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We had a ceasefire for what? A week? Then WE broke it, but Iran will be blamed.

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Heart broken (www.reddit.com)
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submitted 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) by Tormato@hexbear.net to c/chapotraphouse@hexbear.net

A few examples, from The Glossary of Empire:

“Stable”

(peaceful, governed, orderly)

Resources are flowing to Western interests without interruption. Contracts are honoured, oil is exported, debt is serviced. Has nothing to do with whether the population is fed, safe, or free.

“Democracy”

(free elections, rule of law, civil liberties)

A governance arrangement compatible with Western capital. Celebrated when the right candidate wins. Ignored or reversed when the wrong one does. See: Gaza 2006, Algeria 1991, Zimbabwe 2008.

“Dictator”

(authoritarian ruler who oppresses his people)

A leader who has stopped cooperating with Western extraction. Yesterday's partner, today's tyrant. Applied selectively — never to friendly autocrats.

“Failed State”

(a government unable to provide basic services)

A country whose government can no longer protect Western business interests or honour extraction agreements. Somalia after rejecting IMF terms. Libya after Gaddafi's removal.

I hear every one of these terms in that grating, Neoliberal, singsongy delivery that is now a prerequisite for the current flock of NPR radio show hosts.

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submitted 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) by Posadas@hexbear.net to c/chapotraphouse@hexbear.net
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A popular uprising by Palestinian Arabs in Mandatory Palestine against the British administration, known as the Great Revolt, and later the Great Palestinian Revolt or the Palestinian Revolution, lasted from 1936 until 1939. The movement sought independence from British colonial rule and the end of British support for Zionism, including Jewish immigration and land sales to Jews.

The uprising occurred during a peak in the influx of European Jewish immigrants, and with the growing plight of the rural fellahin rendered landless, who as they moved to metropolitan centres to escape their abject poverty found themselves socially marginalized. Since the Battle of Tel Hai in 1920, Jews and Arabs had been involved in a cycle of attacks and counter-attacks, and the immediate spark for the uprising was the murder of two Jews by a Qassamite band, and the retaliatory killing by Jewish gunmen of two Arab labourers, incidents which triggered a flare-up of violence across Palestine. A month into the disturbances, Amin al-Husseini, president of the Arab Higher Committee and Mufti of Jerusalem, declared 16 May 1936 as "Palestine Day" and called for a general strike. David Ben-Gurion, leader of the Yishuv, described Arab causes as fear of growing Jewish economic power, opposition to mass Jewish immigration and fear of the British identification with Zionism.

The general strike lasted from April to October 1936. The revolt is often analysed in terms of two distinct phases. The first phase began as spontaneous popular resistance, which was seized on by the urban bourgeois Arab Higher Committee, giving the movement an organized shape that was focused mainly on strikes and other forms of political protest, in order to secure a political result. By October 1936, this phase had been defeated by the British civil administration using a combination of political concessions, international diplomacy (involving the rulers of Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Transjordan and Yemen) and the threat of martial law. The second phase, which began late in 1937, was a peasant-led resistance movement provoked by British repression in 1936 in which increasingly British forces were targeted as the army itself increasingly targeted the villages it thought supportive of the revolt. During this phase, the rebellion was brutally suppressed by the British Army and the Palestine Police Force using repressive measures that were intended to intimidate the whole population and undermine popular support for the revolt. A more dominant role on the Arab side was taken by the Nashashibi clan, whose NDP party quickly withdrew from the rebel Arab Higher Committee, led by the radical faction of Amin al-Husseini, and instead sided with the British – dispatching "Fasail al-Salam" (the "Peace Bands") in coordination with the British Army against nationalist and Jihadist Arab "Fasail" units (literally "bands").

According to official British figures covering the whole revolt, the army and police killed more than 2,000 Arabs in combat, 108 were hanged, and 961 died because of what they described as "gang and terrorist activities". In an analysis of the British statistics, Walid Khalidi estimates 19,792 casualties for the Arabs, with 5,032 dead: 3,832 killed by the British and 1,200 dead due to intracommunal terrorism, and 14,760 wounded. By one estimate, ten percent of the adult male Palestinian Arab population between 20 and 60 was killed, wounded, imprisoned or exiled. Estimates of the number of Palestinian Jews killed are up to several hundred.

The road to the 1936 revolt https://palmuseum.org/en/museum-from-home/stories-from-palestine/road-1936-revolt

THE 1936-39 REVOLT IN PALESTINE, GHASSAN KANAFANI https://pflp-documents.org/documents/PFLP-Kanafani3639.pdf

Megathreads and spaces to hang out:

reminders:

  • 💚 You nerds can join specific comms to see posts about all sorts of topics
  • 💙 Hexbear’s algorithm prioritizes comments over upbears
  • 💜 Sorting by new you nerd
  • 🐶 Join the unofficial Hexbear-adjacent Mastodon instance toots.matapacos.dog

Links To Resources (Aid and Theory):

Aid:

Theory:

Financial Support to the Bearsite

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The Dribble n Spitz theme from warioware is synthpop genius and the earliest vaporwave.

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Killed by deep-nesting

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submitted 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) by heatenconsumerist@hexbear.net to c/chapotraphouse@hexbear.net

My post here laid it out: the US needed a pretext to declare force majeure on COMEX silver deliveries; attacking Iran over a weekend (Friday OPEX) provided that cover. The silver physical delivery pressure was screaming for a reset, and a war in the Strait of Hormuz gave them the perfect external shock to suspend contract fulfillment without admitting the dollar is weak or the exchange is insolvent.

