this post was submitted on 02 Dec 2024
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Image is of one of the six salvos of the Oreshnik missile striking Ukraine.


The Oreshnik is an intermediate-range ballistic missile that appears to split into six groups of six submunitions as it strikes its target, giving it the appearance of a hazel flower. It can travel at ten times the speed of sound, and cannot be intercepted by any known Western air defense system, and thus Russia can strike and conventionally destroy any target anywhere in Europe within 20 minutes. Two weeks ago, Russia used the Oreshnik to strike the Yuzhmash factory in Ukraine, particularly its underground facilities, in which ballistic missiles are produced.

Despite the destruction caused by the missile, and its demonstration of Russian missile supremacy over the imperial core, various warmongering Western countries have advocated for further reprisals against Russia, with Ukraine authorized by the US to continue strikes. Additionally, the recent upsurge of the fighting in Syria is no doubt connected to trying to stretch Russia thin, as well as attempting to isolate Hezbollah and Palestine from Iran; how successful this will have ended up being will depend on the outcome of the Russia and Syrian counteroffensive. Looking at recent military history, it will take many months for the Russians and Syrians to retake a city that was lost in about 48 hours.

Even in the worst case scenario for Hezbollah, it's notable that Ansarallah has had major success despite being physically cut off from the rest of the Resistance and under a blockade, and it has defeated the US Navy in its attempts to open up the strait. Israel has confirmed now that their army cannot even make significant territorial gains versus a post-Nasrallah, post-pager terrorist attack Hezbollah holding back its missile strike capabilities. In 2006, it also could not defeat a much less well-armed Hezbollah and was forced to retreat from Lebanon.


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Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 15 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

If it falls, then the Axis of Resistance is broken.

I haven't seen enough to think this is true. The rebels are still generally anti-American, Russia seems to think they'll be able to establish a relationship if Assad falls. The borders will likely remain porous enough for Iran to send arms. Even if that isn't the case, Iran has other means to send aid to the rest of the resistance, and they are not solely dependent on Iranian aid.

This is what I mean by dooming, Assad's government might collapse and people like you start saying the entire resistance is over

[–] [email protected] 23 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (1 children)

The rebels are still generally anti-American

No they are not lol, they are American proxies. They are trained and armed by Turkey (NATO) and in Al Tanf (American military base). They are pro-Israel. One of the primary purposes of this entire "revolution" is to stop these weapon transfers to Hezbollah through the "porous" border which is only porous for Iranian weapon shipments because the Syrian government makes it so. HTS's first action is going to be to shut down these routes, it's the reason for their existence and funding.

Russia seems to think they'll be able to establish a relationship if Assad falls

I've seen one telegram speculating about this, that's it. And if it's true Russia is stupid beyond belief.

This is what I mean by dooming, Assad's government might collapse and people like you start saying the entire resistance is over

Hezbollah has been forced into agreeing to a ceasefire that undermines all their war objectives, ie they were defeated strategically despite their tactical victories in pushing the Israelis out of Lebanon for quite some time. They are already on the brink of destruction, in great peril of losing grip of their position and being surrounded by enemies on all sides. Losing their major ally on their border and it turning into pro-Israel jihadists is extremely bad.

[–] [email protected] 14 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

I don't really feel like engaging with someone who thinks Hezbollah is on the "brink of destruction." You do you though

[–] [email protected] 21 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

Why else would they betray the will of Nasrallah that the struggle of Hezbollah and Gaza be linked? Why else would they agree to a personal ceasefire that does nothing to help Gaza, the stated reason for the conflict and the organization itself?

Do you think Hezbollah was defeated and forced into that position out of regretful necessity? Or do you think they are compromised after the death of Nasrallah and have betrayed the reason for their existence and the cause itself? Cause it’s one of the other, those are the only two explanations for why they would allow the genocide to continue in Gaza while tapping out themselves. The destruction in Beirut and Lebanon in general has put a heavy toll on them and a lot of pressure for peace, the people of Lebanon will not stand for much more. They don't have the commitment to Gaza that Hezbollah does, Hezbollah has to fend off reactionary militias internally as well as Israelis bombing them & soon to be nu-ISIS on their flanks

I could also see them having intel on the upcoming offensives in Syria and putting one conflict on pause to handle another, but we are yet to see major Hezbollah movements into Syria to help out there either. If you have examples otherwise I’m happy to say that is their strategy. And if we do see major moves by Hezbollah into Syria (god willing) then that further proves how important the Syrian government remaining intact is to Hezbollah, they see the Syrian and Lebanon conflicts as linked just as they see Palestine as linked. They will not allow Assad to fall if they can help it because it's an existential issue for them, so what's with your pithy "who gives a fuck about Assad" attitude? THE AXIS OF RESISTANCE AND PALESTINE.