I'll just make two points about how I genuinely don't get the panic about Putin meeting Trump.

First If there is anything Trump respects at all is both money and authority. You just have to look at the silly praises he has given to both Putin and Xi in the past.

Putin on the other hand seems to have a genuine superiority complex as being a more competent "real politik" leader than his western counterparts, on that I have to agree its a somewhat fair assessment too. But even then I don't think Putin despises the west at all, neither he despises Trump, right wing tendencies they both share and a common hatred for "liberals".

So I can't realy see how much of a real danger this is.

Second is keep in mind Trump's military moves were pretty fucking obvious, like almost deliberately obvious e.g the air deployments to the ME before bombing Iran.

If Trump realy actualy plans to do anything, surely they understand the military consequences, but we heard nothing so far its just business as usual genocide goes on, Ukraine goes on well for Russia etc...

They're not wrong though, Global Times editorial is an example of CPC telling English readers what they want hear, one could argue how much commitment there is behind these sources but they are representative.

The Economist and WSJ also speaks for the capitalist class, WSP literally interfered in the election. I don't see the big deal or embarrassment about China having their "official unofficial" media.

Think about the opposite, would you allow your state affiliated media to just talk random shit that could seriously affect the economy and foreign relations?

I know this is long but if you're realy interested, the economic point is rubish and debunked, see Michael's writing(China's unfair overcapacity). This author is repeating the same mainstream econ discourse that is just econ 101 which fails when you actualy pay attention to the events so far.

This narrative keeps being repeated only because its mainstream econ discourse. I'll try to give you a brief timeline of what happened.

As we know this "overcapacity" issue began mysteriously in late 2023 when Biden and the EU started turning more aggressive towards China, they got pissed off their industry can't compete with Chinese renewable exports and the only resource left for Biden would be either the Trump trade war and tariffs method or a heavy neoliberal attack. So the US choose the later, primarily with a heavy focus to let China know that their economy is Not Ok if they continue to export this much.

So soon after Blinken and notably Janet Yellen went to China to explain to them China needs to accept this and do something or else there would be more consequences.

What followed in late 2024 was the CPC accepted this demand, they pushed "consumption" incentives. They listened to the same western neoliberal economists and their solution is to reduce these exports as much as possible to save whatever is left of western industry and stop the consistent soft power gains achieved by Chinese dominance in renewable energy.

The evidence for this continued on even despite the Trump tariffs, western media sometimes let the mask fall off, The opportunity in China’s solar ‘overcapacity’. I'll quote from the Financial Times even admitting this.

Last year, the world installed 452 gigawatts’ worth of solar panels, according to the International Renewable Energy Agency — increasing the total installed base by 32 per cent in a single year. But the world’s solar factories — overwhelmingly in China — now have enough capacity to produce 1,200 gigawatts’ worth, most of which is sitting unused, according to BloombergNEF estimates.

Did these companies simply overestimate the pace of solar installation growth? Not necessarily, according to analysts at Wood Mackenzie. Chinese solar producers, they argue, are fighting each other in an exceptionally fierce battle for market share, which is forcing them to make constant heavy investments in new production lines making the latest generation of technology.

Despite the pearl clutching over capitalist profits, they admit exactly what we want to see. Constant heavy investments in new production lines making the latest generation of technology is what actualy grows the economy, according to a Marxist principle.

But rather than view this capacity as a problem, what if China and the world moved to take advantage of it? In a policy paper last year, Richard Black and Muyi Yang of the think-tank Ember argued that the problem was not of “overcapacity” but of “underdeployment”. If China’s “spare” solar capacity were put to use, they argued, it would enable the world to meet the goal — agreed at the COP28 summit — of tripling renewable generation capacity by 2030.

By supporting this industry’s continued growth and subsidising solar deployment in developing nations, they argue, China could achieve multiple goals at once. It would avoid a painful contraction in this labour-intensive, economically significant sector, while burnishing its soft power in the global south — and its claim to be a leader in global climate action.

Beijing’s recent efforts to slow the pace of solar investment suggest that it’s not convinced by this logic. But as Xi Jinping’s government prepares its next five-year plan — due for publication later this year — it has an opportunity to take fuller advantage of China’s dominance in clean tech manufacturing.

I think the emphasis should speak for itself. The takeaway is correct too unforuntately. The CPC isn't "convinced" they must use this advantage in renewable energy production for because they are not Marxists nor follow Marxist economic principles. What they follow is neoliberal economics with government intervention, when conflict appears, they side with the mainstream consensus as shown here.

