this post was submitted on 20 Jan 2025
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Image is of many Hamas soldiers supervising the handing over of Israeli hostages to cars heading out of the Gaza Strip.

After 15 months of genocide - and resistance to it - the Israeli regime realized that they could not win a military victory against Hamas, and were forced to sign a humiliating ceasefire in order to get their hostages returned.

With much of Syria under the control of Al-Qaeda, and an increasing level of covert infiltration into Lebanon, the crisis in the Middle East is not over, and we may still be in its beginning stages, as the center of hegemony continues its gradual shift away from the United States. Their navy, once considered the best in the world, is likely also not very happy about their ships and aircraft carriers being forced to retreat by Yemen, one of the poorest countries; and all eyes are on Iran, who has, over the last year and a half, demonstrated a newfound confidence and strength to directly strike Israel.

The recovery for Gaza will take, at a minimum, decades; it could indeed never fully recovery to even how it was before, considering it is not in Israel's interests to see their concentration camps recover. But Hamas has proven to be steadfast and the tunnel network has proven its resilience, despite facing some of the most powerful conventional bombing in history. This shows that Palestine's liberation is a when, not an if; and hopefully a much sooner "when" than expected before October 7th.


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 48 points 3 months ago

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk has asked Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski to advise Polish consulates in the United States to be prepared for possible deportations of Poles from the United States.

  • Telegram
[–] [email protected] 48 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

Honduran President Xiomara Castro is launching the “Brother, come home” Program to support Honduran migrants in the U.S. The Honduran government says it will coordinate with the United States to ensure a safe and orderly return that respects the dignity and human rights of migrants.

Foreign Minister of Honduras met with Dogu to coordinate efforts and cooperation for the orderly, safe and dignified return of migrants and says all Hondurans are welcome in their homeland. The Honduran right is upset that Marco Rubio won't be visiting Honduras on his Central America trip (nor Nicaragua). Foreign Minister says Marco is visiting countries which “recognize” the Venezuelan opposition: “we recognize the government of President Nicolás Maduro.”

Marco Rubio will make his first trip as secretary of state to Central America. He'll be visiting Guatemala, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Panama and Dominican Republic, all of which have been and will continue to be key allies of Washington.

It's at best suspicious that so many mainstream and alternative media commentators spun these governments as progressive, leftist, and/or moderate in recent years. It's overtly clear where Abinader, Nayib and the others stand: with Washington.

Colombia's President Gustavo Petro: Irregular U.S. citizens in Colombia must report to immigration services. "There are 15,660 Americans established in Colombia in an irregular manner. They should approach our immigration service to regularize their situation. I hope that the dialogue on Darien is not frozen. If there is no regularization, illegalities will increase. We already saw it when the U.S. blocked Venezuela and caused the migratory wave to explode. The dignity of Colombia and Latin America comes first. Migrants are human beings and subjects of rights and should be treated as such."

Petro says 15,666 illegal U.S. immigrants in Colombia, under Colombian law, must regularize their stay: "U.S. citizens who wish may stay in Colombia, I believe in human freedom. But more than 15,666 are irregular and by Colombian law they must regularize their stay."

"You will never see me burning a gringo flag or making a “ratzia” to return the handcuffed illegals to the USA. Real libertarians will never assault human freedom. We are the opposite of Nazis." Mexico and Colombia deny landing authorization to planes carrying deported US citizens.

The US Embassy in Colombia has announced that it will no longer issue visas after President Gustavo Petro refused to accept flights with illegal Colombians on US soil. There are more than 10,000 US military personnel in Colombia. The US presence in the country is seen as strategic, given the tension between the USA and Venezuela.

Brazil claims that the flight that landed in Manaus was in a precarious situation, with a breakdown in the air conditioning and was not authorized to continue on to Belo Horizonte.

