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cross-posted from: https://scribe.disroot.org/post/11558364

For Europe, the stakes therefore reach well beyond Ukraine's sovereignty. Denying Russia victory, in Zysk's view, is essential both for Europe's long-term security and for checking the advance of authoritarian power.

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Europe has entered a more dangerous era of competition and confrontation. Unlike in 1989, the warning signs are visible. Speaking the Defence and Security Conference, Katarzyna Zysk [Professor of International Relations and Contemporary History at the Norwegian Institute for Defence Studies, IFS] argued that the challenge is no longer to recognize the shift taking place, but to convert that recognition into capability fast enough to shape what comes next.

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Alignment among Russia, China, Iran and North Korea has moved fastest since 2022. It is not a formal alliance, Zysk stressed, but its cumulative effect is significant, and it converges in Ukraine: Iranian drone designs, North Korean troops and shells, and Chinese dual-use goods and sanctions evasion have all helped keep Moscow's war going.

For Europe, the stakes therefore reach well beyond Ukraine's sovereignty. Denying Russia victory, in Zysk's view, is essential both for Europe's long-term security and for checking the advance of authoritarian power.

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Zysk warned against assuming that Russia's difficulties in Ukraine reduce the danger facing Europe. Today, she said, Russia would struggle to sustain a major conventional war against a united NATO.

“But the risk lies not only in what Russia can do,” she said. “It lies also in what Putin believes NATO's resolve and Russia's strength are. He has misjudged both before.”

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“Putin is betting on exhaustion,” Zysk warned.

Finally, cohesion remains essential as the other three depend on it. Growing Nordic-Baltic cooperation, from integrated defence planning, military mobility, and closer industrial partnerships demonstrate real progress., Yet threat perceptions still differ across the Alliance, and NATO and Europe still lack a comprehensive Russia strategy, one that sets the terms of competition instead of reacting to Moscow's.

“Cohesion must be maintained, not assumed.”

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Returning to her analogy to 1989, Zysk argued that Europe today has something it lacked then: advance warning. The challenge is no longer to recognize the change, but to respond to it quickly enough.

“Our geography leaves us very little time for delay,” she said.

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The Ukrainian city of Oleshky, across Dnipro River from the southern city of Kherson which is occupied by Russia, has become “a hell on earth”, according to Ukrainians familiar with conditions there.

Accounts of the dire conditions in the city emerged as the Ukrainian foreign minister, Andrii Sybiha, raised the situation in Oleshky at the UN general assembly in New York. A “Save Oleshky” banner was lifted at a Ukraine-Hungary Nations League football match on Friday.

In a statement published on Monday, Sybiha warned of a “humanitarian catastrophe” and called for an immediate evacuation, accusing Russia of standing as “the only obstacle”.

“Russia is deliberately making life there impossible,” Sybiha said in an address during the general assembly. “They are starving them to death.”

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In messages shared with the Guardian, residents said they were down to one meal a day: soup without potato, made with courgette grown in what once were the flower boxes of the city’s apartment houses, sometimes with the addition of foraged purslane, an edible weed.

“We’re running out of everything,” said a resident early in the summer. “By August, the situation will be critical for us. And come autumn, we’ll definitely die. I’m already dying. I’m getting weaker by the day.”

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Ukrainian officials say attempts to drop food by drones have done little to help: the supplies are seized by Russian soldiers and in at least one case the intended recipient was arrested.

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A 74-year-old man was digging out a cellar that had been flooded with mud after Russia blew up the Kakhovka dam in 2023, looking for stored food. Refusing to allow the soldiers into the cellar he was excavating, he was murdered by the [Russian] soldiers.

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Despite the horrific conditions in the city, Ukrainian officials believe the occupying forces are dragging their feet with the evacuation of the remaining civilians in order to discourage a Ukrainian counterattack.

“The Russians are afraid that an offensive [against Oleshky] will start from Kherson city and they are just keeping people, civilians, as human shields,” said Hasanenko.

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In a text message, another resident said simply: “All supplies are running out.”

“A week ago, the orcs [a Ukrainian term of abuse to describe Russian soldiers] came into people’s yards and dug up all the potatoes, onions, and garlic.

