this post was submitted on 02 Dec 2024
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Image is of one of the six salvos of the Oreshnik missile striking Ukraine.


The Oreshnik is an intermediate-range ballistic missile that appears to split into six groups of six submunitions as it strikes its target, giving it the appearance of a hazel flower. It can travel at ten times the speed of sound, and cannot be intercepted by any known Western air defense system, and thus Russia can strike and conventionally destroy any target anywhere in Europe within 20 minutes. Two weeks ago, Russia used the Oreshnik to strike the Yuzhmash factory in Ukraine, particularly its underground facilities, in which ballistic missiles are produced.

Despite the destruction caused by the missile, and its demonstration of Russian missile supremacy over the imperial core, various warmongering Western countries have advocated for further reprisals against Russia, with Ukraine authorized by the US to continue strikes. Additionally, the recent upsurge of the fighting in Syria is no doubt connected to trying to stretch Russia thin, as well as attempting to isolate Hezbollah and Palestine from Iran; how successful this will have ended up being will depend on the outcome of the Russia and Syrian counteroffensive. Looking at recent military history, it will take many months for the Russians and Syrians to retake a city that was lost in about 48 hours.

Even in the worst case scenario for Hezbollah, it's notable that Ansarallah has had major success despite being physically cut off from the rest of the Resistance and under a blockade, and it has defeated the US Navy in its attempts to open up the strait. Israel has confirmed now that their army cannot even make significant territorial gains versus a post-Nasrallah, post-pager terrorist attack Hezbollah holding back its missile strike capabilities. In 2006, it also could not defeat a much less well-armed Hezbollah and was forced to retreat from Lebanon.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

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Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 52 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (2 children)

DPP says it does not support martial law after furor over post

The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) today said it does not support martial law, after its caucus’ social media post last night comparing the situation in Taiwan’s legislature to South Korea stirred controversy.

South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol late last night announced martial law, but rescinded the order after the National Assembly voted unanimously to reject his declaration.

After the order was made, the DPP caucus posted on Threads saying that the party supported Yoon’s fight against the North Korean threat. Democratic Progressive Party caucus chief executive Rosalia Wu, left, speaks at a news conference in Taipei today.

"The South Korean parliament has been manipulated by North Korean forces," said the post by "lydppcaucus," an account run by the party's caucus.

"South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol announced emergency martial law nationwide to protect the free constitutional system," the post said. "Have no doubt, we who are Team Taiwan are every second and every minute opposing global dark and evil forces encroaching on [Taiwan].”

The post also suggested that opposition parties had repeatedly obstructed national security proposals, "unconstitutionally expanded" their powers and cut the defense budget, among other claims.

This post was deleted after 20 minutes, after which the DPP said in another post that it was an attempt to “share international information.”

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 3 weeks ago

South Korea ~~used to~~ be a dictatorship ~~until~~ basically yesterday

[–] [email protected] 52 points 2 weeks ago (7 children)

in a move surprising absolutely no one

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 weeks ago

South Korea opposition formally present President Yoon impeachment bill to parliament - Live TV

South Korean defense minister offers resignation over martial law controversy. South Korean Defense Minister Kim Yong-hyun apologized on Wednesday for causing public concern following President Yoon Suk Yeol's attempt to impose martial law, offering his resignation.

The decision came after Yoon declared emergency martial law in an unexpected late-night statement but subsequently lifted it hours later as the opposition-controlled National Assembly voted to reject it, News.Az reports, citing Yonhap. "I have offered my will to resign to the president, taking responsibility for all the turmoil caused by the emergency martial law," Kim said in a statement sent to reporters.

[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

He was the guest of honor, but South Korea's leader wasn't supposed to deliver the performance of the night, too. President Yoon Suk Yeol stole the show at Wednesday's White House state dinner with a rendition of his favorite song, "American Pie." President Joe Biden led the acclaim for his counterpart's musical abilities, telling Yoon he had “no damn idea” he could sing.

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 weeks ago (4 children)

Buzzkill: "World's Best Honey" Award Cancelled Over Fakes

This year’s World Beekeeping Awards in Copenhagen will not crown a "best honey" due to fears of widespread honey adulteration, which has made it nearly impossible to guarantee the authenticity of competing entries.

According to an EU study, 46% of honey imported to the bloc could be fake, often bulked up with cheap sugar syrups. A spokesperson from Denmark's Beekeeper's Association has stated that the fakes have become so good that it is impossible to taste the difference. While Western actors are quick to blame China and other non-EU scapegoats, they remain quiet about the role of Western importers and the potential for fraud closer to home.

The sticky situation is hardly new, back in 1269 the legal code for the city of Ribe ordered that merchants who were caught selling counterfeit honey should be decapitated and their fake goods ceremonially burned. Today medieval gore has been swapped for bureaucracy, in an attempt to cut down fraud though greater transparency the EU's new “breakfast directive” requires honey labels to clearly indicate their origin and importers of non-EU honey to be registered.

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

Some Syria news for today.

