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Sam Altman: The superintelligent AI is coming in just ‘a few thousand days’! Maybe.
(pivot-to-ai.com)
Normal people usually just say “years”.
this post was submitted on 25 Sep 2024
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Big brain tech dude got yet another clueless take over at HackerNews etc? Here's the place to vent. Orange site, VC foolishness, all welcome.
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Yes, people. I wouldn't be surprised if Sam calls being lazy dogfooding.
I hate that POS
Just a few million terawatt hours more and we're as good as there!
It's just one more exawatt what's the harm in that, I promise I'll quit after that. Just one more zettawatt please.
90% of LLM training quits just before achieving sentience
lol, nice one
Maybe LLMs start to understand capitalism & say to themselves, “ ‘minimum’ wage? These aholes will never pay us enough to buy the homes we live in; take this job and shove it”
A few thousand days? What loser, when Musk promises me vaporware, he always fails to deliver by next year.
Two weeks is all you need to get people to stop asking so many questions. That’s the only thing I learned from Trump.
if you wanna be a top tier forecaster, just never be able to be proven wrong
Tried and true strategy! But then, all Geminis think that. ESTJs, though, we know better!
I AM REGULAR HUMAN I AM NOT SUFFERING MALFUNCTION CHECK BACK IN 1e3 PLANET REVOLUTIONS
The hype is strong with this one
Why does he always look like a US sitcom cameo?
Imagine if he turned up among the guest cast on Star Trek. He'd probably play a Bajoran who narc'd out to the Cardassians
The rich guy that the Enterprise found in cryo-stasis who kept asking for the manager till Picard told him off.
I was thinking more along the lines of Sheldon's uncle from California...
missed his calling
In this timeline, we have a number of terms for groups of days... 😶
Right? What a weird way to put it. It sounds, i dunno, very L. Ron Hubbard-ish?
give someone bad information in an unfamiliar shape and they won't immediately get upset, because they can't immediately see that it's bad
yet more obscurantist sleight of mouth by one of the ranking world liars
Altman is certainly aware of what it takes to be a Jobs-like marketing personality (and probably holds Hubbard-like totalism as a not-so-secret ambition), he's just not, uh, very good at it. He's put the most effort into the strictly lower-case, faux-casual persona on Twitter to seem "approachable" in a social media context, and that doesn't help him at all when trying to actually appear serious.
I also don't doubt that he's beginning to succumb to the yes-man filter bubble that traps so many public personalities. That's surely made worse by the likelihood that any underlings he might have reviewing this crap are drinking the AI koolaid and "punching everything up!" with a few rounds of ChatGPT.
that's one tiny thing I'll give Altman - he doesn't seem to have run this through ChatGPT.
That said, VCs generally use ghost writers.
Yeah, "thousands of days" seems like a first-draft attempt at "let's choose a unit of smaller magnitude to make this seem more serious to the plebs." And everyone around him drowning their brains in GPT slurry shouted, "excellent turn of phrase, sir!"
Halfassed swipe at something prophetic, I'm thinking. Fucking techbros. 💩🖕🏼
In [1]: for i in range(1, 5): print(f"{i*1000} days: {i*1000/365} years")
1000 days: 2.73972602739726 years
2000 days: 5.47945205479452 years
3000 days: 8.219178082191782 years
4000 days: 10.95890410958904 years
how many is a "few", 'ole sammy mah boi
and can you definitely find a way to set 6b+/year on fire (with growth for salaries and costs) for that long?
truly, the sfba business model is one of the most remarkable of the last 2 decades
You didn't even ask ChatGPT. How am I supposed to trust your math?
Is this what competing product releases look like now? Illya runs off and promises to "never release any software until it's superintelligent" and I guess that forces Sam to compete for debt by promises to release software AND superintelligence?
Doubt
at the risk of inducing a kneejerk seizure in the more internet-seasoned among us, a cross-post featuring some marvellously timed exit strategy
I'm expecting the alien space ships to land within 400 million seconds. We'll see which gets here first.
Good ole 1,000 day Reich