“They took all the food supplies from the elderly women. When one of the grandmothers started shouting, they replied that people ‘soon to be living in heaven’ like them should subsist on nothing but water.”

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Vilmantas Vitkauskas, head of Lithuania's National Crisis Management Centre (NKVC), told reporters on Friday that the two countries are analysing procedures, logistics and infrastructure capacity, with the plan to be finalised once the two governments reach agreement.

The announcement coincided with the start of mobilisation exercises in Lithuania, which include joint testing of cross-border evacuation procedures with Poland.

Vitkauskas said the Suwałki Gap holds major military and logistical significance, and that Polish involvement would raise the level of the drills.

A Polish delegation of around 20 officials from various institutions is expected to travel to Lithuania to review procedural gaps before the joint plan is finalised.

The exercises, running until 2 October, are Lithuania's largest annual test of its mobilisation system, covering scenarios such as cyberattacks, disinformation, sabotage, disruption to energy and communications networks, and the protection of critical infrastructure.

About 3,000 officials and representatives from institutions, local governments, companies and NGOs are taking part, along with roughly 1,000 volunteers.

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submitted 8 hours ago by to c/europe@feddit.org
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Europe’s clearest strength is making complex things well. Industry makes up more than 20 per cent of the EU’s value added and supports around 35m jobs, the European Commission says. Manufacturing, machinery and industrial equipment remain particular strongholds.

“A lot of European countries are ranking very highly in these sorts of indices,” says Dr. Andreas Eisl, Senior Research Fellow in European economic policy at the Jacques Delors Institute, pointing to an underlying strength in Europe’s ability to produce complex, specialised goods that are difficult for competitors to replicate.

Asked whether those strengths are sustainable, Dr. Eisl is cautious: “there’s nothing that can always be sustainable. There is always a need then also to defend these advantages,” he says.

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At the same time, those advantages are not simply about individual products or companies. Behind them are specialised suppliers, skilled workers, research institutions and industrial clusters. These have developed over decades and are not easily replicated elsewhere.

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The pharmaceutical industry is one example. In 2025, the EU exported €366bn worth of medicinal and pharmaceutical products outside the bloc. Imports came to €146bn, according to Eurostat. Ireland alone accounted for almost €94bn of extra-EU pharmaceutical exports. Germany followed with €68bn and Belgium with €39bn. But the sector also rests on research and specialised suppliers.

Belgium has developed a major pharmaceutical and life-sciences cluster around companies including UCB, Janssen and GSK. Denmark is home to companies such as Novo Nordisk and a large biotechnology sector. Germany combines pharmaceutical and chemical production with a broad research base. The Netherlands has strengths in pharmaceutical research and specialised production.

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Airbus offers a similar tangible example. The company’s aircraft production is spread across France, Germany, Spain and the UK. Toulouse is home to final assembly and engineering. Hamburg produces A320-family aircraft. Spanish sites in Getafe, Illescas and Cádiz make major structural and composite components. Broughton in Wales produces wings. In these industries, Anke Hassel, Professor of Public Policy at the Hertie School, says, innovation depends on “skilled labour and dense supplier networks rather than digital scale alone.”

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In some cases, Europe’s strength lies not in dominating an entire sector but in controlling a particularly valuable part of it. Take, for example, ASML, the Dutch semiconductor equipment maker. The company does not manufacture an entire semiconductor, but its lithography machines are essential to producing some of the world’s most advanced chips. A similarly specialised position can be found in areas of aerospace, industrial equipment and medical technology.

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“One doesn’t have necessarily comparative advantages in everything,” Dr. Eisl says. “It also doesn’t make sense to produce everything yourself.” The caveat, however, is when specialisation almost means dependency on another country for something that is critical to the functioning of an industry.

The recent Nexperia dispute offers an example. The Dutch-owned semiconductor company is strategically important because it produces chips used in cars and consumer electronics. But much of its assembly and packaging takes place in China. In 2025, the Dutch government intervened in the company. China responded by restricting exports from Nexperia’s Chinese operations. That disrupted the supply of chips back to Europe. The company struggled to fulfil orders, despite having production facilities in Europe.

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Europe’s research base is another continued source of strength. The bloc has major research institutions and expertise in areas including advanced manufacturing, robotics, quantum technologies, photonics and advanced materials. The challenge is turning those capabilities into companies that can grow.

