Image is one of many rallies in Iran in support of the government and the leadership.
short summary here, longish summary in spoiler tags below: Western standoff munition stockpiles now substantially depleted, therefore Western aircraft activity directly over Iran increasing (as is footage of attempted and actual hits against them) as the US attempts to transition more to using bombs dropped directly onto targets, Iran is increasingly in the driver's seat and controlling the conflict, world economy is fucked and yet could still get much worse very soon, if you require a car to live (especially if it's not electric) and cannot work from home then you have my sincere condolences
longish summary here
While I've seen several estimates on the current stockpiles of US and Zionist missiles and interceptors - somewhere in the realm of a third depleted, perhaps even up to half - it seems like we're reaching the point at which the US does not want to commit even more standoff munitions and is trying their luck against the Iranian air defense network directly.
We have already seen footage of Iran attempting to shoot down, and sometimes actually striking Western fifth generation planes like the F-35, and more footage along those lines is appearing for other plane models (with one side claiming that they evaded interception and the other claiming they hit it, etc etc, propaganda is everywhere, you know the drill). How much the US is willing to test their planes against Iranian air defense is a matter of debate. Strictly speaking, a few fighter jets and bombers shot down would be no catastrophic loss in the grand scheme of things, as the US has hundreds. However, the narrative of such a thing would be quite bad for the US - "You're telling me an OBLITERATED Iranian military can shoot down some of our most advanced equipment?? What are we gonna do against China?!" - and given Trump's deranged jingoistic rhetoric aimed to buoy markets, it's clear that he cares very deeply about narratives. Additionally, with Chinese exports of several critical metals to the US banned, the prospect of replacing these aircraft (and indeed the standoff munitions and the interceptors and the ground radars etc) is looking questionable.
All the while, Iran continues its strikes across the Middle East. Missile and drone strikes are reportedly on the uptick again, demonstrating that Iranian military capabilities have by no means been "destroyed" as Western propaganda claim, though it's impossible to sure there was ever a significant downtick due to Western censorship and outright fabrications. People around the world are gradually realizing the magnitude of the economic disaster that is occurring and may yet occur. Refineries and factories which deal with oil and gas directly are starting to slow down or stop production, and those who make products downstream of those are starting to follow them like dominoes. Outrage at gas station prices is rising, and many countries are considering limiting civilian driving and implementing work-from-home policies akin to the coronavirus pandemic. And now, threats are being made by Trump against both Kharg Island (where most Iranian oil is shipped from) and the Iranian electrical grid - which is highly decentralized and would require a prolonged bombing campaign to completely take out -and the promised Iranian reprisal would be apocalyptic to the Middle East. It would make oil prices rise to previously unfathomable heights as oil infrastructure turned off and remained off for months, perhaps years, and set in motion one of the world's greatest humanitarian catastrophes as the desalination necessary for tens of millions of people is shut down. It would also not be a symmetrical problem, as Iran does not rely on desalination for its water supply.
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The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
I mean, we all knew the UN was a farce to begin with but anytime a nuclear power gets involved in a conflict the possible use of nuclear weapons becomes an instant reality. When Russia first invaded Ukraine there were talks of tactical nukes being used almost instantly.
Western leadership has demonstrated itself to be devoid of all humanity and completely deranged and separated from reality. I have no doubt they have been lobbying people at the UN and getting all giddy amongst themselves at the prospect of the US nuking Iran but that doesn't necessarily mean that nukes are actually going to be used.
Hopefully this guy just heard zionists talking amongst themselves or something.
That being said...if there was ever any regime who was most likely to use nukes, it's the one in the white house right now.
I think the only way this maybe gets slowed down is if Russia makes a statement that it will view the use of nuclear weapons in Iran as a green light to use them in Ukraine, including near its borders with other EU states.
Well, first of all I don't think Russia is that reckless nor does it want to nuke Ukraine. Second, I can't imagine Russia sticking its neck out for Iran like that and finally, if the US dropped a nuke on Iran I think it's sort of implied at that point that all bets are off. I'm sure even the Trump regime is aware of the concept of MAD. And using a nuke on Iran would only make a nuclear exchange with Russia, China and the DPRK all but certain.
The wildcard is the entity. If they see US support wavering and the americans start withdrawing out of the ME en masse I could see the zionists throwing nukes as a final fuck you.
I wonder how viable is it for the US to force the UK or the Zionist entity to drop the nuke instead. The US can nuke a place without triggering MAD between itself and Russia/China.
The UK technically has "operational independence" on the Trident nukes, but in reality the missiles (if not the warheads) are American and they need to go back to America for maintenance regularly, so the US could force the UK into a "use it or lose it" situation by threatening to cut off the maintenance, I guess. It wouldn't be easy though. Making the Zionist entity do it instead is more viable but then they're essentially sacrificing the entirety of their colonial outpost in the ME to do it. It seems unlikely it would get that far. Probably more likely that they'll try to trigger a Chernobyl situation by attacking nuclear power plants
I just don't see Russia going this far out of it's way to help Iran. Iran needs the north Korea solution asap
I don't think this is exactly what is in question here. What is on the line is the petrodollar, and the american hegemony as we know it.
No. I don't see China or Russia sticking their neck out in any significant way to help Iran. They've never done this before for anyone and the stakes are far higher now. And I mean Russia even has close relations with Israel. Also the way China has squeezed North Korea is basically the antonym of solidarity. China does business first and foremost.
We really do live in a global environment where the only recourse a nation has to even the most basic level of independence is to have a nuclear weapon. For hundreds of years the US has been propping up the worst right wingers and destroying country after country relentlessly in the name of global capital and more recently for Zionazi ethno supremacy and delusion. It's so completely fucked.
Could/would you expand on this?
I see China as having used North Korea (more recently) as a lightning conductor (buffer doesn't do it justice considering just how much pressure the US and the west has put on North Korea) for American imperialism in East Asia.
The "North Korea Solution" would give the US and Israel more than enough diplomatic cover to deploy nuclear weapons as a "last resort" - especially as nuclearizing would mean any future missile from Iran could possibly be a nuke - especially to an enemy as irrational as Israel.
They'd need to amass a nuclear stockpile (in stealth) capable of levelling Israel reliably before even committing to a test, or else their missile stockpile becomes paralysed. If that test fails, or the Israelis don't buy that Iran is capable of striking them first, the risk of pre-emptive strikes becomes exponential.
Strongly agree. Iran fucked up big time not nuclearizing in the 2000s.
That failure and bad decision which will stand as one of the top bad moves of all time within the region has locked them out of a lot of options. This war and the active conflict situation needs to end before they can develop nukes. Which they should do but at the same time if the zionists get wind of it the US might swoop in and nuke them and they're good about finding out about these things. But if they do manage to keep it a secret they need to do as you say.
I mean that's the problem of living next to an insane genocidal racial supremacist stare. But I think it's better you have the means to inflict equal harm. I mean they could just use a nuclear weapon tomorrow. And they won't stop until they destroy Iran.
Also this interviewee basically says Iran has nuclear deterrence. Very good video tbh.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtUobr7xGz4
I found a YouTube link in your comment. Here are links to the same video on alternative frontends that protect your privacy: