The results are making more sense now, but still some notable outliers.

Mississippi State due to the adjusted win totals gained off of the Minnesota (3.02) and Mizzou (2.80) and the Alabama loss only gaining them half a loss.

Ohio State is clawing their way up the list with their first lucrative win, earning 2.7 adjusted wins from Iowa. The loss to Texas isn't dragging them down much either.

1. Texas
2. Alabama
3. Miami
4. Oregon
5. Notre Dame
6. Mississippi State
7. UCLA
8. Nebraska
9. Duke
10. Florida
11. USC
12. Indiana
13. Pittsburgh
14. BYU
15. Georgia
16. Texas Tech
17. Ohio State
18. Wisconsin
19. Utah
20. Ole Miss
21. Wake Forest
22. Missouri
23. Minnesota
24. James Madison
25. LSU

Late to the party, but here's mine.

1. Florida
2. Texas
3. Miami
4. Oregon
5. Duke
6. Notre Dame
7. Alabama
8. Mississippi State
9. Georgia
10. Iowa
11. Ole Miss
12. Cincinnati
13. Oklahoma State
14. Nebraska
15. BYU
16. Pittsburgh
17. UCLA
18. Utah
19. Indiana
20. Texas Tech
21. USC
22. Michigan
23. Virginia Tech
24. LSU
25. James Madison

Three games in and my poll is starting to make a little sense. It's based on a new computer poll I made up. If you beat a team, you "earn" their wins. Lose and you get their losses. Sprinkle on some math and repeat until it stabilizes. Here's my ballot.

1. Texas
2. Duke
3. Ole Miss
4. Miami
5. Michigan
6. Indiana
7. Notre Dame
8. Alabama
9. Florida
10. USC
11. UTSA
12. Boise State
13. Mississippi State
14. Kansas State
15. Penn State
16. UCLA
17. Pittsburgh
18. Tulsa
19. Virginia Tech
20. James Madison
21. Memphis
22. App State
23. South Florida
24. Cincinnati
25. Oregon

Here's the top 25:

1. Tulsa
2. Oklahoma State
3. Duke
4. Oregon
5. Boise State
6. Indiana
7. North Texas
8. Miami
9. Mississippi State
10. Illinois
11. Texas
12. LSU
13. Michigan
14. Penn State
15. South Florida
16. UCLA
17. SMU
18. Stanford
19. Troy
20. Cincinnati
21. USC
22. Michigan State
23. Alabama
24. UTSA
25. Florida

I'm having trouble posting my results, but that's probably for the better. My poll needs a few more weeks of data to spit out something coherent.

Like make a model while drunk, or one that acts drunk?? 😂

No votes or picks from me this week, since I let my poll make all the decisions.

Speaking of which, I made a new model! I wanted to see if I could make a halfway decent model using only wins and losses. No points, no stats, no historical data. Just which teams did you play, what is their record, and did you win?

Introducing the Cross-network Recursive Earned-record Equity Propagation Ratings or CREEPR for short. Basically, a team "earns" the win or loss side of each opponent's record depending on the result of that game. The total "earned record" becomes the team's new record and the process repeats a bunch of times until the results converge. If there's interest, I can explain the method in more detail in another thread/post.

I just did it, but it's listed as #29, not #30. Don't know what that's about. Also played in hard mode.

WordWavr #29 2/6 🟠🟢 Can you beat me? 🌊 https://wordwavr.app/

Congratulations, you finished puzzle #666 in 4 minutes, 5 seconds

I was thinking about doing that for my algorithm. But at the same time, if you get absolutely embarrassed in your CCG (cough Bama & BYU cough), maybe your rating should drop at least a bit...

And here's the poll after championship weekend. It's pretty harsh on the losers, even Ohio State, who only lost by 3 to an equal opponent... And Notre Dame sits there at #4.

Fun fact: If you run my algo in reverse chronological order, ND ends up at #15. It was kind of by design for more recent games to matter more, but I didn't expect THAT much difference. I might play with ways to reduce that effect in the future.

1. Indiana
2. Texas Tech
3. Georgia
4. Notre Dame
5. Oregon
6. Ohio State
7. Oklahoma
8. Utah
9. Ole Miss
10. Vanderbilt
11. Texas A&M
12. Tulane
13. James Madison
14. Arizona
15. Texas
16. BYU
17. Miami
18. Alabama
19. USC
20. North Texas
21. Navy
22. Michigan
23. South Florida
24. Iowa
25. Duke

Here are my rankings for this week. I will hold off submitting a poll until the Championship games have been played.

No real surprises here. OSU retakes the top spot, Texas A&M drops, putting them on the bubble. Pitt, SMU, and ASU drop out of the Top 25, being replaced by Navy, USF, and Iowa. ND persists at #4.

If you used this to CFP seeding, the Top 10 all make it in, with North Texas and JMU over any ACC team.

1. Ohio State
2. Indiana
3. Texas Tech
4. Notre Dame
5. Oregon
6. Georgia
7. Oklahoma
8. Utah
9. Ole Miss
10. Vanderbilt
11. BYU
12. Texas A&M
13. Alabama
14. Arizona
15. North Texas
16. Texas
17. James Madison
18. Miami
19. USC
20. Tulane
21. Virginia
22. Navy
23. Michigan
24. South Florida
25. Iowa