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submitted 1 month ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

The survey, which shows Trzaskowski winning 50.3% to right-wing contender Karol Nawrocki’s 49.7%, is within the two percentage point margin of error.

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[-] [email protected] 26 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

holy fuck. Talk about razor thin margins…

Edit: Here’s the Guardian live thread if anyone wants to follow along.

[-] [email protected] 14 points 1 month ago

How the hell does this keep happening around the world? Every election that's been happening lately seems to be a close call until the very end.

[-] [email protected] 15 points 1 month ago

Maybe a lot of them are. But the Canada, Australia, UK elections this past year surely weren’t.

[-] [email protected] 5 points 1 month ago

Yeah fair point

[-] [email protected] 4 points 1 month ago

The right has figured out how to cheat without people noticing. This smells like a Russian Tail. They stole our election. Double check yours.

https://sdvoice.info/trump-lost-vote-suppression-won-here-are-the-numbers/

https://youtu.be/UgIay64Obcs

https://youtu.be/t-yr-Mgkhm0

https://electiontruthalliance.org/eta

First and last links are the data. The middle links are for us stupid people that need to be told how to read the data in the last link.

[-] [email protected] 4 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

even better is that if you count the undecided as a party, the division is threefold, like with brexit (or hard brexit, soft brexit, bremain). Looks like people just toss coins around when they vote in a sea of meaningless dumb/predatory campaigns with contradictory messages and daily polling where they aim for that magical 50%....maybe polarization of means of media production...

[-] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago

And every time democracy is on the line. Like people are fed up with it, back to good old Fascism. Because its Democracy thats treating us like shit, not Capitalism.

[-] [email protected] 12 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Update:

(Nawrocki is the far right dude).

Holy shit, this couldn’t be any closer. Gonna be a nailbiting cinema for Poles. Especially since the centrist declared victory prematurely…

[-] [email protected] 3 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Gonna be a nailbiting cinema for Poles.

[-] [email protected] 9 points 1 month ago

Nawrocki won. I voted against him, but if Poles wanted a thug as president, then that's what they'll get. This is what democracy looks like, and it should be respected.

[-] [email protected] 4 points 1 month ago

There was only a 1 in 2137 chance of this win, but it happened.

[-] [email protected] 5 points 1 month ago

Fucking hell.

[-] [email protected] 4 points 1 month ago

Is it just me or do the Trzaskowski-majority areas sort of draw the borders of Prussia?

[-] [email protected] 9 points 1 month ago

Is it just me or do the Trzaskowski-majority areas sort of draw the borders of Prussia?

This has been the case in Polish elections for probably decades. A very similar case has been seen in Germany and its cold war borders.

[-] [email protected] 4 points 1 month ago
[-] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago

I wish they ran a ML algorithm on the past election to see village level bellweathers and trends.

The EPFL’s predikon does it exceptionally well for swiss referendum elections. To the point that they’ll be able to call razor thin races with like just 10% of votes really accurately.

this post was submitted on 01 Jun 2025
113 points (99.1% liked)

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