Not only will the direct return be dogshit, but the lognterm effects will be even worse because we could have invested that money into transitioning away from fossil fuels and building up manufacturing of modern technologies. Not to mention the INSANE costs we will all suffer at the hands of climate destabilization(new term I heard today, trying it out) which this pipeline contributes to.

Conservatives are terrible with money and they don’t care because they know that they’re stealing from us. It’s the whole point.

There probably wont be any ROI.

My guess like most things in Canada, once built it will be sold to the private sector for pennies on the dollar.

ROI is basically non-existent. The numbers are closely held trade secrets, you won't find the projections published anywhere, but most sources agree, the prospects for demand are bad, which is why no private investors can be found. Industry insiders agree that basically the whole industry is sun-setting, so the majors are just going to ride it into the ground, claim capital losses and declare bankruptcy after the equity is safely transferred elsewhere. Optimistically we're looking at maybe 40-60 years before we even recoup the initial principle.

What it does do, however, is make it basically impossible for Alberta to separate. It catches their nuts in an economic vise. Their debt to Canada because of those two pipes would bankrupt them 100x over if they ever tried to leave.

Depends on who you are... an O&G company? Nearly infinite as the public foots the infrastructure bill and you just see revenue.

But for the rest of us who's tax dollars are being spent on this insanity, it'll be zero or negative. All costs with negative benefits like less money for heathcare or road infrastructure.

From the lack of private funding, I assume the projected ROI for the pipeline is not good.

https://energynow.ca/2025/12/trans-mountain-pipeline-delivers-12-6-billion-in-new-revenue-to-oilpatch-windfall-to-governments-report/

Trans mountain made 12.6 billion at a cost of 34 billion. It's believed any new pipeline won't be anywhere near as successful.

Note that 12.6 is estimated oil revenue, not tax revenue.