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hezbollah has been upping its air defense game, just recently its shot down multiple israeli drones, and scared an idf fighter out of its airspace with SAMs. Additionally israel does not have the best control of its own airspace, demonstrated very recently by this 10 minute video of hezbollah drones flying over haifa https://x.com/MenchOsint/status/1803048374809084179
I think that in a war between Israel and Hezbollah two things are certain.
Hezbollah would eventually win.
The people of Lebanon would suffer greatly.
The ideal solution to all this is for Israel to stop its genocide. If it comes to war between Hezbollah and Israel I have no doubt about who the final victor would be, but just like the last war, while the IDF will lose, they will extract a horrific price.