Europe has “universities, scientists and engineers”, Ms Hassel says. “What it lacks is often the capital, market integration and entrepreneurial ecosystem needed to turn those assets into globally dominant businesses.”

Quantum technologies illustrate the opportunity. Europe is not at the forefront of AI development, but Dr. Eisl sees potential in areas where its research base is stronger.

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“We’re not really good [at AI], we know that, but I think we’re quite good in quantum technologies if we make use of what is there in Europe in terms of research.”

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The US and China remain the reference points for much of Europe’s competitiveness debate, with general analyses often treating either economy as if it has found an uncomplicated model for sustained growth.

Dr. Eisl points to Germany as a historic example. The country spent years benefiting from a powerful combination of industrial exports, relatively cheap energy and access to large foreign markets. But those conditions changed. Parts of the German economy have had to adjust to a different competitive environment.

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Dr. Eisl therefore cautions against looking at the US and Chinese economic models as some kind of holy grail: “It is not like sometimes it’s shown as the US and China, everything would go great and everything’s going bad in Europe,” he says. “But these countries also have their own problems.”

China faces an ageing population and an economic model that is heavily exposed to changes in the global environment, he argues. The US has benefited from deep capital markets, a huge domestic market and a concentration of technology companies that Europe has struggled to match. But it also faces high public debt. And there are questions over how much of the enormous investment currently flowing into artificial intelligence will ultimately translate into productive growth.

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France's disinformation watchdog Viginum identified an Israeli firm called BlackCore as running covert influence operations targeting elections in France, Scotland, New York, Angola, and Togo. In France, BlackCore targeted three mayoral candidates from the left-wing France Unbowed party ahead of the March 2026 municipal elections. The operation used fake social media accounts, deceptive websites, and AI-generated content. One candidate was accused of rape on a fake blog. Another was targeted with phony AI-generated nude photos. Viginum said the same firm also targeted Scotland's First Minister John Swinney, who had described the situation in Gaza as a man-made humanitarian catastrophe. Meta removed a network of accounts originating in Israel that targeted audiences in France, the United Kingdom, Australia, Iran, Togo, Gabon, Angola, and the United States. The Citizen Lab at the University of Toronto documented BlackCore's 14-week training program for Angolan government employees, teaching them to run covert influence operations using fake personas and AI-generated content. France's Prime Minister said France has asked Israel for explanations. The Israeli embassy in Paris said Israel has no intention to interfere in the French political process. BlackCore did not respond to requests for comment, and its website went offline after journalists began asking questions.

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cross-posted from: https://scribe.disroot.org/post/11541746

Crimean Tatar leader Mustafa Dzhemilev, a lifelong advocate of non-violence who has been nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize several times by various groups, accused Ukraine and its allies of responding too weakly when Russia seized the peninsula in 2014, arguing that their hesitation encouraged the full-fledged war.

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“I have adhered to the principle of non-violence throughout my entire life,” Mr Dzhemilev, whose community is indigenous to Crimea, said. “But now it is quite clear that peaceful and diplomatic methods are practically powerless to stop Putin’s Russian fascism.”

Wednesday marked the 4,599th day of Russia’s occupation of Crimea, he noted. The number would never have reached four digits if Kyiv and the international community had acted more decisively in 2014, Mr Dzhemilev argued.

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[He said that at] the sixth International Crimea Platform summit [which] brought more than 60 participants, including 16 national leaders, to the United Nations in New York, according to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

“Almost no one in the world believes in international law anymore,” Mr Zelenskyy said. “But we still do not want these words to lose their meaning completely. We want international law to have real force.”

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Mr Dzhemilev recalled that thousands of young Crimean Tatars had expressed readiness to resist alongside Ukrainian military units in 2014. However, Kyiv and foreign governments urged them to avoid actions that could cause bloodshed. They promised that diplomatic pressure would secure Crimea’s liberation.

Ukrainian forces subsequently withdrew from the peninsula. “This stance of the Ukrainian authorities and our Western allies greatly emboldened Putin to carry out further seizures of Ukrainian territory,” Mr Dzhemilev said.