In order to concentrate Syrian defensive forces in the western part of the country (currently under al-Queda “HTS” attack), Damascus reached an agreement with the Kurdish-dominated “SDF” groups and withdrew from Deir ez-Zor, Mayadin, and Albu Kamal (in eastern Syria): https://southfront.press/kurdish-forces-enter-deir-ezzor-under-deal-with-syrian-army-videos/

Apparently, the agreement with the “SDF” also helps relocate Syrian troops to defend Palmyra (in eastern Syria): https://tass.com/world/1883689

The Syrian military and Russian Aerospace Forces continue striking the terrorists in Hama and Homs provinces (note, I’ve read elsewhere that allied forces eliminated another 300 Western-backed terrorists and 35 armored vehicles (including seven tanks) over the past 24 hours): https://tass.com/world/1883269

The Syrian military repelled a terrorist attack on Latakia province: https://tass.com/world/1883259

The Western-backed terrorist onslaught has now displaced over 280,000 civilians in northwestern Syria: https://sputnikglobe.com/20241206/over-280000-people-flee-their-homes-due-to-crisis-in-syria---un-1121104228.html

An Iraqi spokesman stated that Iraq does not seek military intervention in Syria. However, he warned that the division of Syria is a red line for Iraq (at this point, we should not fully rule out the possibility of Iraq and Iran sending regular troops (not just volunteer units), if it becomes absolutely necessary): https://ina.iq/eng/36861-al-awadi-iraq-does-not-seek-military-intervention-in-syria.html

[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (5 children)

TikTok is even worse, fuck you mean free Syria with a Palestinian flag in bio (I know what they mean, im aware of Hamas supporting the rebels, I’m expressing myself)

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 weeks ago (3 children)

The AES: france-cool out. A new day is dawning in Africa.
Nigeria: https://xcancel.com/african_stream/status/1865384093350813875

As more African nations sail away from French neocolonialism and chart new, sovereign routes, Nigeria is bucking the trend - choosing to anchor itself ever more closely to Paris. The latest example: joint navy drills in and off Lagos.

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 weeks ago (7 children)
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[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 weeks ago (3 children)

Seems like Israel is bombing all of Syria's Military Bases + Damascus. I guess they don't want the terrorists to use the Syrian Airforce equipament to defend Syria?

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

I've seen some silver lining takes, one that a weak Assad barely holding things together was more in the interests of the west than what just happened, and another that Israel's invasion past the Golan heights will over-extend them even more. IDK what to think of that, but could it be possible?

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 weeks ago (3 children)

do you think the dictator willl relent or do we have to send Al-Quaida ?

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)
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[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)
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[–] [email protected] 51 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Oh we're doing missiles again? Great!

There's one thing that was bothering me about the small speculation of what the actual damage at that Dnipro plant might have looked like. ~~Years~~ Decades ago I sat in a lecture by some NASA engineer who'd worked on the Deep Impact probe where they blasted a comet with a small impactor and looked at the resulting cloud or something. His main point was that above a certain speed that's sometimes (but not always) reached by a comet crashing down on Earth every impact is going to look pretty similar because it's basically just like an explosion on the ground. So no matter the impact angle or shape, above some speed you always get an explosion crater, or rather these typical meteor craters like this one:

(could you tell which direction that meteor hit the ground from?)

Now I've looked it up and apparently there's this thing called a "hyper-velocity impact" which seems pretty consistent with what's written above, and which starts to occur at around Mach 11. That would also be the main damage-doer those Rods from God things. So my take on what the Oreshnik damage might have looked like would be a lot of little explosive craters, since the actual payload and hence energy on these 36 impact vehicles was probably not too big, and the velocity they travelled at was very close or equal to what a "hyper-velocity impact" would require.

Of course, all these assumptions might be wrong just as well and it actually was just little holes and huge explosive cavities below, who knows.

Just wanted to write this down, now I've got closure. Thanks for reading!

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

Druze militants in Suwayda have taken the whole region, no sign of the SAA there too. Rural areas in Quneitra and Daraa under previous reconciliation agreements have also fallen. Areas in Rif Dimashq including Qalamoun have also fallen. SAA have also handed over the entire desert to the SDF and vanished. It's just funny at this point, hoping a for quick bloodfree entry of HTS into Damascus at this point, there's no point in delaying the inevitable. I called my cousin who lives on a farm in Rif Dimashq and he was just laughing, people aren't even worried anymore.

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 weeks ago

South Korea: Employees of the Ministry of National Defense, who were previously called in for an emergency, are now being sent home as the emergency call-up has been lifted.

Is it Yoonover again?

[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 weeks ago (5 children)

How does the collapse of Syria impact Lebanon? Presumably Iran has their hands tied now, but Russia can play a larger role in Latakia and open a new avenue that way?

Surprised the Kurds haven’t taken this opportunity to strike at HTS while they’re in chaos and institute a proper US puppet.

