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Please check if your theory survives applying Occam's razor to it. Not that it couldn't be true, but based on our current knowledge I personally would assume that Islamists doing Islamist stuff doesn't have to be part of a bigger conspiracy. At least I wouldn't say it definitely is part of a conspiracy like you do.
Please... Bauschaum attack (with convenient Grüne incriminating pictures and things left behind), AfD setting their own cars on fire, single attacks in front of a Bundesland election over the last years, AfD asking for weaknesses in power grid infrastructure then some time later the sabotage in Berlin in the midst of a harsh winter, then the indymedia postings by so called leftist extremists, and then this where the berlin police force AGAIN fucks up doing basic police work.
There are too many coincidences to not assume that this attack is also either directed by AfD or at least sponsored by russia (how can they still afford hybrid warfare though?)
Because it's incredible cheap. You can buy politicians for very little money, random off-the-mill weirdos for peanuts. Those idots even brain-wash and radicalise themselves by their own constant social media circle jerk. So it's basically for free once the proper echo chambers have been already established.
At this point some kid in a basement on the opposite side of the planet can single-handedly direct the whole army of brain-dead far-right cultists just by placing the next narrative in some ugly AI generated meme then leaning back while the brain-rot squad endlessly regurgitates that "content" in a thousand of permutations.
Damn... Yeah I guess you are right, that once the setup cost were paid, running the show is incredible cheap and easy.