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submitted 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) by SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net to c/news@hexbear.net

A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like "in Minecraft") and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is of a Khorramshahr-4 medium range ballistic missile, which has a range of about 2000km.


As I said in the last megathread, trying to figure out what exactly is happening is becoming ever more difficult. The gist of things is that Iran has, very justifiably, refused to negotiate (assassinating their leader and striking their country with hundreds of missiles in the middle of negotiations causes some reluctance to return to the table, I suppose). Censorship across the Middle East has further ramped up, with reportedly extreme punishments for posting footage of Iranian strikes online. From what I can gather, Iran's number of strikes have stabilized at a comfortable daily rate, with strikes into both the Gulf monarchies and Occupied Palestine continuing apace. Official charts of these strikes over time seem very disconnected from reality on the ground, but again, it's hard to really get at the specifics.

The messaging on how long the war is expected to last is rather muddled on both sides. The Trump administration fluctuates more than daily - and even sometimes in the same speech - on whether the war is already won or whether it's going to last months longer. The US seems to be coming up a new possible scheme every few hours: a ground invasion with the Kurds? A ground invasion without the Kurds? An amphibious assault? A series of commando operations to steal Iranian uranium? A massive parachuting operation into Tehran? Fuck it, let's just send the Navy into the Strait of Hormuz? There doesn't seem to be a coherent plan for continuing hostilities beyond firing more and more of a limited stockpile of cruise missiles into mostly non-military targets, hitting easily replaceable drone and missile launchers with a limited stockpile of drones, and burning a limited stockpile of interceptors at an astounding rate (and, in the process, disarming every other Western-aligned country of their interceptors).

Meanwhile, from Iran, I've seen rumors and reports from classic anonymous "senior IRGC officials" (no doubt some invented by Zionists to sow confusion), that I don't know how to substantiate, ranging anywhere from "If the US pulls back their forces now, we will restart negotiations," to "It doesn't matter what the US or the Zionists do or say, we aren't stopping until every last trace of Zionism in the Middle East has been extinguished," to a few positions in between those poles. Despite the damage to infrastructure in Iran, it doesn't seem like there has been any political or social fracturing. Not to speak too soon - perhaps the West will start earnestly trying to overfly Iranian territory to drop their very plentiful bombs soon - but every indication is that there will be no regime change nor societal collapse in Iran in the short and medium term.

The US is desperately trying - and mostly failing - to keep a lid on the economic firestorm they have ignited. There has been much ado about oil prices and oil futures and indexes and what all the myriad Lines going up and down signify and things like that, which is befitting such a financialized empire which is so disconnected from the actual physical flows of materials and much more attuned to vibes and speeches. The only thing I'm personally paying much attention to on the economic front is the drones and missiles slamming into fossil fuel infrastructure, the Hormuz blockade, and the resulting global shockwave of shortages, stoppages, closures, bankruptcies, and force majeures spreading out from the epicenter that is Iran.


Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] Alaskaball@hexbear.net 82 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Featured post by user oliveoil on a request to residents in the agressor nations to attempt to assist in anti-war efforts through economic actions

Reply to this post with additional material on how to participate in the anti-war movement.

Site is starting to slow down for some. please upload videos to other sites then post the link here instead of directly embedding them into the site. If you have posted embedded videos to this page before, when you have the time, please edit your comments containing the videos and swap them out for off-site links.

Try to follow rule 6 a bit harder while the conflict is actively ongoing to keep the news mega clear and on topic.

General notice: do not use dd geopolitics as a source of information as it it ran by the fascist party ACP and its fascist collaborators.

Stop posting AI slop to the mega. If you can't verify something, don't post it.

[-] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 129 points 1 month ago

Iran is considering allowing a limited number of oil tankers to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, provided that the oil cargo is traded in Chinese yuan, a senior Iranian official tells CNN.

gigachad: Sorry but the petrodollar WILL be stopped

xi-lib-tears

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[-] RaisedFistJoker@hexbear.net 125 points 1 month ago

https://xcancel.com/Reuters/status/2031655114134401058 "North Korean leader Kim Jong Un oversaw the test launch of strategic cruise missiles from a new 5,000-ton naval destroyer, the country's state media said" - Reuters.

