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A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like "in Minecraft") and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is of the Jazan refinery complex in southwestern Saudi Arabia, near the Yemeni border. The big squares depict large thermal signatures - i.e. giant fires caused by missile strikes.


My weekly preamble is in spoiler tags below.

preambleAs many predicted quite early on in this conflict, the US simply does not have the stockpiles nor production lines to maintain the firing rates we saw in March and April. There's at least five strictly military problems:

  1. Not enough interceptors to shoot down Iranian missiles, and many missiles get through regardless. This includes a dearth of interceptors in the Zionist entity proper.

  2. Not enough stand-off munitions to cause a real breakdown of Iran's military and society. There's enough left in the submarines and in whatever stockpiles they have mustered to give one last very serious barrage before they're just completely out (unless they start taking all their missiles out of the Pacific and Europe), but even if this is done, this shock and awe failed the first time around, and the missile cities have proven impregnable to Western military technology.

  3. Not enough penetration of Iranian airspace to allow a transition from stand-off bombs to their near-endless supply of glide/gravity bombs. On the edges of Iranian territory it can be possible, but doing so any further inside causes exponential risk to the bombers. Notably, Reaper drones can carry JDAMs, hence why they continue to be used so much despite how often they're getting shot down.

  4. Not enough naval power to reopen Hormuz. Otherwise, the US could hypothetically wait out Iran and exert economic and covert pressure to encourage political collapse; with Hormuz in Iran's hands, the US's delaying tactics favor Iran instead.

  5. Not enough functioning and safe bases from which to launch counterattacks. Due to debasification (a word that has now spread far and wide after Amerikanet's coining, lol), the US has been pushed back away from the Gulf. This dangerously overpopulates rear bases with planes and makes it so sortie rates are reduced due to how much distance you have to travel and how many refuelers you need per bomber.

No angry proclamations, media offensives, or tacky AI image posts can change this reality, and boy is Trump putting out a lot of that last one. This is why, after the two weeks of attacks we just saw, we see the US very reticent to try and escalate further, and Trump's threat over last weekend to really start bombing Iran did not occur. This is being reflected in the US media, with several worried articles talking about how there just aren't enough missiles to keep the conflict going much longer. One of the only options left is to use ground/special forces to do... something, though pretty much no matter what target he selects, it's hard to imagine it breaking Iran, or doing much to end the conflict, or even being a successful operation past the point where you've landed troops somewhere. We saw the "pilot rescue" (uranium heist) operation fail and aborted before the forces could even step foot off the runway they landed on.

It is into this environment that Ansarallah has suddenly declared a blockade of Saudi Arabia - an architect of the blockade of Yemen and one of the major causes of the country's internal divisions between Ansarallah and comprador groups - and is turning their ships around at the entrance to the Red Sea, thereby cutting off a good chunk of the Saudi's remaining oil exports. Ansarallah has proven they were not interested in some cautious, gradual climb up the escalation ladder; when the Saudis hit a couple Yemeni port facilities, they went ahead and hit Jazan and Yanbu so hard that the fires were still raging a day or two after the initial strikes. The US is apparently asking for the MoU back, and this time with Ansarallah also placated, but it appears Iran is much less interested in the MoU now after it was thoroughly violated by the US the first time - and if it does return to it, it might have much more hardline demands.


Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] SickSemper@hexbear.net 63 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

In the name of Allah, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful. "And fight in the way of Allah those who fight you, but do not transgress. Indeed, Allah does not like transgressors."

After the Islamic Resistance categorically denied any targeting of the Saudi entity and its facilities, the American enemy committed a new crime, targeting Popular Mobilization Forces fighters and a procession serving the pilgrims of Imam Hussein (peace be upon him) in the holy city of Karbala, resulting in dozens of martyrs and wounded.

We affirm without a doubt that the Saudi regime has been and will only be a treacherous dagger or a filthy tool managed by the White House and its suspicious intelligence agencies; just as it mobilized its capabilities yesterday to send suicide bombers to shed Iraqi blood, today it is forced to renew its contract of servitude to execute the crimes and criminal dictates of its masters to undermine the will of our proud people.

Even if we hypothetically accept the validity of their claim that the source of the strike on their facilities came from Iraq, is it reasonable to respond to an (unsuccessful) attempt to target an oil field by killing and wounding dozens of innocents?!

And if we assume at this pivotal stage that we handed over our weapons and missiles to the government authority so that it could take charge of defending Iraq's sovereignty, the sanctity of its lands, and its people; what decisive stance would it take in the face of this real field test to prove to everyone its ability to deter aggressors and avenge those who shed the pure blood of the martyrs, instead of the resistance fighters, as the mujahideen have done repeatedly in Iraq?

Based on this, we announce the following: First: We grant the government authorities that demanded the disarmament of the resistance a deadline until the 23rd of the month of Safar to see what they will do.

Second: In our commitment to preserving the security of the pilgrims of Abu Abdullah al-Hussein (peace be upon him) and the honorable procession leaders, and to prevent any disruption to the blessed Arbaeen pilgrimage before its ceremonies are completed; our response to the American enemy is inevitable, and it may target its tools in Saudi Arabia whenever the circumstances require it.

Mercy and pleasure be upon our righteous martyrs, and a speedy recovery to the honorable wounded.

The Islamic Resistance in Iraq

29 July 2026

The Resistance Movement "Saraya Awliya al-Dam" (Blood Guardians Brigades)

The sovereignty of Iraq and the blood of its sons are not subjects for negotiation or compromise, and they take precedence over all other considerations.

We demand that the Iraqi government reconsider all agreements and contracts signed with the United States, and cancel the planned visit to Saudi Arabia.

We, in the Islamic Resistance, Saraya Awliya al-Dam, are still awaiting an official position from the Iraqi government that matches the significance of this event and demonstrates appreciation for the sacrifices of the martyrs.

The ambassador of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia must be expelled from Iraq immediately, and diplomatic and economic relations with Saudi Arabia must be severed.

If the government fails to fulfill its duties, then the proud sons of the Iraqi people must demand that the state's weapons be placed at the service of the resistance.

[-] Euergetes@hexbear.net 40 points 2 days ago

whose idea was it to bomb a heap of fucking pilgrims in karbala? you want the PMF to actually hit your refineries i can't think of a better way to accomplish that

[-] Jabril@hexbear.net 41 points 2 days ago

They know they can't actually stop Yemen or Iran from their ascendency so they are reverting to attacking Shia itself. It is a petty and helpless retaliation, a perfect continuation of the lineage they represent

[-] culpritus@hexbear.net 31 points 2 days ago

Asking the AI to help you make a big beautiful war.

[-] IranOuttaOil@hexbear.net 10 points 2 days ago

More like asking Grok. The other LLMs don't seem like they would be so stupid.

LLMs will say whatever you want them to say, they are sycophantic in the extreme

[-] Jabril@hexbear.net 35 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

A clear attack on Shia at large in retaliation for the resistance movements across the region undermining them. Yemen hit their oil so they hit the foundational city of the Shia lineage during the largest annual gathering of humans on the planet.

[-] jack@hexbear.net 27 points 2 days ago

hopefully the Demonic House of Saud is nearing its end

[-] demeritum@lemmygrad.ml 28 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

These comprador governments must perish. I doubt the Iraqi government will be anymore honorable than the Lebanese puppet regime.

this post was submitted on 27 Jul 2026
122 points (100.0% liked)

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