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Interesting counter tarriff tactic I have been thinking about: threaten to ban X from Canada, Mexico, etc.

Trump executive order of cutting foreign aid may have partially crippled US regime change network

https://xcancel.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1885473025476145386#m

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/01/31/trump-california-water-00201909

Local officials had to talk the Army Corps of Engineers down after it abruptly alerted them Thursday afternoon it was about to increase flows from two reservoirs to maximum capacity — a move the agency said was in response to Trump directing the federal government to “maximize” water supplies. Before the Corps ratcheted down its plan, local authorities scrambled to move equipment and warn farms about possible flooding, said Victor Hernandez, who oversees water management on one of the rivers, the Kaweah in Tulare County. He said the Corps gave him one hour notice on Thursday. “I’ve been here 25 years, and I’ve never been given notice that quick,” Hernandez said. “That was alarming and scary.”

...It also reduces the amount of irrigation water available to farmers during the driest months of the year. The snowpack in the Southern Sierra Nevada that California depends on for water supplies in the summer has dipped to 47 percent of average for this time of year after a dry January, according to state estimates released Friday. “We need to keep every bit that we have, because this potentially is irrigation water that we have up there,” Hernandez said.

turns out that when trump said that he had the military release the water in california he just meant he made the army corps open up the dams???

The military government of Myanmar is losing to the Rebel Groups, and badly. https://www.voanews.com/a/myanmar-s-rebels-closing-in-around-junta-into-fifth-year-of-civil-war-/7958145.html

somethings really afoot though, news about myanmar from western outlets and channels have suddenly all remembered myanmar exists and written quite a lot about them in the last few days. Its suspicious, it could be capitalists trying to signal their want for US involvement in the civil war. It could also be a targeted propaganda campaign already pre planned in order to make sure people are clued into the conflict.

I think this seems to be another Assad situation. The Military government is pretty unpopular domestically and is losing quite a bit of ground. I would be surprised if they lasted to 2027. Supplied by both Russia and China, theyve been able to keep some flow of weapons, but are suffering a lot from manpower issues. Conscription has been enacted, but conscripts are a poor replacement for trained soldiers. According to reports, they only hold about 21% of the land and are losing lots of territory. They also have extended their emergency rule for another 6 months, throwing doubt on the ability to follow through with their 2025 election. They've lost large amounts of territory, thousands of soldiers, and 2 regional commands. They're not dead yet though, as they have some ability to retake some territory and win some battles, but again 21%. Rebels currently are making steady progress towards the second largest city in the country.

while I don't like the rebels, they are western aligned, they have popular support and are allied to many of Myanmar's ethnic minority defence groups. Im wondering who really has the power in this situation though, since many of the gains seem to be made by the Ethnic armies, not the NUG. This revolutionary energy could be fueled to establish a socialist federation, but won't, and the popular revolutionary energy is fueled toward the NUG. It'll probably be another pro-west bourgeoisie democracy. It will probably then turn against the ethnic rebels and we'll end up basically where myanmar was pre coup. Probably will have a strong military influence on politics as well, since the rebel forces seem to be made up of officers and very little political groups. By then, people will be extremely tired of war and more likely to accept any conflict resolution than another civil war. In the midst of "It Happened" stands a stronger, unmovable "nothing ever happens". Would be neat if the Communist Party of Burma could somehow come out on top, but they have only around 1000 soldiers and don't control a large amount of territory.

China's interests in the region are still secure, but siding with the Junta is a bad idea, one I understand though. China doesn't want a western aligned power to take over a china aligned state, and is trying to make sure their economic investments in the area are protected and their mineral income is continued. They have deep ties with many Ethnic Minority states, especially on their border, and the NUG forces, mostly again to protect infrastructure investments and keep the minerals flowing. They might flip back to the NUG as the Junta starts collapsing over the next year or so, especially since the new US administration seems to be really cutting back on foreign aid. The General in charge of the rebel government forces complained quite a bit about how much aid ukraine got and how much he wanted that aid. He was basically begging for anti aircraft systems "like in ukraine" lol. China could definitely swoop in and back the rebels, which while hurting their reputation, is probably the best move long term. China's only interest is to keep Myanmar from being pro-west, keep control of Myanmar's mineral flow, and protect other investments in the area.

With regards to the Ukraine war and Russia's planned air attack, of which the preparations have taken place for over the past week: it seems as if tonight is the night it is taking place. The first two phases of the attack have already occurred. Right now, Russian bombers are set to be approaching the launch lines for a cruise missile attack. This is likely to be the third phase of the attack within the past few hours. If you want live updates on the situation from air raid monitoring channels, here is a mostly reliable one in English, AMK Mapping

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Ukraine tried to pre-empt this attack as usual with the launch of long range NATO guided and targeted weapons into Russian territory a few days ago (this time a Storm Shadow/SCALP-EG air launched cruise missile attack that was unsuccessful and intercepted).

Today’s news from the Donbass and Kursk oblast.