Meanwhile, the Brazilian government is going to ask for explanations about the use of handcuffs on the deportees' hands and feet and says that there has been a violation of the agreement between the two countries. The Brazilian government reports that its citizens were assaulted, threatened and humiliated by US Security Forces.

The Minister of Justice and Public Security, Ricardo Lewandowski, disallowed the use of chains and handcuffs on Brazilians deported by the US - and asked for an Airforce flight to transport them from Manaus to Confins. The order came from President Lula, who says that this is a question of sovereignty and that no one in Brazil puts Brazilians in chains. The information was confirmed to the blog by sources in the Ministry of Justice.

In a press release, the Ministry of Justice and Public Security said that Ricardo Lewandowski had instructed the Federal Police to receive the Brazilians and ordered the authorities and representatives of the US government to immediately remove the handcuffs.

- President Gustavo Petro's Twitter

- Brazil slams US after dozens of deportees arrive handcuffed - France24

- Enrique Reina (Secretary of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation of Honduras) Twitter

[–] [email protected] 48 points 3 months ago (1 children)
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[–] [email protected] 47 points 3 months ago (5 children)

Apparently he is voting to end refugee resettlement for Cubans , haitians and Venezuelans.

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[–] [email protected] 47 points 3 months ago (3 children)
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[–] [email protected] 47 points 3 months ago (17 children)

is ICE actually increasing the amount of deportations? there's all this hullabaloo now that the dang cheeto is doing it but hundreds of people have been deported every day since like, obama no?

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[–] [email protected] 47 points 3 months ago (7 children)
[–] [email protected] 46 points 3 months ago

It is not clear when the post was put online but it was removed on Friday morning.

Xi: Looks like someone volunteered to shovel pig shit for the next 5 years. xi

[–] [email protected] 45 points 3 months ago (1 children)

The fact that it's coming from Shanghai seems like a very bad sign

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[–] [email protected] 47 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (10 children)

https://old.reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/comments/1iady0x/active_conflicts_news_megathread_january_26_2025/m9a5cd2/

Alleged (very much unconfirmed) terms of Trump's Ukraine peace deal

The Ukrainian newspaper Strana has published what they allege is the Trump administration's peace plan for Ukraine, currently being circulated amongst European diplomats. The rough outline is apparently as follows (it should be noted that Strana say they are not currently 100% certain of the authenticity but have decided to share it out of public interest):

  • Trump and Putin will have a telephone conversation in late January/early February, the results of which will be passed back to Ukraine. If common ground can be found, the next steps can begin.

  • Zelensky must revoke the decree forbidding negotiations with Putin.

  • Trump, Putin and Zelensky will hold a trilateral meeting in February/early March where they agree the main outlines of a settlement, which will be followed up by special envoys (so Keith Kellogg et. al).

  • Trump will not block military aid to Ukraine whilst the talks continue.

  • All going well, a ceasefire will be declared along the entire line of contact on April 20th (Easter), and Ukrainian troops will withdraw from Kursk region.

  • The International Peace Conference will oversee a formal agreement between Russia and Ukraine at the end of April, which will be mediated by China, the US, various European countries and members of the Global South.

  • The end of April will also see the beginning of mass returns of prisoners of war.

  • The International Peace Conference will make a formal declaration of an agreement on the war's end by May 9th.

  • After May 9th, Ukraine will begin to lift martial law and end mobilisation.

  • New presidential elections will be held in Ukraine by the end of August, with parliamentary/local elections to follow by October.

These are the proposed parameters of the peace agreement to be taken to the International Peace Conference:

  • Ukraine will formally declare neutrality and renounce their ambition to join NATO, who will for their part approve this at their next summit.

  • Ukraine will join the EU by 2030, who will assist in the post-war reconstruction.

  • Ukraine will not be required to reduce the size of their army and the US will continue to assist their modernisation.

  • Ukraine will abandon diplomatic/military efforts to return the occupied territories, but will not formally recognise their annexation.

