this post was submitted on 02 Dec 2024
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Image is of one of the six salvos of the Oreshnik missile striking Ukraine.


The Oreshnik is an intermediate-range ballistic missile that appears to split into six groups of six submunitions as it strikes its target, giving it the appearance of a hazel flower. It can travel at ten times the speed of sound, and cannot be intercepted by any known Western air defense system, and thus Russia can strike and conventionally destroy any target anywhere in Europe within 20 minutes. Two weeks ago, Russia used the Oreshnik to strike the Yuzhmash factory in Ukraine, particularly its underground facilities, in which ballistic missiles are produced.

Despite the destruction caused by the missile, and its demonstration of Russian missile supremacy over the imperial core, various warmongering Western countries have advocated for further reprisals against Russia, with Ukraine authorized by the US to continue strikes. Additionally, the recent upsurge of the fighting in Syria is no doubt connected to trying to stretch Russia thin, as well as attempting to isolate Hezbollah and Palestine from Iran; how successful this will have ended up being will depend on the outcome of the Russia and Syrian counteroffensive. Looking at recent military history, it will take many months for the Russians and Syrians to retake a city that was lost in about 48 hours.

Even in the worst case scenario for Hezbollah, it's notable that Ansarallah has had major success despite being physically cut off from the rest of the Resistance and under a blockade, and it has defeated the US Navy in its attempts to open up the strait. Israel has confirmed now that their army cannot even make significant territorial gains versus a post-Nasrallah, post-pager terrorist attack Hezbollah holding back its missile strike capabilities. In 2006, it also could not defeat a much less well-armed Hezbollah and was forced to retreat from Lebanon.


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Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 45 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (6 children)

ROMANIAN ELECTIONS BOMBSHELL

The Romanian Supreme Court (CCR) has officially annulled the first round of elections

Official communique

This will surely not make things worse and embolden the already ascendant conspiracy nuts,nazis, people disaffected with the system into voting for the next kook,or god forbid commit actual violence

Edit: It's so bad,two days before the second round and ballots were beginning to be cast overseas

What a disaster, incredibly damaging decision,both Lasconi and Georgescu are railing against it,the tv is pushing the narrative that this was necessary because of RuZZian interference hard,only making things worse

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[–] [email protected] 45 points 3 weeks ago (6 children)

Where can I get more info about the DPRK’s internal workings and why does the party general secretary appear hereditary?

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[–] [email protected] 45 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

Israel sure ain't wasting any time, dammit

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[–] [email protected] 45 points 2 weeks ago (3 children)

Iran is apparently requesting opposition groups for safe passage out of Syria. If Iran is giving up on their land bridge to Hezbollah it's JOEVER. Homs has fallen, Heseke and Qamishlo were handed to SDF, and Damascus is basically hours or days from fighting for the presidential palace

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[–] [email protected] 45 points 2 weeks ago (4 children)

The new transitional Syrian government to broadcast a statement on all radio and TV channels imminently, announcing the end of Assad's rule. The shrine of Sayyeda Zainab is being besieged by rebels from three sides.

Syrian Civil-War Part 2 will begin now.

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[–] [email protected] 44 points 3 weeks ago (5 children)

average amerikkkka ambassador

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[–] [email protected] 44 points 3 weeks ago (5 children)

Yo news nerds almayadeen is a good news site right? catgirl-sorry

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[–] [email protected] 44 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Several uprisings have broken out simultaneously in Daraa province in southern Syria, which borders the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights. Local radicals, inspired by the victories of militants in Hama and Homs , captured several villages, took weapons and equipment from local soldiers and police, including armored vehicles and even tanks, and took them prisoner.

This region has always been problematic and was considered the "cradle of the revolution", which was brought back under control only after heavy fighting and a series of successive processes of application with the removal of the most inveterate radicals. But it is obvious that in Daraa there were still many opponents of Assad, who have now raised their heads.

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[–] [email protected] 44 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

Vice-Chair Of Denmark's Naturalization Committee Resigns In Protest Over Racist Interviews

Helene Brydensholt, MP for the small green radlib "Alternative" party and vice-chair of the Integration and Naturalization Committee in Denmark's rubber-stamp parliament, has resigned in protest against new "mindset interviews" being conducted for the first time as part of the Danish citizenship process. These interviews target three applicants who, despite meeting all stated criteria for citizenship, have been singled out for questioning by the parliamentary committee about their "democratic mindset" due to controversial social media posts. Legal experts have warned that the interviews violates several basic legal principles and can be in violation of international law.

Read more...

