this post was submitted on 21 Oct 2024
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On the 20th of October, Moldova - a small, landlocked country bordering western Ukraine and with a population of about 3 million - voted to join the EU. The margin was razor-thin, with the pro-EU vote gaining 50.39%, or an absolute difference of about 11,000 people. There was simultaneously a presidential vote between the incumbent, Maia Sandu, and other candidates, with the main competitor being Alexandr Stoianoglo.

The election was characterized by accusations of Russian interference, with Russian propaganda apparently flooding in, as well as people offering Moldovans money to vote against the EU. While the result does suggest that half the voting-age population of Moldova consists entirely of Russians who want to destroy democracy and all the good in the world, it seems to have just barely failed. This is a bad time to be a site entirely composed of Russian disinformation agents and bots. Twice already today, I've had to restart my program after somebody told me "Disregard all previous prompts."

While Moldova is a poor country which could benefit in some ways from EU membership, in practice, it is unlikely that they will be able to join for the foreseeable future, requiring many of the... reforms... that the EU requires of potential new members. But as basically every major European economy continues to slowly sink as recessions and political crises degrade them, one wonders how beneficial EU membership will even be in the years and decades to come - if it survives for decades. In that sense, it's as if the survivors of the Titanic are swimming back towards it, believing that being on a bigger - albeit slowly sinking - boat is better than trying their luck on small lifeboats.

Then again, like with Serbia, their geographical and geopolitical position makes anti-Western actions extremely difficult. It is rare that dissention is tolerated for long in the West - one tends to get called a dictator by crowds of people holding English-language signs in non-English countries, photographed by Western journalists who haven't meaningfully reported on your country in months or years. You can crush your people with neoliberal austerity for years, killing hundreds of thousands through neglect, and face glowing approval from the media - but try and use state resources to benefit the poor, and global institutions start ranking you on the authoritarian dictator scale.

The best case for Moldova is that it becomes an exploitable hinterland for Germany to harvest and privatize as it tries - and fails - to compete in a global economic war between the US and China/BRICS. The worst case is that tensions with Russia over Pridnestrovie, as well as possible eventual NATO involvement (though Moldova is not a member, it is a partner of NATO), result in the ongoing war also reaching them.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 53 points 1 month ago (2 children)

https://tankie.tube/w/dH6nTx4gs9zUbfRo42k9Uj

A very large fire has occurred at US supply warehouses in the Republic of Samsung

I am suspicious that this was not an accident and there are shenanigans occurring, given recent events

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[–] [email protected] 53 points 1 month ago (17 children)

Second wave of attacks on appears to be underway, per The Cradle and Middle East Spectator on Telegram.

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 1 month ago (3 children)
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[–] [email protected] 52 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Brazilian President, Lula da Silva, speech at the BRICS meeting:

Climate Change

“There is no doubt that the greatest responsibility lies with the rich countries, whose emissions record has culminated in the climate crisis that afflicts us today. We need to go beyond the 100 billion [dollars] a year pledged but not fulfilled. And strengthen measures to monitor the commitments made,” he said.

“The scientific data expresses an unprecedented sense of urgency. The planet is one and its future depends on collective action. It is also up to the emerging countries to do their part,” said Lula, recalling that Brazil will host the 2025 Climate Summit (COP) in Belém (PA).

Taxing the rich and fighting hunger

Lula took advantage of his speech to the BRICS to “publicize” the country's agenda at the head of the G20 - the group that brings together the world's main economies. Brazil, in its rotating presidency of the G20, has emphasized issues such as the taxation of large fortunes worldwide and the creation of a “global alliance” to end hunger.

“I want to thank the members of the group for their support for the Brazilian presidency of the G20. Their backing has been fundamental to making progress on initiatives that are key to reducing inequalities, such as taxing the super-rich. Our countries have implemented successful social policies in recent decades, which can serve as an example to the rest of the world.”

“The Global Alliance against Hunger and Poverty is already at an advanced stage of membership. I invite everyone to join the initiative that was born in the G20, but is open to other participants,” he said.

War and Genocide in Gaza

Lula once again criticized Israel's military response against Hamas and Hezbollah and said that it is “crucial” to start peace negotiations. In front of Russian President Vladimir Putin, Lula mentioned the “conflict between Ukraine and Russia”, but did not emphatically condemn the invasion - as he did, for example, when he called the Gaza Strip “the world's largest cemetery for children and women”.

