this post was submitted on 27 Apr 2025
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From what I'm reading, the troubles should start to pick up now; harbors being quieter, truckers not having work, ... Are any shortages noticeable yet?

ETA:

Source: https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/trump-is-a-virus

Businesses have been filling their inventories. That's ending now. Economic pain in terms of job losses should accelerate now. It will still take up to a few weeks before inventories run empty, and the full impact hits consumers. Even a full reversal of Trumpism couldn't prevent knock-on effects that last into next year.

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[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 hour ago (1 children)

OP’s data shows the U.S. is stocking up tremendously in April, and then maintaining year-on-year patterns after that with a slight downturn that doesn’t even compensate for April’s glut.

I haven’t seen this data before but it shows the opposite of the shortage I was expecting.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 55 minutes ago

May still be a few weeks more before it's critical then.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 2 hours ago

Cargo container bookings are down 60%. 60%! Thats an incredible drop, and it really hasn't even started yet.

I'm ready for a "Hot Tariff Summer."

I've been on a no-purchase kick for a while now, even before HitlerPig was elected. We have become such a culture of consumerism that it had started to disgust me. I've embraced the "re-use, repair, re-sell, recycle" philosophy. If i need something, i try to buy it used.

I'm a guitarist, so I buy used guitars when i get a good deal, clean them up, fix them, and re-sell them at a small profit. It puts a beautiful instrument back into service, allows a poor or new musician an opportunity to have an inexpensive but quality instrument, and its music makes the world a slightly more beautiful place.

I even went on a much-needed diet (down 80 pounds so far, and still going), and decreasing my consumption, and spending less money with evil corporations, is a primary motivation.

So let the shelves be empty of cheap Chinese-made consumer goods, i don't need them, despite how much advertising and marketing tells me i do.

The silver lining is that if tariffs become a longterm thing, people will be forced to come around to my way of thinking, and when the tariffs finally end, corporations may be surprised to find that nobody needs their shiny crap any more.

[–] [email protected] 48 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

Most aren't even aware that this is coming.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 12 hours ago (2 children)

I can't wait to watch all the Trump-suckers loose their shit when they find out it's Trump's fault. If they can actually comprehend it as true, that is.

[–] [email protected] 13 points 4 hours ago (2 children)

They'll just say it's Biden's fault...

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 hours ago

That is also my knee-jerk reaction, but with Tariffs it's a pretty direct correlation to Trump now. Hopefully this will be what finally breaks him?

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 hours ago (1 children)

They'll say it, but they won't truly believe it. They'll know the truth, or at least those that still possess some human awareness. There will always be those that are irredeemable, you can't worry about them, they're just lost.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 2 hours ago

Casual Qur'anic comment, lol. 😅

[–] [email protected] 18 points 12 hours ago

narrator: they did not

[–] [email protected] 15 points 12 hours ago (3 children)

I'm far less worried about the imminent supply shock to the economy and far more worried about the long term damage to things like the FDA. We've decided we're going to try to go from ~10% vegetarian to closer to 80% or 100% because I simply don't trust that thing like meat and milk can stay safe to consume. I do have a solid amount of food in my house, and if shelves start emptying I think I'll be okay for a bit, but that'll pass. I can't really leave this country, so I need to be planning for longer term problems too.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 3 hours ago (1 children)

I have this fear that we won't even be able to trust fruits and vegetables. The most common food contaminations in the news always seem to be unwashed lettuce and such, which makes sense because of fertilizers.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 hour ago

I’ve been preparing for some kind of problem with produce for a few years, I just had a gut feeling so I built a vegetable garden 3 years ago. Also have been planting fruit trees everywhere.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 hours ago

Ive been stockpiling canned proteins like tuna, chicken, clams, oysters, etc. even Spam. They may not be trustworthy in the future, but they are right now, so stack them up.

I can make a cheap but killer soup with a can of chicken, some ramen, and herbs, and i can even grow the herbs myself.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 12 hours ago

While the nation was functioning, meat and dairy would have been regulated by the USDA, not the FDA.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 12 hours ago

I'm soupmaxxing

[–] [email protected] 3 points 12 hours ago (1 children)

Already have everything I should need for the next few years besides consumables. Considering buying a few buckets of emergency food from Costco. Other than that, bending over and lubing up because I can’t keep a cactus alive, much less crops.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 5 hours ago

Most of what I grow is for flavour rather than sustenance, pretty limited space. Doubt I will survive for long off garlic, bay leaves and rosemary with a sprinkling of mint.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 17 hours ago (2 children)

I haven't actually been living for the past 30 years.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 12 hours ago

Hotblack Desiato, is that you?

[–] [email protected] 4 points 15 hours ago
[–] [email protected] 7 points 15 hours ago

People don’t really know what to do, except save money, cut back on disposable spending, and watch carefully. Maybe buy some big things early like a laptop or EV now rather than wait for the shock. The big problems are a few weeks to months away.

[–] [email protected] 15 points 19 hours ago (1 children)

My company layed off the newest hire, and bought $50k of materials we need for R&D for the next year and a half. Im in the process of buying a duplex instead of a single family as a hedge, so my cost of living will be low enough to survive on my wife's part time salary if we can keep a renter. I will be planting food producing trees and bushes, and building garden boxes after close, and learning canning.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 hour ago

Look for bareroot trees if you want a better deal.

[–] [email protected] 17 points 20 hours ago (1 children)

Know your communities, people. That's the prep you need.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 hours ago

"Where two eat, three can eat also."

[–] [email protected] 41 points 1 day ago (1 children)

I have read testimonies from other people who have gone through economic/political instability and hardship. What i got out of it is that prepping will help for a week to a month maybe. But after that preppers just feel dumb after that as all that work didn't mean much long term.

The only thing that universally matters is having community ties. Unfortunately.... USA aren't very community friendly or even have the opportunity to create strong local bonds. As all community events are during work hours so only retired people part take in those.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 4 hours ago

During covid, having like 2 months' worth of food was enough for me. I was able to avoid the chaos at the grocery stores, and by May of 2020, instacart had cleared up enough that I could get food delivered to me.

This is different, obviously, but having 2 months of food to avoid the initial chaos and supply shocks of a disaster is still valuable

[–] [email protected] 28 points 23 hours ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 10 points 18 hours ago (1 children)

Learn to cook beans and rice from scratch. Stock up on them in bulk. Emergency food packs can be bought from $45 and up depending on how many you have to feed and for how long you're planning to need it.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 4 hours ago

I already know how to cook poverty foods from living off £8k a year back around 2016.

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