Responding to the Kremlin’s expansionist rhetoric, he offered a deliberately provocative alternative: “Russia’s borders end wherever it gets punched in the teeth.” He called for considerably greater military support, particularly air-defence systems protecting Ukrainian civilians from Russian missiles and drones.

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European leaders reject a territorial bargain

European Parliament President Roberta Metsola said Russia’s control of occupied territory could never create a legal right to possess it. “Force may give you possession, but it can never give you title,” she said. “No illegal referendum, no imposed passport and no sham election can change that.”

Ms Metsola said almost four million Ukrainians were living under occupation, where they faced detention, torture, disappearances and violence. Children were being deported, subjected to Russian re-education and militarised, while Crimean Tatars faced systematic persecution.

Austrian President Alexander Van der Bellen warned that “Ukraine must not become the subject of a transactional deal”. Czech President Petr Pavel similarly said that “no durable peace can be built on the acceptance of territorial conquest by force”.

The presidents of Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, Montenegro and Slovakia also reaffirmed that they would not recognise Russia’s annexation. Estonian President Alar Karis said the wider question was whether aggression could “simply wait for the world to grow tired”.

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Numerous examples illustrate [a] looming threat. Last week, Belarus held a four-day military drill along the Polish-Lithuanian border as Ukraine reported that Russia was using Belarusian relay stations to guide drone attacks on targets in western Ukraine. That same week, NATO assets shot down a drone coming from Belarus outside the Lithuanian city of Kaunas.

Earlier this month, Germany stated that Russia was behind a drone attack targeting Ukrainian cargo planes at the Leipzig/Halle airport in August.

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The goal, the [European] Commission said, is to exploit states’ vulnerabilities, “without necessarily triggering a formal state of war”.

“We should be under no illusions about what is happening here: hybrid threats facing Europe are less and less hybrid and less and less threats,” Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said during her September address to MEPs in Strasbourg.

The recent acts of sabotage and drone incursions are leading some leaders to harden their discourse. Earlier this month, EU High Representative Kaja Kalla said the Leipzig/Halle attack had “all the characteristics of state-sponsored terrorism”.

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Last Thursday, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk told national lawmakers Russia could strike countries supporting Ukraine, including Poland, using drones and missiles and pass them off as accidents. A day later, French President Emmanuel Macron said the “nature of Russian aggression and the threats in Europe are changing”, after briefing party leaders and presidential candidates on national security ahead of the 2027 elections.

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NATO defines hybrid threats as a combination of military and non-military, as well as covert and overt, means, including disinformation, cyberattacks, economic pressure, deployment of irregular armed groups and use of regular forces.

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Russia has so far targeted European countries within what some experts call a “grey zone”, below the threshold that would trigger a conventional response.

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To better address the Kremlin’s strategy against EU countries, von der Leyen last week proposed a “counter-hybrid playbook” as part of the highly anticipated European Security Strategy.

The mechanism will help capitals react to “incidents” that fall “below armed conflict but clearly threaten our national security”, the Commission chief said, adding it would resemble NATO’s Article 4.

But some argue that too much clarity could serve the Kremlin. For Jamie Shea, a former NATO deputy assistant secretary-general, “being too clear about levels of response takes away the ambiguity which is key to deterrence, keeping your opponent guessing”.

The aggressor could then continue provoking and disrupting up to a certain level without worrying about the response, he added.

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While some experts say escalatory war rhetoric could fuel Moscow’s escalation, the ISW argues Europe’s current language constrains Western responses and signals tolerance to Moscow.

The multiplication of incidents is also testing the efficiency of Europe’s current deterrence and carries the risk of “unintended escalation”, Linas Kojala, the head of the Vilnius-based Geopolitics and Security Studies Centre, said.

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German investigators believe the Main Directorate of the General Staff of Russia’s Armed Forces, or GRU, was behind a September 3 attack on defense companies in Munich, the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung reported.

On the night of September 2–3, incendiary devices were thrown from a passing car at a construction site near the Munich headquarters of defense companies Rohde & Schwarz and Helsing.

One device ignited near containers at the site. No one was injured. Police soon detained two suspects: a 28-year-old woman and a 38-year-old Bulgarian man. German investigators believe the GRU recruited them.

