https://gs.statcounter.com/os-market-share/desktop/north-america/#monthly-200901-202607

https://radar.cloudflare.com/explorer?dataSet=http&groupBy=os&dt=28d&loc=north-america&filters=deviceType%253DDESKTOP

Cloudflare stats also seem to support peaks of 15% usage but around 9-10% on average. In the United States alone, the market share for Linux is nearly 12% now for the whole month and Cloudflare stats suggest peaks of up to 25% (!) Linux desktop usage on certain days and times.

The trendline suggests this is just the start. When will companies realize they cannot ignore Linux anymore?

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[–] 96 points 2 months ago (12 children)

As an OpenBSD user I find it funny how they list OpenBSD as 0%. Like, they could've just omitted it.

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  • [–] 40 points 2 months ago (3 children)
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    [–] 68 points 2 months ago* (20 children)

    Maybe some AI crawlers started to honestly report Linux instead of Windows as they possibly did before? Otherwise such a quick spike is hard to explain (unbelievable). Or did I miss any big news lately?

    //I'm on Linux in the last 15 years and I don't even care that much about what unrelated to me people use, although I always do help fellow Linux-ers when I encounter them in the wild.

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  • [–] 59 points 2 months ago (7 children)

    ive noticed lots of videos on youtube of people switching to linux.

    honestly, i think the Linus Tech Tips linux challenge videos gave many people confidence to take the leap, along with people's general distain for win11, and probably also the work Valve's been doing on proton and the "release" of the steam machine is driving all this.

    it really feels like adoption has spiked.

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  • [–] 15 points 2 months ago (5 children)

    I feel like I heard of more people switching after the Steam Deck, and then more after the forced expansion of copilot in Windows.

    I haven't heard much of ltt other than him trying Linux and not liking it. Kind of been more on the negative side until the Steam Machine. His attempts just seemed to end in disasters.

    If youtubers are pointed to I think pewdiepie is the one with way more Linux influence given his bigger reach and going all in on it a long time ago as opposed to a recent stint of saying something good about it in passing due to the steam machine.

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  • [–] [S] 33 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (4 children)

    I've noticed some pretty big spikes in download stats for certain distros like CachyOS and Bazzite, too. I've seen a lot of stories of people churning through Linux in the past and recently coming back to it because the software has matured so much and Windows and OSX are enshittifying.

    I think datacenter use may be part of it- usage peaks at the middle of the working day and the highest peaks are on Monday. Its also possible a lot of companies related to AI swapped to Linux distros on workforce computers to reduce headaches in managing AI workloads. There is something that happened July 1st-6th that caused the trendline to accelerate, maybe Kimi K3 news and market shocks? But it should be noted Bazzite and CachyOS use peaked around this time as well.

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  • [–] [S] 18 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (2 children)

    Apparently Windows 11 sent out an EOL notice for October 2026 recently too. https://www.tech2geek.net/windows-11-24h2-support-ends-on-october-13-2026-heres-how-to-stay-protected/

    Steam Machine also came out and sold around 20k machines in the USA. I also wouldn't discount how good LLMs are at guiding people through "complicated" things like swapping to Linux. GPT for example suggests moving to Linux on first prompt after asking how to fix the windows 11 eol message. Seems like a perfect storm that led to a ton of people swapping to Linux for a wide variety of reasons.

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  • [–] 15 points 2 months ago (1 child)

    I don't think Ai companies / crawlers are honest, so I would rule that out. And its not like a single big event happened over time, but many and people slowly catching up now. In example the big PewDiePie video is just 1 year old, lot of other "smaller" channels like Linus Tech Tips and many other even smaller channels talk about their experience switching to Linux, how to switch, what it offers and why Windows sucks. Valve with their ongoing support and development of Steam operating system and hardware sending shockwaves of news throughout the entire industry. Then there are governments and companies in the world who suddenly switch lot of machines at the same time.

    There is so much going on in small steps, then together it makes a single huge step. Or there is just an error in the graph and I made myself a monkey with this speech. Both possible realities are fun.

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    [–] 45 points 2 months ago

    I remember whn Linux hit 4% as if it was yesterday.

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  • [–] 44 points 2 months ago (1 child)

    Way back in 2010 I made a prediction to my best friend using Windows: In 10 years we will have reached 10% market share. The catch with this prediction is, it was purely a wish without ANY understanding of the market whatsoever. Obviously 10 years passed and in 2020 I was wrong. We got COVID instead... Buuuuuut... only 6 years later we have already reached 10%!

    Besides all the efforts that are going in into the Linux operating systems and eco system, we got two major companies supporting Linux with a huge impact: Valve, with all their gaming related efforts and Microsoft, with their free advertisement through Windows 11. Thank you to both companies and all other parties involved making this possible!

    With that said, I make a new prediction: 10 years later, we (Linux) reach 20% market share AND OS X+macOS together reach 42%! Yes I even make a prediction for Apple. Also why is even macOS and OS X not a single graph, while everything Linux related is and even all Windows versions are a single graph? That makes the Apple line smaller than it is.

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  • [–] 43 points 2 months ago (14 children)

    Honestly, at this point I don't think Microsoft cares about Windows all that much. They make their money elsewhere, and even the control offered by owning the OS can't be counted on, as the Internet Explorer wars showed.

    At the same time, think about the weird coincidence that Windows 11 requires so much extra hardware firepower at the same time as said hardware firepower has become stupid expensive thanks to the same AI the company is pushing.