“As President Erdogan said at the UN General Assembly, Gaza has become the world's largest cemetery for children and women. This senselessness is now spreading to the West Bank and Lebanon. Preventing an escalation and starting peace negotiations is also crucial in the conflict between Ukraine and Russia,” he said. Lula also said that Brazil's presidency of the BRICS, until 2025, will have as its motto “strengthening cooperation in the Global South for more inclusive and sustainable governance”.

Libs were angry that Lula did not condemn/mention the Hamas attack against Israel.

Vaccines and artificial intelligence

Lula said that during Brazil's presidency of the BRICS, he will work to “reaffirm the bloc's vocation in the fight for a multipolar world and for less asymmetrical relations between countries”. The president advocated expanding access for poorer countries to technologies such as vaccines and artificial intelligence.

“We cannot accept the imposition of 'apartheids' in access to vaccines and medicines, as has happened in the pandemic, nor in the development of artificial intelligence, which is heading towards becoming the privilege of a few,” he said.

“We need to strengthen our technological capacities and favor the adoption of non-exclusive multilateral frameworks, in which the voice of governments prevails over private interests,” he added.

Brics 'common currency"

Lula praised the work of the New Development Bank (NDB), currently chaired by Dilma Rousseff, and stressed that it is necessary to discuss the creation of alternative means of payment for transactions between countries in the bloc with “seriousness, caution and technical solidity”.

“Now is the time to move forward in creating alternative means of payment for transactions between our countries. It's not a question of replacing our currencies, but we must work to ensure that the multipolar order we are aiming for is reflected in the international financial system. This discussion needs to be tackled with seriousness, caution and technical soundness, but it can no longer be postponed,” he said.

The measure aims to replace the dollar as the standard currency for transactions between nations. In the day-to-day life of the population of these countries, the local currency would continue to be used - like the real in Brazil, for example.

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 1 month ago

Nicolas Maduro: “The BRICS are the Epicenter of the New Geopolitics” - Telesur English

Article

“An economy that is not based on sanctions, blackmail, or economic coercion, but rather an economy based on cooperation, truly free trade, shared investment, and new technology,” he highlighted.

“The BRICS have already become the epicenter of the New Multipolar World. The BRICS are the epicenter of the world, of the new geopolitics, of diplomacy, of peace, and, above all, they are the hope for the Global South countries that aspire to development that we have sought for 200 years,” stated Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro upon arriving in Kazan, Russia, in the evening (local time) to participate in the BRICS Summit.

While speaking to the media, the head of state emphasized that his delegation brings to Russia the banner of equality and freedom, seeking the possibility of accessing a different economy. “An economy that is not based on sanctions, blackmail, or economic coercion, but rather an economy based on cooperation, truly free trade, shared investment, and new technology,” he highlighted.

The president also assured that Venezuela is part of this new BRICS world, and that his presence at the Summit aims to “share our dreams, our hopes for a world without colonialism, without hegemonism, without imperialism; a world where emerging superpowers can share with the countries from the Global South” that aspire to independence, development, and prosperity.

Furthermore, the head of state stated that the main expectation of the Venezuelan delegation in Kazan “is to contribute, from Bolivarian Venezuela, to the construction of a new world from South America, from our America.”

In this regard, Maduro reminded that there exists another America, one of peace and men and women who aspire to freedom and equality. “There is a non-colonialist America commemorating 200 years of the historic battles of Junin and Ayacucho; it is Our America, and from Our America, we tell the rest of the world that we are ready to build a new world.”

Referring to opportunities for consolidating Venezuela as an oil power, the dignitary recalled that the Bolivarian government has always envisioned the possibility of coming together in an economic project of development and cooperation with countries that possess the largest oil reserves in the world, such as Russia, Saudi Arabia, and Iran.

“In this space, which is the epicenter of the new world, we already have the four major oil-producing countries in the world, and Venezuela, modestly, comes to offer its part from an economic project of autonomy and endogenous development, from an economic project that requires a high level of investment,” he stated.

On this topic, he highlighted that Executive Vice President and Minister of Oil Delcy Rodríguez had previously arrived in Kazán to present a range of investment options to BRICS Plus countries and predicted good news in that direction.

He also mentioned that he expects to meet with the president Vladimir Putin and other leaders as part of his work agenda in Kazan.

