they were talking about regime change yesterday day i ain't buying the "it's time for peace thing".
im not a geopolitical analyst (thank god) but imo there's two possibilities:
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they're gonna keep violating the ceasefire and when iran responds trump can justify a full scale invasion to his base on the account of "they took away muh nobel peace prize".
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the more likely scenario, it's there to buy time for another surprise attack like the first day/launching a civil war. im not saying israel was in a worse position than iran, but the fact is that they were running out of interceptors. they believe (and unfortunately im inclined to believe as well) that they have done enough damage to iran's missile program to stop us from replenishing our missile stockpile, while they fill up their interceptors, re-establish bases and contacts inside iran and gather intel for another attack or even attempt an uprising.
there's already reports of light weapons being smuggled into iran and there's ongoing talks with shah's failson. climate change ain't making the weather any cooler and there's an eerie sense of anger hanging in the air. the last large scale protest was 3 years ago and looks like we have those every couple of years now.
islamic republic has failed to establish deterrence and now the only path forward is to both change domestic policy and root out corruption to appease the populace, and to get a nuclear weapon to establish real deterrence. and I'm sad to say but seeing our geriatric and libbed out leadership (with a huge portion of them being outright assets) i don't have high hopes. i hope im wrong but it looks like iran is on the path to become the next libya.
im still hearing bombs here (although much less than yesterday). nice ceasefire trump.