this post was submitted on 20 Apr 2025
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chapotraphouse

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[–] [email protected] 21 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

The paper says it has a 3 sigma chance of life given the compounds assuming their methodology is good, scientific proof requires 5 sigma. Its a difference between 99.7% accuracy and near 100% accuracy, kind of important though when we're talking about shit we have no clue about and can't observe by conventional means.

It should be noted that the majority of the citations on the paper are the same guy citing himself. I'd take it with a grain of salt until other people can corroborate it. Most other papers say the planet is a hot, small mini-Neptune gas planet with rings probably, maybe a warm enough atmosphere for life. The compounds measured are basically related to farts and decaying plant matter in a hot environment, should smell like mexican food a bit. In a comparison, the planet should have about 20-1000x more plant-fart compounds than we do, some people argue this is evidence of early algal/bacterial growth like on earth's oceans.

If the other papers are right about the pressure of the atmosphere the water on the planet would behave quite differently than here. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supercritical_fluid

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 week ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/68%E2%80%9395%E2%80%9399.7_rule

Basically had to do with standard deviations, for something to be very certain it needs to be beyond 99.7% on accurate equipment.

In the social sciences, a result may be considered statistically significant if its confidence level is of the order of a two-sigma effect (95%), while in particle physics and astrophysics, there is a convention of requiring statistical significance of a five-sigma effect (99.99994% confidence) to qualify as a discovery.

The whole incel thing of a sigma male is supposed to be a male that is in the top percentage of males, thats the whole joke.