  • Russia will see some sanctions lifted immediately on the war's conclusion; more will be lifted in 2028 depending on their compliance. All EU restrictions on Russian energy imports will be lifted. However, Russia will also be subject to a (time-limited) levy from Europe to be used for funding Ukraine's reconstruction.

  • "Parties advocating for the protection of the Russian language and for peaceful coexistence with Russia" will be allowed to take part in the elections. Laws targeting the Ukrainian Orthodox Church and "promotion of the Russian language" will also be lifted.

  • The possible European post-war peacekeeping force is still a live issue; Ukraine obviously wants it but Russia remains vehemently opposed, so further negotiations are required.


Likely sticking points, if true:

  • Ukraine will not be required to reduce the size of their army and the US will continue to assist their modernisation.
  • However, Russia will also be subject to a (time-limited) levy from Europe to be used for funding Ukraine's reconstruction.
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[–] [email protected] 47 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (1 children)

lukashenko-tired was re-elected today (shocker)

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[–] [email protected] 47 points 3 months ago (5 children)

'How's Kim Jung Un doing?': Donald Trump asks troops stationed in South Korea on his first day of presidency - Times of India

President Trump addressed troops in South Korea and inquired about North Korean leader Kim Jong Un during a video conference. Referring to Kim as a 'tough cookie' with 'bad intentions,' Trump highlighted his previous diplomatic interactions with Kim. Trump was sworn in as the 47th US President, marking America's 'Liberation Day.'

US President Donald Trump on Monday spoke the troops stationed in South Korea and asked them about North Korean leader Kim Jon Un. Chatting to the military via video conferencing at his inaugural ball, Trump asked, 'Hello everybody how we doing over there? How's Kim Jung Un doing?"

During the conversation, Trump referred to the Korean leader as a 'tough cookie' with 'bad intentions' and claimed that he developed a pretty good relations with Un during his previous term. "Could I ask you how is it going in South Korea right now? How's it doing you have somebody with pretty bad intentions I guess" Trump asked. "You would say that although I developed a pretty good relationship with him but he's a tough cookie," he added. "Every day we train, we stay hard and we plan for anything that you possibly could need us to do. The alliance is strong and we're ready to receive you Mr President," one of the troop responded.

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[–] [email protected] 47 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (6 children)

Nvidia down ~8% in after hours trading, I'm thinking the bubble is finally about to burst in the morning, or at least the beginning of the burst

I've seen at least a few articles giving credit to DeepSeek

DeepSeek Shakes Up Stocks as Traders Fear for US Tech Leadership

Dow Jones Futures Fall As DeepSeek Threatens Nvidia; Meta, Tesla, Microsoft Earnings Due

Is DeepSeek about to cause a stock market crash?

Edit: Down 10% now

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[–] [email protected] 47 points 3 months ago (14 children)

Tried out the Chinese LLM DeepSeek R1, pretty good just from vibes alone it is as good as OpenAI o1.

Shorter replies though, but it's free unlike Chatgpt sub. So that makes sense.

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[–] [email protected] 46 points 3 months ago (11 children)
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[–] [email protected] 46 points 3 months ago

Peter Ciriwami, governor of North Kivu province in the Democratic Republic of the Congo has been killed as M23 encircles the provincial capital of Goma

The Kivu conflict has been ongoing for more than 20 years at this point. M23 previously held Goma in 2012 before a ceasefire. It seems like no state is truly in control of the eastern DRC as M23 is backed by Rwanda, while the UN has claimed the DRC is arming non-state militias inside Kivu province to fight back. In a similar fashion to the Myanmar Civil War there are so many active groups here it feels impossible to keep track of alliances and controlled territory.

[–] [email protected] 46 points 3 months ago (2 children)

The cringey patsoc infighting continues (CW: weird patsoc shit):
https://haitiliberte.com/exposed-danny-shaw-admits-gun-trafficking-charges-not-100-truthful/

Notice how this is supposed to be a news website devoted to Haitian news in English. Those videos are unlisted.

