this post was submitted on 23 Sep 2024
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Image is of a Hezbollah missile attack on a military camp west of Jenin.


The situation between Hezbollah and Israel is rapidly escalating, with massive bombing campaigns on southern Lebanon by Israel predominantly on civilians (as the tunnels in South Lebanon are mostly unreachable to the Zionists, just like in Gaza), while Hezbollah and its allies respond with missile attacks predominantly on Israeli military facilities. Israel is spreading an evacuation order to the residents of southern Lebanese villages while also bombing their routes of escape and civilian infrastructure, similar to a terror tactic used widely in Gaza.

Northern Israel is currently under military censorship to hide their losses, so we get very little information other than what the Resistance provides and what videos and images get through the censors.

I don't know if Israel will dare a ground incursion soon, but it seems fairly likely in the coming days or weeks.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 43 points 3 weeks ago

Israeli strikes hit civilian areas as usual, Sidon, Lebanon

https://files.catbox.moe/51ft2f.MP4

[–] [email protected] 43 points 3 weeks ago
[–] [email protected] 43 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (3 children)
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[–] [email protected] 43 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

https://gordonhahn.com/2024/09/22/a-river-runs-through-the-end-of-the-nato-russia-ukrainian-war/

An article discussing the future significance of the Dnieper as a defensive line in the SMO. The naked capitalism discussion linked is a good one, about how much of Ukraine is flat and so its water systems are based on pumps and dams. This means that to achieve one of its war aims (fresh water access to Crimea), Russia will need to ensure Kiev does not dump raw sewage upstream. The least desirable option there is having Ukraine (or whatever) control Kiev, and Russia has to rebuild infrastructure. Actually taking Kiev is its own can of worms. The most effective and somewhat heartless option is the Russians continue to focus on power infrastructure. This is necessary for heating and water, especially as we enter northern hemisphere Autumn. Without power, the population density that can be supported is very low. This will cause refugee flows west, but i have also seen estimates that Ukraine has already lost half of its pre-war population. War is tragic.

https://splash247.com/91-hours-left-to-avert-supply-chain-mayhem-in-the-us/

An article about an imminent (October 1st) strike by the International Longshoremen’s Association. This sounds really cool, and the US Chamber of Commerce seems very concerned. Keep in mind the ILA has pledged that cruise ships and military deliveries will not be affected by the strike. If this does happen, expect oil and gas to go nuts. The biggest hubs for oil and gas are on the Gulf Coast, and the majority of Liquid Natural Gas terminals and capacity are also there. If the US cannot export natural gas to Europe, then the EU might be forced to reach the negotiating table before NATO (more realistically they further set their economies on fire voluntarily).

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/asia/chinese-and-russian-firms-among-first-foreign-investors-indonesias-new-capital-nusantara-building-projects-4639486

An article about BRICS+ investment in the construction of Nusantara. For those unaware, Indonesia has been looking to replace Jakarta as the capital for decades, and the plan has been moving forward now that part of the city is below sea level. In theory, this will be an opportunity to correct for the poor sanitation, overcrowding, bad traffic, lack of green spaces, flooding, and depleted ground water of the much older and organically developed Jakarta. The new capital is being built on the east coast of Borneo. Hopefully, basic infrastructure gets more money than hotels and luxury secondary schools, though i do understand that the latter things make for better news articles.

[–] [email protected] 43 points 2 weeks ago (6 children)

John and Matt got a new episode of Radio War Nerd up talking about Nasrallah about an hour ago. Jus tstarrting it right now.

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[–] [email protected] 43 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (22 children)

FFS the futurama suicide pods are literally real now

Several arrested after woman dies in 'suicide pod'

spoilerPolice in Switzerland made multiple arrests after a woman reportedly ended her life using a so-called suicide pod, in apparently the first case of its kind.

Police in the Schaffhausen region said they arrested "several persons" on suspicion of inciting, and aiding and abetting suicide after she died reportedly by using a pod made by the company Sarco on Monday.

While assisted dying is legally protected in some circumstances in Switzerland, it is strictly regulated and the Sarco pod has encountered opposition.

Officers recovered the device and body at the scene.

Warning: Contains distressing content

The company behind the controversial pod says it can be solely operated by the person seeking to end their own life, without medical supervision.

Police said it was used on Monday at a forest hut in the Merishausen area, a sparsely populated part of Switzerland on the German border.

Police said they were tipped off by a law firm about a suicide involving the device. The number of people arrested and their identities were not disclosed. The deceased also was not named.

In July, a pro-assisted dying group, which promotes the Sarco device, said it anticipated that it would be used for the first time this year.

Advocates say it provides an option not reliant on drugs or doctors, and that it expands access to euthanasia as the portable device can be 3D-printed and assembled at home.

However, there also has been opposition in Switzerland, despite the country having some of the world's most protective laws surrounding assisted dying.

Critics fear the device's modern design glamorises suicide and the fact that it can be operated without medical oversight is concerning.

