All the numbers on this chart make no goddamn sense. Even the most right wing of fox news watching nutjobs wouldn't say there are %20+ trans people in the USA. They always claim it's like 3 people and that's why they need to ignore them/they don't matter.

I need to see the region they polled in. Preferably the exact counties because these numbers don't make sense for either of the extreme sides answers, but also the moderates wouldn't answer some of these questions these ways either.

Who TF did they get answers from??

People think that 1/5 americans are trans? Billionaire owned media really does shit in our brains, huh?

Wait, atheism is that low in the US?? 38.9% of Australians indicated no religion at the last census, I knew we had more but never expected a whole order of magnitude difference!

This list is Wild. Like two thirds live in Calif & Texas loool

Also 41% are black.

Ah, New York City, population 120 million.

No, that thing is just wrong. They "interviewed" two groups of 1000 people online who had opted into their "panel". Either they're lying about bias, or they were scammed.

The easiest giveaway is the "40% of adults are veterans" number. The average American is well aware that almost half their aquientances are not veterans.

33% Atheist
27% Muslim
30% Jewish
58% Christian (41% being Catholic, so that's about 70% of all Christians)

This just proves that Americans do indeed have more people per capita.

Given that the "estimated proportion" range is only between 20-76%, regardless of the question, this seems more indicative of a poor understanding of statistics than an over/under estimation of specific demographics, especially since a lot of contradictory demographics are way overestimated.

For example, I am significantly more likely to believe that Americans suck at percentages than that they believe nearly ever single person in the country is either Muslim, Jewish, or Catholic (these three "estimated proportions" add up to 98%).

Side note: interestingly all religious categories listed add up to 189%, but there is some overlap depending on definition (e.g. some people might argue that "Catholics are Christians" or "Jewish is an ethnicity so you can be Jewish and atheist"). Thus I picked the three that most people would agree are extremely unlikely to overlap, which coincidentally added up to nearly 100%.

EDIT: I would like to see this survey redone with the same questions, but with the addition of a few questions for things that are widely known to be extremely uncommon, bordering on non-existent, such as "percentage of people with only one ear" or "percentage of people with more than 12 siblings," and some questions for things that are widely known to be extremely common, bordering on universal, such as "percentage of people that have electricity at home" or "percentage of adults who own a phone." If even these questions result in answers grossly over/underestimating the percentage, what we have is actually an aversion to providing very small or very large estimates. (It is already known that people easily overestimate the frequency of things that are unusual especially if they can easily think of an example, such as overestimating the number of redheads because you had a classmate with red hair, or even because you can think of a celebrity with red hair).

Wow you guys need better media and media literacy, these are wild levels of disinformation

Nearly half the population apparently having been in the military, 1 in 5 trans, 1 in 3 gay or lesbian. Do these people imagine entire battalions of non cishet people?

It says 3% of Americans are atheists, but about 29% of Americans are "religiously unaffiliated". I would say the poll only overestimated by 4%.

I'm not buying that atheist one.

This is quite a fascinating insight into many things.

• One of which is how far apart the estimations are from reality.

• Fear plays a huge part in most of these estimations. E.g. the world's leading organized religion is Christianity. And yet, when asked how many people in the US were Muslim, the average estimation in the US was 26%. But the reality is (according to this,) around 1%.

Another example being the percentage of Hispanics living in the US. Reality is closer to 17%, but many believed that there were over 2 times that.

My takeaway is that people are pretty good at estimating how many people have children and voted in 2020.

85% own a smartphone, 88% own a car, but only 83% have a driver's license, that would explain a few things. Is gas cheaper than mobile internet in the US?

Also, Americans means US citizens, Mexico and Canada are conveniently excluded as usual.

101% of Americans are estimated to be either Democrat or Republican

I refuse to believe this

0% of households have an income over 1milion??? I mean I get its low but I believe it exists.

True proportion: Democrats: 42% Republicans: 47%

Did I read this wrong? I’m almost certain there are more registered Democrats than Republicans.

How tf car-brained USAinians in a car-dependant society assume only half the population owns a car?

Or that a fifth/a quarter of the country is Muslim/transgender/living on a million per year?
Or that NY is a third of the USA?

Is this data just bs?

The income estimates are interesting.

We're apparently quite bad at estimating all income levels except who earns $100,000-$500,000 / year.

Link to the poll: https://today.yougov.com/politics/articles/41556-americans-misestimate-small-subgroups-population

The one that really got me was 12% black. I would have said 20% or so. The sexual, religion and race questions are wild! 30% Jewish?! Guess they're all in NYC. 😂