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[–] [email protected] 45 points 3 months ago

Colombia President Gustavo Petro: "Trump, I don't like to travel much to the USA, it's a bit boring, but I confess that there are meritorious things, I like to go to the black neighborhoods of Washington, there I saw a whole fight in the capital of the USA between blacks and Latinos with barricades, which I thought was bullshit, because they should unite."

Huge Tweet

"I confess that I like Walt Withman and Paul Simon and Noam Chomsky and Miller. I confess that Sacco and Vanzetti, who have my blood, in US history, are memorable and I follow them. They were assassinated by labor leaders with the electric chair, the fascists who are inside the USA as inside my country."

"I don't like your oil, Trump, it's going to wipe out the human species because of greed. Maybe someday, over a shot of Whisky which I accept, despite my gastritis, we can talk frankly about this, but it is difficult because you consider me an inferior race and I am not, nor any Colombian."

"So if you know someone stubborn, that's me, period. You can with your economic strength and your arrogance try to stage a coup d'état as they did with Allende. But I die in my law, I resisted torture and I resist you. I do not want slavers next to Colombia, we already had many and we freed ourselves. What I want next to Colombia are freedom lovers. If you cannot accompany me, I will go elsewhere. Colombia is the heart of the world and you did not understand it, this is the land of the yellow butterflies, of the beauty of Remedios, but also of the colonels Aurelianos Buendia, of which I am one of them, perhaps the last one."

"You will kill me, but I will survive in my people before yours, in the Americas. We are people of the winds, the mountains, of the Caribbean Sea and of freedom.

"You don't like our freedom, okay. I do not shake hands with white slavers. I shake the hands of the white libertarian heirs of Lincoln and of the black and white peasant boys of the USA, before whose graves I wept and prayed on a battlefield, to which I arrived, after walking the mountains of Italian Tuscany and after saving myself from the covid."

"They are the USA and before them I kneel, before no one else. Lay me down president and the Americas and humanity will answer. Colombia now stops looking north, look at the world, our blood comes from the blood of the Caliphate of Cordoba, the civilization at that time, of the Roman Latins of the Mediterranean, the civilization of that time, who founded the republic, the democracy in Athens; our blood has the resistant blacks turned into slaves by you."

"In Colombia is the first free territory of America, before Washington, of all America, there I take shelter in its African songs. My land is of gold work existing in the time of the Egyptian pharaohs, and of the first artists of the world in Chiribiquete. You will never dominate us. The warrior who rode our lands, shouting freedom and who is called Bolivar, opposes us."

"Our peoples are somewhat fearful, somewhat timid, they are naïve and kind, loving, but they will know how to win the Panama Canal, which you took from us with violence. Two hundred heroes from all of Latin America lie in Bocas del Toro, present-day Panama, formerly Colombia, which you assassinated."

"I raise a flag and as Gaitan said, even if I remain alone, it will continue to be raised with the Latin American dignity that is the dignity of America, which your great-grandfather did not know, and mine did, Mr. President, immigrant in the USA. Your blockade does not scare me; because Colombia besides being the country of beauty, is the heart of the world. I know that you love beauty as I do, do not disrespect it and it will offer you its sweetness."

"COLOMBIA FROM NOW ON IS OPEN TO THE WHOLE WORLD, WITH OPEN ARMS, WE ARE BUILDERS OF FREEDOM, LIFE AND HUMANITY. I am informed that you put a 50% tariff on our fruit of human labor to enter the U.S., I do the same. Let our people plant corn that was discovered in Colombia and feed the world."

Twitter

[–] [email protected] 45 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

UN News, 2025-01-22: "At Davos, Guterres slams backsliding on climate commitments"
This news is about the Secretary-Generals visit to the World Economic Forums annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland. A full copy of his statements is available on the UNs website | Web TV video recording

full quote

Mr. Guterres was speaking at the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum, the exclusive event held high in the Swiss Alps where senior politicians, Heads of State and CEOs of some of the world’s biggest and most influential companies rub shoulders.