The day after all those US assests got pulled out of south korea troll

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Iran warned the Kiev regime that it has become a party to the conflict and is now a legitimate target:

The head of the national security commission of the Iranian parliament took to X on Saturday, warning that Kiev’s decision to send anti-aircraft assets to the region to prop up the attackers gives Tehran the right to strike Ukraine in self-defense.

“By providing drone support to the Israeli regime, failed Ukraine has effectively become involved in the war and, under Article 51 of the United Nations Charter, has turned its entire territory into a legitimate target for Iran,” Azizi wrote.

https://www.rt.com/news/635001-iran-ukraine-legitimate-target/

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[-] joaomarrom@hexbear.net 122 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Thinking about the recent news that Iran is supposedly going to allow tankers through the strait as long as they are trading in Yuan, and it reminded me of this piece by Michael Hudson.

The war that began on February 28 can realistically be deemed to be the formal opening of World War III because what is at issue are the terms on which the entire world will be able to buy oil and gas. Can they buy this energy from exporters in currencies other than the dollar, headed by Russia and Iran (and until recently, Venezuela)? Will the present U.S. demand to control of the international oil trade require oil-exporting countries to price it in dollars, and indeed to recycle their export earnings and national savings into investments in U.S. government securities, bonds and stocks?

That recycling of petrodollars has been the basis of America’s financialization and weaponization of the world’s oil trade, and its imperial strategy of isolating countries that resist adherence to the U.S. ruler-based order (no real rules, but simply U.S. ad hoc demands). So what is at issue is not only the U.S. military presence in the Middle East – along with its two proxy armies, Israel and ISIS/al Qaeda jihadists. And the U.S. and Israeli pretense that it is about Iran having atomic weapons of mass destruction is as fictitious an accusation as that levied against Iraq in 2003. What is at issue is ending the Middle East’s economic alliances with the United States and whether its oil-export earnings will continue to be accumulated in dollars as the buttress of the U.S. balance of payments to help pay for its military bases throughout the world.

He identifies Iran's three aims to prevent future wars started by the US:

1 - A total withdrawal of the US from its bases in the Middle East.

2 - The end of OPEC's economic ties to the US, including both oil and data centers.

3 - That OPEC must disinvest in their petrodollar holdings.

From what I can see, all of these goals are absolutely within Iran's reach, and that would absolutely not have been the case if the Epstein Coalition had not started this war. I think from the very beginning, even last year, we all had this notion that Iran had the wherewithal to do a lot of damage to the US and israel, but I hadn't realized that there was a realistic path to dedollarization within the context of this war. Reading this article was a real eye-opening experience.

Another casualty of this war is, to anyone who's paying close attention to what's going on, any semblance of belief that the people in the upper echelons of the US/israeli government are there because they are shrewd and competent. US propaganda is such an all-encompassing cultural behemoth that we often fail to see the gaps in the imperial core's armor. The beast can be tamed.

I think, as materialists, we feel, quite rightly, that we should never underestimate the enemies of humankind. We understand that their power is all-encompassing and that there's barely anything we can do as individuals. This has led to demonstrably false notions that not only are these ghouls powerful, they're also clever and aware of their role in sustaining the status quo of US imperial power. I no longer think that is the case.

What I think now is that the people in power are willing to take reckless bets in their thirst for even more power than they already have. In their hubris, they ignore the very real dangers and the very real fragility of a global hegemony that hinges on a very small number of factors, such as military power and a huge economic lever in the shape of the petrodollar. I believe that after more than half a century of nearly uncontested rule, the ruling classes have grown complacent and too entertained by playing with their financial toys to understand how tenuous their grip on the world has become.

What I mean to say by all this is that I'm... optimistic? I don't know, is that what being an optimist feels like? Materialist pessimism has been my way of thinking for so long I don't even know what it feels like to see a light at the end of the tunnel anymore. But as long as Iran does not loosen its grip on the strait I sincerely do not see any other plausible outcome for this debacle. It's essentially a stranglehold on the entire world economy. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't think there is any historical precedent for one country to wield as much power as Iran is wielding right now, and they seem to be on the right side of history.

No matter how hard I try I cannot see this whole war as anything other than the greatest strategic blunder by the US in my entire lifetime. Maybe even longer than that. I think we're living through a pivotal moment in world history right now.

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[-] RedNajm@hexbear.net 121 points 1 month ago

CafeDowntism—a cherished haven in Tehran where individuals with autism and Down syndrome found purpose and community—was reduced to rubble by a US-Israeli airstrike.

https://www.middleeasteye.net/features/tehrans-little-secret-cafe-where-disability-no-barrier-talent

https://t.me/FotrosResistancee/19919

death to Amerikkka and ISSrael

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[-] SexUnderSocialism@hexbear.net 121 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Iran has officially agreed to grant safe passage to Bangladeshi oil and LNG vessels traveling through the Strait of Hormuz. Under the new agreement, Bangladeshi ships must notify Iranian authorities before entering the strategic waterway to ensure secure transit.

The move comes as the Bangladesh government intensifies efforts to stabilize the national fuel supply. A shipment of 27,000 tonnes of diesel recently arrived at Chattogram port, with four more vessels expected soon. To meet April’s demand, the Ministry of Power, Energy and Mineral Resources is also procuring 300,000 tonnes of diesel from alternative sources. These strategic measures aim to mitigate supply risks caused by regional instability and shipping uncertainties.

https://xcancel.com/MiddleEastMnt/status/2031648185853055180

For those not aware, Bangladesh is one of the few nations that does not recognize Israel as a country.

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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 120 points 1 month ago

https://xcancel.com/gonglei89/status/2031467342702719342

One of the deepest ironies in this war with Iran is that Iran cares the least about the global economy because it’s been isolated from it by sanctions for decades now. A massive political burden has been turned by circumstance into an overbearing strategic advantage.

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[-] ThomasMuentzner@hexbear.net 120 points 1 month ago

Alireza Tangsiri, Commander of the IRGC Navy: We guarantee the security of any oil tanker, under any flag, that can convince an American destroyer to escort it through the Strait of Hormuz.

https://x.com/PressTV/status/2031768360866677240

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[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 119 points 1 month ago

Looks like Spain kicked out the isntrael ambassador.

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[-] AlHouthi4President@lemmy.ml 119 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

CW SA

spoiler

Never let anyone bully you into sympathy for the Jewish supremacist israeli settler society.

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[-] Boise_Idaho@hexbear.net 119 points 1 month ago

https://xcancel.com/Ahmed_hassan_za/status/2033266292849852594

American reporter: "Are our citizens safe in your Iranian prisons?"

Araghchi: "Are you planning to bomb those prisons?"

Reporter: No.

Araghchi: "Then they are safe."

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[-] Dort_Owl@hexbear.net 118 points 1 month ago

An 18 year old girl got arrested in Australia for wearing a shirt that said 'from the river to the sea'

Everything is so fucked

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[-] Assian_Candor@hexbear.net 118 points 1 month ago

It's gotta be fucking miserable to live in Israel right now. Couldn't happen to a nicer group of people.

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[-] Dort_Owl@hexbear.net 116 points 1 month ago

I get the feeling that it's real 'Nazis not letting on just how hard they're getting beaten' hours for the US.

That delusional 'fake it until you make it' bravado of America is going to bite it in the ass.

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[-] thelastaxolotl@hexbear.net 114 points 1 month ago

JUST IN — 🇮🇷🇺🇸🇮🇱The Iranian Head of the National Security Council, Ali Larijani:

“Tonight we received messages from the U.S. president, through the Omani mediator, requesting that we negotiate a ceasefire. Our response is that we will not accept any negotiations as long as an entity called Israel exists.”

https://x.com/UK_REPT/status/2031684761249354086

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[-] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 113 points 1 month ago

US Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth "The only thing prohibiting transit in the strait right now is Iran shooting at shipping. It is open to transit should Iran not do that"

??? "Yeah we opened the strait, it's fine, if Iran doesn't do the one thing that's stopping the strait from being open it would be open, so we're winning. Thank you for your attention in this matter."