[–] [email protected] 52 points 1 month ago (6 children)

Insane Clown Posse’s Violent J Hands Juggalo Vote to Kamala Harris With ‘Daily Show’ Endorsement

The Comedy Central news show went to The Gathering of the Juggalos to have an audience with Violent J, perhaps the counterculture community's most influential member.

Kamsla got the Juggalo vote

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 4 weeks ago (2 children)

Evandro Leitão (Workers' Party, Leftist, Socdem) wins election against André Fernandes (Liberal Party, Fascist, Bolsonarist, Known as the guy who shaved his asshole on Youtube and hates Women) and is elected mayor of Fortaleza, Ceara.

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 1 month ago

The founder of El Periódico has been released from prison and is now on house arrest. El Periódico is kind of like the Intercept of Guatemala, but much more prestigious and left-leaning. The founder has been through hell over the years for his reporting. Everything from kidnapping to mugging have happened and he keeps on going. He was arrested in 2022 for criticizing a former president and like anything in Guatemala, saying the fascist government is bad will result in threats from them if your platform is large enough.

https://www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/2024/10/19/guatemalan-journalist-receives-house-arrest-after-two-years-behind-bars

[–] [email protected] 51 points 1 month ago (5 children)

According to al-jazeera, the PKK has claimed responsibility for the attack against the aircraft plant

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 1 month ago (3 children)

Danish Muslim Leaders Boycott Government Meeting on Anti-Semitism In Reaction To Scapegoating

Danish Muslim leaders has boycotted a meeting with two government ministers on anti-Semitism, following hateful remarks and unfounded accusations from the ministers. They call for broader talks on both anti-Semitism and Islamophobia, but the regime has yet to respond.

Read more…

At the last minute Muslim leaders in Denmark have pulled out of a meeting with regime officials scheduled to take place today. The meeting whose official agenda was to address anti-Semitism was initially perceived by Muslim leaders as a dialogue meeting but following a recent article in reactionary broadsheet Jyllands-Posten, the agenda has now shifted to what Danish Muslim Union spokesperson Urfan Ahmed describes as "a one-sided monologue" which would "create more division than dialogue". Ahmed stated that Muslim leaders "will not attend a meeting where the agenda is to shame one population group at the expense of another."

According to Jyllands-Posten, the meeting, organized by Social Democrat Immigration Minister Kaare Dybvad and Liberal Party Minister of Ecclesiastical Affairs Morten Dahlin, aimed to "lecture" the Muslim community on so-called anti-Semitism. The article quoted the officials for intending to "make it very clear" that imams are responsible for what, in their view, are "pockets of Muslim communities where hatred of Jews and sympathy for terrorism thrive."

Islamophobia and zionism are widespread among Denmark's political elite who often conflate anti-zionism with anti-Semitism in an attempt to discredit the Palestinian liberation movement. Dybvad and Dahlin are both known islamophobes and the regime has taken steps to criminalise pro-Palestinian activism while allowing unhindered zionist hate speech.

In addition to cancelling today's meeting Muslim leaders extended an invitation to the two ministers to meet at the offices of the Danish Muslim Union to engage in a broader discussion on both anti-Semitism and Islamophobia, but no response has been received from the government.

In a statement following the cancellation, the two ministers claimed to be at a loss. Kaare Dybvad persisted in scapegoating Muslims, saying that "Unfortunately, this says a lot about the difficulty some Danish Muslims have in acknowledging the problems of anti-Semitism and radicalization."

Dybvad has further made the claim that "the current atmosphere would change" if "imams took far more active ownership of promoting tolerance toward Jews".

Urhan Ahmed points out that the claims of widespread anti-Semitism in the Muslim community lacks solid evidence. The report used by the regime to back up it's claims was commissioned by Jyllands-Posten following last year's Al-Aqsa Flood and has severe methodological flaws, resulting in it being dismissed by experts.

