Image is of the Power of Siberia natural gas pipeline, which transports gas from Russia to China. This isn't an oil pipeline (such as the ESPO) but I thought it looked cool. Source here.
Trump has recently proposed a 500% tariff on goods from countries that trade with Russia, including India and China (who buy ~70% of Russia's oil output), as well as a 10% additional tariff on goods from countries that "align themselves with BRICS." Considering that China is the largest trading partner of most of the countries on the planet at this point, and India and Brazil are reasonably strong regional players, I'm not sure what exactly "alignment" means, but it could be pretty bad.
Sanctions and tariffs on Russian products have been difficult to achieve in practice. It's easy to write an order to sanction Russia, but much harder to actually enforce these sorts of things because of, for example, the Russian shadow oil fleet, or countries like Kazakhstan acting as covert middlemen (well, as covert as a very sudden oil export boom can be).
Considering that China was pretty soundly victorious last time around, I'm cautiously optimistic, especially because China and India just outright cutting off their supply of energy and fuel would be catastrophic to them (and if Iran and Israel go to war again any time in the near future, it'll only be more disastrous). Barring China and India kowtowing to Trump and copying Europe vis-a-vis Nordstream 2 (which isn't impossible, I suppose), the question is whether China and India will appear to accede to these commands while secretly continuing trade with Russia through middlemen, or if they will be more defiant in the face of American pressure.
Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.

Very nice write up.
Can you comment on the Brazilian soybean production and supply chain with respect to foreign vs local bourgeois ownerships?
I did some homework a while back and the data suggest that apart from the farming, the vast majority of the soybean supply chain in Brazil is under control of foreign multinational corporations:
From Transparency in Global Agribusiness: Transforming Brazil’s Soybean Supply Chain Based on Companies’ Accountability:
The paper you linked is pretty succint and paints the battleground well. Brazilian agribusiness is state policy, but only the land itself and the commercialization of its labor can be said to be nationally owned. Inputs of all kinds comes from a number of different countries, while China is the main client by far. What immediately comes to mind is the situation of machinery and fertilizers.
The massive 'Others' under fertilizers means a number of middle eastern countries and Russia. Which explains some of the political pains that happened in Brazil when Bolsonaro was in power and Russia invaded Ukraine. There was this knee-jerk reaction to side with the United States (even though it was Biden who was president). But at the time Russia's trade hadn't yet been re-routed through China, so Brazil's political room for maneuver was limited.
Now with Machinery the US remains an important partner. But is it even an indispensible one for that matter? With seeds and fertilizers you can argue that medium term investments could enable onshoring in both sectors. But with farm equipment you probably wouldn't even need to do that since, I assume, China can just become the main supplier instead. This is where I think much of the political agonizing comes from. To sustain its agribusiness Brazil trades with every region of the world at once and there's very little keeping any one partner, most crucially China, from becoming a one stop shop for all the needs of the Brazilian elite.
It's good that you posted this because I don't want to give anyone the impression that Brazil has something akin to a 'national bourgeoisie'. We haven't had that since as late as the 1990s. Brazilian capitalists are happy to be junior partners of international production chains and secondary players in the financial markets. They are an aristocracy profitting from the periphery of global capitalism, and these two paragraphs from the paper you linked summarize this perfectly:
Brazilian business culture is whatever was left after the country survived IMF sponsored austerity. And that was a best case scenario of sorts. When the sovereign debt crisis hit in 1982, industrial policy was largely dismantled for most things except agricultural expansion and plane manufacturing. This was part of the larger currency devaluation and export oriented strategy. It worked well enough to increase volumes, wreacked havoc on common people's purchasing power, but eventually paid some dividends in the form of massive commodity exports. Now nobody in charge wants to endanger those breadcrumbs. In part because they don't feel like the country can afford to compete in manufacturing or technology. In part because nothing is stopping them from behaving like international capitalists and becoming shareholders of the companies that supply them. In part agricultural industry is just not their business. Clearing more land for exploitation is.
Thank you for the detailed explanation!