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German intelligence agencies believe a special GRU unit, the Department of Special Tasks, is behind acts of sabotage across Europe. In February 2025, The Wall Street Journal reported on the unit’s creation. Western intelligence agencies believe its mission includes carrying out assassinations and sabotage abroad, infiltrating Western companies and universities, and recruiting and training foreign agents.

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In August, a drone with explosives attached was found at Leipzig Airport, near a Ukrainian An-124 cargo plane carrying ammunition. It later emerged that there were several drones. On September 1, German authorities formally accused Russia of attempting sabotage at the airport. Moscow denies the allegations.

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cross-posted from: https://scribe.disroot.org/post/11541048

The Carbon Trust (United Kingdom), France Energies Marines (France), Stiftung OFFSHORE-WINDENERGIE (Germany), and Net Zero Atlantic (Canada) signed a Memorandum of Understanding during WindEnergy Hamburg 2026.

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The MoU will support a structured exchange on key issues including regulatory frameworks, maritime spatial planning, grid integration, port infrastructure, environmental considerations, supply chains and stakeholder engagement.

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cross-posted from: https://scribe.disroot.org/post/11540710

Security Minister Dan Jarvis will chair a briefing for organisations representing critical national infrastructure providers, while Armed Forces Minister Louise Sandher-Jones will lead a separate session with industry bodies representing defence companies. The briefings are intended to share intelligence on activity the Government attributes to the Russian state and associated proxies, including cyber attacks, sabotage and disinformation.

The Government said Russia and groups linked to it have sought to disrupt organisations supporting essential services in the UK and those involved in assistance to Ukraine. The briefings will draw on intelligence assessments and are intended to give companies a clearer picture of the threat and of measures they can take with government to improve resilience.

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Jarvis said: “Strong defences are built on a clear understanding of the threat.

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The Government said similar briefings were held earlier this year for university leaders and political parties, focused on foreign interference and steps organisations could take to strengthen security. Defence companies and infrastructure operators already receive support through bodies including the National Cyber Security Centre, the National Protective Security Authority and specialist policing organisations such as the Civil Nuclear Constabulary.

The announcement also referred to a recent National Security Act case in which the Crown Prosecution Service charged a British man over alleged conduct connected with preparations for sabotage and instructions allegedly received from a person believed to be linked to the GRU Volunteer Corps. The case remains an allegation and has not been determined by a court.

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cross-posted from: https://scribe.disroot.org/post/11523745

Germany submitted its roadmap for transitioning away from fossil fuels to the UN in New York today, in line with the commitment made at the UN Cop 28 climate summit in 2023.

Germany is the third country to present its roadmap as part of the transitioning away from fossil fuels initiative, following France and the Netherlands.

In presenting the roadmap, the government aims to "inject further momentum into the process", so that "as many countries as possible can flesh out their respective plans", the environment ministry said.

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Nokia closes down its radio technology R&D center in China as European vendors are forced out of the country over China's 'national security' concerns.

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Nokia has confirmed it is winding down its radio technology research and development centre in Hangzhou by the end of 2026, cutting roughly 1,600 jobs and quietly closing the book on a China strategy that has been unravelling for the better part of a decade. Staff were told on Thursday, August 13.

The company's explanation was clinical—it is aligning its China operations with how Nokia works globally, and its business there has been shrinking for years. Light Reading reports that Nokia sites in Beijing, Chengdu, Qingdao and Shanghai could follow, though the company hasn't confirmed that.

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What makes the timing interesting is the argument it revives. In September 2025, at a press conference in Oulu, Finland, Nokia CEO Justin Hotard asked Europe a question it still hasn't properly answered: "Why do we allow high-risk vendors in Europe in our networks," he said, when Nokia holds under 3% share in China?

Nokia executives said at the time they had been told European vendors were to be pushed out of China on national security grounds. The Hangzhou shutdown is what that warning looks like on the ground.

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Nokia's China revenue has more than halved since 2018 The numbers explain the exit better than any statement does. Nokia's Greater China sales fell from nearly €2.2 billion in 2018 to €913 million in 2025—a drop of more than 58%. The turn came in 2020, when Nokia lost out on key radio access network contracts with China Mobile, China Telecom and China Unicom. What looked like a product problem then looks structural now.

