this post was submitted on 14 Oct 2023
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  1. The IDF will be spread too thin to maintain the intensity of occupations in the West Bank and growing conflict along international borders

  2. Their rapidly crumbling international support will take a massive hit from the brutality of such an assault and could prompt direct retaliation from Hezbollah

  3. Many, many IDF soldiers will get fucking obliterated entering hyper dense urban combat against a million people with nothing left to lose

These three combine to create the likelihood that Israel would be utterly defeated in such an action. The IDF is a paper tiger when they aren't bombing an imprisoned civilian population.

Thoughts? Am I right or wrong with this take?

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[–] [email protected] 24 points 1 year ago (2 children)

There's no way they do a ground invasion soon. They'll shell Gaza for weeks before they do that. They have the ability to basically completely flatten Gaza why would they invade it? Probably that's their goal now. Move civilians around and shell each region and claim that it's okay because they told the civilians to move first.

[–] [email protected] 23 points 1 year ago

It seems to me Netanyahu ordered it to happen sooner and some top brass guys pulled him aside and we’re like “no fucking way we can do that in three days” I really hope he overrides them and just does it anyway so they can get absolutely fucked

[–] [email protected] 16 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Shells eventually run out. They'll have to commit boots on the ground sooner or later.

The tunnels await them.

[–] [email protected] 14 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

T̴̺̕͠h̷͉̲̑͌͛ĩ̸͚̯s̴̛̖͐̐ ̶̟̤́i̵͕̎͐̈́s̸͓̞̔̅ ̶̲̘͛͒͗y̴͓͒o̷̥͂̀ͅṵ̸̻͗͋̇͜r̴̻̥̖͗̚ ̷̭͘ḧ̷͎͂ỏ̸̗l̸͍̦̇̚͠e̴̖̥̎͜͝.̸͕́ ̷͚̆̍̚ͅI̵͚̓̽ţ̴̄̿ ̷̯͊̀͗w̸͙̃̑̒a̵͇̬̾̀͒s̶̻̃ ̶̡̗̗̓͌̚ṃ̵͎̏̈́e̶̬͋̐a̵͙͕̼̎n̴͚̮̑t̶̞͌͛͘ ̸͚͒͌̇͜f̷̱͕̣̃̉̒o̷̠̩͋̀̀r̷̨͙̀ ̶̥͚̠̅ỷ̵̗́̾ͅo̸͎͔͎̊̍̈ǔ̷͔̀͝.̵̻̞̳̄̍

-Hamas