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[-] oliveoil@hexbear.net 112 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

BTW Israelis are still getting alerts every hour.

With the very few videos we've seen, and given that those videos show intercepted being pretty much ineffective, it's fair to say these guys are getting pummeled.

Remember what that one guy said during the 12-day war: 12 day war tweet

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[-] CriticalXipport@hexbear.net 111 points 1 month ago

Five U.S. Air Force refuelling planes hit and damaged on the ground at Saudi Arabia's Prince Sultan air base following Iranian missile strike in recent days, according to two U.S. officials - WSJ

https://x.com/Faytuks/status/2032597871493587426

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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 111 points 1 month ago

https://xcancel.com/yaakovkatz/status/2032009842894786608

At the end of the 12-day war in June, the @IDFSpokesperson said the military had destroyed about 80% of Iran’s missile launchers, leaving roughly 100-150. Two weeks ago, when this war began, the estimate again was that Iran had about 100-150 launchers. Eight days into the war, after nonstop bombing, the IDF was still saying Iran had around 150 launchers. Now, on day 13 of this campaign, we are told Israel has destroyed about 75% of the launchers and that Iran still has 100-200 remaining. So what exactly is happening here?

Iran has discovered the "infinite missile launcher" glitch doggirl-shock

Every war starts with the same number. Halfway through the war the number is the same. And now the number is… the same. And when the next war begins - magically - we will be back to the same number again. There are only two possible explanations: either the numbers never change or the numbers were never real to begin with. What we should expect from the media is not to regurgitate figures that clearly have no basis in reality. These numbers are not indicative of success. What will be the measure of success is the realization of the objectives of the war and as long as we do not know what those are, missile launchers do not tell us much.

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[-] Assian_Candor@hexbear.net 111 points 1 month ago

So are we an echo chamber or is the US getting owned? Total lack of coverage makes me think it's the latter

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[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 109 points 1 month ago
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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 109 points 1 month ago

https://xcancel.com/academic_la/status/2032503298021077364

Israeli morale in this war is showing a significant amount of strain. Far more than in previous rounds. This is why:

  1. About 30% of the population lacks adequate shelter/protected spaces
  2. Northern reconstruction is moving slowly while coalition funds go toward draft exemptions
  3. Politicians feed the public empty slogans ("total victory," "generational deterrence") that create unrealistic expectations and when unmet, they breed cynicism and despair
  4. The IDF keeps claiming it destroyed the ability of Hezbollah and Iran to shoot missiles at Israel and yet the attacks continue unabated
  5. After more than two years of continuous or repeated deployment, reservists are facing "unprecedented burnout". In 2024, combat reservists served an average of 136 days, with some exceeding 300 days. This has caused significant strain on marriages, careers, and small businesses.
  6. Public frustration has peaked over the government's continued focus on Haredi (ultra-Orthodox) draft exemptions. This sense of "inequality of burden" deeply embitters the secular and national-religious sectors, who feel they are paying the price in blood and economic stability while others are legally excused
  7. Experts describe the current situation as the country’s biggest-ever mental health crisis. PTSD diagnoses among troops rose by 70% monthly throughout 2024, and one in five people in the general population now suffers from severe functional impairment due to mental health issues
  8. The cost of the endless wars is estimated to reach 500 billion shekels ($160 billion) over five years. This leads to budget cuts in education, welfare, and infrastructure to fund the defense deficit, directly impacting the daily quality of life for the average citizen
  9. The feeling of becoming a "pariah state" weighs on morale. Polls show that 58% of Israelis believe their country is not respected internationally, contributing to a sense of "us against the world" that, while unifying for some, creates a sense of dread about the country's long-term future

did-someone

All of this is leading to more weakness and bitterness in Israeli society than ever before. It is unclear how much more of this endless war it can take before things start to unravel.

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[-] QuillcrestFalconer@hexbear.net 109 points 1 month ago

The boys are coming back

⚡️⭕️ Mohammed Al-Bukhiti, a member of the Ansar Allah movement's political council:

A decision has been made to stand militarily with Iran, and zero hour will be announced at the right time.

https://xcancel.com/ME_Observer_/status/2032580691595026591#m

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[-] SexUnderSocialism@hexbear.net 109 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

The Sudanese army is advancing to recapture towns from the UAE-backed terrorist group, the RSF.

