I keep reading the 6 brief paragraphs and can't find any evidence of political evolution. What conditions have changed in Turkey to make them more amenable to negotiations with the Kurds? The only change has been in syria, "The jihadist offensive that toppled Assad changed all that" and there the response has been to negotiate and integrate with a group actively hostile to federalism.

"Will the economic stakes be enough to secure an acceptable political settlement to the Kurdish question? The ball is in Ankara’s court, as it has still not released a single one of the 12,000 political prisoners it is holding, a prerequisite for serious negotiations."

Uhh given that conclusion, I'll say no. Why dissolve before any concessions have been made, seems to be capitulation rather than negotiation? It's the vote blue argument, once you've dissolved any notion of armed struggle, what's the incentive for Ankara to give them anything?