this post was submitted on 01 Jan 2024
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chapotraphouse

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Half-Life 3 announced. America collapses before its released in 2031

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[–] [email protected] 35 points 10 months ago (3 children)

AI fake fools a politician who complains on TV -200

Political assassination anywhere in the world +180

Joe Biden dies +150

A VP becomes president +300

Legal battle for whether Israel pledges trump free speech -100

Israel wins the legal battle +400

A fascist doesn't become president +99999

Bitcoin's price changes by $40,000 +200

Retail real estate prices collapse +300

Retail real estate gets bailed out +600

Any once in a lifetime economic collapse +200

Any once in a lifetime weather event +200

US involvement in an African military conflict +300

[–] [email protected] 32 points 10 months ago (2 children)

please refrain from using yankkkee odds, thank you

Death to America

[–] [email protected] 15 points 10 months ago

I don't know how they work outside the UFC and I think I fucked up using Investopedia sanji-pain

[–] [email protected] 12 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

i cannot read vegas odds and i refuse to learn.

represent the odds in dollars or else gambling is banned

edit: i will accept fractional odds, begrudgingly

[–] [email protected] 14 points 10 months ago

decimal odds are the superior format and i will die on this hill

Death to America

[–] [email protected] 16 points 10 months ago

Any once in a lifetime weather event +200

There will be a few of these

[–] [email protected] 11 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Converting this to decimal odds like a normal person:

AI fake fools a politician who complains on TV: 1.5

Political assassination anywhere in the world: 2.8

Joe Biden dies: 2.5

A VP becomes president: 4 (why is this less likely than Biden kicking the bucket?)

Legal battle for whether Israel pledges trump free speech: 2

Israel wins the legal battle: 5

A fascist doesn't become president: 1001

Bitcoin's price changes by $40,000: 3

Retail real estate prices collapse: 4

Retail real estate gets bailed out: 7

Any once in a lifetime economic collapse: 3

Any once in a lifetime weather event: 3

US involvement in an African military conflict:4

[–] [email protected] 5 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

What I should have done for that VP becomes president is Trump wins and then dies for a big 500 odds payout ~~alongside a sizeable Biden dies at any point this year for a 100 payout (which is on there)~~