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submitted 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) by SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net to c/news@hexbear.net

A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like "in Minecraft") and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is reposted from a video AryJeayBackup posted. There are similar videos and images of the funeral procession on that account, plus on other pro-Iran accounts.


With the funeral of the late Khamenei drawing crowds of millions of Iranians, and many dozen visits from foreign delegations and high-up figures from around the world, the war itself has hit a temporary lull. It appears that the battle over whether the Omani route is legitimate is continuing, with transits sometimes relatively elevated (but still nowhere close to pre-war levels) due to American air support, and sometimes stopped by an Iranian strike. What's currently happening in the negotiations is extremely unclear to me because of a massive deluge of conflicting information and intentional disinformation.

However, with Vance confirming on live TV that they are treating the MoU as an opportunity to refill oil stocks (not physically possible to any significant degree given current transits and the SPR's current level) and that they'll see where they'll go from there, the US maintaining that Iran cannot be allowed to have a toll/service fee system, and of course the ethnic cleansing in Lebanon, I currently can't see how this ends without a return to war. The alternative, of course, is that either the US's or Iran's position is much precarious than they're letting on, and they are bluffing but will capitulate under serious fire. I've been keeping my mind as open to the latter possibility as I have the former, and of course, it's not as if Iran's economic situation is all sunshine and rainbows and so that could potentially be the deciding factor, but to me, militarily, Iran has never looked stronger. The missile cities truly stood the test, and its air defense network is still plenty powerful enough to deter American planes and drones from getting too close to its airspace.

Elsewhere, we are nearing the completion of the latest wave of comprador installation in Latin America, with Colombia and Peru returning to a hard right political stance after a brief stint with more left wing politics. Venezuela is also being forced into submission regardless of which party is technically in charge under threat of overwhelming force by the US, after the US successfully bypassed Venezuela's major and only defence, a well-armed and party-loyal population in the hundreds of thousands, by simply saying "If you take arms against us on the ground, we will do you what we did to Gaza." Whether the Venezuelan people will continue to accept this humiliation or rise up is still up to debate, but if there is no response by the government at all, it does seem to spell a pause, though not necessarily the end, of Chavismo as it is currently conceived, and new developments will be needed to take Venezuela forwards. And, finally, Cuba has been forced to take the Dengist route (reform and opening up) for the possibility of survival after nearly a century of a more tightly controlled socialist economy, as the siege this time around proved even more impactful than even the very difficult times after the fall of the USSR. The next logical steps for the US will be to crush Brazilian and Mexican leftist politics, so we may see the ignominious return of the Bolsonaro faction, and perhaps even the man himself.

As I currently see it, with electoral tampering and fraud now both very commonplace and essentially unpunishable by leftist forces, there's three main paths forward for the continent: 1) a return to the anti-imperialist guerrilla warfare that characterized much of the 20th century due to the once-again-confirmed failure of electoral politics; 2) just accepting submission to regional US hegemony as the US withdraws and relocates its forces and agents from Eurasia under fire, and hoping that maybe they can win an election here or there and that Somebody Abroad Does Something (the mythical "international community", etc); or 3) the allure of the growing Chinese hegemony proves too powerful for even the American compradors to resist and they sign developmentalist business deals with them that undercut the IMF and World's Bank plan to maintain imperialist underdevelopment.


Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 57 points 3 days ago

https://archive.ph/PNW3s

Pentagon continues to ‘struggle’ with key weapons development timelines: GAO

The watchdog's annual weapons systems assessment revealed new details about high-profile programs, from Air Force One to Army missiles.

more

Pentagon leaders are still struggling to meet weapons delivery timelines despite their frequent pledges to get new equipment into troops’ hands more quickly, according to a new government watchdog report. “The overall average time frame to deliver a capability increased this year to over 12 years,” the Government Accountability Office (GAO) wrote in a report released today. “Further, several MDAPs [major defense acquisition programs] have not set new delivery dates or are delaying critical interim milestones.” Essentially, that 12-year average may even be optimistic since program officials are not updating the delivery timelines to account for those delays, GAO added. And when it comes to the use of rapid prototyping and fielding pathways — made possible under the Middle Tier Acquisition (MTA) authorities created to either design or field weapons within a five-year timeline — those efforts are also continuing to exceed their deadlines and require more time to develop “immature technologies,” the office added, using an industry phrase for programs that are not yet proven, reliable and ready for broad deployment. GAO’s findings are part of an annual report to Congress assessing the state of weapons systems. This year’s report covers dozens of programs and associated delays. While each development program is unique, GAO made one overarching recommendation this year: the Pentagon should require programs to start with mature technologies and/or develop those immature technologies separately. The department agreed. Here is a look at some of the programs facing delays and cost growth, according to GAO.

