this post was submitted on 30 Sep 2024
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Image is of the aftermath of an Israeli bombing of Beirut in 2006.


We are now almost one year into the war and genocide in Gaza. Despite profound hardship, the Gazan Resistance continues its battles against the enemy, entirely undeterred. Despite Israeli proclamations throughout 2024 that they have cleared out Hamas from various places throughout Gaza, we still see regular attacks and ambushes against Zionist forces. Just today (Monday), Al Qassam fighters ambushed and destroyed another convoy of Israeli vehicles. The predictions early on in the war were that Israel would defeat Hamas in mere months, needing only until December, then January, and so on. This has proven very much untrue. Israel is stuck in the mud; unable to destroy their enemy due to their lack of knowledge about the "Gaza Metro" and, of course, a lack of actual fighting skill, given how many times I've seen Zionists getting shot while they gaze wistfully out of windows.

The same quagmire will occur in Lebanon, only considerably worse. Both Nasrallah and Sinwar possess a similar strategy of luring Zionist forces onto known, friendly territory, replete with traps and ambushes, to bleed them dry of equipment, manpower, and the will to continue fighting. The scale of the invasion could fall anywhere on the spectrum from "very limited" - more of a series of raids on Hezbollah positions than truly trying to occupy land - to a total invasion which would seek to permanently take control of Southern Lebanon. Neither is likely to destroy, or even substantially diminish Hezbollah's fighting abilities. This is not wishful thinking: Hezbollah has convincingly defeated Israel twice before in its history, pushing them from their territory, and both times Hezbollah had almost no missiles and a limited supply of other equipment, relying on improvisation as often as not. The Hezbollah of 2024 is an entirely different organization to that of the early 2000s.

Attempts to drive wedges between Hezbollah and the rest of Lebanon are also unlikely to succeed. Hezbollah is not just a military force, it is extremely interlinked into various communities throughout Lebanon, drawing upon those communities to recruit soldiers. Throughout its history, it has provided education, healthcare, reconstruction, and dozens of other services one would attribute to a state. Amal Saad's recent suggestion of using "quasi-state actor" as a more respectful replacement for the typical "non-state actor" seems advisable. And the decentralized command structures, compartmented leadership, strong succession planning, and aforementioned community ties almost entirely neutralizes the effectiveness of assassinations. Hezbollah's Deputy Secretary General Naim Qassem has confirmed that Hezbollah's path has been set by Nasrallah, and his martyrdom will not stop nor even pause their efforts. Additionally, he confirmed that despite the recent attacks by Israel which nominally focussed on destroying missile depots, Hezbollah's supply of weapons has not been degraded, and they are still only using the minimum of their capabilities.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

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Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 53 points 3 months ago (10 children)

The entire Israeli refueller tanker fleet is airborn

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[–] [email protected] 53 points 3 months ago (1 children)

I’ve found several good video compilations from yesterday’s Iranian Operation True Promise II missile strikes.

The first shows some of the missile launches: https://odysee.com/@RT:fd/Missles_YT:0

The second shows many of the missiles striking their targets: https://odysee.com/@RT:fd/Compilation_0210:c

And the third shows people throughout the regional celebrating afterwards: https://odysee.com/@RT:fd/People-celebrate-iran-attack:d

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 3 months ago (4 children)

❗️IRGC: We targeted three military bases: Nevatim, which houses F-35 aircraft, Netzarim, which houses F-15 jets used in the assassination of Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, and Tel Nof base near Tel Aviv with Fateh ballistic missiles.

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 3 months ago (1 children)

I think this is happening very soon. IDF forces are positioned along the entire border and troops have been seen in full gear including night goggles.

The time is currently 21:35 in Lebanon.

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 3 months ago (7 children)

How is it that zionist intelligence has been effective in Lebanon(pager terror attack, Nasrallah assassination) but failed so completely in Gaza, that they were blind to al-Aqsa Flood before it happened?

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 3 months ago (2 children)

According to Danish media TV2 (state media) leaked documents from the Royal Guards regiment shows that security around their weapons caches is full of leaks. Fences around storage bunkers are in disrepair in many places and the alarms intended to alert the military about intruders are not working.

The regiment has increased security by posting two conscripts as guards at each bunkers but due to budgetary concerns the conscripts, having only short-range walkie-talkies, lacks communication equipment to get in touch with their base quickly and ask for backup. According to military sources there has been sightings of "suspicious persons and drones" near weapons caches lately.

When told about the security flaws by TV2, the chief of the army claimed not to be aware of the situation and claimed that he thought the guards had been equipped with communication equipment. He has claimed that he ordered the procurement of the equipment the same day he was made aware of the issue.

Politicians are pissed, as can be expected. When asked for comment by TV2 a retired rear admiral claims that many of the logistical and organisational woes of the Danish military can be traced back to a 2014 reorganization in which several bureaucratic agencies tasked with things like HR and procurement were created under the Liberal Party-controlled ministry of defense, outside of the military organisation but equally powerful to the military proper.

