news
Welcome to c/news! Please read the Hexbear Code of Conduct and remember... we're all comrades here.
Rules:
-- PLEASE KEEP POST TITLES INFORMATIVE --
-- Overly editorialized titles, particularly if they link to opinion pieces, may get your post removed. --
-- All posts must include a link to their source. Screenshots are fine IF you include the link in the post body. --
-- If you are citing a twitter post as news please include not just the twitter.com in your links but also nitter.net (or another Nitter instance). There is also a Firefox extension that can redirect Twitter links to a Nitter instance: https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/libredirect/ or archive them as you would any other reactionary source using e.g. https://archive.today/ . Twitter screenshots still need to be sourced or they will be removed --
-- Mass tagging comm moderators across multiple posts like a broken markov chain bot will result in a comm ban--
-- Repeated consecutive posting of reactionary sources, fake news, misleading / outdated news, false alarms over ghoul deaths, and/or shitposts will result in a comm ban.--
-- Neglecting to use content warnings or NSFW when dealing with disturbing content will be removed until in compliance. Users who are consecutively reported due to failing to use content warnings or NSFW tags when commenting on or posting disturbing content will result in the user being banned. --
-- Using April 1st as an excuse to post fake headlines, like the resurrection of Kissinger while he is still fortunately dead, will result in the poster being thrown in the gamer gulag and be sentenced to play and beat trashy mobile games like 'Raid: Shadow Legends' in order to be rehabilitated back into general society. --
view the rest of the comments
while it is nevertheless relevant as a major publication by a western bank, this is such a stupid and ill-informed report. july 2025 is 2 months away and there is absolutely no way a peace treaty is signed by then. negotiations literally haven't even started. anyone who believes otherwise should have a look at this article on the nuts and bolts of diplomacy in the current context.
further, this is entirely unfounded and does not reflect russian troop/materiel replenishment. the comment about 118 years is just accountant map brained bullshit
unbelievably poor analysis
For all people like to compare it to WWI, they don't ever seem to think that it's probably going to end like it where one side eventually has its ability to maintain the front destroyed and then starts losing massive amounts of territory very quickly.
At the rate the western front was going it would have taken hundreds of years to get all of Germany, but that's not how wars of attrition work.
I agree there is a lot of stupid in the report, but there doesn't need to be a peace treaty signed for the war to end. It's not unthinkable that the US could walk away within two months if they decide that there's no path forward, or the AFU could start to visibly collapse. In either case, the war would be effectively over. It's obviously going to take more time for the hostilities to end and diplomacy to happen, but effectively the war would be over at that point.
if you count scenarios where hostilities are ongoing as the war being over, the war is already over and has been since 2023. there's no outcome from here on out where ukraine isn't a failed state for at least the next generation, no matter what other territory changes hands or how many people die
I don't think there was any outcome where Ukraine could win from the start of the war, but what I'm talking about is the narrative collapse in the west. Right now we're still getting articles like this gem arguing that Ukraine is winning actually, and there is still popular belief in the west that the war can be won.
We are living in an early Soviet cartoon where the largest capitalist institutions have to reject basic laws of the universe like quantity → quality because they are Bolshevist propaganda. Terrible.
Because war is always linear, right?
Yeah this gives off the energy of a propaganda post to scare all of the capitalists and capitalist bootlickers about the conflict
The only way this happens in this timeline is if there is an extremely rapid pro Russian coup of Ukraine. And even then it would have to be like this weekend