this post was submitted on 20 Jan 2025
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Image is of many Hamas soldiers supervising the handing over of Israeli hostages to cars heading out of the Gaza Strip.

After 15 months of genocide - and resistance to it - the Israeli regime realized that they could not win a military victory against Hamas, and were forced to sign a humiliating ceasefire in order to get their hostages returned.

With much of Syria under the control of Al-Qaeda, and an increasing level of covert infiltration into Lebanon, the crisis in the Middle East is not over, and we may still be in its beginning stages, as the center of hegemony continues its gradual shift away from the United States. Their navy, once considered the best in the world, is likely also not very happy about their ships and aircraft carriers being forced to retreat by Yemen, one of the poorest countries; and all eyes are on Iran, who has, over the last year and a half, demonstrated a newfound confidence and strength to directly strike Israel.

The recovery for Gaza will take, at a minimum, decades; it could indeed never fully recovery to even how it was before, considering it is not in Israel's interests to see their concentration camps recover. But Hamas has proven to be steadfast and the tunnel network has proven its resilience, despite facing some of the most powerful conventional bombing in history. This shows that Palestine's liberation is a when, not an if; and hopefully a much sooner "when" than expected before October 7th.


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 34 points 2 months ago

Some videos for today from the Donbass and Kursk oblast.

Russian forces fully liberated the important western Donetsk People’s Republic town of Velikaya Novosyolka: https://s5.cdnstatic.space/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Vid7.mp4?_=1

Russian drone operators destroyed more Kiev regime military vehicles near Dzerzhinsk (this DPR city is also close to being fully liberated): https://news-pravda.com/world/2025/01/25/1006467.html

Russian drones destroyed two more US-built “MaxxPro” armored vehicles in Kursk oblast: https://news-pravda.com/world/2025/01/26/1008016.html

[–] [email protected] 34 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Last week, China's ambassador to Colombia told EL TIEMPO: "As Foreign Minister Murillo said during his visit to China in October last year, we are at the best moment of our diplomatic relations between China and Colombia, which are now 45 years old."

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[–] [email protected] 34 points 2 months ago

Circus goes on tour! After knocking on all sorts of doors and shaking hands with every far-right bozo in Washington DC, the Edmundo González circus goes on tour, with scheduled stops hosted by US puppets in Peru and Ecuador

  • Venezuela Analysis

The Guaido 2.0 saga continues

[–] [email protected] 34 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

In more air monitoring news with regards to the conflict in the DRC. IL-76 transport plane on the way back to South Africa after resupplying SADC peacekeepers at Goma, with supplies from Waterkloof Airforce Base in Pretoria, according to the flight history. It landed earlier in Goma today on a separate flight, contrary to the claims by M23 rebels that the airspace over Goma was closed. So at least the SADC and DRC forces are still confirmed to hold the airport and surroundings.

https://www.flightradar24.com/data/aircraft/ex-76020

With it now being confirmed that the M23 rebels have failed to take Goma in their initial assault, the Rwandan army might try and help them directly. The M23 rebels have said that they will take the city at 01:00 UTC, in ~~two~~ one hours time. Maybe they are expecting direct Rwandan support? The Guardian is reporting that such is a distinct possibility, with more Rwandan soliders crossing over the border in the last few days. There have also been movements of South African Air Force Gripens and Hawk aircraft at their main base in Polokwane. South Africa vs Rwanda war in the DRC? Hopefully not. The South African peacekeeping force is mainly artillery troops from the available videos we have, so they won't be fighting inside the city.

I'm pessimistic about the SADC and DRC's chances to be honest. I think that Goma will fall unless the situation changes, and South Africa is too broke/poor to send air support and change the situation. There are also Uruguayan peacekeepers present with the UN mission, but it's unknown how much fighting the UN will do. M23 rebels have the high ground, it's not looking good, even with the recent resupply for the SADC peacekeepers.

Rwandan army ‘ready to invade DRC’ and help rebels seize city, The Guardian, January 25 2025

A twitter thread on the subject, in French, the imagery is good, unsure on political analysis, if it's wrong I don't endorse it. Just for the imagery

Xcancel mirror

Update: VIP transport aircraft from the South African Air Force has just departed from Waterkloof Airforce Base now, likely heading towards the DRC.