Arms supplies from the UAE to the RSF have dried up since Iran began its Operation True Promise IV.

Sudan must crush those genocidaires.

Video: https://xcancel.com/Sentletse/status/2031672786750521504

Iran is liberating the world. soleimani-amused

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Iran's new Supreme Leader stated that all US imperialist bases should be closed and that the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed:

The lever of blocking the Strait of Hormuz must continue to be used, he said.

"However, we will obtain compensation from the enemy by any means necessary. If they refuse, we will seize their assets to the extent we deem appropriate. Should that not be possible, we will destroy an equivalent amount of their property," Khamenei said.

https://sputnikglobe.com/20260312/irans-supreme-leader-all-us-bases-should-be-closed-we-will-continue-to-attack-them-1123815017.html

[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 108 points 1 month ago

https://xcancel.com/AJABreaking/status/2033136240858366034

Israeli Channel 12: Iran has launched an attack on Israel every 90 minutes since last night

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[-] AlHouthi4President@lemmy.ml 108 points 1 month ago
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[-] red_giant@hexbear.net 108 points 1 month ago

Guardian - ‘You are all worse than each other’: anti-regime Iranians turn on Trump

fell-for-it-again-award

The turning point for Amir was the Israeli strikes on fuel depots in Tehran last week, with one attack on the Shahran oil depot overshadowing the capital with black smoke. A rain shower later covered trees, homes and cars with layers of toxic oil.

“I genuinely believe now they [the US and Israel] didn’t have a plan. I was still hoping I was wrong, but the Shahran attack changed the way I look at this war right now,” he said. “If the regime is what you want to hit, even if you think these depots were used by the regime, where do you draw the line? What about us, the ordinary Iranians? We rely on this civil infrastructure. Why take away our ability to govern in the future? Who can rebuild utter ruins?”

Another student, based in Karaj, a city about 30 miles west of the capital which has been under heavy bombardment this week, said: “I want this regime gone. I asked for help from Trump.” But the student said he thought the strikes would target the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps and its volunteer militia, the Basij. “When did this plan change and why are they hitting our infrastructure?”

many others in the anti-regime movement are hearing reports of newborn babies being killed by the US and Israeli strikes, and conclude simply that now three governments, rather than one, are killing Iranians.

A protester in Tehran said: “A significant portion of the people I’ve been speaking to, after witnessing the killing of civilians, have altered their perception of military intervention.”

Earlier this week, they said that for the first time in Tehran, they had experienced “something resembling the idea of carpet bombing. Several neighbourhoods in the city centre were attacked in a sequential, wave-like manner.”

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[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 106 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Reporter: Why are you sending 5,000 Marines to the Middle East?

Trump: You’re a very very obnoxious person

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[-] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 106 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Apologies for not participating in the comments so far for this conflict, but I genuinely don't have anything to contribute yet this time around other than calling the Zionists murderous childkillers, being extremely angry at journalists, and getting into arguments in the megathread with other posters over things that none of us could truly know (like how attrited Iran truly is, etc). Events are moving fast enough right now that I'm just gonna let events play out rather than deep-nesting with somebody here about the state of Iran's missile and drone stockpiles and production rates.

I would also post more minute-by-minute news, but trying to figure out what's real and what's AI or propaganda has proven challenging for me, so I'm already giving almost all media claims/events at least a few hours before they can be somewhat verified and I begin to believe them. Massive claims are made and then withdrawn minutes later, as we just saw with that comment by the US Energy Secretary that the US has helped a tanker transit the Strait, and major statements are assigned to various figures by random OSINT accounts without being verified. And I thought early 2022 was bad.

