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this post was submitted on 09 Apr 2026
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Cuba's in a shitty position, the Soviets made it so Cuba was an agricultural powerhouse of the Socialist world, but that meant they never industrialised. That said they also have enormous Cobalt, Copper, and Nickel reserves (which were just coming online when Venezuela's economy shit the bed and ruined everything), and a decent amount of other resources. They're just short on oil, coal, gas, and iron. which is a shitty combo if you want an industry.
They do have silica reserves but they're still ramping up their first big pilot factory (again, they're not stupid, they were just dealt a shitty hand.)
My logic is that if a country needs something, it's always better to have the ability to produce it locally, I admit I left out the crucial part of the question about cost-effectiveness. But does it matter being cost-effective when self-reliance is at stake? Cuba only has 10 million people and a relatively small land area, but it isn't Grenada, Fiji or the Maldives, I believe it can achieve a level of autarky similar to the DPRK, a country with a similar land area.
China can definitely provide over the course of years the amount of solar panels necessary to power the whole country, but what about after that? The economy must grow to provide better conditions for the people and a growing economy needs a growing power capacity. China is a reliable partner, but what about the event in which the solar panel flow stops for any reason? Ultimately I believe these questions about long term economic strategy and self-reliance are still quite important, Cuba did barely survive for a long time with the way they handled things so far, but I wish to see them truly thrive for once. It's a sad sight to see all those buildings in Havana in a state of disrepair.
You make a great point, I just find it hard to accept that Cuba will always be in a vulnerable position, doomed by geography and demographics. I'm glad we had this exchange.
I share the same view as you on this, with the way imperial control mechanisms seem to be slowly withering away from Africa I believe it's not just an unfounded hope, we really might see it happen in the next 50 years. The eventual creation of a robust, self-sufficient AUSSR is likely part of the long term strategy of Chinese economic investments into the continent, as economic power grows so will leverage against systems of neocolonial control, while also creating a robust proletarian class.
A fun question to think about is where will the first spark of this movement start, where will borders start to dissolve first, I wonder.
One unified Africa under scientific socialism
The important thing is to think materialistically. Cuba isn't 'doomed' because of its geography, it is presented with different opportunities, and it is up to the community of proletarians, which is ideally represented through the state of the dictatorship of the proletariat, to recognize where those opportunities lie and create a labor force that can take advantage of them.
Cuba still possesses top of the line medical professionals, and likely one of the most comprehensive counter intelligence operations against the U.S.
Compare this to their neighbors, whose only real industries are fishing, financial crimes, sex work (non-derogatory), and tourism.
They work what they can.
Then you can get still many years of use out of the solar panels you have. It's not as big of a deal compared to oil getting cut off.