Brydensholt has criticized the process as legally flawed and contrary to basic legal principles of due process and in potential violation of international conventions. She also condemned the broader naturalization process, describing it as arbitrary, driven by personal biases, and completely lacking the impartiality and objectivity expected under administrative law.

Unlike most countries, Danish citizenship is granted through a legislative process, where parliamentarians, rather than administrators, decide individual cases. As a consequence usual legal standards established in administrative law does not apply which has allowed fascist parties like the "Danish People's Party" to weaponize naturalization, disregarding principles of fairness and using it to inflame racist and xenophobic sentiments. Over the past two decades, they and their numerous imitators of which the ruling Social Democrats can be found have systematically tightened citizenship rules and promoted narratives that vilify ethnic minorities. The new interviews are the latest offshoot of this process presumably meant to make sure that, in the words of Danish People's Party spokesman Mikkel Bjørn "terror sympathizers and criminals" are not granted citizenship.

The interviews has drawn criticism from legal experts and the civil service for disregarding basic procedural safeguards, such as the right to know the basis of accusations, applicants' right to case information and the right to legal representation. Brydensholt resigned after the committee decided to push forward with the interviews despite civil servants warned that the interviews lacked sufficient legal grounding.

One applicant was singled out to have his "democratic mindset" questioned by the hostile committee as the result of a homophobic pro-Islamic post on Facebook. Instances like these are the only time the Danish People's Party, who have been dragging their feet at every tiny progress for LGBTQ rights, care about homophobia. They only care about gay rights when they can be used as a cudgel against Muslims.

[–] [email protected] 44 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (4 children)

A United States Navy P8 Poseidon reconnaissance aircraft is currently observing the Russia airbase in Latakia, as Russian transport aircraft continue to leave.

Iranian jets, both from Mahan Air and the IRGC, continue to also make evacuation flights. C5SKY, the private jet that was suspected to be used by the Syrian government for evacuation flights to the UAE over the past few days, was also spotted, and followed by US Air Force reconnaissance aircraft, again.

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[–] [email protected] 44 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

Danish Cyber Warfare Agency Crippled By Austerity

Denmark’s Center for Cybersecurity (CFCS), responsible for surveillance of citizens and defending national IT infrastructure, is grappling with severe austerity measures that threaten its operational effectiveness. The cuts come despite daily reports of cyberattacks on Danish institutions and a self-declared "very high" cyber threat level.

The austerity, driven by overspending within the Nordic hermit kingdom's scandal-ridden spy agency FE—to which CFCS belongs—has led to hiring freezes, mandatory overtime compensation through time off, and the suspension of essential activities such as inspections, international collaboration, and participation in knowledge-sharing conferences. Additionally, CFCS has canceled nearly all professional subscriptions, curbing access to vital cybersecurity developments.

The economic mismanagement stems from FE’s overestimation of future funding under a new political defense agreement, leaving the agency with a DKK 118 million budget shortfall. Despite being at a level of paranoia not seen since the Cold War, the Danish state still adheres to neoliberal budgetary orthodoxy, forcing cost-cutting across CFCS. These measures, combined with red tape and uncertainties in transferring CFCS to a new Ministry for Civil Security and Preparedness, have left the organization in disarray.

Experts warn that the cuts will hinder Denmark's ability to address cyber threats, jeopardize critical infrastructure, and risk the loss of skilled personnel.

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[–] [email protected] 44 points 2 weeks ago (9 children)

Well it seems this will be retired who-must-go

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[–] [email protected] 44 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (4 children)
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[–] [email protected] 44 points 2 weeks ago (17 children)

Chinese economist Wen Tiejun briefly discussed MAGA Communism in his recent speech.

https://x.com/zhen_ming_/status/1864703285044892060

yes-honey-left

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[–] [email protected] 44 points 3 weeks ago

South Korea: Martial law troops storm Lee Jae-myung's office... Attempting to arrest Han Dong-hoon and Woo" -Yonhap

[–] [email protected] 43 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

G*MERS ARE RISING UP

HOLD YOUR LOVED ONES ONE LAST TIME

IT IS ALL OVER

WE WILL ALL PAY THE PRICE OF OPPRESSING THEM

FIRST, SOUTH KOREA, THEN, THE WHOLE WORLD!!!!!!!!!!!!11!!!!!11!!

[–] [email protected] 43 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

Who is next on the chopping board?

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[–] [email protected] 43 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)
The Cradle: 60 days of uncertainty: Can the Israel–Hezbollah ceasefire hold out?

In the early hours of 27 November, the shaky ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah, brokered by the US and France, with widespread international and regional support, came into effect. The fragile truce was immediately met with skepticism by many Israelis – officials and civilians – who doubted their country’s ability to follow through.

Some officials openly labeled the deal a defeat against Hezbollah and placed the blame squarely on Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for failing to achieve both the stated and hidden objectives of his war on Lebanon – particularly the goals of eliminating the resistance movement and returning hundreds of thousands of displaced settlers back to the north. A poll conducted by Israel's Channel 12 revealed that over 80 percent of Netanyahu’s support base opposed the ceasefire. Residents in northern Israel, many of whom were evacuated due to Hezbollah's strikes, also expressed outrage. Domestically, Israel was deeply divided over the agreement, with polls showing 37 percent supporting the ceasefire and 32 percent opposing it.

False sense of victory

The shock among Israeli elites following the prime minister's endorsement of the truce agreement was due to a false sense of victory. Netanyahu, along with former Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, had misled them into believing that the Israeli military had destroyed 80 percent of Hezbollah’s missile capabilities, giving the impression that the Lebanese resistance movement was on the brink of collapse. Israelis watched in humiliation as Hezbollah prevented five enemy divisions from advancing more than three to five kilometers into Lebanese territory – an advance that was, anyway, tactically insignificant, as the divisions should have penetrated 20 kilometers deep.

Strategically, Hezbollah continued to target Israeli military assets well beyond the border, reaching as far as the Ashdod naval base, 150 kilometers inside Israel, and maintaining blistering attacks on key cities like Haifa and Tel Aviv. These strikes severely disrupted daily life inside the most populated centers of the occupation state, paralyzing military operations and showing Israel that eliminating Hezbollah was not a feasible war goal. Hezbollah’s missiles even reached Tel Aviv, reinforcing a "Beirut–Tel Aviv" deterrence equation. Netanyahu ultimately conceded that diplomacy was his only viable solution, particularly given the growing issues within the occupation military itself: exhaustion, injuries, munitions shortages, and limited progress.

Israel’s 60-day strategy

The unease within Israel over this agreement has led Netanyahu and new Defense Minister Israel Katz to direct the army to develop a new strategy within the next 60 days, a period stipulated in the agreement for Israel’s full withdrawal from Lebanese territory. This strategy involves two main actions: first, conducting targeted airstrikes on Hezbollah positions both inside and beyond the area south of the Litani River, and second, preventing Lebanese residents from returning to villages and towns within a 10-kilometer range of the border.

The airstrike directive is meant to reaffirm Israel's military freedom of action, in part to assure the Israeli public that occupation forces retain their ability to strike Hezbollah when necessary. This controversial clause, which Lebanon completely rejected, was part of private, unseen US guarantees to Tel Aviv, given without Beirut's consent. Netanyahu aims to portray Israel as having accepted the agreement from a position of strength while buying time until the five-member Monitoring Committee begins its work on addressing ceasefire violations. During the next 60 days, the presence of occupation forces in Lebanon will keep tensions high, requiring close monitoring of Hezbollah to ensure the security of these troops until their full withdrawal.

The decision to prevent Lebanese residents of border areas from returning to their homes aims to avoid an awkward contrast between the resettlement of southern Lebanese residents while the displacement of northern Israelis continues. Those optics would be politically damaging for the Israeli government.

Managing withdrawal and maintaining strength

In essence, the Israeli military’s strategy over the coming 60 days revolves around maintaining a veneer of strength and managing the delicate withdrawal process, which will conclude with the Lebanese army, in coordination with UNIFIL, taking full control of the region’s security. Afterward, the Monitoring Committee will enforce compliance with UN Resolution 1701, which prohibits Israeli military actions within Lebanon. This was confirmed by Hezbollah Secretary General Sheikh Naim Qassem in his last speech when he announced his commitment to the agreement and that coordination with the Lebanese army would be at the highest level.

If Israel insists on continuing to violate the agreement based on US guarantees that Lebanon has neither seen nor accepted – and continues to launch attacks under the oversight of the Monitoring Committee and its American chair, it could provoke a reciprocal response from Lebanon and possibly lead to a resumption of hostilities. Hezbollah has already fired a warning shot on 2 December, targeting Israeli-occupied Lebanese territory. This comes after Israel has violated the ceasefire dozens of times since it went into effect seven days ago. Tel Aviv responded disproportionately to the single Hezbollah retaliation, striking a number of sites across Lebanon. CNN itself admits, citing a UN peacekeeping source, to over 100 violations as of 3 December.