The UN Secretary-General took aim at the theme of this year’s meeting, Collaboration for the Intelligent Age, maintaining that there has been scant proof of either collaboration or intelligence and plenty of evidence that many of the world’s problems are worsening, from conflicts to inequality and assaults on human rights.

Nuclear war is no longer the only existential threat to humanity, he said, pointing to the climate crisis and the “ungoverned expansion” of Artificial Intelligence (AI).

‘Fossil fuel addiction’

Likening fossil fuel addiction to Frankenstein’s monster – “sparing nothing and no one” - the Secretary-General noted the irony that 13 of the world’s biggest ports for oil supertankers are set to be overwhelmed by rising sea levels, a consequence of rising temperatures and sea ice melt, caused overwhelmingly by burning coal, crude oil and natural gas.

A number of financial institutions and industries are backtracking on climate commitments, noted Mr. Guterres.

A move that is, he said “short-sighted, and paradoxically, it is selfish and also self-defeating. You are on the wrong side of history. You are on the wrong side of science. And you are on the wrong side of consumers who are looking for more sustainability, not less.”

Looking ahead to the UN Climate Conference (COP30) in Brazil at the end of the year, the UN chief reminded world leaders that they must keep their promise to produce new, economy-wide national climate action plans well before the event.

Developing countries need a “surge in finance" for climate action, he declared, urging not just governments but all businesses and financial institutions to create robust and accountable transition plans.

AI's untold promise

The next existential threat, AI, is a double-edged sword, Mr. Guterres continued, as it is already revolutionizing learning, diagnosing illnesses, helping farmers to increase their yields and improving the targeting of aid.

But it comes with profound risks if it is left ungoverned: it can disrupt economies, undermine trust in institutions and deepen inequalities, the Secretary-General warned.

The Global Digital Compact – part of the Pact for the Future adopted by UN Member States last September – offers a “roadmap to harness the immense potential of digital technology and close digital divides” with a shared vision of AI serving humanity, not the other way around.

Despite the challenges, the UN will never halt its demand for peace grounded in the UN Charter, international law and the principles of sovereignty, political independence and the territorial integrity of States, he said.

Reforming institutions, from the global financial architecture to the UN Security Council, is, the UN chief asserted, a necessity because systems of governance are often ill-equipped to deal with today’s challenges. But achieving these essential changes – which world leaders committed to at last September’s Summit of the Future - will only be possible with political will, he said, cautioning: “I am not convinced leaders get it.”

The Secretary-General concluded his remarks with a return to the theme of this year’s Davos event, appealing to the global community to face these existential challenges head on and work as one.

[–] [email protected] 45 points 3 months ago

Fuck it, I’m just gonna sit-back-and-enjoy

[–] [email protected] 45 points 3 months ago

US President Donald Trump announced on social media on Sunday (26) that he has ordered the US government to take retaliatory measures against Colombia, after the South American country refused to receive military flights with deported people.

  • Trump claimed that the action “endangered the National Security and Public Safety of the United States”. He therefore ordered
  • Emergency tariffs of 25% on all goods from Colombia entering the United States. Within a week, the 25% tariff will be raised to 50%.
  • Travel bans and immediate visa revocations for Colombian government officials and all allies and supporters.
  • Visa sanctions for all party members, family members and supporters of the Colombian government.
  • Enhanced customs inspections and border protection of all Colombian citizens and cargo for national security reasons.
[–] [email protected] 45 points 3 months ago

It seems that Michele Bolsonaro (his wife) and one of his sons were unable to attend Trump's inauguration. They weren't invited and hadn't bought tickets to attend. They paid to meet Steve Bannon at a Heritage Foundation dinner. Now it seems she's been posting random photos of herself around Washington D.C.

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