You'd be amazed at how many "numbers" people still haven't mastered Excel.
What's important is that in one scenario there is less of some undefinable quantity, and that's as far as moral reasoning can be permitted to go.
Idk if it'd be worth the effort, there are libs in that thread arguing that slow genocide is still better than fast genocide.
(AI tracking system actually consists of remote workers based in the Philippines)
Will McCaskill became a generational intellectual powerhouse when he discovered you could just put arbitrary probabilities on shit and no one would call you on it, and now he's inspiring imitators.
To live in America is to be drowning in a constant firehose of ideology: wellness, work optimization, hustle culture, and competitive gaming, all those tastes melting into each other, becoming as indistinct as an overly ambitious soda from a Coke Freestyle machine. There is power in the ambiguity between what is and is not work.

I would unironically love to learn more about the self-aggrandizing blowhard-free corners of the public sector. My current experience has been that the people I work with, while smart, caring, and passionate about what they do, are unable to admit it or get help when they find themselves in something over their heads, and private philanthropy is busy going AI to the hilt.
Used to be you needed to be unfathomably wealthy or have the power of a monarch in order to be able to surround yourself 24-7 with a coterie of eager sycophants; now, anyone can have one thanks to LLMs! 
I have bad news for you about the American public sector.
It drives me absolutely bonkers that there are smart people out there groveling and scraping for jobs while gormless jokers like this have secure six-figure salaries.
BodyBySisyphus
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[Ed.: emoji added for emphasis. I couldn't resist]
Prolly closer to 66% chance if you're getting the standard level of sleep but the important part is that it's readily predictable, rather than, say, there being uncountable quadrillions of simulated space people in the distant future.