Assisted dying is illegal in the UK and in most other European countries, but thousands have travelled to Switzerland over the years to end their own lives.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ce8144v9pveo

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[–] [email protected] 42 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (4 children)

Fed accounts have switched to "there will be no statement from Hezbollah about Nasrallah today"

I think he's alive. The story is getting shifty.

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[–] [email protected] 42 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)
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[–] [email protected] 42 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

https://www.kitklarenberg.com/p/british-intels-counter-disinfo-war

A article about how parts of the British intelligence community are seen as experts in mis- and dis-information, and how they are now exporting their experience. There is some detail about intelligence interacting with social media. The discussion is rooted in a leaked slideshow from an intelligence meeting in 2021. The exact way the author talks about the Biden admin’s Covid “censorship push” sets off my personal crank alarm, but the analysis of the leaked slideshow is not affected by this. Saying ‘counter-disinformation’ instead of propaganda might be a rehash of changing the ‘department of war’ to ‘defense’. Sir Kid Starver and many of his Red Tory compatriots are actual, factual MI6 assets. Czechoslovakian Internal Ministry documents from the Cold War had a whole file on the then-Mr. Starver. It’s also known that the British are more gung-ho about Ukraine than the US, and also that the Ukraine project was CIA before it was NATO. You can almost see the shades of our future where a need for internal security and countering Russian influence can only be entrusted to apolitical, non-partisan intelligence experts. See also the USAF intelligence general sending out an email requiring all federal and state candidates to agree to uphold election integrity as decided by the intelligence community.

https://www.aa.com.tr/en/asia-pacific/japan-says-it-received-no-advance-notice-of-chinas-intercontinental-ballistic-missile-launch/3340804

A short article about Japan rattling sabers over the PLA testing an ICBM. The article is from the Anadolu Agency, a news site from Türkiye with a logo that looks exactly like American Airlines. It’s Turkish bourgeois media, but Türkiye is trying to join BRICS+, so we might see reporting contrary to Western spin. Even if China informed every possible party and followed international law, the more important fact is that Japan is rapidly rearming under US encouragement (and, i believe, some popular discontent with militarizing). Every statement made now is building up a raft of ‘provocations’ and ‘lines crossed’ and ‘aggression’ for whenever the USA decides it wants a war in East Asia. See also the Philippines ‘accidentally’ having Typhoon missiles left in their country after exercises with the USA.

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[–] [email protected] 42 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

[CW:Gore/DEATH] Alleged aftermath of battle between the KDNF and Junta in Myanmar. Junta deaths.

https://tankie.tube/w/3RL6iiScBRuVeYVJcFXCNM

These dudes are listed as allies to some of the communist factions. I know nothing about them at all, nor anything about the communist factions tbh fog of war and reliable information is a fucking mess.

[–] [email protected] 42 points 3 weeks ago
[–] [email protected] 42 points 3 weeks ago
[–] [email protected] 42 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)
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[–] [email protected] 42 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

Tepid take: it's actually good that the US has put sanctions and export controls on China because it creates a lot of pressure to innovate

[–] [email protected] 42 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (1 children)

The reason why it's working so well for China is that it wasn't a sudden avalanche of sanctions on every industry, because that could have actually crashed the economy, it's that the US is gradually introducing them to various industries and so the impacts can be managed and lessons can be learned and applied. If AES has a central theme, it's learning from problems and finding solutions and then judging whether those solutions were good or bad and if bad, finding better solutions; it's very scientific in that sense.

And it's not as if the US could have just done that sanctions offensive all at once, because that also might have crashed their own economy, so there wasn't really an obvious way to win. Maybe in 50 years there will be a retrospective about how if the US had just done X then Y then Z in a specific order then that could have exploited critical vulnerabilites in a domino chain, but if you're the average American politician then your allegiance to making profit above all else means that you're not thinking with ruthless strategy about every foreign policy decision, you're just trying to get you and your fellow trillionaires richer, and a lot of the money to be gained is in China right now, so weakening China is counter to your personal material interests (even if it is beneficial from a wider imperial strategy). Hence why we see American CEOs still very hesitant to get out of China right now despite the American government's growing hostility. This never happened for the Soviet Union.

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[–] [email protected] 42 points 3 weeks ago
[–] [email protected] 42 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (2 children)

Follow ancaptain for more stories of success.

Poverty surges by 11 points under Milei, hitting 53%

According to the INDEC, a record 25 million Argentines are poor while the number of destitute doubled to 5.3 million in the past six months

A government report published on Thursday afternoon revealed that an average of 52.9% of Argentines were poor in the first half of the year and 18.1% were destitute. It is the country’s highest poverty rate in 20 years.

The numbers, released by the INDEC statistic bureau, show that in the first six months since President Javier Milei took office, poverty grew by 11.2 points and destitution by 6.2. That means 5.1 million Argentines fell into poverty in that time, amounting to 25 million poor people in total. Meanwhile, the report revealed a total of 8.3 million destitute Argentines: almost double the number in the first half of 2023. The 11-point increase in the span of six months is a historic one — poverty increased by six points throughout Alberto Fernández’s presidency.

