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Insider trading, but make it worse
(thelemmy.club)
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this post was submitted on 04 Jan 2026
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A Boring Dystopia
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TIL there’s a website where anyone can bet on anything.
What?! What are the odds?!
Put me down for a tenner
You lost
Fuck
Hey, gimme another ten bucks. Your luck can only get better, right???
I'll bet you 10 bucks that I'll lose this 10 bucks I'm betting you.
https://youtu.be/Klr1BKO1MKM
Fuck! I owe you $10, but I've only got this $20. Hey, give me two tens for a $20.
Look for trumps dead bet
Ooh, without even looking I suspect it’s close to even?
Edit: just looked and couldn’t find it? I tried searching “Trump (dies, dead, death, deceased)” and it didn’t come up.
I don't think they allow for that sort of bets. But I found this bizarre one
Tbf it's not that weird, the death was so suspicious some theorized at the time that he wasn't even killed, the pics faked his death and the state "confirmed" it but in reality they shipped him off somewhere quiet to continue his Mossad blackmail ring.
Idk if that's true but honestly we're talking about a Mossad agent that had dirt on everyone and state level actors who would have been the help, it is possible, very possible, that it's true, but afaik there's no evidence other than speculation, so it probably isn't. I'm agnostic on it personally.
I guess I was just expecting to see that one. But there's something fun about these conspiracy theories being open to gambling. I'm gonna bet on steel beams not being able to melt with jet fuel. Gonna mortage my house on that!
Are there any bets on whether or not the Twin Towers are still there and David Copperfield only made it look like they'd been destroyed?
Of course there aren't. Everyone knows Chris "The Mindfreak" Angel did that
That bet is really dumb to take, since locking your money up for 1 year to win 3% isn't worth it
You silly goose. The current chance of winning is listed at 3%, not the earnings.
Their point is interesting, though. There's a lot of important stuff in the far future for which accurate odds would help society, but it's effectively impossible to bet on because of high inflation and rug pulls.
Right now we only have secondary indicators, like homeowners insurance pulling out of Florida.
Polymarket definitely has a right wing stink to it.
Grifter’s gonna grift.
Ever since "Predictive markets" were made legal in 2015 has unfortunately made gambling much more degenerate in the US.