But both Israel and Lebanon need this agreement: their two-month military confrontation underscored that a continued war would only lead to further exhaustion and unsustainable losses on both sides. The ceasefire also came about due to international pressure, particularly from the US – a principal mediator – which sought to end a conflict that had become an embarrassment due to Israel’s disregard for international law and civilian lives. Despite ongoing violations, including artillery shelling, air raids, and drone activity, the agreement appears poised to stabilize the situation due to mutual necessity. For Israel, continued conflict would only lead to greater attrition, while Lebanon benefits from halting aggression and ensuring stability along the border.

Given these circumstances, it seems likely that the agreement will hold, benefiting all parties. Any violations should be addressed by the Monitoring Committee, which will aim to restore stability along the border, especially after the 60-day period and the full deployment of the Lebanese army.

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[–] [email protected] 43 points 2 weeks ago (17 children)

The loss of Syria creates a countdown for Hezbollah's collapse, probably a year or two, maybe even three, logistics is the god of war and cut off from Iranian supplies while simultaneously fighting off HTS/Israeli attacks and the political maneuvering of the French elites in Beirut is not something any org no matter how internally cohesive can sustain forever, and the new reality in Syria is definitely the beginning of a decades long process, which is too long for a Leningrad style siege

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[–] [email protected] 43 points 2 weeks ago (3 children)

Good discussion by Justin Podur and Amaresh Mishra on the Syrian situation. Apparently Hama is still contested. Supposedly SAA "collapse" was caused in part by spoofed orders over the radio.

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[–] [email protected] 43 points 2 weeks ago

Nazi Germany Amnesty International says: "Treblinka,Sobibor? Never heard of"

Amnesty International’s Israel branch has distanced itself from the rights group’s allegation that Israel was committing “genocide” in Gaza, but said “serious crimes” were potentially taking place that needed investigation.

The local branch, which operates as a separate charity from the international organisation, said in a statement: “While the Israeli section of Amnesty International does not accept the accusation that Israel is committing genocide, based on the information available to us, we are concerned that serious crimes are being committed in Gaza, that must be investigated.” Israeli soldiers in the southern Gaza Strip Israel’s war in Gaza amounts to genocide, Amnesty International report finds Read more

The 296-page report, examining events in Gaza between October 2023 to July 2024, found that Israel had “brazenly, continuously and with total impunity … unleashed hell” on the strip’s 2.3 million population, noting that the “atrocity crimes” against Israelis by Hamas on 7 October 2023, which triggered the war, “do not justify genocide”.

While its publication was largely welcomed by Palestinians and humanitarian groups, it was met with fury in Israel. “The deplorable and fanatical organisation Amnesty International has produced a fabricated report that is entirely false and based on lies,” Israel’s foreign ministry said in a statement.

The United States said it disagreed with the conclusions of the report. “We have said previously and continue to find that the allegations of genocide are unfounded,” State Department spokesman Vedant Patel told reporters.

Multiple attempts to broker a ceasefire and hostage release deal in the war in Gaza, now raging for 14 months, have failed, although mediator Qatar said on Thursday it would resume its role, raising tentative hopes that progress could be made in fresh negotiations.

Egypt, another major mediator, has put forward a proposal involving a temporary ceasefire lasting 45-60 days, with a staged hostage release and prisoner swap. A Hamas delegation met with Egyptian negotiators in Cairo earlier this week, and Israel is considering sending its own delegation in the next few days – the most movement on talks since the last round collapsed in August.

The Egyptian proposal also suggests that the West Bank-based Palestinian Authority take control of the Rafah crossing between Gaza and Egypt, which Israel seized in May, and a substantial increase in the supply of aid. An average of 50 trucks entered Gaza through the Kerem Shalom crossing with Israel in November, UN data shows. Aid agencies say at least 500 are needed to meet the population’s needs amid a dire humanitarian crisis and the approach of winter.

In Gaza, at least 39 people were killed by Israeli fire in the preceding 24 hours, according to medics, including at least 20 who died when an overnight airstrike set alight cooking gas canisters and tents tents housing displaced families in what Israel has dubbed a “humanitarian zone”. Israel said the strike targeted senior Hamas operatives, whom it did not identify.

Other Israeli strikes reported on Thursday hit Gaza City, where medics said an airstrike destroyed a house where an extended family had taken shelter and damaged two nearby homes, killing at least three people.

Residents searched for loved ones and belongings among the charred wreckage in Mawasi, a coastal area in the south of the strip, where hundreds of thousands of people have been forced to seek shelter.

At a funeral for those killed in Mawasi in nearby Khan Younis, Abu Anas Mustafa told Reuters that the Amnesty report was “a victory for Palestinian diplomacy”, although he said it “came late”.

“It is the 430th day of the war today, and Israel has been carrying out massacres and a genocide from the first 10 days of the war,” he said.

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