Roughly two-thirds (66.1%) of children between 0 and 14 years old live in poverty, according to the INDEC’s numbers. An August report by UNICEF found that one million Argentine children skipped meals daily because their families could not afford food. Meanwhile, those over 65 years old went from 17.6% poverty in the second half of 2023 to 29.7% in the first half of 2024. The highest poverty numbers were found in the Northeast and the Northwest of the country, with 62.9% and 57%, respectively.

The INDEC considers a family “destitute” when their monthly income is less than the basic food basket. A family is considered to be in poverty if they earn less than the basic food basket plus services, known as the total basic basket.

A report by the Center of Argentine Political Economy (CEPA), published after the INDEC released their numbers, said that food inflation in the first half of the year was 9.4%, higher than the first half of 2023, when the number was 7.7%.

“As food prices determine the levels of the basic food basket and, to a large extent, of the total basic basket, a significant increase in food inflation implies upward pressures on the incidence rate of destitution and, in part, of poverty,” the report said.

The CEPA report added that unemployment rose to 7.6% in the first half of 2024, meaning one percentage point more than the first half of 2023. It added that the minimum retirement pension fell by 19.7% during the same time periods. At the beginning of the month, Milei vetoed a pension reform that would have put their minimum value just over the poverty line.

The Presidential Office has yet to comment on the significant increase in poverty. However, at 4:00 p.m., coinciding with the INDEC’s report, the president’s sister and General Secretary Karina Milei posted a picture of herself, her Bernese mountain dog Thor, and TV personality Susana Giménez. Videos of the president with Giménez on the Casa Rosada balcony surfaced on social media shortly afterward and were met with considerable backlash. A spokesperson for the office said that Manuel Adorni would address the issue on Friday in his usual press conference.

Death to "anarcho" capitalism

Death to "israel"

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[–] [email protected] 42 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (5 children)
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[–] [email protected] 42 points 2 weeks ago

Edmundo Gonzelez is still hiding in Spain, we will see if the US will pull a Guaido 2.0 or just forget this ever happened lol. Also it seems like Marisabel de Chavez (Hugo Chavez second ex-wife) is still a member of PSUV and supporter of Maduro, despite her critics towards the goverment.

[–] [email protected] 42 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

A discussion of what seem to be Zelensky’s future diplomatic plans. The author, Mr. Bhadrakumar, is a professional diplomat who writes about foreign affairs, but he is not a Marxist. He talks about Zelensky’s continued purge and the three point plan he intends to present to Biden. To the second half of the article, some milbloggers think Zelensky’s plan is an intentional over-ask. Zelensky will get his ‘betarayal’ from the West, and pivot to negotiations and conceding the status quo, at least. With that possibility in mind, the first part of the article suggests that perhaps Zelensky is legitimately trying to break with the CIA. They’re certainly not the only people in Ukraine credibly threatening Zelensky’s life. https://www.indianpunchline.com/zelenskys-victory-plan-is-his-survival-kit/

An exclusive report on electronic warfare measures affecting commercial flights. GPS spoofing is affecting airlines around the world (but only people in the West could be reached for comment). Companies, regulators, and pilots are split on what to do. It’s worth noting that as flying gets more stressful or dangerous, there are already major pilot shortages in USamerica from Covid, expensive training, and mandatory retirement at 65. The Wall Street Journal does produce original journalism. Their ideology is known. Functional air travel is in the interests of everyone, especially journalists. i did not read the comments and i don’t think people should. https://archive.md/RztnK

A very good analysis of Mexico-USA-China relations. It is quite long. It goes over AMLO’s judicial reform and the USA attempts to stifle it. The DEA are doing what, in another country, one might call “election interference”. In response, AMLO has been talking more with China. On the liberal/ diplomatic side of things, there are a lot of statements from diplomats, which are nice to read because sometimes i forget what real diplomacy sounds like. On the material side of things, it’s worth noting most Mexican imports from China are to be either assembled and then shipped to the USA or to be shipped to the USA to dodge tariffs. Mexico and China are the two largest exporters to the USA, and are competing to sell products. On the other hand, the USA has no answer or equivalent to the Belt and Road Initiative. A transoceanic railway link from the Gulf to the Pacific could compete with the Panama Canal, and all of the investment in it is Chinese. Chinese cars and electronics are gaining market share, and BYD is promising a dealership in every state and one factory, somewhere. The article concludes with a quote from Forbes Mexico, which really shows how outrageous recent USamerican actions have been. It is a further example of USamerican arrogance in the face of a changing world. When confronted with things not going as they plan or desire, they can never adjust the plan or cooperate. The ruling class of these times can only reach to violence, tariffs, and threats. https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2024/09/beijing-and-mexico-focus-on-deepening-cooperation-as-bilateral-trade-surges-to-record-levels.html

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