[-] doo@sh.itjust.works 32 points 7 months ago

What a great way to show the inefficiency of sanctions! /s

[-] doo@sh.itjust.works 44 points 8 months ago

They were expecting big slow drones that would take hours flying from Ukraine. Instead they got many small ones that took 18 months to arrive but were invisible until the last minute. A surprise zerg rush, when they were expecting and preparing against ultralisks.

(My analogies are very weak today)

[-] doo@sh.itjust.works 39 points 8 months ago

Ah, sweet. I believe Finland joined Nazis after the winter war. Fascinatingly enough, during the winter war, the country that was on the side of Nazis was ... Soviet Union!

I'm still fascinated that soviets managed to play a victim card in a war that they started themselves.

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submitted 9 months ago by doo@sh.itjust.works to c/ukraine@sopuli.xyz

By degrading a near-peer adversary’s military capability, gaining unprecedented battlefield intelligence, and accelerating the testing and development of advanced weapons systems, the U.S. is realizing a Return on Strategic Investment (ROSI) of 321% to 797%

[-] doo@sh.itjust.works 46 points 10 months ago

If we were to take over the entire connectivity capacity for Ukraine and all the citizens, — we wouldn't be able to do that.

Luckily, that's not needed. Let's start with covering 50% of the frontline needs.

[-] doo@sh.itjust.works 29 points 1 year ago

We’re all sick of the dozens of apps on our phones

That day when I realised I'm not part of "we all".

Do I really need my calculator to have maps function?

[-] doo@sh.itjust.works 34 points 1 year ago

US' help was critical so far and when it was paused for six months Ukraine noticed.

On the other hand, when it was paused, Ukraine noticed, but didn't immediately fail. On top of that there were recent reports that Ukraine has enough supplies until summer. On top of that there Zelensky's statement that Ukraine is now producing up to 30% of what it needs in the battlefield. And on top of that, while US help was significant, the contributions from other countries were also nontrivial and many of them invested into increasing production.

So all in all, US' help was and stays important (even if it was quite often a little too late), but if it stops, I believe Ukraine can still win, but that will be quite bad for the States as Trump will not be able to claim this victory and also the military industry will lose quite a lot of advertisement when Ukraine wins with Owen, German, French, Korean or any other weapons.

[-] doo@sh.itjust.works 39 points 1 year ago

And do it begins. Musk wants to become the new Hitler.

How soon till we start making time travel films about going back to stop him?

[-] doo@sh.itjust.works 33 points 1 year ago

So now they're going to conscript him?

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sanctions work (open.substack.com)
submitted 1 year ago by doo@sh.itjust.works to c/ukraine@sopuli.xyz

2.5 years to halve the reserves, the spend cannot be linear and I also don't think they need to get to zero to have a collapse.

... The economy is being funded by the cash reserves, which increases inflation, which leads to another round of interest rate hikes to combat inflation, which makes it harder to borrow money, which is necessary for economic growth. Eventually, the cash reserves will run out. It took 2.5 years to deplete half the Russian reserves. Russia withdrew $37 billion to cover deficits in December 2022. It withdrew $20 billion to cover deficits in December 2023. It only has $54 billion left.

[-] doo@sh.itjust.works 28 points 1 year ago

They also held 293.189 tonnes of unallocated gold, compared with 298.84 tonnes on August 1, 303.579 tonnes on July 1 and 329.795 tonnes on June 1.

So they sold almost 40 tonnes of gold in 4 months? I approve that trend.

[-] doo@sh.itjust.works 39 points 1 year ago

Yes.

On 18 June 2020, the Russian government lifted its ban on Telegram after it agreed to "help with extremism investigations".

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/telegram-russia-ban-lift-messaging-app-encryption-download-a9573181.html

Which means KGB has full access to all messages.

[-] doo@sh.itjust.works 35 points 1 year ago

the answer is - it doesn't matter. the biggest learning from the nazi germany was that you don't need the entire population of a country to be homicidal psychopaths. all you need is a small group of those psychopaths, control or media, propaganda and you get a perfectly functioning system where normal everyday folks go to their normal everyday jobs.

just those jobs are in gestapo. or in maintenance of gas chambers. or making food for the equally confused soldiers.

of course, we should avoid civilian casualties as much as we can (but apparently russian army is not required) but the system needs to be stopped.

russia has cancer. chemoterapy is not a pleasant procedure that affects both ill and healthy cells. the alternative is, unfortunately, to allow that cancer to spread to the entire planet.

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submitted 2 years ago by doo@sh.itjust.works to c/ukraine@sopuli.xyz
[-] doo@sh.itjust.works 27 points 2 years ago

Ah, but it's all about the context.

See, nothing was done and nothing changed, is definitely not an update.

On the other hand, "russia lost 30'000 personell in November alone, but nothing changed" is a significant update.

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submitted 2 years ago by doo@sh.itjust.works to c/ukraine@sopuli.xyz

If anything, russia is showing clear signs of sunk-cost fallacy

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Escalation_of_commitment

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submitted 2 years ago by doo@sh.itjust.works to c/ukraine@sopuli.xyz
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submitted 2 years ago by doo@sh.itjust.works to c/ukraine@sopuli.xyz
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In today's #vatniksoup I'll talk about Russian Nazis and introduce Russian neo-Nazi movements and paramilitary groups like Rusich and PMC Wagner. They're best-known for being funded by the Kremlin and being responsible for the "denazification" in Ukraine.

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So basically, we're waiting for a (hopefully very soon) systemic collapse of moscovite army since they bet both their attack and defence on artillery

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doo

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