Air Force

GAO called out “significant delays” for the Air Force’s T-7 program, echoing a list of problems laid out in a recent Breaking Defense investigation of the new jet trainer. Although the service made the decision to begin production on the T-7 in April, the majority of developmental testing won’t be done until April 2028, with lower-priority requirements wrapping up even later, in May 2029, the report said. GAO stated the T-7’s delays are “largely a result” of the need to complete additional engineering analysis, “lower than anticipated aircraft availability due to maintenance personnel issues and lack of spare parts,” and longer timelines needed to finalize software. “As a result, program officials stated the developmental program underwent a replan to provide a meaningful training capability to the user,” the report said. On one of the Air Force’s most secretive development efforts — the VC-25B, known colloquially as Air Force One when the president is onboard — GAO noted that the troubled program made some strides, having completed its final configuration design in October. It also resolved several “schedule risks” ranging from resolving cabin pressure issues to hiring more skilled mechanics to build the plane. However, “other schedule risks remain, including the detailed designs for the aircraft interiors, fabrication of the wire bundles, and rework to correct defects in structural modifications,” GAO said. The program office is also revising the VC-25B test plan so the Air Force can take over airworthiness certification duties from the Federal Aviation Administration, GAO noted. Program officials told the agency the transition would increase flexibility to address technical issues, noting that “the compressed time frame for testing continues to be the biggest risk for the program moving forward.” As of October, the Air Force has approved only seven of about 80 certification plans for the aircraft, and has not determined when operational testing will begin.

The report also laid out concerns about the service’s Hypersonic Attack Cruise Missile (HACM) effort, which was set to conduct its first flight test in the second quarter of fiscal 2026. However, program officials warned GAO that “there is effectively zero margin left in the schedule for the rapid prototyping effort” despite the Air Force having reduced the test program from seven to five planned test flights. “If a significant flight test failure occurs, it is likely that the program will not be able to complete all five tests within the 5-year rapid prototyping timeframe,” the report states. “According to the program, completing at least the first three flight tests is critical for informing the Air Force’s decision to initiate a rapid fielding effort and procure HACM in fiscal year 2027.”

Army

GAO revealed the second battery as part of the Army’s Long Range Hypersonic Weapon (LRHW), an MTA program, will be fielded “at least” six months later than it was originally scheduled to due to “missing, inconsistent, and unclear work standards for missile production.” The Army’s LRHW program consists of a ground-launched hypersonic missile, called the Dark Eagle, which is designed to provide the service with a long-range precision strike capability for contested environments. As Breaking Defense previously reported, the Army and Navy are working together on the program in hopes that the missiles can be launched from both land and sea. The second battery was originally scheduled to be fielded in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2027. However, this is now pushed back to fiscal 2028, per the report. The change is in part due to production challenges that delayed testing of a new variant of the Dark Eagle that will be delivered with the second battery, which could also delay the delivery of the third battery, the report stated.

The Army’s Maneuver Short-Range Air Defense (M-SHORAD) Increment 3 program is also facing delays, according to GAO, as “none of its critical technologies are fully mature.” GAO said there was a discrepancy regarding readiness levels between the program office and the contractors — Raytheon and Lockheed Martin — but the watchdog did not elaborate. “The program found through its own assessment that some critical technologies are less mature than the contractors reported. Program officials told us that they have independently assessed all critical technologies,” the report read. GAO added that program officials “could not definitively state why there was a discrepancy.” However, the officials noted that it could be due to the contractors “interpreting technology maturity in less restrictive terms than the program office.” The M-SHORAD Increment 3 is the service’s effort to replace the Stinger missile on Increment 1 of the M-SHORAD with a next generation short range interceptor. It is scheduled to start production in the second quarter of fiscal 2028. However, GAO stated that “prior work has shown that increasing even one maturity level can take multiple years and becomes more challenging as the technology approaches maturity,” adding that any delays to future development “could affect the planned production start.”

Navy

GAO also found the first 13 follow-on DDG 51 Flight III destroyers are now 55 months behind schedule – up from 41 months in last year’s GAO report. The delays are due to issues hiring a “robust” workforce amid the current wages, supply chain issues, and frequent design changes, GAO said. The watchdog noted that these challenges are “not unique” to the DDG 51 program. Still, GAO determined the program is slated to reach initial operating capability by the end of fiscal 2027, roughly three years after it was initially scheduled to hit that milestone due to changes in operational test plans, the report said. Likewise, GAO determined the DDG 1000 program suffered delays integrating the Conventional Prompt Strike (CPS) hypersonic weapon system onto the initial ship since the watchdog’s previous assessment. Specifically, the report said program officials estimated that CPS integration was approximately nine months behind schedule, stemming from “unforeseen testing and production challenges.” However, a live-fire demonstration remains on track for next year, which is “consistent with expectations from our last assessment and about 2 years later than previously planned,” GAO added. Additionally, GAO found that the Navy’s ORCA Extra Large Unmanned Undersea Vehicle (XLUUV) program also encountered some delays. The first prototype for the program, which got underway in 2017, was delivered in September 2025. However, the four remaining prototypes are expected for delivery in January 2027 – more than a year later than the watchdog reported last year, according to the GAO.