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 3 months ago (1 children)
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[–] [email protected] 52 points 3 months ago (1 children)

❗️Israeli army:

"Following a situational assessment, the areas of Metula, Misgav Am, and Kfar Giladi in northern Israel have been declared a closed military zone. Entry to this area is prohibited."

https://t.me/thecradlemedia/21126

Ed note: metula is one of the most northernmost settlements in Israel, also my god there are so many “national parks” and “nature reserves” that the colonists have used to encroach on their neighbors

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 3 months ago (2 children)

While we wait for footage of the IOF getting owned by Hezbollah ground forces, here's an old video of Radwan special forces riding on snowmobiles:
https://xcancel.com/PopularFront_/status/1493999199159005189

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (7 children)
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[–] [email protected] 52 points 3 months ago (6 children)

Two Swedish nationals aged 19 and 16 has been charged with terrorism by a Copenhagen court today. The charges are related to to two handgrenade explosions that happened near the so-called "embassy" of the illegal zionist entity last wedensday. The two Swedes are pleading not guilty.

Peter Hummelgaard, head of Denmark's succdem-controlled ministry of justice, seizing the opportunity to cause fear and paranoia, has made the following statement to Ritzau:

If somebody were questioning the severity of this week's events around the "Israeli" embassy, the new charges unfortunately clearly underlines that the terrorism threat against Denmark is significant. Unfortunately there are dark forces who wants to harm us.

Hummelgaard failed to explain how a targeted strike at a foreign facility of the zionist terror movement affects the threat level to Danish citizens.

Apparently Denmark's secret police PET has not received this memo from their boss. According to them the so-called terror threat remains unchanged at "severe" which is level 4 out of 5. What that number means and what people can use it for besides justifying further expansions of the police state remains unexplained.

As a reaction to the incident at the "embassy", Danish regime has ramped up security theatre at the borders, especially at the Swedish border.

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (4 children)

Mildly nerd question (cause I don’t feel sick rewatching iran strikes): is it lots of “very fast” rockets or do they use kinda non-nuclear mirv thingies (so strategic ones)? Cause in some videos they have lots of rockets striking very fast in rapid succession, while the claims that they launched like 200, but in some videos you have more like slow moving interceptable rockets

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (2 children)

rember this minor news item from 3 decades ago ?

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 3 months ago
[–] [email protected] 52 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (3 children)

Israeli reporters are confirming they are currently under a military gag order.

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

🚨🟡🟢 Hezbollah:

You will have no more tanks left.

‎לא יישרו לכם טנקים

Notes:

0:05 - Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah in his most recent speech: "If your tanks come to Lebanon and southern Lebanon, you will not suffer from a shortage of tanks. Because you will have no more tanks left."

1:04 - The anti-tank missile "Qaher" is shown.

1:08 - "We are at your call, O Nasrallah!"

https://streamable.com/4sidin

[–] [email protected] 51 points 3 months ago (5 children)

Israel Channel 14: In a message from Tel Aviv to Tehran via Washington, Israeli Government informed the Iranian side that it will level and destroy every single Iranian facilities in the event of any attack by Iran against the Jewish State

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (7 children)

https://www.aei.org/op-eds/the-u-s-navys-missile-production-problem-looks-dire/

An article from the ~~Burger Eagle Freedom Center~~ American Enterprise Institute from a few months ago about the Imperial Navy’s missile production. The two USA ships that attempted to intercept Iranian missiles on Monday launched 12 missiles between them. The 2025 military budget, and allocations for the next five years, will produce 12 SM-Block IIA missiles annually. While about a hundred of another missile type has been ordered, this is apparently 10% of the number ordered in 1985. This year, the White House has passed several budget cuts for USA Navy missile production. Point and laugh.

https://archive.is/cGiyS

Warning for Haaretz, but it’s the absolute other end of perspective on “20 F-35s destroyed”. And they give satellite imagery of the Nevatim base after Monday. The cope about missile interception might be entertaining for some. While the destruction of 20 F-35s is probably exaggerated, the F-35 has something like a 30% mission capability rate. So while the warning from Iran likely let them get some of their F-35s in the air, at most a third of them were actually capable of missions. Now i am not a plane person, but i believe a plane that isn’t fully mission capable can still be flight capable. So if we very generously flip that ratio and say only 30% of F-35s could not fly, there were at least 6 planes grounded when the missiles hit. The red circles in this top image are a bit strange to me, because the entire top row of cubbies (?) is covered in what look like blast marks to me. It’s possible only one plane has been destroyed, but individual F-35s fail all the time. Maybe “israel” has too much invested in its reputation to come up with a training accident story, but it seems likely several were damaged if not destroyed.

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

Second phase of the attack. More missiles incoming, watch on CNN or Al Jazeera if you want to see live footage.

[–] [email protected] 51 points 3 months ago (2 children)

hahahaha tinfoil dome ain't shit if they don't get advance warning

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