    They made it unaffordable to run Windows 11, and that's how we get the Year of Linux on the Desktop?

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  • [–] 34 points 2 months ago (4 children)

    I've been saying this since the release of WSL, but Microsoft has everything to gain from switching to the Linux kernel. Even back then senior devs were being laid off, and quality kept backsliding.

    Fiscally, why would they want to maintain a whole ass kernel and OS layer when they could probably get away with some sort of custom Atomic Fedora distro?

    It's only exacerbated by AI slop now. Their NT team will continue to shrink, and they'll be left with no other options.

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    [–] 43 points 2 months ago
    [–] 40 points 2 months ago (6 children)

    Honestly, this is too good of a news to be true. There has to be some kind of error somewhere. Not used to this.

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  • [–] 37 points 2 months ago (3 children)

    People should stop posting StatCounter, it's so unreliable and noisy.

    But I am surprised by the Cloudflare numbers, which are a lot more reliable, and still have Linux at ~5% worldwide, which is still higher than I thought! And even ~6.5% for the past two months, though I imagine that's a seasonality effect - maybe Linux users in the northern hemisphere are more likely to use their computers at home during summer? :P

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    [–] 30 points 2 months ago* (4 children)

    What’s the difference between “OS X” and “macOS” on this chart?

    Surely 20% of the market share isn’t Mac’s that are so old their OS is over 10 years old? I don’t know how else to interpret that…

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    [–] 24 points 2 months ago* (8 children)

    Weird that Apple has renamed OS X to Mac OS, my first thought opening the link to statcounter was NO WAY 8+% use an OS that was discontinued 25 years ago.

    WTF Apple?

    Opening Wikipedia it says Mac OS was introduced in 2001!?!?!!??
    WTF? That's the year it was discontinued!!

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MacOS

    macOS (previously OS X and originally Mac OS X

    Mac OS X succeeded the classic Mac OS, the primary Macintosh operating system from 1984 to 2001.

    For fucks sake! No it's not "classic Mac OS", it's Mac OS. It was never named classic. Just because Apple fucks up doesn't change the name of the original Mac OS.
    And no OS X did not maintain the same version number for decades. It was introduced as OS X 1.0, 10 is not a version number, it's part of the name like with OS/2 where the number is also not a version number but is part of the name, and describes something completely different, namely that it was meant as the default OS for IBM PS/2 computers.

    Sorry for the rant, but the stupidity of Apple removing the X from the name and not distinguishing properly between the original Mac OS and the new macOS is just such a piss poor decision IMO.
    For instance Mac OS does not have multitasking! But macOS does.

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  • [–] 12 points 2 months ago (1 child)

    I have to disagree on side details: OS X did have version numbers starting with 10. I used it between Panther and Yosemite and I can remember Tiger being called version 10.4; it was literally printed on the installation disc.

    Yes, that means "Mac OS X 10.0" had two tens right after one another. Apple aren't Microsoft silly when it comes to names but they can be silly.

    Also, it wasn't introduced as OS X. It was "Mac OS X" until 10.7, then "OS X" until 10.11, and "macOS" since then.

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    [–] 22 points 2 months ago (5 children)

    Microsoft legit single-handedly bringing about the Year of Linux with how they’re turning W11 into categorical dogshit lmfao 🤣

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    [–] 21 points 2 months ago*

    I'm one of em. Finally listened to the linux evangelists on here and put mint on my laptop a few months ago. I'm not a very technical person but installation was a piece of piss, and setting everything up was easy too. Didn't have to use command line once. Feels like I've got my laptop back, was hardly using it before because windows 11 was such a fuckin pain in the arse.

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  • [–] 18 points 2 months ago

    This is truely the year of the Linux desktop.

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  • [–] 15 points 2 months ago (6 children)

    whats the difference between osx and macos?

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  • [–] 21 points 2 months ago (4 children)

    The OS was renamed at some point; the first versions of the Unix/NEXTstep-based OS made by Apple were named Mac OS X, then at some point they switched to "OS X" (which hardly anyone ever actually said), then at some point to "macOS". So it's somewhat silly that they are separate lines and I don't know what the difference is on that graph.

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    [–] 14 points 2 months ago (4 children)

    Really wish I had my own computer instead of just my work one so I could get running on a proper OS instead of Windows

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    [–] 13 points 2 months ago

    putting osx and macos on separate lines was dumb af. the 'drop' of osx over the last ~ 18 months is entirely offset by the debut (and thus, an 'increase' from zero) of the name change to macos. it's a wash there.

    linux gains are almost entirely windows' loss, but whether it's a legitimate trend or not will take time to determine.

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  • [–] 13 points 2 months ago (3 children)

    I feel very happy seeing Linux attracting people, even if they get back again to Windows or Mac.

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    [–] 13 points 2 months ago (8 children)

    Im waiting to see how big corpos will ruin Linux.

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  • [–] 16 points 2 months ago (4 children)

    It will be like Android. You have to use their app store to install new programs.

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    [–] 13 points 2 months ago

    Year of Luigi?

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  • [–] 13 points 2 months ago (9 children)

    YEAR OF THE LINUX DESKTOP BABY (im still stuck on windows 11 because of CAD)

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    [–] 13 points 2 months ago (6 children)

    Why did it spike so much in just the last few months? That is a huge change!

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