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Danish analyst John Strand put it flatly in January: "China is lost land for vendors like Ericsson and Nokia."

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Hotard's complaint about asymmetry hasn't aged. Huawei accounts for roughly 59% of Germany's 5G radio sites, according to Strand Consult data cited by the country's interior ministry. Only 13 of the EU's 27 member states had fully or partly adopted the bloc's 5G security toolbox as of 2025. Brussels is now moving to make it mandatory—a shift Hotard called "a very good and important step" in January. Germany wants Chinese components in RAN networks down to 25% by October 1, 2026.

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Really funny how one of my last posts here people basically laughed in my face for saying Islamophobia is a problem....

Also see

https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/who-gets-be-italian-rise-and-rise-islamophobia-italy

“Our struggle started 10 years ago - and for many people even earlier - but instead of reducing the number of people who are foreigners only on paper, that number continues to grow every year. We used to talk about newly arrived migrants. Today we are talking about third generations: the grandchildren of immigrants, born in Italy.”

Duma’s comments point to a contradiction that has become increasingly visible in Italy's political debate.

Politicians can speak of “foreign pupils” in classrooms even when those pupils were born in Italy, have spent their lives in the Italian education system and may speak Italian as their first language.

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cross-posted from : https://lemmy.zip/post/72122441

The KBA road traffic authority was cited by the t-online news portal as saying that the recall was required due to potential bolt failures that could damage the steering gearbox or, in some cases, cause a complete loss of steering.

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The Russian state news agency RIA Novosti published a column headlined “Russia Is In for Another SVO [special military operation]. It Will Be Very Short,” which threatened Lithuania with a nuclear strike.

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Alexander Nosovich, a freelance contributor to the agency, wrote the column in response to the Lithuanian parliament’s decision to support lifting the ban on stationing nuclear weapons in the country. RIA Novosti deleted the text a few hours later, saying the piece “does not correspond to the editorial board’s views, editorial policy, or Russian state policy.” However, a copy of the article survived in a web archive.

In the deleted column, Nosovich said European countries “continue to push the idea of moving unconventional weapons to Russia’s borders” and had picked a country “willing to become a nuclear depot.” He also called Lithuania “a suicidal country with no brains whatsoever,” “a useful idiot,” and “a small but proud kamikaze in Russia’s near abroad.”

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Nosovich also compared Lithuania to Ukraine and threatened the country with invasion and a nuclear strike. “This is about what means could be used. And since our adversaries are the first to shift the conversation into the realm of nuclear threats, Russia can even forgo deploying ground troops. Just missiles with the appropriate warhead. The decision would be not just quick, but lightning-fast. Don’t underestimate the importance of a few seconds,” the text says.

Nosovich is a member of the nongovernmental organization Council on Foreign and Defense Policy and the editor-in-chief of the pro-Russian outlet RuBaltic.Ru, which is based in Kaliningrad. The Russian investigative outlet Dossier Center reported in 2020 that staff members of Russia’s Presidential Administration and Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service ran an influence network linked to Nosovich.

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Finland and Sweden said on Friday they had scrambled fighter jets to intercept and identify Russian military aircraft in international airspace over the Gulf of Finland, in the first such joint operation by the two Nordic countries.

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The Baltic Sea region, of which the Gulf of Finland is part, is on high alert after incidents involving gas pipeline outages, airspace violations and drone sightings since Russia's 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Statements from Swedish Leadership

Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson said the operation, which took place on Thursday, showed how the so-called Quick Reaction Alert cooperation could monitor and safeguard both countries' airspace.

"It is a concrete expression of the readiness and trust we have built together – and an expression of the strength in the Nordic, Nordic-Baltic, and broader NATO cooperation in our part of the world," Kristersson wrote in a post on social media X.

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"The Baltic Sea has never been as vulnerable as it is now – but it has also never been better protected than it is right now," he said.

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The two air forces' jets tracked down and identified a group of Russian aircraft including a transport plane and several fighter jets, the Finnish Air Force said.

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Finland and Sweden both joined NATO following Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, departing from a longstanding policy of non-alignment. Their Nordic neighbours Norway, Iceland and Denmark were already members of the Atlantic alliance, as were the three Baltic republics of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania.

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