A few of my observations:

  • I feel very vindicated for believing that Hezbollah wasn't disarmed and destroyed by the post-Nasrallah combat pause and were probably preparing and training instead.
  • I cannot physically express how little sympathy I feel for these Gulf monarchies and the rich people who willingly travel to them.
  • I'm glad that Iran's leadership has finally, finally, attained the requisite seriousness for the situation they've found themselves in. Here's hoping we finally escape the seemingly endless cycle of negotiating into war into ceasefires a week or two later into letting the Zionists regroup, then repeat from the beginning. If your winning strategy is attrition and your enemy's winning strategy is shock and awe, don't make peace immediately unless you absolutely have to!
  • To engage in a little Great Man Theory, as a treat, there's a chance Sinwar is gonna be seen in retrospect as the man who wiped away the US's footprint in the Middle East. What a chain of dominoes he triggered.
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[-] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 105 points 1 month ago

US declaring victory and leaving while Iran just keeps launching rockets at Israel would be very funny.

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🇮🇷| Iran's IRGC says the "unknown fate" of Netanyahu, whether killed or having fled, exposes Israel's internal crisis.

The IRGC says that if Netanyahu is still alive, they will continue their pursuit to eliminate him with full force.

@FotrosResistancee

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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 104 points 1 month ago

https://xcancel.com/ArmchairW/status/2031926744639270917

The extent to which the White House anchored onto the Maduro raid as the model for all military operations - including expected results - in the face of all evidence otherwise is absolutely frightening. If anyone red-teamed this they were ignored.

(a red team simulates an adversary in order to identify weaknesses in planning)

maduro-katana-1maduro-katana-2 was actually an anime deuteragonist, bravely sacrificing himself in order to lull the villain into a false sense of security, allowing the protagonist to strike him down

next week on Multipolarism Ball Z

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[-] Sickos@hexbear.net 103 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

US embassy in Baghdad just got Shaheded

Updates indicate that an air defense radar and a helipad have been wrecked.

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[-] whatdoiputhere12@hexbear.net 102 points 1 month ago

GUYS THE EU HAS FINALLY DONE SOMETHING

THEY SANCTIONED….

…iranian officials. source

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Larry Johnson explains how the White House is trapped:

Iran is carrying out an average of four waves of missile and drone attacks per day. The US and Israel have grossly underestimated Iran’s arsenal of ballistic missiles. In the event that Donald Trump tries to declare victory and disengage, Iran will not. Iran will continue to pummel US military facilities in the Persian Gulf and Israel’s military and infrastructure. I believe that Iran will not end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz until the US and Israel agree to Iran’s terms. These include the lifting of all sanctions against Iran, the removal of US military installations from the Persian Gulf and reparations for the damage inflicted on Iran during the course of this war.

Trump will face the dilemma of accepting Iran’s terms (a humiliating outcome) or continuing a war of attrition while the while Iran launches at least three waves of missiles every day. The pressure on Trump will be enormous as long as Iran maintains control over the Strait of Hormuz… US allies, particularly in Asia, will be pleading to an end of the war, and the domestic economic picture will worsen. Trump is trapped and does not appear to have a politically viable exit ramp.

https://sonar21.com/trump-is-trapped-but-doesnt-know-it/

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[-] Socialism_Is_The_Alternative@hexbear.net 102 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Yesterday, Macron came out and admitted that a drone strike killed a French soldier near Erbil, in northern Iraq:

https://thecradle.co/articles/macron-confirms-french-soldier-killed-by-iraqi-resistance-attack-in-erbil

This is also more evidence that Washington is covering up its military losses. Very few French troops are in Iraq. Meanwhile, Iran is pounding US bases in the region with massive amounts of high explosives daily. Obviously, US losses are far greater than France's...

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[-] Staines@hexbear.net 101 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

We're going to see a lot more ships get hit in the next few days.

Many shipping companies have now resolved their insurance issues. For the first two weeks of the war, companies stopped their ships either side of the straits of hormuz until they could find supplemental war risk insurance via commercial means. The US government has now stepped in and offered to pay for these supplementals, which is likely why Trump is now insisting ships attempt to run the straits, escorted or not. S&P is reporting several ships have begun trying to run the straits, which is why we saw so many get hit yesterday. Some of you may die, but that's a risk the company is now insured to take. Damn the shaheds, full speed ahead.

In other news, Aramco (Saudi's) have started pumping oil westwards towards the Yanbu Refinery on the red sea, and many very large crude ships have diverted towards the port. It's a good thing there's no other anti-genocide shia factions that are known for causing trouble in that particular sea.

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[-] Boise_Idaho@hexbear.net 101 points 1 month ago

tfw you find out Netanyahu is still alive because his Twitter account blocks you after joking about how he's fucking dead:
https://xcancel.com/SrPeters/status/2032627315994173606

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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 101 points 1 month ago

https://xcancel.com/upholdreality/status/2032521445499158998

Your "technical malfunctions", "mild brain injuries" and "friendly fire incidents" have been piling up

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[-] sempersigh@hexbear.net 100 points 1 month ago
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[-] QuillcrestFalconer@hexbear.net 100 points 1 month ago

🚨 Urgent warning circulated on IRGC-affiliated Telegram channels targeting U.S. tech firms in the Gulf

“An urgent warning to employees of several major U.S. technology companies in the Persian Gulf region: immediately evacuate your offices. Citizens and residents near these locations are advised to stay away from the surrounding areas.

The warning names offices of major technology firms including Qualcomm, Adobe, Dell Technologies, Intel, Apple, Cisco Systems, Palo Alto Networks, Oracle, Salesforce, Amazon (AWS), Microsoft, Google (Alphabet), and IBM in Dubai, Riyadh, Doha, Kuwait City, Manama, and locations in Oman.

Employees are instructed to leave their workplaces immediately and avoid gathering near these sites.

https://xcancel.com/DropSiteNews/status/2032592668153491914#m

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[-] InevitableSwing@hexbear.net 100 points 1 month ago

16 second video clip

Hegseth: "We will keep pushing, keep advancing. No quarter, no mercy for our enemies."

No quarter is the refusal to take prisoners and instead just execute everyone. It's been considered a war crime for over a century.

https://bsky.app/profile/paleofuture.bsky.social/post/3mgxalkfn2c2y

Another post

Denial of quarter - even the declaration of no quarter - is a war crime. And recognized as such by the US Government. From DoD's Manual for Military Commissions. [screengrab]

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[-] RedNajm@hexbear.net 100 points 1 month ago

Jordan arrests three Communist Party members without charge

The Jordanian Communist Party (JCP) announced on Monday, March 9, that two of its leaders, Dr. Omar Awad and Osama Zain Aldin, were arrested the day before by Jordanian authorities.

The party noted that the arrests were carried out “in a crude manner and through arbitrary procedures, without any legal justification or grounds.”

https://peoplesdispatch.org/2026/03/13/jordan-arrests-three-communist-party-members-without-charge/

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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 100 points 1 month ago

https://xcancel.com/ArmchairW/status/2031920371901882759

For the first time ever, residents of Kramatorsk, Donetsk Oblast could see Russian Su-34s launching KAB glide-bombs. As the frontline gets closer, Russian bombers shift their launch lines further and further west, allowing for them to hit new areas with KABs deeper in the rear.

Here's a pretty big second-order effect of the Iranian War: Every Patriot missile on Earth is now heading to the Middle East. Ukraine has long since become dependent on a credible Patriot ambush threat to keep the VVS at standoff range. Now Russian aviation flies comfortably.

> be global imperial hegemon, a position that fundamentally requires you to be able to sustain several conflicts at once, lets you quickly get demoted to a regional hegemon

> can't even sustain an air campaign with no ground forces and a proxy war with no direct involvement simultaneously

stonks-down

[-] joaomarrom@hexbear.net 99 points 1 month ago

israeli tourists try to stir shit up at a pro-Palestine demonstration in Itacaré, promptly get their shit rocked:

https://xcancel.com/O_Papo_/status/2032848841674793190

One of the genocidal shits even managed to get his ass arrested, which is not common at all. Their antics were apparently too much for the police to ignore.

https://xcancel.com/FepalB/status/2032906603612217565

israeli tourists are a fucking plague in the Brazilian Northeast. The rudest, most spoiled and insufferable tourists. The local population is split between business owners who try to appease them and regular people who fucking hate their guts.

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this post was submitted on 11 Mar 2026
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