So what exactly is the solution to this problem anyway?

The Marxist principle here should be the same utilized during the previous initial housing crash when Evergrande failed and the CPC let them go bankrupt. Indeed the first principle is capitalists are not entitled to a profit and in such a hybrid economy the CPC should take control of these failing companies as part of the expansion of the public sector. This is the argument Michael made during the Evergrande crash. China: Xi’s third term – part two: property, debt and common prosperity

So the solution is if these industries are unprofitable you take ownership of them, transform the entire sector into a public sector, shove cheap renewables to the world at cost or low profits. The goal is to move towards socialism isn`t it?

On the topic of your OP title, What is China's mistake in reality?

I think its clear through the past 15 years of CPC messaging and economic strategy that unfortunately Dengism is not a path to socialism but rather the final destination. The CPC repeats the same neoliberal economic consensus theory as the western capitalists in the post cold war era. There is no point fighting "globalization", we must accept peaceful "rules based" relations at all costs. China doesn't recognize nor cares about the global struggle against capitalism, fundamentally there is no such thing anymore.

Now China's mistake is to think they've won even though we're heading towards the climate change abyss.

The second part of this mistake then is China's refusal to understand BRI can't mask the costs of western imperialism. This is the biggest ideological betrayal IMO. The assumption that happy face Chinese investment on one hand can compensate for their incredibly bad FP on the other hand.

To give an closest to me. though I believe you can find many of these elsewhere. The recent news China wants to help invest on some railroad project in Brazil towards Peru. Awesome right? How does one squares this with China's state oil company being just as invested into drilling the Amazon as the western oil companies? In this land grab by China's CNPC, Exxon Mobil and Chevron.

This is the same mistake, long story short, Dengist China does not want to actualy move away from capitalism at this time. They do not care to understand the light at the end of the tunnel is the climate change freight train coming at us. China's ideal of a global economy they can rely on is a costly generational mistake they'll pay for dearly.

I could write more but I hope this is already helpful, though the article you linked is not particularly good so I focus on the point I am know the most.

We could very easily end up in a repeat of the first cold war where the USSR was isolated with the same happening to China

The bigger issue is not isolation, its capitulation. I fear more likely we're speed running the cold war but without even the military struggle or even posturing, its just jumping straight to the capitulation phase. I just think China will continue to compromise with the US, to try and continue to play both sides with Wall St, to continue to try and become the new imperialist center for capitalism, almost as if this is what will save them... and the worst part is it might, at first. Nationalists are already rejoicing, China always wins or so it seems.

The next bubble may well be the final conclusion of Dengs reforms and the complete opening up, inviting western capital for the looting, even if it should take a few decades, so long as China becomes relatively richer than westerners(quite likely too) it may be a better deal than war, or so they'll rationalize.

The entire Dengist commitment to opening up and even more pro-capitalist reforms, even under the current scenario, spells nothing less than a catastrophic disaster... one we can see coming from a mile away too.

The AI industry is fighting against copyright, which, up until like 5 years ago, was a Marxist position. It would be difficult and painful in the short term

I fundamentaly disagree with this. You're making an enemy of my enemy argument.

This first point then is just you casualy washing it away as just "painful in the short term" is completely blind to our reality. The short term is already hell and you as a socialist are proposing even more hell onto the working class for some dream pie in the sky move that its better in the long term. Who actualy cares about listening to this? It would make you look like a clown and its not worth ceding ground to liberals on this, why are we allowing libs the opportunity to larp as being concerned about worker rights? Such an easy opportunity for us to organize among these communities thrown away for nothing.

And I'm being generous, these people will just look at you and see the same jackass right wing rethoric of "woke DEI college students with art degrees should have just learned how to code" which has been extremely harmful in the real world to a lot of people, people who would be radicalized towards a further socialist position, yet we shall take almost the same stance? Fuck them for the greater good? If you do this, be smart and do it for something bigger, copyright law is not that important as to let you antagonize people like this.

You realy realy realy can't underestimate how even just saying it would be "painful" to the working class isn't convincing under the current circumstances. You need to provide a concrete theory and an ideology of how this will benefit them and I personally can't find myself making this argument. The best we got to show for is checks notes maybe the AI grift bubble will end anytime between 2-10 years from now while they lose their jobs and the planet gets destroyed?

the AI industry will fail anyways (because of other contradictions). So should we not tactically Support this AI fight against copyright?