And it is still NOT doing well.

Now look at what is happening with oil.

The April 21 options expiration is the key. May 2026 WTI crude futures and options expire on April 21, 2026. The US‑Iran ceasefire is also set to expire on April 21 (OPEX is on the 21st EST, ceasefire is on the 22nd IRST). That is not a coincidence. The US has been trying to tank the futures market by selling contracts into the rollover period; they want to pin prices lower ahead of the May contract expiry. But Iran is letting them do it.

Iran is waiting for the rollover to fuck up the US plan. The US (most likely the treasury itself or other proxies) have placed massive bearish bets. The idea is to drive oil down once the Strait of Hormuz "reopens." But Iran controls the strait; they can flip the switch at any moment. By waiting until after the rollover, Iran forces the US to hold short positions into a delivery period where physical barrels are not available. When Iran then "closes" the strait again (or kinetic warfare escalates when Israel breaks the ceasefire), the short squeeze will be brutal. The US will be forced to buy back contracts at any price, and the paper game unravels.

Iran is posting bullish statements before market hours for a reason (some have been accusing the Iranian government and the IRGC as being at odds with one another, this is not the case). They want to lure the US into selling more cheap contracts, letting the shorts pile up. Every time Iran says "the strait is open" or "negotiations are progressing", the US adds to its short position. Then, when the rollover is locked in, Iran reverses course. That is exactly what happened on April 17: Iran announced the strait was open, oil tumbled 9%, and then the next day Iran "closed" it again after the US continued its blockade. The US got trapped.

Kinetic warfare cannot be shrugged off. The 1970s oil shock took 7 years to recover from; the physical damage to infrastructure, shipping lanes, and refining capacity does not just disappear. Pricing models will start pricing in longer periods of low oil supply, and that is when the real pain begins. Europe/etc have months of supply, but if they know the strait will be closed for 6 months, 12 months, 18 months? Rations will start immediately so they don't run out in ~June and the price of oil be >$200. The strait could go back to 100% fully normal capacity TOMORROW, and we would not avoid this supply shock. It will take (at minimum) MONTHS to "restart" the strait when all is said and done.

  • AI is like the 00 crash (Massive overvaluations into massive leverage)
  • Oil is like the 70s crash
  • PC/PE Stress (Private Credit / Private Equity) is like the 08 crash
  • Iran War is like the 2021 crash (ignore it and it'll go away? Right?...)

But AI is much worse than the dotcom crash (>3x the leverage than in 99), this supply shock makes the 70s look like a game (roughly 3x more of a supply disruption), PC/PE makes 08 look like childs' play, and this insane 12 day run during a war makes covid look like a joke.

This is genuinely THE largest bull trap for the markets the world has ever seen. If/when the United States fails to fuck with the futures markets, first the markets, and then the actual economy are going to crumble.

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submitted 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) by Lussy@hexbear.net to c/chapotraphouse@hexbear.net

I know of a couple nice tasting dishes but they both involve deep frying it. I know about pressing on it to remove moisture, and coating it with corn starch to deep fry.

What are your favorite recipes and techniques that have made your dishes taste great? Looking for some magical secret that will make anything taste as awesome as deep frying shit.

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title (thelemmy.club)
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It was a Bluesky post that I edited so the text would be at the bottom because it's funnier.

https://bsky.app/profile/moranstephen1000.bsky.social/post/3mjr7xwuwvk2j

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fell-for-it-again-award

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not much to tell beyond the picture. Some of them are hand cranked, others include e-motors with throttle either because there's legal modes for it or maybe you're at a bikepark where usual public regs against that don't apply.

Mostly niche-builds, so custom things adapted to specific customers or small scale lines

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Hey comrades I don’t really know how to start this. I’m writing this scared and tired, just trying to explain what’s been happening to us. We are a small group of trans and queer sisters living in Juba, South Sudan. Before all this, three of my sisters Charity, Pretty and Model ...were actually preparing for their flight to Canada after 6 years of moving through refugee camps under UNHCR protection. We had finally reached a point where things were starting to feel hopeful. Last Friday, while we were coming back from an IOM appointment, six of us were taken by an unknown group of people wearing black masks. They forced us into a car with tinted windows and brought us somewhere we still don’t recognize. It’s now been about a week. We are being kept in a small, cold room with almost no light. We sleep on the floor, there are mosquitoes everywhere and it’s been really hard to rest. They give us only one proper meal a day, one bottle of water and a small packet of biscuits for all six of us to share. We are weak, exhausted and honestly really scared. At times some of us just sit quietly because we don’t even know what to say anymore. They told us to call our families and ask for money or we would “disappear.” But we don’t have family here we can turn to. When we tried to explain that we are under UNHCR protection, they warned us not to contact UNHCR or the police. They allowed me to use my phone briefly just to ask for help. They are demanding $1,800 for our release. I don’t even know how to ask this properly, but if anyone can help, share or keep this visible, it could mean everything to us right now. We are just trying to get out of here and be safe

Support link is in my profile.

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curious-marx

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Napping by Nhim (thelemmy.club)
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Chapotraphouse

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