both ways.

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  • [–] 33 points 6 days ago (3 children)

    If Macron somehow could brutalize XX millions of Africans to slave away in the mines in order to ensure that french people could retire at 60 with good healthcare and good student/teacher ratios they would all be happy and content.

    But they can't anymore. Isn't that (one of) the root cause of the whole US/Euro/NATO decline in the first place?

    Revolutions don't happen because the moral character of millions suddenly improves, it happens because of material and economic root causes.

    But you're correct that it requires a degree (and type) of organization that isn't currently present.

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    Sad to see random sailors get killed, but regardless still have to hand it to the Houthis for an extremely successful ongoing campaign. Shipping volumes passing through are down dramatically, and alternate routes are adding a lot of delay and expense. It's costing Egypt a lot of money in lost transit tolls as well. And shipping was in a less-than-ideal state to begin with, due to the Panama canal drought and issues with shipbuilding.

    Insurance rates were already keeping most higher value cargo out, it's currently mostly bulk goods, crude oil, and some refined petroleum products still transiting; that's why we never hear about container ships being hit, they were generally the first to leave.

    This attack will further increase insurance rates and further increase pressure on the west to "do something" but other than a ceasefire they don't have a lot of good options.

    Need job recs (hexbear.net)
     

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