cont'd in response

[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 22 points 3 days ago

more

Space Force

The Space Force continues to be the single biggest user of the MTA authority, accounting for 50 percent of all MTA costs across the Pentagon, according to GAO. The report covers 13 service programs, all of which have suffered scheduling setbacks during 2025. Many of the issues are due to trouble with component supply chains, although a number of delays also were tracked by the watchdog agency to immaturity of critical technologies. In particular, GAO found that the Next Generation Overhead Persistent Infrared – Geosynchronous Earth Orbit (Next-Gen OPIR-GEO) missile warning program is suffering both cost overruns and schedule delays. The effort “has experienced significant cost growth,” with an increase of “about $340 million” in the price of its sensor payload being built by RTX. GAO chalked the cost growth up to “software development complexity and engineering challenges.” Further, the first Next-Gen OPIR-GEO satellite “was completed in January 2026, 4 months later than planned,” but now will be launched “no earlier than October 2026” because of the Space Force’s “crowded launch manifest,” GAO stated. That launch was originally slated for late 2025. GAO has previously warned that because of the tight launch schedule, “any integration delays will likely result in launch delays and additional program cost increases.”

GAO also expressed concerns about the ability of the Space Force’s National Security Space Launch Launch (NSSL) program, at a time when the number of planned launches is set to “significantly increase” and the program has suffered “workforce reductions.” The watchdog noted that approximately 50 Phase 2 launches are expected through fiscal 2028, and about 85 launches are expected during Phase 3, which runs through 2031. The high number of launches largely are due to Space Force’s plans for large constellations in low-Earth orbit. “Program officials said it has experienced recent staff losses from the deferred resignation program and voluntary early retirements, along with a hiring freeze,” GAO said. “This may have long-term detrimental effects on the program. These vacancies may prevent the program from onboarding additional launch service providers to meet DOD’s needs in a timely manner.”

[-] someone@hexbear.net 21 points 3 days ago

GAO also expressed concerns about the ability of the Space Force’s National Security Space Launch Launch (NSSL) program, at a time when the number of planned launches is set to “significantly increase” and the program has suffered “workforce reductions.”

Also, two of the three rockets certified for NSSL launches are currently grounded, and the third can't launch certain types of NSSL satellites for engineering reasons.

ULA's Vulcan Centaur is grounded because its solid-fuel side booster nozzles keep exploding in flight. Two identical explosions out of four flights is a bad track record. By pure dumb luck neither explosion resulted in a loss of mission, the main engines were able to compensate. But nobody in the USSF or NRO is terribly happy with the situation.

Blue Origin's New Glenn is grounded because it recently exploded on the launch pad during a test resulting in one of the largest artificial non-nuclear explosions in history. It destroyed the only compatible launch complex. Reputable estimates on that launch complex returning to service are a year away or more. Blue Origin and NASA keep talking about a return to launch before the end of the year, but nobody really buys that.

The New Glenn explosion may also impact Vulcan Centaur because they both use the same Blue Origin-supplied BE-4 engine. If the New Glenn explosion is determined to be either a design or manufacturing flaw, it may result in continued grounding of Vulcan Centaur even when the booster nozzle explosion problem is fixed.

Only SpaceX's Falcon 9 (and Falcon Heavy variant) is NSSL-certified and flying. The problem for the US government is that certain types of NRO satellites must be kept vertical at all times in Earth's gravity, they can't be loaded onto rockets horizontally. Falcon 9 can't currently be loaded with payloads vertically, that rocket is loaded and transported to the launch pad horizontally.

[-] AltMaarri@hexbear.net 21 points 3 days ago

certain types of NRO satellites must be kept vertical at all times in Earth's gravity, they can't be loaded onto rockets horizontally

I was curious about it so I looked it up: this concerns space telescopes; apparently their mirror is both so perfect and so light a lateral constant force - such as gravity - would bend them out of shape; so does being upright but they're designed to bend back in shape when stressed that way - not so from the side.

Other similar optical components might have the same limitations - supporting constant strength from on side but not the other.

Also, good opportunity for a reminder that the US intelligence services had enough money to design, build, and launch at least 16 telescopes equivalent to Hubble, and they had multiple unlaunched spares, in fact they donated two to NASA later. That quote about every gun that is made, every warship launched, etc. hits different for me when I think about that. Sixteen Hubble telescopes.

[-] someone@hexbear.net 18 points 3 days ago

Yeah, the Hubble/KH-11 connection is a whole wonderful rabbit hole. My favourite circumstantial-evidence-only rumour is that the explanation for Hubble's famous nearsighted-mirror problem was just a cover story. The rumour goes that instead of the mirror being manufactured wrong, it was actually manufactured correctly but accidentally to KH-11 specifications.

[-] HexReplyBot@hexbear.net 3 points 3 days ago

I found YouTube links in your comment. Here are links to the same videos on alternative frontends that protect your privacy:

Link 1:

Link 2:

this post was submitted on 06 Jul 2026
130 points (100.0% liked)

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