[–] [email protected] 33 points 3 months ago (5 children)
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[–] [email protected] 33 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (2 children)
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[–] [email protected] 33 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

Meeting coverage SC/15972 from yesterdays 9843rd meeting of the United Nations Security Council.
Verbatim records to be issued as document S/PV.9843 | Web TV video recording.

Partial quote below, statements from the delegates have been omitted, see SC/15972 for full story.

Dialogue ‘Central Axis in Construction of Peace’ in Colombia, Special Representative Tells Security Council

Amid one of the deadliest waves of violence in Colombia since the signing of the 2016 Final Agreement for Ending the Conflict and Building a Stable and Lasting Peace, speakers in the Security Council today underscored the urgency of implementing the accord’s security guarantees.

Carlos Ruiz Massieu, Special Representative of the Secretary-General and Head of the United Nations Verification Mission in Colombia, said that the first days of 2025 have been marred by violence in the country. “I am deeply saddened by the actions that have bloodied the remote Catatumbo region of north-east Colombia since late last week, claiming dozens of lives,” he said. According to numerous reports, many of the victims were individually targeted and killed.

The bloodshed — the result of an attack by Ejército de Liberación Nacional (ELN) in an area of presence of a rival armed group known as Estado Mayor de los Bloques y Frentes (EMBF) — is part of the ongoing confrontation between armed groups in various areas of the country with a limited State presence. The success of the Ministry of the Interior’s rapid response plan, aimed at accelerating the implementation of the 2016 peace agreement, will depend directly upon the availability of resources, he went on to say.

It is also critical to accelerate the implementation of the ethnic chapter of the Final Agreement, which focuses on the needs and protection of Colombia’s Afro-Colombian and Indigenous communities. “The Bari and Yukpa are among the populations affected by the violence in Catatumbo,” he said. Moving forward, the gender provisions of the peace agreement will require adequate funding, proactive leadership and constant engagement with women’s organizations.

In the last six days alone, over 80 people have been killed in the Catatumbo region, 100 have been kidnapped and over 30,000 have been displaced, said Diego Tovar, Representative of the high contracting party to the Commission for the Follow-up, Promotion and Verification of the Implementation of the Final Agreement. He warned that the violence “threatens to spread to other regions”, with ethnic communities, women and children being among the most affected by the reconfiguration of the armed actors.

Also, he added, impunity continues to be extremely high for the assassination of former combatants, reaching 90 per cent. Some ex-combatants remain imprisoned after the signing of the Agreement and are waiting for the jurisdiction to generate prompt solutions to their cases. Eight years on, the reintegration process remains precarious. Its non-implementation and persistent violence led 80 per cent of former combatants to leave their territorial areas, he said, pointing to their “massive displacements” in 2023 and 2024.

Armando Wouriyu Valbuena, Secretary of the Special High-Level Body on Ethnic Peoples of Colombia, noted that ethnic peoples constitute 10 per cent of the Colombian population and occupy one third of national territory. “As such, we are environmental guardians for the rest of Colombians and the planet,” he stressed. He recalled that ethnic and Indigenous groups were the only stakeholders to conclude an agreement with the Colombian Government and the former Fuerza Alternativa Revolucionaria del Común (FARC), leading to the Ethnic Chapter — a first in the history of peace agreements to have an ethnic perspective. However, after eight years of implementation, that Chapter continues to be the most neglected, despite being intended to solve underdevelopment for communities of African descent and Indigenous communities.

Substantive improvement in the pace of implementation requires that the instances provided for in the Agreement must be activated by the various stakeholders in peace. The committee on follow-up and implementation monitoring is an inactive body, he noted — but has the potential to bring together representatives of the Colombian State and peace agreement signatories of the now-extinct FARC. Calling on the Government “to include us in the 16 national sectoral plans for comprehensive rural reform and development plans”, he noted that in the Catatumbo area, “former combatants and my brothers from the Bayou people are victims of displacement, and others of confinement” — further requesting that the National Commission enact security guarantees.

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