this post was submitted on 02 Dec 2024
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Image is of one of the six salvos of the Oreshnik missile striking Ukraine.


The Oreshnik is an intermediate-range ballistic missile that appears to split into six groups of six submunitions as it strikes its target, giving it the appearance of a hazel flower. It can travel at ten times the speed of sound, and cannot be intercepted by any known Western air defense system, and thus Russia can strike and conventionally destroy any target anywhere in Europe within 20 minutes. Two weeks ago, Russia used the Oreshnik to strike the Yuzhmash factory in Ukraine, particularly its underground facilities, in which ballistic missiles are produced.

Despite the destruction caused by the missile, and its demonstration of Russian missile supremacy over the imperial core, various warmongering Western countries have advocated for further reprisals against Russia, with Ukraine authorized by the US to continue strikes. Additionally, the recent upsurge of the fighting in Syria is no doubt connected to trying to stretch Russia thin, as well as attempting to isolate Hezbollah and Palestine from Iran; how successful this will have ended up being will depend on the outcome of the Russia and Syrian counteroffensive. Looking at recent military history, it will take many months for the Russians and Syrians to retake a city that was lost in about 48 hours.

Even in the worst case scenario for Hezbollah, it's notable that Ansarallah has had major success despite being physically cut off from the rest of the Resistance and under a blockade, and it has defeated the US Navy in its attempts to open up the strait. Israel has confirmed now that their army cannot even make significant territorial gains versus a post-Nasrallah, post-pager terrorist attack Hezbollah holding back its missile strike capabilities. In 2006, it also could not defeat a much less well-armed Hezbollah and was forced to retreat from Lebanon.


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Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 38 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

issuing a correction on my past statement; Our enemies move at light speed, our allies clearly want to die doing nothing

[–] [email protected] 38 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)
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[–] [email protected] 38 points 3 weeks ago

Malian Forces Kill Armed Separatist Group Leaders:
https://africanstream.media/malian-forces-kill-armed-separatist-group-leaders/

As instability intensifies in Northern Mali, the country’s army (FAMa) ramped up its operations this week, regaining key areas in the region near the Algerian border. FAMa targeted a base used by a new alliance – the so-called Azawad Liberation Front (ALF) – of armed separatist groups, eliminating several high-ranking members.

ALF announced its existence at the end of November, posting its flag on X and declaring the birth of ‘Azawad’ – the Tuareg name for Northern Mali. This territory has been grappling with insecurity, particularly after the collapse of a 2015 peace agreement between rebels and Mali’s transitional government. It’s a strategic area for trade in the Sahara for the Sahelian nation.

In the fight to reclaim sovereignty, Mali kicked out French troops in 2022 after more than eight years of Paris’ failed military counter-terrorism campaign, known as Operation Barkhane. The conflict and insecurity in Mali continue to be exacerbated by external actors, and allegations of uninvited foreign backing of terrorist groups have only escalated tensions.

[–] [email protected] 38 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

So on what skeleton of an existence if any does Syrian state media even have right now? The Sana website no longer functions

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[–] [email protected] 38 points 3 weeks ago

National Assembly Speaker Woo Won-sik said, "The National Assembly will take all necessary measures to stabilize the national chaos." In a special address to the National Assembly on this day, Speaker Woo stated, “I have confirmed that the National Assembly is the last bastion of democracy in the Republic of Korea. Together with the people, I will definitely protect the democratic constitutional order.”

Chairman Woo said, "We have also confirmed the maturity of our military," and added, "We mobilized our troops to the National Assembly following the declaration of martial law, but we withdrew immediately in accordance with the National Assembly's resolution, which I believe shows the military's growth alongside democracy."

He continued, “The military is the people’s military. I ask that you unwaveringly fulfill your basic duty of protecting the Constitution and the people,” and “I also ask that public officials, such as the police, not waver and remain faithful to their original duties.” Speaker Woo also demanded that President Yoon “immediately lift martial law. He should convene a cabinet meeting and announce the lifting of martial law.”

[–] [email protected] 38 points 3 weeks ago (3 children)

a level headed analysis as usual from Brian Berletic on the situation in Syria: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-xN-_fuEdi0

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[–] [email protected] 38 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)
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[–] [email protected] 37 points 2 weeks ago (4 children)

notre-dame was such a gathering of ghouls, wow trump-who-must-go

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[–] [email protected] 37 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

According to high ranking Israeli officials, Assad is still in Damascus – Walla / Axios

Why?

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[–] [email protected] 37 points 2 weeks ago (13 children)

I guess Assad just crashed his plane? Wtf was that?

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[–] [email protected] 37 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

From what I understand I'm going to try to spitball some possible scenarios for the future in Syria, I'm not gonna bother attributing probabilities to them cos fuck if I know.

This is all based on the assumption that the rebel and oppositions groups are not 100% beholden to US/Israel interests, the guy they had on Radio War Nerd stated that this offensive was most likely a rebel initiative, and that their backers in Turkey were not itching to depose Assad immediately.

-Islamist rebels and opposition groups manage to stabilize the country, islamists make some deal with the kurds so they don't have to fight

-Rebels attempt to break into kurd territory (civil war)

-Infighting among rebel groups escalates (civil war)

-Israel and turkey say fuck it and both annex whatever chunk of syrian land they want

-Rebels make some type of deal with Iran, for example allowing the land bridge to lebanon to continue in exchance for non-interference

-Rebels keep their sectarianism and al-qaeda past in check and don't commit many serious massacres or sectarian discrimination

-Rebels are literally al-qaeda in syria and commit many serious massacres and sectarian discrimination

-Assad is still alive and does government in exile, either gets abandoned by every ally as they recognize the rebel government or doesn't, no in-between.

-Rebels do 9/11 for russia or iran as reprisal for backing assad.

-Iraq scenario: Unstable and impoverished country that nevertheless manages to keep civil war at bay, becomes political battle ground for american and iranian proxies

-Afghanistan scenario: Rebel government is left mostly alone but is too politically unseemly to be fully integrated into the "rules based order"

-Libya scenario: Eventually another civil war

-New scenario: Syria becomes a total US/Israel proxy

If anyone want to add to this be my guest

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