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 weeks ago (7 children)

So the feds aren't telling him the truth right

❗️US President-elect Donald Trump posted on his Truthsocial account:

"Opposition fighters in Syria, in an unprecedented move, have totally taken over numerous cities, in a highly coordinated offensive, and are now on the outskirts of Damascus, obviously preparing to make a very big move toward taking out Assad. Russia, because they are so tied up in Ukraine, and with the loss there of over 600,000 soldiers, seems incapable of stopping this literal march through Syria, a country they have protected for years. This is where former President Obama refused to honor his commitment of protecting the RED LINE IN THE SAND, and all hell broke out, with Russia stepping in. But now they are, like possibly Assad himself, being forced out, and it may actually be the best thing that can happen to them. There was never much of a benefit in Syria for Russia, other than to make Obama look really stupid. In any event, Syria is a mess, but is not our friend, & THE UNITED STATES SHOULD HAVE NOTHING TO DO WITH IT. THIS IS NOT OUR FIGHT. LET IT PLAY OUT. DO NOT GET INVOLVED!"

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 weeks ago (4 children)

The Iranians are now pushing for the issue of preserving the Seyyidat Zeynab quarter for themselves. Iranian diplomatic missions have already taken the majority of their workers either to Iraq or to the so-called Alavistan (Syria and Tartus).

Russia maintains a presence in Latakia and Tartus, and their transformation into separate state entities with a Shiite population is likely. Russia remains the guarantor of peace in these territories and takes direct control. Iraqi and IRGC forces left Al-Bukamal and withdrew from Deir ez-Zor province. The government of Bashar al-Assad will fall within 72 hours at the most.

From Telegram, we will see if Assad goverment will survive or fall soon

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (4 children)

“After the Muslim Brotherhood succeeded in coming to power in Syria, we reiterate our message to them:

Gaza is still being violated, and today you have a historic opportunity to fulfill your jihadi duty, as does Turkey. We pledge that we in Yemen, Iran, Iraq, and Lebanon will stand by your side and overlook all our differences with you, just as we previously did with Hamas.”

— Mohammad Al-Bukhaiti, member of the Ansarallah Politburo, Governor of Dhamar

Thoughts???

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 weeks ago (4 children)

If Assad falls the Turks are gonna sic this massive mercenary army against the Kurds, or at least Turkey is gonna try, because I don't think Erdoğan that filthy watermelon seller realizes the monster he's creating and how deep the Qatari money flows into HTS

The jihadists 100% want to replay the 2014 ISIS blitzkrieg back into Iraq, they have an ideological obsession with conquering Iraq for the dumbest theological reasons known to man

The US and Israel may pressure or bribe them to attack Lebanon again, but they're still traumatized by the beating Hezbollah gave them on the slopes of eastern Lebanon, many of their fighters used to bring it up in interviews, about how they dreaded facing Hezbollah, which makes the Iraq ploy even more likely since the ISIS seizure of Mosul plays such a romantic role in their imaginations

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 weeks ago (8 children)

This is the Resistance's Korea moment (and even more important than Korea), but Iran is just sitting back and chilling. True Promise 3 is still nowhere to be seen. picard

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[–] [email protected] 50 points 2 weeks ago (4 children)
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[–] [email protected] 50 points 2 weeks ago (7 children)

I hope Russia, China and Africa are ready for what's coming.

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[–] [email protected] 50 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (4 children)

Does anyone know how useful forensics would even be in this sort of scenario? I don't know much about the subject, but I feel like if your hand is brushing against a table or something that's gonna be heavily diluted by all the other people that are also touching everything given it's a public space with a bunch of foot traffic?

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[–] [email protected] 50 points 2 weeks ago

Fuck it, self crit time. Haven’t been this off base since 2/22. I stand by my stance that we need better info discipline in times in chaos, but I was obviously incorrect and had been shitty about it over the last week. Anyways for anyone celebrating this, this is who they’re fans of

https://www.france24.com/en/video/20241002-exclusive-france-24-speaks-to-syrian-revolution-supporters-as-they-celebrate-nasrallah-death

[–] [email protected] 50 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

'Starting tonight, the main battle front will move to Syria. We will start fighting on the Syrian front and will not allow anyone to reach our borders' – IDF Chief of Staff, Herzi Halevi

Since Israel couldn't defeat Iran, Yemen, Hezbollah or Palestine, now they want a "quick and easy" victory in Syria to boost their garbage morale. And probably so the IDF doesn't coup Bibi and replace him with a general.

Rebel Southern Operations Room: 'We do not have the capacity to withstand Israeli advances. This matter does not have our priority currently. We need to work on solidifying a united Syria, free of Assad'

ASSAD IS ALREADY GONE!! WHAT THE FUCK ARE YOU TALKING ABOUT!

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[–] [email protected] 50 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

A question remains unanswered: Under martial law, the National Assembly was prohibited from meeting. Technically, it is an illegal entity at the moment. So, is the request to end martial law valid? The Constitution doesn't set a timeline for when the President must respect the demand to lift martial law. President Yoon was the country's prosecutor general

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