Russian forces continue advancing near the Kiev-occupied DPR city of Krasnoarmeysk (AKA “Pokrovsk”): https://southfront.press/russian-army-grinds-ukrainian-reserve-brigades-foreign-mercenaries-surrounds-pokrovsk1a/

The Western imperialist disinformation campaign about “North Korean troops in Kursk” is collapsing: https://www.moonofalabama.org/2025/01/cianyt-remove-north-korean-soldiers-from-ukraines-front-line.html

The West’s Ukrainian Nazi proxies brutally murdered 22 civilians in the Kursk oblast village of Russkoye Porechnoye (this atrocity is the true face of “Maidan democracy”): https://www.rt.com/russia/611953-kursk-village-ukrainian-massacre/

America is falling apart

Small plane crashes in Philadelphia, causing explosion and fire

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ckg0m5n8g0do

From the 25th to the 29th, in a period of 83 hours, the Deepseek server cluster was hit by more than 230 million DDos malicious requests per second. The total amount of attack was equivalent to the total network traffic in Europe for three days.

https://xcancel.com/MacaesBruno/status/1885417087994036511#m

Update on the deportation flights situation: Honduras gives in fully, México still standing firm and holding out, no updates for the other countries involved.

There were two US military deportation flights that took place today, which were the fifth and sixth total. The fifth flight was the usual route from the US to Guatemala avoiding México's airspace, so I won't talk about it further. The sixth flight was different, a US Air Force C-17 Globemaster transport aircraft, callsign RCH116, flew from Texas, United States; to Honduras, while avoiding México's airspace. This is the first military deportation flight to land in Honduras, previously Honduras only allowed these US military aircraft to use their airspace, and not to carry out deportation flights directly. Another first is that this was a combined operations between the United States' Coast Guard and Air Force, with a Coast Guard C-130J, callsign C2010, flying the first leg of the flight within the United States, from San Diego, California; to Harlingen, Texas.

As an overall update:

Countries that have allowed the United States to conduct deportation flights to them directly using US military aircraft:

Guatemala.
Ecuador.
Honduras.

Countries that allow the United States to use their airspace to conduct deportations using US military aircraft to other countries, but have not accepted US military deportation flights themselves:

Costa Rica.
Nicaragua.
Belize.

Countries that put up resistance to deportation flights using US military aircraft and turned them away ( and used their own planes for repatriating their citizens), however the United States says that they will accept military deportation flights in future (no such flights have taken place as of 31st January 2025, remains to be seen if/when any will take place):

Colombia.

Countries that do not allow the United States to use their airspace for US military aircraft deportation flights and have not accepted US military aircraft deportation flights themselves, but do allow the United States to use their airspace for civilian aircraft deportation flights to other countries:

México.

Overall as the threat of tarrifs and sanctions looms, more and more countries are relenting to the United States' demands. When I started reporting on this a week ago, only Guatemala accepted military deportation flights directly, with Honduras, Nicaragua and Costa Rica allowing them to use their airspace, and México denying the use of their airspace. So the changes from a week ago are evident.

https://archive.is/EDp05

Senior U.S. official to exit after rift with Musk allies over [Treasury] payment system

Hebrew media reports that IDF soldiers came under gunfire in Quneitra, Syria. A newly formed Islamic Resistance group (possibly Iran-backed) has taken responsibility for the attack on IDF forces in Quneitra, Syria

The group, calling itself the 'Islamic Resistance Front in Syria', likely consisting of Syrian Shiites, uploaded the following statement: 'The clashes between the resistance fighters and the enemy forces that penetrated the village of 'Tarnajah' in the northern Quneitra countryside have stopped, and they withdrew from the area under supportive fire cover and reconnaissance aircraft. The resistance fighters withdrew to their positions safely and victoriously with the help and grace of God.'

ALMA, an Israeli military think tank, seems to agree that the group is, in fact, real. It was likely formed as an armed off-shoot of the SSNP and other former Syrian government loyalists, in addition to Syrian Shia Muslims.

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Plane crash in Philly in the US

https://www.cbsnews.com/philadelphia/news/plane-crash-cottman-roosevelet/

honestly i think trump is just legit running the US like a corporation in active competition and a lot of his actions make sense from that lense

Will there be enough government bureaucracy left to implement Trump's tariffs?

Elon will be the American Himmler. Complete with trying to create his own state/fantasising about couping Hitler

These mandem going on about immigrants and a foreigner elon who has questionable legal status is pushing up on the US treasury department

Italy has blocked the Chinese chatbot DeepSeek, Reuters reports. DeepSeek is blocked in the Apple and Google app stores.

The blocking comes after local authorities decided to investigate how exactly DeepSeek uses users' personal data. The regulator is demanding explanations about what data is collected, for what purpose and whether it is stored in China.

Companies linked to DeepSeek have until February 17 to respond to the Italian watchdog's requests. If found to be in breach of privacy laws, the chatbot could face significant fines or restrictions.

ChatGPT also collects data and sends to Sam Altman and Elon Musk.