This is just a bet. We sit here still waiting for said bubble to pop, it could take 2 or 10 years who knows. Failure as you should know is relative, every previous failure could be said in the same terms, look how finance bros lost in 2008 or how cryptobros lost in 2023 when bitcoin was at 20k.

But I think worst of all is that this doesn't consider the actual real cost of AI, with every new data center being built we head towards the climate change abyss. It should be a condemnation, we do not have the time to be playing 4d chess "strategic support" for an industry that got probably the biggest and worst external costs in human history only second to the oil industry.

This argument when it existed 5 years ago did not consider the current worsening global situation. As things get worse we need to pick the important fights and be more radical, tactical choices that requires considerable loss for little relative gain is just nonsense.

I propose the point shouldn't be AI will fail anyways, no it should be how can we make AI fail as fast as possible and if it means supporting copyright so be it.

I see the complexities (for example, what if ONLY the AI industry gets exemptions and for the important stuff, copyright only gets stronger?)

If you understand this then surely there was never any "tactical fight" anyway. Indeed they'll compromise with the entertainment industry while simultaneously fucking over any sort of independent worker rights and privacy. Some new copyright law will be created and it will just be the same but worse, more violent, more oppressive towards workers while they make deals among themselves how to keep pumping the bubble.

Any other consideration leads to this same conclusion, either we will get weaker copyright in reality or not and its clear we wont. You can spend hours and much effort considering this or you could've taken the simple side of workers rights anyway. Ultimately copyright benefits capitalists just as much but this is a false choice.

This fight exists within the context of supporting the AI industry and they're by far the bigger evil here, as in destroying the planet and humanity level of evil.

I should add as we're seeing the with payment processor censorship stuff, this is so clear and obvious to me, like they'll turn on the hypocritical censorship and twist the law in their favor, there is no benefit in supporting anti-copyright right now when the AI industry is full of the same pro-Trump shills that want to censor and control the working class anyway. There is no victory in sight even in the best case.

yeah both https://www.scmp.com/economy/economic-indicators/article/3249894/chinas-gold-imports-surge-record-high-appetite-increases-middle-class-seek-wealth-security

Meh he will say stuff like this but I don't think he is either stupid or incompetent enough to not understand you can't dictate how people see and consume art, artist's intent is not omnipotent. You can try to be as "impartial" as you want but if he is truly invested into showing the horror and atrocity then people will make the connection.

This is like making Titanic but not including the speed limit controversy choosing to not willingly vilify Ismay in the movie. He knows what he needs to do to do a good movie, that scene along with Ismay's portrayal as a literal mustache twirling villain is not at all necessary for the movie, yet he added anyway, not because of accuracy either as the real Titanic inquiry testimony is quite different from this. As such a Titanic nerd he knew this would be inaccurate.

So he "knows" what he is doing even if he wont say it out loud, these interviews are just to create buzz, he already got fuck off level money he can do whatever he wants. I only think its likely he is already afraid of Trump affecting Hollywood, [insert subverting expectations meme here] etc... Watch liberals be shocked that the US is shown committing the biggest atrocity ever etc...

China has been the biggest gold buyer in the past few years and anything China does is obviously good based and correct even though most of this is reportedly(last time I checked, could be wrong) mostly just wealthy middle class(consequence of housing crash) fad not anything significant.

And always important to point out they're not buying it for any sort of principled stance, its literally just to grift westeners by reselling at a premium while fucking Indian people maintaining high oil prices.

Whatever side the Indian oil trade narrative falls the result is just piece of garbage policy and nothing changes for the better anyway.

Not even that, western gaming already embraced lootboxes years ago, e.g FIFA is a monstrosity well before even Genshin became a huge hit during COVID.

Most of the MAGA base also believes the files are all full of Democrats, it doesn't realy matter what she has to say, even if it sticks, its not just about Trump. It wasn't even about Trump until very recently because he kept making weird statements and burning his own base.

He can't make Epstein go away because its as much about a grand conspiracy involving the rich and "left" pedos as it is about Trump. Trump thinks he needs to clear his name, but this can just make it even worse. They'll just ask themselves if you're innocent why are you still not releasing the files?

Emotional support they mean, like when Lula was arrested, Brazil suffered a literal coup in 2016 and nevertheless the BRICS grifters went on Business As Usual with the following two fascists monsters Temer-Bolsonaro? Can't wait for the next election in 12 months and all the BRICS grifters trying to pretend yet another right wing fascist government is good actualy.