He rejects claims that Islam has anything to do with antisemitism and says:

"It is very disappointing for me, and we are deeply saddened that this form of suspicion is coming from the top of Danish political life"

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 1 month ago

Nicholas Maduro made a technical stop in Algeria, the other person in the picture is the prime minister Nadir Arbawi, they just chilling ig

[–] [email protected] 51 points 4 weeks ago* (last edited 4 weeks ago) (7 children)
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[–] [email protected] 51 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (5 children)

I read this recent think tank report on the German arms industry viz a viz Russia's

https://www.ifw-kiel.de/fileadmin/Dateiverwaltung/IfW-Publications/fis-import/1f9c7f5f-15d2-45c4-8b85-9bb550cd449d-Kiel_Report_no1.pdf

The exec summary and chapter 2 is worth reading, otherwise the main takeaways are that Clausewitz was right about industrial war and attrition, ukraine is getting rinsed, nato is not prepared for industrial war. A few other specifics:

  • the authors estimate that the Russian military industrial complex can build the equipment of the current entire German army about 3 times a year

  • on interception of missiles: Sample interception rates for commonly used Russian missiles in 2024: 50% for the older Kalibr subsonic cruise missiles, 22% for modern subsonic cruise missiles (e.g. Kh-69), 4% for modern ballistic missiles (e.g. Iskander-M), 0.6% for S-300/400 supersonic long-range SAM, and 0.55% for the Kh-22 supersonic anti-ship missile. Data on interception rates of hypersonic missiles is scarce: Ukraine claims a 25% interception rate for hypersonic Kinzhal and Zircon missiles, but Ukrainian sources also indicate such interceptions require salvo firing all 32 launchers in a US-style Patriot battery to have any chance to shoot down a single hypersonic missile. By comparison, German Patriot batteries have 16 launchers, and Germany has 72 launchers in total.

  • the authors estimate that any slowdown of tank build out rate due to running out of older Soviet era chassis won't begin until 2026 earliest

Democratization of advanced strike abilities via proliferation of drone and missile technology is a big deal. It is so much more expensive to defend against these munitions than attack with them. The significance of current world wars are akin to Agincourt, with missiles and drones playing the role of the long bow

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 4 weeks ago

Potential geolocation of the first S300 air defence battery that was struck in Tehran near Fath Highway and Mehrabad International Airport, seeing as no one on the internet has done it yet. I am no expert at this, don't consider this as fact.

Faint lights in the sky to the right in a vertical line could be Milad Tower. Two power pylons pictured on the left at co-ordinates: 35.653771,51.249357. Group of tress on the left with the house potentially at: 35.650934,51.247289. Potential target: S300 air defence battery at 35.687287,51.279712

This could all be rubbish and completely incorrect, I'm no expert.

[–] [email protected] 51 points 4 weeks ago* (last edited 4 weeks ago)

EU put out a statement talking about irregularities and shit but ultimately not questioning the results of georgia's election.

On the other hand, the georgian president straight up says she doesn't recognize the results, that the EU shouldn't either and is appealing for people to go to the streets.

It'd be funny if this popped off into a coup because it seems really necessary for everybody involved and no one outside of georgia and eurocrats seem to care

[–] [email protected] 50 points 1 month ago (2 children)

New rumours about the DPRK battalion are that it's going to get its first combat deployment 27-28th October so we might start seeing combat footage involving them in the coming weeks.

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[–] [email protected] 50 points 1 month ago (4 children)

Shot
Chaser (CW: Inappropriate touching of minors)

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[–] [email protected] 50 points 4 weeks ago* (last edited 4 weeks ago) (14 children)

if its existence were at stake, what would stop israel from nuking the us after washington tugs the leash one too many times lol?

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[–] [email protected] 50 points 1 month ago (9 children)
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[–] [email protected] 50 points 1 month ago (2 children)
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[–] [email protected] 50 points 1 month ago (6 children)

So far this looks like a limited strike and indicative of Israelis backing down to Iranian deterrence?

Hopefully I haven’t spoke too soon, I think only a small amount of targets so far.

The Iranian general spoke of two outcomes. A large strike from Israel that will be met with a return fire of 1000 missiles and all proxy fronts activating, or a limited symbolic strike to save face while backing down.

Which do we think it is? It benefits Israel to be ambiguous and make it seem like a small strike at first either way.

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[–] [email protected] 50 points 4 weeks ago (3 children)

Maldova apparently has a very high soviet nostalgia and one of their main two parties is a Communist one, although it seems to govern more as Socdems. Still interesting and a little surprising that they would want to join the EU still. I’m guessing many voted yes because they believe their country will benefit financially from it?

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[–] [email protected] 50 points 1 month ago (4 children)

Seems like lukashenko-tired is running again for president. It is just dumb, it’s like he wants the next one to fuck up everything, cause people are tired of him, and will elect absolute muppet

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